estimates: run 9 from efed18a
3 changed files+207−183
README.mdmodified+25−25View file
@@ -21,33 +21,33 @@ Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends
2121
2222 https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json
2323
24-## Current state (1 runs, generated 2026-08-01T18:23:44Z)
24+## Current state (2 runs, generated 2026-08-01T20:10:27Z)
2525
2626 | cell | sigma | M | mean | se | pasts | predicted |
2727 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
28-| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9699 | 0.0285 | 8 | 0.9513 |
29-| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5432 | 0.0369 | 8 | 2.5680 |
30-| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3452 | 0.0154 | 8 | 1.3319 |
31-| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 3.1159 | 0.2659 | 8 | 2.9938 |
32-| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.6886 | 0.0300 | 8 | 1.7342 |
33-| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.3012 | 0.2393 | 8 | 2.1476 |
34-| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4771 | 0.0892 | 8 | 0.6166 |
35-| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4606 | 0.0735 | 8 | 1.4888 |
36-| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7039 | 0.1098 | 8 | 0.8251 |
37-| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.5142 | 0.0933 | 8 | 1.7179 |
38-| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.0170 | 0.0736 | 8 | 1.0415 |
39-| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2914 | 0.0281 | 8 | 1.2632 |
40-| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.5034 | 0.0713 | 8 | 0.6100 |
41-| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.0902 | 0.0279 | 8 | 3.1777 |
42-| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9670 | 0.0345 | 8 | 0.9825 |
43-| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0581 | 0.0769 | 8 | 4.1125 |
44-| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.6456 | 0.0865 | 8 | 1.5529 |
45-| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.3203 | 0.0493 | 8 | 2.3064 |
46-| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.0902 | 0.0180 | 8 | 2.1048 |
47-| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 5.8213 | 0.0778 | 8 | 6.0473 |
48-| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0579 | 0.0320 | 8 | 3.0620 |
49-| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 6.9500 | 0.1415 | 8 | 7.0472 |
50-| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0221 | 0.0486 | 8 | 4.0508 |
51-| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0557 | 0.0927 | 8 | 5.0480 |
28+| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9559 | 0.0213 | 16 | 0.9513 |
29+| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5406 | 0.0339 | 16 | 2.5680 |
30+| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3011 | 0.0367 | 16 | 1.3319 |
31+| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 3.0216 | 0.1371 | 16 | 2.9938 |
32+| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7098 | 0.0235 | 16 | 1.7342 |
33+| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.2112 | 0.1228 | 16 | 2.1476 |
34+| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4452 | 0.0522 | 16 | 0.6166 |
35+| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4463 | 0.0391 | 16 | 1.4888 |
36+| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7178 | 0.0658 | 16 | 0.8251 |
37+| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.5830 | 0.0571 | 16 | 1.7179 |
38+| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.0209 | 0.0479 | 16 | 1.0415 |
