estimates: run 122 from efed18a
3 changed files+195−171
README.mdmodified+25−25View file
@@ -21,33 +21,33 @@ Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends
2121
2222 https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json
2323
24-## Current state (108 runs, generated 2026-08-13T08:22:25Z)
24+## Current state (109 runs, generated 2026-08-13T10:28:30Z)
2525
2626 | cell | sigma | M | mean | se | pasts | predicted |
2727 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
28-| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9318 | 0.0042 | 864 | 0.9513 |
29-| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5432 | 0.0078 | 864 | 2.5680 |
30-| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3098 | 0.0039 | 864 | 1.3319 |
31-| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9769 | 0.0199 | 864 | 2.9938 |
32-| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7231 | 0.0046 | 864 | 1.7342 |
33-| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1315 | 0.0068 | 864 | 2.1476 |
34-| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4765 | 0.0079 | 864 | 0.6166 |
35-| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4441 | 0.0065 | 864 | 1.4888 |
36-| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7625 | 0.0092 | 864 | 0.8251 |
37-| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6651 | 0.0070 | 864 | 1.7179 |
38-| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 0.9926 | 0.0064 | 864 | 1.0415 |
39-| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2112 | 0.0074 | 864 | 1.2632 |
40-| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4741 | 0.0070 | 864 | 0.6100 |
41-| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.1803 | 0.0088 | 864 | 3.1777 |
42-| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9755 | 0.0032 | 864 | 0.9825 |
43-| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0878 | 0.0082 | 864 | 4.1125 |
44-| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5587 | 0.0036 | 864 | 1.5529 |
45-| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.3061 | 0.0054 | 864 | 2.3064 |
46-| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.1057 | 0.0024 | 864 | 2.1048 |
47-| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 6.0183 | 0.0162 | 864 | 6.0473 |
48-| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0655 | 0.0031 | 864 | 3.0620 |
49-| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 7.0673 | 0.0376 | 864 | 7.0472 |
50-| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0365 | 0.0046 | 864 | 4.0508 |
51-| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0598 | 0.0105 | 864 | 5.0480 |
28+| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9320 | 0.0042 | 872 | 0.9513 |
29+| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5433 | 0.0077 | 872 | 2.5680 |
30+| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3098 | 0.0039 | 872 | 1.3319 |
31+| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9806 | 0.0205 | 872 | 2.9938 |
32+| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7227 | 0.0045 | 872 | 1.7342 |
33+| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1310 | 0.0067 | 872 | 2.1476 |
34+| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4753 | 0.0078 | 872 | 0.6166 |
35+| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4437 | 0.0064 | 872 | 1.4888 |
36+| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7628 | 0.0091 | 872 | 0.8251 |
37+| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6657 | 0.0070 | 872 | 1.7179 |
38+| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 0.9931 | 0.0064 | 872 | 1.0415 |
39+| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2108 | 0.0074 | 872 | 1.2632 |
40+| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4741 | 0.0070 | 872 | 0.6100 |
41+| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.1794 | 0.0087 | 872 | 3.1777 |
