/ concept-collection / timeseries-entropy
Sign in
concept-collection / timeseries-entropy
Go to fileHistoryFork
github-actions[bot] estimates: run 122 from efed18a cd4311b 110 Commits
estimates.jsonestimates: run 122 from efed18a
README.mdestimates: run 122 from efed18a
runs.jsonlestimates: run 122 from efed18a

Cached entropy estimates#

Machine-generated by .github/workflows/estimates.yml on main — do not edit by hand. Every dispatch runs the whole grid again with fresh, independent pasts, appends one record per cell to runs.jsonl, and rebuilds estimates.json from the full log, so the means tighten run after run.

  • runs.jsonl — append-only, one JSON object per (cell, dispatch): the cell's parameters, the per-past values with their sum and sum of squares, the per-past resolved Gibbs thinning and probe autocorrelation times (thin='auto' matches thinning to each chain's measured mixing), the seed, and the code commit that produced them.
  • estimates.json — pooled mean and se per cell over every past ever drawn for it, alongside the analytic predicted rate for comparison.

The estimand is H(z_(M+1) | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample — an upper bound on the entropy rate of z that tightens as the conditioning window M grows.

Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends access-control-allow-origin: *):

https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json

Current state (109 runs, generated 2026-08-13T10:28:30Z)#

cell sigma M mean se pasts predicted
bp300-6000_s1 1 512 0.9320 0.0042 872 0.9513
bp300-6000_s16 16 512 2.5433 0.0077 872 2.5680
bp300-6000_s2 2 512 1.3098 0.0039 872 1.3319
bp300-6000_s32 32 512 2.9806 0.0205 872 2.9938
bp300-6000_s4 4 512 1.7227 0.0045 872 1.7342
bp300-6000_s8 8 512 2.1310 0.0067 872 2.1476
lp3000_s1 1 512 0.4753 0.0078 872 0.6166
lp3000_s16 16 512 1.4437 0.0064 872 1.4888
lp3000_s2 2 512 0.7628 0.0091 872 0.8251
lp3000_s32 32 512 1.6657 0.0070 872 1.7179
lp3000_s4 4 512 0.9931 0.0064 872 1.0415
lp3000_s8 8 512 1.2108 0.0074 872 1.2632
ma8_s1 1 512 0.4741 0.0070 872 0.6100
ma8_s16 16 512 3.1794 0.0087 872 3.1777
ma8_s2 2 512 0.9750 0.0032 872 0.9825
ma8_s32 32 512 4.0888 0.0081 872 4.1125
ma8_s4 4 512 1.5588 0.0036 872 1.5529
ma8_s8 8 512 2.3062 0.0054 872 2.3064
none_s1 1 512 2.1059 0.0023 872 2.1048
none_s16 16 512 6.0163 0.0161 872 6.0473
none_s2 2 512 3.0653 0.0031 872 3.0620
none_s32 32 512 7.0676 0.0373 872 7.0472
none_s4 4 512 4.0367 0.0045 872 4.0508
none_s8 8 512 5.0585 0.0104 872 5.0480
moveopenescclose