39+| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2640 | 0.0441 | 16 | 1.2632 |
40+| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4699 | 0.0459 | 16 | 0.6100 |
41+| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.2540 | 0.1349 | 16 | 3.1777 |
42+| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9530 | 0.0220 | 16 | 0.9825 |
43+| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0928 | 0.0525 | 16 | 4.1125 |
44+| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5877 | 0.0464 | 16 | 1.5529 |
45+| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.2919 | 0.0275 | 16 | 2.3064 |
46+| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.0895 | 0.0122 | 16 | 2.1048 |
47+| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 5.9260 | 0.0731 | 16 | 6.0473 |
48+| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0404 | 0.0202 | 16 | 3.0620 |
49+| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 7.1505 | 0.1790 | 16 | 7.0472 |
50+| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0071 | 0.0270 | 16 | 4.0508 |
51+| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0911 | 0.0829 | 16 | 5.0480 |
5252
5353 [wf]: https://github.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/blob/main/.github/workflows/estimates.yml
estimates.jsonmodified+158−158View file
@@ -3,12 +3,12 @@
33 {
44 "L": 101,
55 "M": 512,
6- "highres_szego": -4.782567960178533,
6+ "highres_szego": -4.78256796018064,
77 "id": "bp300-6000_s1",
8- "last_utc": "2026-08-01T17:54:49Z",
9- "mean": 0.9698610738695368,
10- "n_pasts": 8,
11- "n_runs": 1,
8+ "last_utc": "2026-08-01T19:53:56Z",
9+ "mean": 0.9559014496276619,
10+ "n_pasts": 16,
11+ "n_runs": 2,
1212 "params": {
1313 "filter": "bandpass",
1414 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -18,18 +18,18 @@
1818 "taps": 101
1919 },
2020 "predicted": 0.9512549259549268,
21- "sd": 0.0805347273237696,
22- "se": 0.02847332590582351
21+ "sd": 0.08503293782333173,
22+ "se": 0.02125823445583293
2323 },
2424 {
2525 "L": 101,
2626 "M": 512,
27- "highres_szego": -0.7825679601785338,
27+ "highres_szego": -0.7825679601806399,
2828 "id": "bp300-6000_s16",
29- "last_utc": "2026-08-01T18:15:46Z",
30- "mean": 2.5431571575810126,
31- "n_pasts": 8,
32- "n_runs": 1,
29+ "last_utc": "2026-08-01T20:04:53Z",
30+ "mean": 2.54058120567209,
31+ "n_pasts": 16,
32+ "n_runs": 2,
3333 "params": {
3434 "filter": "bandpass",
3535 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -39,18 +39,18 @@
3939 "taps": 101
4040 },
4141 "predicted": 2.56797969986038,
42- "sd": 0.10448375960143222,
43- "se": 0.03694058746901888
42+ "sd": 0.1356068329995059,
43+ "se": 0.033901708249876476
4444 },
4545 {
4646 "L": 101,
4747 "M": 512,
48- "highres_szego": -3.782567960178534,
48+ "highres_szego": -3.7825679601806397,
4949 "id": "bp300-6000_s2",
50- "last_utc": "2026-08-01T17:55:42Z",
51- "mean": 1.3451704018916346,
52- "n_pasts": 8,
53- "n_runs": 1,
50+ "last_utc": "2026-08-01T19:55:11Z",
51+ "mean": 1.30105235290517,
52+ "n_pasts": 16,
53+ "n_runs": 2,
5454 "params": {
5555 "filter": "bandpass",
5656 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -60,18 +60,18 @@
6060 "taps": 101
6161 },
6262 "predicted": 1.3318639472861573,
63- "sd": 0.043604078197688884,
64- "se": 0.015416369690487151
63+ "sd": 0.14691366352709911,
64+ "se": 0.03672841588177478
6565 },
6666 {
6767 "L": 101,
6868 "M": 512,
69- "highres_szego": 0.21743203982146625,
69+ "highres_szego": 0.2174320398193601,
7070 "id": "bp300-6000_s32",