42+| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9750 | 0.0032 | 872 | 0.9825 |
43+| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0888 | 0.0081 | 872 | 4.1125 |
44+| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5588 | 0.0036 | 872 | 1.5529 |
45+| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.3062 | 0.0054 | 872 | 2.3064 |
46+| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.1059 | 0.0023 | 872 | 2.1048 |
47+| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 6.0163 | 0.0161 | 872 | 6.0473 |
48+| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0653 | 0.0031 | 872 | 3.0620 |
49+| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 7.0676 | 0.0373 | 872 | 7.0472 |
50+| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0367 | 0.0045 | 872 | 4.0508 |
51+| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0585 | 0.0104 | 872 | 5.0480 |
5252
5353 [wf]: https://github.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/blob/main/.github/workflows/estimates.yml
estimates.jsonmodified+146−146View file
@@ -5,10 +5,10 @@
55 "M": 512,
66 "highres_szego": -4.78256796018064,
77 "id": "bp300-6000_s1",
8- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T08:10:37Z",
9- "mean": 0.9317507074204444,
10- "n_pasts": 864,
11- "n_runs": 108,
8+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T09:55:19Z",
9+ "mean": 0.9319573988276361,
10+ "n_pasts": 872,
11+ "n_runs": 109,
1212 "params": {
1313 "filter": "bandpass",
1414 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -18,18 +18,18 @@
1818 "taps": 101
1919 },
2020 "predicted": 0.9512549259549268,
21- "sd": 0.12384904362801534,
22- "se": 0.004213430028060137
21+ "sd": 0.1235058235310428,
22+ "se": 0.00418243493427582
2323 },
2424 {
2525 "L": 101,
2626 "M": 512,
2727 "highres_szego": -0.7825679601806399,
2828 "id": "bp300-6000_s16",
29- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T08:19:14Z",
30- "mean": 2.5431817118658735,
31- "n_pasts": 864,
32- "n_runs": 108,
29+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T10:02:39Z",
30+ "mean": 2.5433032046261403,
31+ "n_pasts": 872,
32+ "n_runs": 109,
3333 "params": {
3434 "filter": "bandpass",
3535 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -39,18 +39,18 @@
3939 "taps": 101
4040 },
4141 "predicted": 2.56797969986038,
42- "sd": 0.2279854729057105,
43- "se": 0.007756223297029306
42+ "sd": 0.22714035993854947,
43+ "se": 0.007691943175069748
4444 },
4545 {
4646 "L": 101,
4747 "M": 512,
4848 "highres_szego": -3.7825679601806397,
4949 "id": "bp300-6000_s2",
50- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T08:11:57Z",
51- "mean": 1.309849322853915,
52- "n_pasts": 864,
53- "n_runs": 108,
50+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T09:56:23Z",
51+ "mean": 1.3097522244791038,
52+ "n_pasts": 872,
53+ "n_runs": 109,
5454 "params": {
5555 "filter": "bandpass",
5656 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -60,18 +60,18 @@
6060 "taps": 101
6161 },
6262 "predicted": 1.3318639472861573,
63- "sd": 0.11597145332309053,
64- "se": 0.003945428963480117
63+ "sd": 0.11575262789554248,
64+ "se": 0.003919878600079637
6565 },
6666 {
6767 "L": 101,
6868 "M": 512,
6969 "highres_szego": 0.2174320398193601,
7070 "id": "bp300-6000_s32",
71- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T08:22:25Z",
72- "mean": 2.976909845154187,
73- "n_pasts": 864,
74- "n_runs": 108,
71+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T10:28:30Z",
72+ "mean": 2.9805925744485684,
73+ "n_pasts": 872,
74+ "n_runs": 109,
7575 "params": {
7676 "filter": "bandpass",
7777 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -81,18 +81,18 @@
8181 "taps": 101
8282 },
8383 "predicted": 2.9937688408517453,
84- "sd": 0.5857706613569995,
85- "se": 0.01992832259190679
84+ "sd": 0.6059278238953678,
85+ "se": 0.020519305291484793
8686 },
8787 {
8888 "L": 101,
8989 "M": 512,
9090 "highres_szego": -2.7825679601806397,
