estimates: run 121 from efed18a
3 changed files+195−171
README.mdmodified+25−25View file
@@ -21,33 +21,33 @@ Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends
2121
2222 https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json
2323
24-## Current state (107 runs, generated 2026-08-13T06:45:45Z)
24+## Current state (108 runs, generated 2026-08-13T08:22:25Z)
2525
2626 | cell | sigma | M | mean | se | pasts | predicted |
2727 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
28-| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9315 | 0.0042 | 856 | 0.9513 |
29-| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5431 | 0.0078 | 856 | 2.5680 |
30-| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3096 | 0.0040 | 856 | 1.3319 |
31-| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9785 | 0.0201 | 856 | 2.9938 |
32-| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7235 | 0.0046 | 856 | 1.7342 |
33-| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1315 | 0.0068 | 856 | 2.1476 |
34-| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4760 | 0.0079 | 856 | 0.6166 |
35-| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4437 | 0.0065 | 856 | 1.4888 |
36-| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7622 | 0.0092 | 856 | 0.8251 |
37-| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6655 | 0.0071 | 856 | 1.7179 |
38-| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 0.9922 | 0.0065 | 856 | 1.0415 |
39-| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2106 | 0.0075 | 856 | 1.2632 |
40-| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4732 | 0.0070 | 856 | 0.6100 |
41-| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.1805 | 0.0088 | 856 | 3.1777 |
42-| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9752 | 0.0032 | 856 | 0.9825 |
43-| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0860 | 0.0082 | 856 | 4.1125 |
44-| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5587 | 0.0037 | 856 | 1.5529 |
45-| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.3063 | 0.0055 | 856 | 2.3064 |
46-| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.1058 | 0.0024 | 856 | 2.1048 |
47-| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 6.0152 | 0.0160 | 856 | 6.0473 |
48-| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0654 | 0.0031 | 856 | 3.0620 |
49-| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 7.0661 | 0.0379 | 856 | 7.0472 |
50-| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0360 | 0.0046 | 856 | 4.0508 |
51-| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0606 | 0.0105 | 856 | 5.0480 |
28+| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9318 | 0.0042 | 864 | 0.9513 |
29+| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5432 | 0.0078 | 864 | 2.5680 |
30+| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3098 | 0.0039 | 864 | 1.3319 |
31+| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9769 | 0.0199 | 864 | 2.9938 |
32+| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7231 | 0.0046 | 864 | 1.7342 |
33+| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1315 | 0.0068 | 864 | 2.1476 |
34+| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4765 | 0.0079 | 864 | 0.6166 |
35+| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4441 | 0.0065 | 864 | 1.4888 |
36+| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7625 | 0.0092 | 864 | 0.8251 |
37+| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6651 | 0.0070 | 864 | 1.7179 |
38+| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 0.9926 | 0.0064 | 864 | 1.0415 |
39+| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2112 | 0.0074 | 864 | 1.2632 |
40+| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4741 | 0.0070 | 864 | 0.6100 |
41+| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.1803 | 0.0088 | 864 | 3.1777 |