71- "last_utc": "2026-08-01T18:23:43Z",
72- "mean": 3.115911650594618,
73- "n_pasts": 8,
74- "n_runs": 1,
71+ "last_utc": "2026-08-01T20:10:27Z",
72+ "mean": 3.0215900789854686,
73+ "n_pasts": 16,
74+ "n_runs": 2,
7575 "params": {
7676 "filter": "bandpass",
7777 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -81,18 +81,18 @@
8181 "taps": 101
8282 },
8383 "predicted": 2.9937688408517453,
84- "sd": 0.7519464206199745,
85- "se": 0.265853206554668
84+ "sd": 0.5482816757344499,
85+ "se": 0.13707041893361246
8686 },
8787 {
8888 "L": 101,
8989 "M": 512,
90- "highres_szego": -2.782567960178534,
90+ "highres_szego": -2.7825679601806397,
9191 "id": "bp300-6000_s4",
92- "last_utc": "2026-08-01T17:56:33Z",
93- "mean": 1.6886008309843086,
94- "n_pasts": 8,
95- "n_runs": 1,
92+ "last_utc": "2026-08-01T19:56:03Z",
93+ "mean": 1.7098274289649489,
94+ "n_pasts": 16,
95+ "n_runs": 2,
9696 "params": {
9797 "filter": "bandpass",
9898 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -102,18 +102,18 @@
102102 "taps": 101
103103 },
104104 "predicted": 1.734166393696377,
105- "sd": 0.08491512507852991,
106- "se": 0.030022030384166183
105+ "sd": 0.09385950895058948,
106+ "se": 0.02346487723764737
107107 },
108108 {
109109 "L": 101,
110110 "M": 512,
111- "highres_szego": -1.7825679601785338,
111+ "highres_szego": -1.78256796018064,
112112 "id": "bp300-6000_s8",
113- "last_utc": "2026-08-01T18:10:14Z",
114- "mean": 2.301212545818745,
115- "n_pasts": 8,
116- "n_runs": 1,
113+ "last_utc": "2026-08-01T20:00:37Z",
114+ "mean": 2.211240168172851,
115+ "n_pasts": 16,
116+ "n_runs": 2,
117117 "params": {
118118 "filter": "bandpass",
119119 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -123,18 +123,18 @@
123123 "taps": 101
124124 },
125125 "predicted": 2.1476021059762167,
126- "sd": 0.6768440070252378,
127- "se": 0.23930049358651043
126+ "sd": 0.491246647163271,
127+ "se": 0.12281166179081775
128128 },
129129 {
130130 "L": 101,
131131 "M": 512,
132- "highres_szego": -7.756237076152649,
132+ "highres_szego": -7.756237076152647,
133133 "id": "lp3000_s1",
134- "last_utc": "2026-08-01T17:46:09Z",
135- "mean": 0.4770739150563378,
136- "n_pasts": 8,
137- "n_runs": 1,
134+ "last_utc": "2026-08-01T19:44:37Z",
135+ "mean": 0.4452345932634303,
136+ "n_pasts": 16,
137+ "n_runs": 2,
138138 "params": {
139139 "filter": "lowpass",
140140 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -143,18 +143,18 @@
143143 "taps": 101
144144 },
145145 "predicted": 0.616561114498688,
146- "sd": 0.252365768801978,
147- "se": 0.08922477322961754
146+ "sd": 0.20893956387736567,
147+ "se": 0.05223489096934142
148148 },
149149 {
150150 "L": 101,
151151 "M": 512,
152- "highres_szego": -3.7562370761526487,
152+ "highres_szego": -3.756237076152648,
153153 "id": "lp3000_s16",
154- "last_utc": "2026-08-01T17:52:30Z",
155- "mean": 1.4605964893803915,
156- "n_pasts": 8,
157- "n_runs": 1,
154+ "last_utc": "2026-08-01T19:51:03Z",
155+ "mean": 1.4462654336880907,
156+ "n_pasts": 16,
157+ "n_runs": 2,
158158 "params": {
159159 "filter": "lowpass",
160160 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -163,18 +163,18 @@
163163 "taps": 101
164164 },
165165 "predicted": 1.4888184418209351,
166- "sd": 0.20784476700171717,
167- "se": 0.07348422209052609
166+ "sd": 0.156452020204311,
167+ "se": 0.03911300505107775
168168 },
169169 {
170170 "L": 101,
171171 "M": 512,
172- "highres_szego": -6.756237076152649,
172+ "highres_szego": -6.756237076152647,
173173 "id": "lp3000_s2",
174- "last_utc": "2026-08-01T17:47:33Z",