9191 "id": "bp300-6000_s4",
92- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T08:14:24Z",
93- "mean": 1.7230647986462433,
94- "n_pasts": 864,
95- "n_runs": 108,
92+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T09:58:10Z",
93+ "mean": 1.7227486221579187,
94+ "n_pasts": 872,
95+ "n_runs": 109,
9696 "params": {
9797 "filter": "bandpass",
9898 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -102,18 +102,18 @@
102102 "taps": 101
103103 },
104104 "predicted": 1.734166393696377,
105- "sd": 0.1340016449596681,
106- "se": 0.004558828539510836
105+ "sd": 0.13388707175120043,
106+ "se": 0.004533988358851487
107107 },
108108 {
109109 "L": 101,
110110 "M": 512,
111111 "highres_szego": -1.78256796018064,
112112 "id": "bp300-6000_s8",
113- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T08:16:42Z",
114- "mean": 2.131500465223682,
115- "n_pasts": 864,
116- "n_runs": 108,
113+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T10:00:14Z",
114+ "mean": 2.1310392201490305,
115+ "n_pasts": 872,
116+ "n_runs": 109,
117117 "params": {
118118 "filter": "bandpass",
119119 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -123,18 +123,18 @@
123123 "taps": 101
124124 },
125125 "predicted": 2.1476021059762167,
126- "sd": 0.1996297855291205,
127- "se": 0.006791543222327589
126+ "sd": 0.19914381104242632,
127+ "se": 0.006743860398123805
128128 },
129129 {
130130 "L": 101,
131131 "M": 512,
132132 "highres_szego": -7.756237076152647,
133133 "id": "lp3000_s1",
134- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T08:01:28Z",
135- "mean": 0.4764705426355765,
136- "n_pasts": 864,
137- "n_runs": 108,
134+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T09:38:53Z",
135+ "mean": 0.47530900536382226,
136+ "n_pasts": 872,
137+ "n_runs": 109,
138138 "params": {
139139 "filter": "lowpass",
140140 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -143,18 +143,18 @@
143143 "taps": 101
144144 },
145145 "predicted": 0.616561114498688,
146- "sd": 0.2315121371861351,
147- "se": 0.007876202852322914
146+ "sd": 0.2316842340011699,
147+ "se": 0.007845818167139872
148148 },
149149 {
150150 "L": 101,
151151 "M": 512,
152152 "highres_szego": -3.756237076152648,
153153 "id": "lp3000_s16",
154- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T08:07:13Z",
155- "mean": 1.4441485455029404,
156- "n_pasts": 864,
157- "n_runs": 108,
154+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T09:49:08Z",
155+ "mean": 1.4436705850369072,
156+ "n_pasts": 872,
157+ "n_runs": 109,
158158 "params": {
159159 "filter": "lowpass",
160160 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -163,18 +163,18 @@
163163 "taps": 101
164164 },
165165 "predicted": 1.4888184418209351,
166- "sd": 0.19045944674601337,
167- "se": 0.006479561961396093
166+ "sd": 0.1901978384828443,
167+ "se": 0.0064409115404542375
168168 },
169169 {
170170 "L": 101,
171171 "M": 512,
172172 "highres_szego": -6.756237076152647,
173173 "id": "lp3000_s2",
174- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T08:02:29Z",
175- "mean": 0.7624742599631659,
176- "n_pasts": 864,
177- "n_runs": 108,
174+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T09:40:04Z",
175+ "mean": 0.7628491976902436,
176+ "n_pasts": 872,
177+ "n_runs": 109,
178178 "params": {
179179 "filter": "lowpass",
180180 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -183,18 +183,18 @@
183183 "taps": 101
184184 },
185185 "predicted": 0.8251241884518832,
186- "sd": 0.26988825625684315,
187- "se": 0.0091817849360941
186+ "sd": 0.2691367000183857,
187+ "se": 0.009114118703638945
188188 },
189189 {
190190 "L": 101,
191191 "M": 512,
192192 "highres_szego": -2.756237076152648,
193193 "id": "lp3000_s32",
194- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T08:09:33Z",
195- "mean": 1.6651083585301047,
196- "n_pasts": 864,
197- "n_runs": 108,
194+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T09:54:20Z",