42+| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9755 | 0.0032 | 864 | 0.9825 |
43+| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0878 | 0.0082 | 864 | 4.1125 |
44+| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5587 | 0.0036 | 864 | 1.5529 |
45+| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.3061 | 0.0054 | 864 | 2.3064 |
46+| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.1057 | 0.0024 | 864 | 2.1048 |
47+| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 6.0183 | 0.0162 | 864 | 6.0473 |
48+| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0655 | 0.0031 | 864 | 3.0620 |
49+| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 7.0673 | 0.0376 | 864 | 7.0472 |
50+| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0365 | 0.0046 | 864 | 4.0508 |
51+| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0598 | 0.0105 | 864 | 5.0480 |
5252
5353 [wf]: https://github.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/blob/main/.github/workflows/estimates.yml
estimates.jsonmodified+146−146View file
@@ -5,10 +5,10 @@
55 "M": 512,
66 "highres_szego": -4.78256796018064,
77 "id": "bp300-6000_s1",
8- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T06:03:19Z",
9- "mean": 0.9314765532065793,
10- "n_pasts": 856,
11- "n_runs": 107,
8+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T08:10:37Z",
9+ "mean": 0.9317507074204444,
10+ "n_pasts": 864,
11+ "n_runs": 108,
1212 "params": {
1313 "filter": "bandpass",
1414 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -18,18 +18,18 @@
1818 "taps": 101
1919 },
2020 "predicted": 0.9512549259549268,
21- "sd": 0.12427046547814244,
22- "se": 0.00424747706728312
21+ "sd": 0.12384904362801534,
22+ "se": 0.004213430028060137
2323 },
2424 {
2525 "L": 101,
2626 "M": 512,
2727 "highres_szego": -0.7825679601806399,
2828 "id": "bp300-6000_s16",
29- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T06:16:47Z",
30- "mean": 2.543098317264592,
31- "n_pasts": 856,
32- "n_runs": 107,
29+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T08:19:14Z",
30+ "mean": 2.5431817118658735,
31+ "n_pasts": 864,
32+ "n_runs": 108,
3333 "params": {
3434 "filter": "bandpass",
3535 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -39,18 +39,18 @@
3939 "taps": 101
4040 },
4141 "predicted": 2.56797969986038,
42- "sd": 0.22840365855603828,
43- "se": 0.007806676333492704
42+ "sd": 0.2279854729057105,
43+ "se": 0.007756223297029306
4444 },
4545 {
4646 "L": 101,
4747 "M": 512,
4848 "highres_szego": -3.7825679601806397,
4949 "id": "bp300-6000_s2",
50- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T06:04:21Z",
51- "mean": 1.3096433837600057,
52- "n_pasts": 856,
53- "n_runs": 107,
50+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T08:11:57Z",
51+ "mean": 1.309849322853915,
52+ "n_pasts": 864,
53+ "n_runs": 108,
5454 "params": {
5555 "filter": "bandpass",
5656 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -60,18 +60,18 @@
6060 "taps": 101
6161 },
6262 "predicted": 1.3318639472861573,
63- "sd": 0.11604682160451134,
64- "se": 0.00396639870623928
63+ "sd": 0.11597145332309053,
64+ "se": 0.003945428963480117
6565 },
6666 {
6767 "L": 101,
6868 "M": 512,
6969 "highres_szego": 0.2174320398193601,
7070 "id": "bp300-6000_s32",
71- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T06:45:44Z",
72- "mean": 2.9784530688827306,
73- "n_pasts": 856,
74- "n_runs": 107,
71+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T08:22:25Z",
72+ "mean": 2.976909845154187,
73+ "n_pasts": 864,
74+ "n_runs": 108,
7575 "params": {
7676 "filter": "bandpass",
7777 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -81,18 +81,18 @@
8181 "taps": 101
8282 },
8383 "predicted": 2.9937688408517453,
84- "sd": 0.5878685252476739,
85- "se": 0.020092932540002637
84+ "sd": 0.5857706613569995,
85+ "se": 0.01992832259190679
8686 },
8787 {
8888 "L": 101,
8989 "M": 512,
