/ concept-collection / timeseries-entropy
Sign in
concept-collection / timeseries-entropy
Go to fileHistoryFork
github-actions[bot] estimates: run 9 from efed18a a42c7a7 3 Commits
estimates.jsonestimates: run 9 from efed18a
README.mdestimates: run 9 from efed18a
runs.jsonlestimates: run 9 from efed18a

Cached entropy estimates#

Machine-generated by .github/workflows/estimates.yml on main — do not edit by hand. Every dispatch runs the whole grid again with fresh, independent pasts, appends one record per cell to runs.jsonl, and rebuilds estimates.json from the full log, so the means tighten run after run.

  • runs.jsonl — append-only, one JSON object per (cell, dispatch): the cell's parameters, the per-past values with their sum and sum of squares, the per-past resolved Gibbs thinning and probe autocorrelation times (thin='auto' matches thinning to each chain's measured mixing), the seed, and the code commit that produced them.
  • estimates.json — pooled mean and se per cell over every past ever drawn for it, alongside the analytic predicted rate for comparison.

The estimand is H(z_(M+1) | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample — an upper bound on the entropy rate of z that tightens as the conditioning window M grows.

Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends access-control-allow-origin: *):

https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json

Current state (2 runs, generated 2026-08-01T20:10:27Z)#

cell sigma M mean se pasts predicted
bp300-6000_s1 1 512 0.9559 0.0213 16 0.9513
bp300-6000_s16 16 512 2.5406 0.0339 16 2.5680
bp300-6000_s2 2 512 1.3011 0.0367 16 1.3319
bp300-6000_s32 32 512 3.0216 0.1371 16 2.9938
bp300-6000_s4 4 512 1.7098 0.0235 16 1.7342
bp300-6000_s8 8 512 2.2112 0.1228 16 2.1476
lp3000_s1 1 512 0.4452 0.0522 16 0.6166
lp3000_s16 16 512 1.4463 0.0391 16 1.4888
lp3000_s2 2 512 0.7178 0.0658 16 0.8251
lp3000_s32 32 512 1.5830 0.0571 16 1.7179
lp3000_s4 4 512 1.0209 0.0479 16 1.0415
lp3000_s8 8 512 1.2640 0.0441 16 1.2632
ma8_s1 1 512 0.4699 0.0459 16 0.6100
ma8_s16 16 512 3.2540 0.1349 16 3.1777
ma8_s2 2 512 0.9530 0.0220 16 0.9825
ma8_s32 32 512 4.0928 0.0525 16 4.1125
ma8_s4 4 512 1.5877 0.0464 16 1.5529
ma8_s8 8 512 2.2919 0.0275 16 2.3064
none_s1 1 512 2.0895 0.0122 16 2.1048
none_s16 16 512 5.9260 0.0731 16 6.0473
none_s2 2 512 3.0404 0.0202 16 3.0620
none_s32 32 512 7.1505 0.1790 16 7.0472
none_s4 4 512 4.0071 0.0270 16 4.0508
none_s8 8 512 5.0911 0.0829 16 5.0480
moveopenescclose