175- "mean": 0.703899762158474,
176- "n_pasts": 8,
177- "n_runs": 1,
174+ "last_utc": "2026-08-01T19:46:07Z",
175+ "mean": 0.7177712476677913,
176+ "n_pasts": 16,
177+ "n_runs": 2,
178178 "params": {
179179 "filter": "lowpass",
180180 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -183,18 +183,18 @@
183183 "taps": 101
184184 },
185185 "predicted": 0.8251241884518832,
186- "sd": 0.3106910084160898,
187- "se": 0.10984585945235192
186+ "sd": 0.26319508697663657,
187+ "se": 0.06579877174415914
188188 },
189189 {
190190 "L": 101,
191191 "M": 512,
192- "highres_szego": -2.7562370761526487,
192+ "highres_szego": -2.756237076152648,
193193 "id": "lp3000_s32",
194- "last_utc": "2026-08-01T17:53:58Z",
195- "mean": 1.5141870127313566,
196- "n_pasts": 8,
197- "n_runs": 1,
194+ "last_utc": "2026-08-01T19:53:01Z",
195+ "mean": 1.5830047493659116,
196+ "n_pasts": 16,
197+ "n_runs": 2,
198198 "params": {
199199 "filter": "lowpass",
200200 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -203,18 +203,18 @@
203203 "taps": 101
204204 },
205205 "predicted": 1.71791605587854,
206- "sd": 0.2639641481242779,
207- "se": 0.09332541956440359
206+ "sd": 0.22854478842482312,
207+ "se": 0.05713619710620578
208208 },
209209 {
210210 "L": 101,
211211 "M": 512,
212- "highres_szego": -5.756237076152649,
212+ "highres_szego": -5.756237076152647,
213213 "id": "lp3000_s4",
214- "last_utc": "2026-08-01T17:48:38Z",
215- "mean": 1.016965161515133,
216- "n_pasts": 8,
217- "n_runs": 1,
214+ "last_utc": "2026-08-01T19:48:02Z",
215+ "mean": 1.0208590722801203,
216+ "n_pasts": 16,
217+ "n_runs": 2,
218218 "params": {
219219 "filter": "lowpass",
220220 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -223,18 +223,18 @@
223223 "taps": 101
224224 },
225225 "predicted": 1.04149876351225,
226- "sd": 0.20809314925870562,
227- "se": 0.07357203847964756
226+ "sd": 0.1915367626990923,
227+ "se": 0.04788419067477308
228228 },
229229 {
230230 "L": 101,
231231 "M": 512,
232- "highres_szego": -4.756237076152649,
232+ "highres_szego": -4.756237076152647,
233233 "id": "lp3000_s8",
234- "last_utc": "2026-08-01T17:49:36Z",
235- "mean": 1.291413466386491,
236- "n_pasts": 8,
237- "n_runs": 1,
234+ "last_utc": "2026-08-01T19:49:45Z",
235+ "mean": 1.263976149455738,
236+ "n_pasts": 16,
237+ "n_runs": 2,
238238 "params": {
239239 "filter": "lowpass",
240240 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -243,222 +243,222 @@
243243 "taps": 101
244244 },
245245 "predicted": 1.2631675560846525,
246- "sd": 0.07935942768366881,
247- "se": 0.028057794733102822
246+ "sd": 0.1765014795694237,
247+ "se": 0.04412536989235592
248248 },
249249 {
250250 "L": 8,
251251 "M": 512,
252252 "highres_szego": -0.9529044148193548,
253253 "id": "ma8_s1",
254- "last_utc": "2026-08-01T17:44:35Z",
255- "mean": 0.5034314756163569,
256- "n_pasts": 8,
257- "n_runs": 1,
254+ "last_utc": "2026-08-01T19:40:04Z",
255+ "mean": 0.4698566739259316,
256+ "n_pasts": 16,
257+ "n_runs": 2,
258258 "params": {
259259 "filter": "moving-average",
260260 "sigma": 1.0,
261261 "width": 8
262262 },
263263 "predicted": 0.6099987154839898,
264- "sd": 0.20153259970236623,
265- "se": 0.07125253393984857
264+ "sd": 0.18378652888216454,
265+ "se": 0.045946632220541135
266266 },
267267 {
268268 "L": 8,
269269 "M": 512,
270270 "highres_szego": 3.0470955851806454,
271271 "id": "ma8_s16",
272- "last_utc": "2026-08-01T17:45:16Z",
273- "mean": 3.0901784665401113,
274- "n_pasts": 8,
275- "n_runs": 1,
272+ "last_utc": "2026-08-01T19:40:50Z",
273+ "mean": 3.2540462025291457,