9090 "highres_szego": -2.7825679601806397,
9191 "id": "bp300-6000_s4",
92- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T06:05:24Z",
93- "mean": 1.7234593852184412,
94- "n_pasts": 856,
95- "n_runs": 107,
92+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T08:14:24Z",
93+ "mean": 1.7230647986462433,
94+ "n_pasts": 864,
95+ "n_runs": 108,
9696 "params": {
9797 "filter": "bandpass",
9898 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -102,18 +102,18 @@
102102 "taps": 101
103103 },
104104 "predicted": 1.734166393696377,
105- "sd": 0.13380384122745523,
106- "se": 0.004573321142246542
105+ "sd": 0.1340016449596681,
106+ "se": 0.004558828539510836
107107 },
108108 {
109109 "L": 101,
110110 "M": 512,
111111 "highres_szego": -1.78256796018064,
112112 "id": "bp300-6000_s8",
113- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T06:06:56Z",
114- "mean": 2.131465751340725,
115- "n_pasts": 856,
116- "n_runs": 107,
113+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T08:16:42Z",
114+ "mean": 2.131500465223682,
115+ "n_pasts": 864,
116+ "n_runs": 108,
117117 "params": {
118118 "filter": "bandpass",
119119 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -123,18 +123,18 @@
123123 "taps": 101
124124 },
125125 "predicted": 2.1476021059762167,
126- "sd": 0.2003625557791363,
127- "se": 0.006848251171665585
126+ "sd": 0.1996297855291205,
127+ "se": 0.006791543222327589
128128 },
129129 {
130130 "L": 101,
131131 "M": 512,
132132 "highres_szego": -7.756237076152647,
133133 "id": "lp3000_s1",
134- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T05:54:49Z",
135- "mean": 0.4760051497454498,
136- "n_pasts": 856,
137- "n_runs": 107,
134+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T08:01:28Z",
135+ "mean": 0.4764705426355765,
136+ "n_pasts": 864,
137+ "n_runs": 108,
138138 "params": {
139139 "filter": "lowpass",
140140 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -143,18 +143,18 @@
143143 "taps": 101
144144 },
145145 "predicted": 0.616561114498688,
146- "sd": 0.23221772432522964,
147- "se": 0.00793703841772099
146+ "sd": 0.2315121371861351,
147+ "se": 0.007876202852322914
148148 },
149149 {
150150 "L": 101,
151151 "M": 512,
152152 "highres_szego": -3.756237076152648,
153153 "id": "lp3000_s16",
154- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T05:59:39Z",
155- "mean": 1.4436693820717044,
156- "n_pasts": 856,
157- "n_runs": 107,
154+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T08:07:13Z",
155+ "mean": 1.4441485455029404,
156+ "n_pasts": 864,
157+ "n_runs": 108,
158158 "params": {
159159 "filter": "lowpass",
160160 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -163,18 +163,18 @@
163163 "taps": 101
164164 },
165165 "predicted": 1.4888184418209351,
166- "sd": 0.19082766836003534,
167- "se": 0.006522355428892488
166+ "sd": 0.19045944674601337,
167+ "se": 0.006479561961396093
168168 },
169169 {
170170 "L": 101,
171171 "M": 512,
172172 "highres_szego": -6.756237076152647,
173173 "id": "lp3000_s2",
174- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T05:55:42Z",
175- "mean": 0.7621770919099599,
176- "n_pasts": 856,
177- "n_runs": 107,
174+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T08:02:29Z",
175+ "mean": 0.7624742599631659,
176+ "n_pasts": 864,
177+ "n_runs": 108,
178178 "params": {
179179 "filter": "lowpass",
180180 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -183,18 +183,18 @@
183183 "taps": 101
184184 },
185185 "predicted": 0.8251241884518832,
186- "sd": 0.27002175543367013,
187- "se": 0.009229153600247616
186+ "sd": 0.26988825625684315,
187+ "se": 0.0091817849360941
188188 },
189189 {
190190 "L": 101,
191191 "M": 512,
192192 "highres_szego": -2.756237076152648,
193193 "id": "lp3000_s32",
194- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T06:02:30Z",
195- "mean": 1.6655082505784848,
196- "n_pasts": 856,
197- "n_runs": 107,