195+ "mean": 1.6657098978920941,
196+ "n_pasts": 872,
197+ "n_runs": 109,
198198 "params": {
199199 "filter": "lowpass",
200200 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -203,18 +203,18 @@
203203 "taps": 101
204204 },
205205 "predicted": 1.71791605587854,
206- "sd": 0.20694134150712865,
207- "se": 0.007040287408048644
206+ "sd": 0.20620209094482247,
207+ "se": 0.0069828839161707795
208208 },
209209 {
210210 "L": 101,
211211 "M": 512,
212212 "highres_szego": -5.756237076152647,
213213 "id": "lp3000_s4",
214- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T08:03:36Z",
215- "mean": 0.9926132983693345,
216- "n_pasts": 864,
217- "n_runs": 108,
214+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T09:41:18Z",
215+ "mean": 0.9930870852055393,
216+ "n_pasts": 872,
217+ "n_runs": 109,
218218 "params": {
219219 "filter": "lowpass",
220220 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -223,18 +223,18 @@
223223 "taps": 101
224224 },
225225 "predicted": 1.04149876351225,
226- "sd": 0.18926635336132222,
227- "se": 0.006438972100174101
226+ "sd": 0.18909878867695387,
227+ "se": 0.006403693017705714
228228 },
229229 {
230230 "L": 101,
231231 "M": 512,
232232 "highres_szego": -4.756237076152647,
233233 "id": "lp3000_s8",
234- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T08:05:57Z",
235- "mean": 1.211151581084149,
236- "n_pasts": 864,
237- "n_runs": 108,
234+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T09:46:18Z",
235+ "mean": 1.2107628653075386,
236+ "n_pasts": 872,
237+ "n_runs": 109,
238238 "params": {
239239 "filter": "lowpass",
240240 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -243,222 +243,222 @@
243243 "taps": 101
244244 },
245245 "predicted": 1.2631675560846525,
246- "sd": 0.21837941499540234,
247- "se": 0.0074294185703642915
246+ "sd": 0.21909177426497325,
247+ "se": 0.007419383671960844
248248 },
249249 {
250250 "L": 8,
251251 "M": 512,
252252 "highres_szego": -0.9529044148193548,
253253 "id": "ma8_s1",
254- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T07:59:29Z",
255- "mean": 0.4740777526106308,
256- "n_pasts": 864,
257- "n_runs": 108,
254+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T09:37:00Z",
255+ "mean": 0.4740678732149267,
256+ "n_pasts": 872,
257+ "n_runs": 109,
258258 "params": {
259259 "filter": "moving-average",
260260 "sigma": 1.0,
261261 "width": 8
262262 },
263263 "predicted": 0.6099987154839898,
264- "sd": 0.20553654523310402,
265- "se": 0.00699249526827193
264+ "sd": 0.20546560043412923,
265+ "se": 0.006957943200400305
266266 },
267267 {
268268 "L": 8,
269269 "M": 512,
270270 "highres_szego": 3.0470955851806454,
271271 "id": "ma8_s16",
272- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T08:00:00Z",
273- "mean": 3.1802704314717753,
274- "n_pasts": 864,
275- "n_runs": 108,
272+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T09:37:23Z",
273+ "mean": 3.179382908127434,
274+ "n_pasts": 872,
275+ "n_runs": 109,
276276 "params": {
277277 "filter": "moving-average",
278278 "sigma": 16.0,
279279 "width": 8
280280 },
281281 "predicted": 3.1776500292335506,
282- "sd": 0.2580217587541039,
283- "se": 0.008778078492820182
282+ "sd": 0.2570538484854355,
283+ "se": 0.00870494171981537
284284 },
285285 {
286286 "L": 8,
287287 "M": 512,
288288 "highres_szego": 0.04709558518064521,
289289 "id": "ma8_s2",
290- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T07:59:38Z",
291- "mean": 0.9755034956615027,
292- "n_pasts": 864,
293- "n_runs": 108,
290+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T09:37:05Z",
291+ "mean": 0.9749984721709434,
292+ "n_pasts": 872,
293+ "n_runs": 109,
294294 "params": {
295295 "filter": "moving-average",
296296 "sigma": 2.0,
297297 "width": 8
298298 },
299299 "predicted": 0.9825176804091631,
300- "sd": 0.09495075820145638,
301- "se": 0.003230290392832682
300+ "sd": 0.09510334222008544,