274+ "n_pasts": 16,
275+ "n_runs": 2,
276276 "params": {
277277 "filter": "moving-average",
278278 "sigma": 16.0,
279279 "width": 8
280280 },
281281 "predicted": 3.1776500292335506,
282- "sd": 0.07878871554300972,
283- "se": 0.027856017520720054
282+ "sd": 0.5397593672294391,
283+ "se": 0.13493984180735977
284284 },
285285 {
286286 "L": 8,
287287 "M": 512,
288288 "highres_szego": 0.04709558518064521,
289289 "id": "ma8_s2",
290- "last_utc": "2026-08-01T17:44:40Z",
291- "mean": 0.9670469519080346,
292- "n_pasts": 8,
293- "n_runs": 1,
290+ "last_utc": "2026-08-01T19:40:10Z",
291+ "mean": 0.9529828098532842,
292+ "n_pasts": 16,
293+ "n_runs": 2,
294294 "params": {
295295 "filter": "moving-average",
296296 "sigma": 2.0,
297297 "width": 8
298298 },
299299 "predicted": 0.9825176804091631,
300- "sd": 0.09765077751590148,
301- "se": 0.03452476348481639
300+ "sd": 0.08818617686562207,
301+ "se": 0.022046544216405516
302302 },
303303 {
304304 "L": 8,
305305 "M": 512,
306306 "highres_szego": 4.047095585180645,
307307 "id": "ma8_s32",
308- "last_utc": "2026-08-01T17:45:23Z",
309- "mean": 4.058115058438865,
310- "n_pasts": 8,
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308+ "last_utc": "2026-08-01T19:40:56Z",
309+ "mean": 4.0927740989995005,
310+ "n_pasts": 16,
311+ "n_runs": 2,
312312 "params": {
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314314 "sigma": 32.0,
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318+ "sd": 0.21019417403230803,
319+ "se": 0.05254854350807701
320320 },
321321 {
322322 "L": 8,
323323 "M": 512,
324324 "highres_szego": 1.0470955851806452,
325325 "id": "ma8_s4",
326- "last_utc": "2026-08-01T17:45:07Z",
327- "mean": 1.645612979809619,
328- "n_pasts": 8,
329- "n_runs": 1,
326+ "last_utc": "2026-08-01T19:40:17Z",
327+ "mean": 1.587716882755948,
328+ "n_pasts": 16,
329+ "n_runs": 2,
330330 "params": {
331331 "filter": "moving-average",
332332 "sigma": 4.0,
333333 "width": 8
334334 },
335335 "predicted": 1.5529090070448803,
336- "sd": 0.2445811807642315,
337- "se": 0.08647250573450044
336+ "sd": 0.1857676392258375,
337+ "se": 0.046441909806459375
338338 },
339339 {
340340 "L": 8,
341341 "M": 512,
342342 "highres_szego": 2.0470955851806454,
343343 "id": "ma8_s8",
344- "last_utc": "2026-08-01T17:45:12Z",
345- "mean": 2.3202814638293097,
346- "n_pasts": 8,
347- "n_runs": 1,
344+ "last_utc": "2026-08-01T19:40:23Z",
345+ "mean": 2.2919357907907125,
346+ "n_pasts": 16,
347+ "n_runs": 2,
348348 "params": {
349349 "filter": "moving-average",
350350 "sigma": 8.0,
351351 "width": 8
352352 },
353353 "predicted": 2.3064317412363535,
354- "sd": 0.13947473609939695,
355- "se": 0.04931176585004387
354+ "sd": 0.1099755696321438,
355+ "se": 0.02749389240803595
356356 },
357357 {
358358 "L": 1,
359359 "M": 512,
360360 "highres_szego": 2.047095585180641,
361361 "id": "none_s1",
362- "last_utc": "2026-08-01T17:44:17Z",
363- "mean": 2.0901531919677323,
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458458 }
459459 ],
460460 "estimand": "H(z_{M+1} | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample, for x ~ iid N(0, sigma^2) -> y = h * x -> z = round(y)",
461- "generated": "2026-08-01T18:23:44Z",
461+ "generated": "2026-08-01T20:10:27Z",
462462 "settings": {
463463 "n0": 128,
464464 "pasts_per_run": 8,
@@ -466,5 +466,5 @@
466466 "reps": 8,
467467 "thin": "auto"
468468 },
469- "total_runs": 1
469+ "total_runs": 2
470470 }
runs.jsonlmodified+24−0View file
@@ -22,3 +22,27 @@
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