194+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T08:09:33Z",
195+ "mean": 1.6651083585301047,
196+ "n_pasts": 864,
197+ "n_runs": 108,
198198 "params": {
199199 "filter": "lowpass",
200200 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -203,18 +203,18 @@
203203 "taps": 101
204204 },
205205 "predicted": 1.71791605587854,
206- "sd": 0.20700599174648307,
207- "se": 0.007075319138383971
206+ "sd": 0.20694134150712865,
207+ "se": 0.007040287408048644
208208 },
209209 {
210210 "L": 101,
211211 "M": 512,
212212 "highres_szego": -5.756237076152647,
213213 "id": "lp3000_s4",
214- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T05:56:40Z",
215- "mean": 0.9921736922425874,
216- "n_pasts": 856,
217- "n_runs": 107,
214+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T08:03:36Z",
215+ "mean": 0.9926132983693345,
216+ "n_pasts": 864,
217+ "n_runs": 108,
218218 "params": {
219219 "filter": "lowpass",
220220 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -223,18 +223,18 @@
223223 "taps": 101
224224 },
225225 "predicted": 1.04149876351225,
226- "sd": 0.1898383426494553,
227- "se": 0.006488540972242678
226+ "sd": 0.18926635336132222,
227+ "se": 0.006438972100174101
228228 },
229229 {
230230 "L": 101,
231231 "M": 512,
232232 "highres_szego": -4.756237076152647,
233233 "id": "lp3000_s8",
234- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T05:57:41Z",
235- "mean": 1.2106309640876605,
236- "n_pasts": 856,
237- "n_runs": 107,
234+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T08:05:57Z",
235+ "mean": 1.211151581084149,
236+ "n_pasts": 864,
237+ "n_runs": 108,
238238 "params": {
239239 "filter": "lowpass",
240240 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -243,222 +243,222 @@
243243 "taps": 101
244244 },
245245 "predicted": 1.2631675560846525,
246- "sd": 0.2187764063397892,
247- "se": 0.007477623626945461
246+ "sd": 0.21837941499540234,
247+ "se": 0.0074294185703642915
248248 },
249249 {
250250 "L": 8,
251251 "M": 512,
252252 "highres_szego": -0.9529044148193548,
253253 "id": "ma8_s1",
254- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T05:52:58Z",
255- "mean": 0.4731905515892062,
256- "n_pasts": 856,
257- "n_runs": 107,
254+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T07:59:29Z",
255+ "mean": 0.4740777526106308,
256+ "n_pasts": 864,
257+ "n_runs": 108,
258258 "params": {
259259 "filter": "moving-average",
260260 "sigma": 1.0,
261261 "width": 8
262262 },
263263 "predicted": 0.6099987154839898,
264- "sd": 0.2048631722634747,
265- "se": 0.007002079076247031
264+ "sd": 0.20553654523310402,
265+ "se": 0.00699249526827193
266266 },
267267 {
268268 "L": 8,
269269 "M": 512,
270270 "highres_szego": 3.0470955851806454,
271271 "id": "ma8_s16",
272- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T05:53:35Z",
273- "mean": 3.180539909518524,
274- "n_pasts": 856,
275- "n_runs": 107,
272+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T08:00:00Z",
273+ "mean": 3.1802704314717753,
274+ "n_pasts": 864,
275+ "n_runs": 108,
276276 "params": {
277277 "filter": "moving-average",
278278 "sigma": 16.0,
279279 "width": 8
280280 },
281281 "predicted": 3.1776500292335506,
282- "sd": 0.2588360398664154,
283- "se": 0.008846833712973812
282+ "sd": 0.2580217587541039,
283+ "se": 0.008778078492820182
284284 },
285285 {
286286 "L": 8,
287287 "M": 512,
288288 "highres_szego": 0.04709558518064521,
289289 "id": "ma8_s2",
290- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T05:53:04Z",
291- "mean": 0.9752104644989401,
292- "n_pasts": 856,
293- "n_runs": 107,
290+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T07:59:38Z",
291+ "mean": 0.9755034956615027,
292+ "n_pasts": 864,
293+ "n_runs": 108,
294294 "params": {
295295 "filter": "moving-average",
296296 "sigma": 2.0,
297297 "width": 8
298298 },
299299 "predicted": 0.9825176804091631,
300- "sd": 0.09505827038644456,