301+ "se": 0.0032206055511843725
302302 },
303303 {
304304 "L": 8,
305305 "M": 512,
306306 "highres_szego": 4.047095585180645,
307307 "id": "ma8_s32",
308- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T08:00:09Z",
309- "mean": 4.087785711119753,
310- "n_pasts": 864,
311- "n_runs": 108,
308+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T09:37:31Z",
309+ "mean": 4.088772299375177,
310+ "n_pasts": 872,
311+ "n_runs": 109,
312312 "params": {
313313 "filter": "moving-average",
314314 "sigma": 32.0,
315315 "width": 8
316316 },
317317 "predicted": 4.112486639362294,
318- "sd": 0.2403367702330115,
319- "se": 0.008176422965269433
318+ "sd": 0.24010744170638668,
319+ "se": 0.008131063973027763
320320 },
321321 {
322322 "L": 8,
323323 "M": 512,
324324 "highres_szego": 1.0470955851806452,
325325 "id": "ma8_s4",
326- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T07:59:46Z",
327- "mean": 1.5587496464801216,
328- "n_pasts": 864,
329- "n_runs": 108,
326+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T09:37:12Z",
327+ "mean": 1.5587896053618489,
328+ "n_pasts": 872,
329+ "n_runs": 109,
330330 "params": {
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332332 "sigma": 4.0,
333333 "width": 8
334334 },
335335 "predicted": 1.5529090070448803,
336- "sd": 0.10720464520724203,
337- "se": 0.0036471760946367934
336+ "sd": 0.106979239628471,
337+ "se": 0.003622774184019916
338338 },
339339 {
340340 "L": 8,
341341 "M": 512,
342342 "highres_szego": 2.0470955851806454,
343343 "id": "ma8_s8",
344- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T07:59:53Z",
345- "mean": 2.3060909126565003,
346- "n_pasts": 864,
347- "n_runs": 108,
344+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T09:37:18Z",
345+ "mean": 2.3061731234014218,
346+ "n_pasts": 872,
347+ "n_runs": 109,
348348 "params": {
349349 "filter": "moving-average",
350350 "sigma": 8.0,
351351 "width": 8
352352 },
353353 "predicted": 2.3064317412363535,
354- "sd": 0.15992354707049614,
355- "se": 0.005440709558037264
354+ "sd": 0.15939673148433164,
355+ "se": 0.005397854442077273
356356 },
357357 {
358358 "L": 1,
359359 "M": 512,
360360 "highres_szego": 2.047095585180641,
361361 "id": "none_s1",
362- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T07:58:55Z",
363- "mean": 2.1057201470351745,
364- "n_pasts": 864,
365- "n_runs": 108,
362+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T09:36:41Z",
363+ "mean": 2.1059381820740994,
364+ "n_pasts": 872,
365+ "n_runs": 109,
366366 "params": {
367367 "filter": "none",
368368 "sigma": 1.0
369369 },
370370 "predicted": 2.1048326603976193,
371- "sd": 0.06928306646741769,
372- "se": 0.0023570577869514555
371+ "sd": 0.06912839439691597,
372+ "se": 0.002340982825019482
373373 },
374374 {
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448- "mean": 5.0598343081750725,
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450- "n_runs": 108,
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448+ "mean": 5.058460136157667,
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451451 "params": {
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454454 },
455455 "predicted": 5.048034228800837,
456- "sd": 0.3076633896580747,
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456+ "sd": 0.3066645944830421,
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458458 }
459459 ],
460460 "estimand": "H(z_{M+1} | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample, for x ~ iid N(0, sigma^2) -> y = h * x -> z = round(y)",
461- "generated": "2026-08-13T08:22:25Z",
461+ "generated": "2026-08-13T10:28:30Z",
462462 "settings": {
463463 "n0": 128,
464464 "pasts_per_run": 8,
@@ -466,5 +466,5 @@
466466 "reps": 8,
467467 "thin": "auto"
468468 },
469- "total_runs": 108
469+ "total_runs": 109
470470 }
runs.jsonlmodified+24−0View file
@@ -2590,3 +2590,27 @@
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