301- "se": 0.00324902479417394
300+ "sd": 0.09495075820145638,
301+ "se": 0.003230290392832682
302302 },
303303 {
304304 "L": 8,
305305 "M": 512,
306306 "highres_szego": 4.047095585180645,
307307 "id": "ma8_s32",
308- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T05:53:41Z",
309- "mean": 4.08602911854977,
310- "n_pasts": 856,
311- "n_runs": 107,
308+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T08:00:09Z",
309+ "mean": 4.087785711119753,
310+ "n_pasts": 864,
311+ "n_runs": 108,
312312 "params": {
313313 "filter": "moving-average",
314314 "sigma": 32.0,
315315 "width": 8
316316 },
317317 "predicted": 4.112486639362294,
318- "sd": 0.23946031095053094,
319- "se": 0.00818458493233664
318+ "sd": 0.2403367702330115,
319+ "se": 0.008176422965269433
320320 },
321321 {
322322 "L": 8,
323323 "M": 512,
324324 "highres_szego": 1.0470955851806452,
325325 "id": "ma8_s4",
326- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T05:53:11Z",
327- "mean": 1.5586633537933072,
328- "n_pasts": 856,
329- "n_runs": 107,
326+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T07:59:46Z",
327+ "mean": 1.5587496464801216,
328+ "n_pasts": 864,
329+ "n_runs": 108,
330330 "params": {
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332332 "sigma": 4.0,
333333 "width": 8
334334 },
335335 "predicted": 1.5529090070448803,
336- "sd": 0.10730452402323055,
337- "se": 0.003667593126418015
336+ "sd": 0.10720464520724203,
337+ "se": 0.0036471760946367934
338338 },
339339 {
340340 "L": 8,
341341 "M": 512,
342342 "highres_szego": 2.0470955851806454,
343343 "id": "ma8_s8",
344- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T05:53:24Z",
345- "mean": 2.306326082040691,
346- "n_pasts": 856,
347- "n_runs": 107,
344+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T07:59:53Z",
345+ "mean": 2.3060909126565003,
346+ "n_pasts": 864,
347+ "n_runs": 108,
348348 "params": {
349349 "filter": "moving-average",
350350 "sigma": 8.0,
351351 "width": 8
352352 },
353353 "predicted": 2.3064317412363535,
354- "sd": 0.16032926127963137,
355- "se": 0.005479941335050813
354+ "sd": 0.15992354707049614,
355+ "se": 0.005440709558037264
356356 },
357357 {
358358 "L": 1,
359359 "M": 512,
360360 "highres_szego": 2.047095585180641,
361361 "id": "none_s1",
362- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T05:52:48Z",
363- "mean": 2.1057640358035346,
364- "n_pasts": 856,
365- "n_runs": 107,
362+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T07:58:55Z",
363+ "mean": 2.1057201470351745,
364+ "n_pasts": 864,
365+ "n_runs": 108,
366366 "params": {
367367 "filter": "none",
368368 "sigma": 1.0
369369 },
370370 "predicted": 2.1048326603976193,
371- "sd": 0.06941036995612906,
372- "se": 0.002372397604579266
371+ "sd": 0.06928306646741769,
372+ "se": 0.0023570577869514555
373373 },
374374 {
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450- "n_runs": 107,
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448+ "mean": 5.0598343081750725,
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451451 "params": {
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454454 },
455455 "predicted": 5.048034228800837,
456- "sd": 0.3086522360260123,
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456+ "sd": 0.3076633896580747,
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458458 }
459459 ],
460460 "estimand": "H(z_{M+1} | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample, for x ~ iid N(0, sigma^2) -> y = h * x -> z = round(y)",
461- "generated": "2026-08-13T06:45:45Z",
461+ "generated": "2026-08-13T08:22:25Z",
462462 "settings": {
463463 "n0": 128,
464464 "pasts_per_run": 8,
@@ -466,5 +466,5 @@
466466 "reps": 8,
467467 "thin": "auto"
468468 },
469- "total_runs": 107
469+ "total_runs": 108
470470 }
runs.jsonlmodified+24−0View file
@@ -2566,3 +2566,27 @@
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