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github-actions[bot] estimates: run 13 from efed18a 977602d 7 Commits
estimates.jsonestimates: run 13 from efed18a
README.mdestimates: run 13 from efed18a
runs.jsonlestimates: run 13 from efed18a

Cached entropy estimates#

Machine-generated by .github/workflows/estimates.yml on main — do not edit by hand. Every dispatch runs the whole grid again with fresh, independent pasts, appends one record per cell to runs.jsonl, and rebuilds estimates.json from the full log, so the means tighten run after run.

  • runs.jsonl — append-only, one JSON object per (cell, dispatch): the cell's parameters, the per-past values with their sum and sum of squares, the per-past resolved Gibbs thinning and probe autocorrelation times (thin='auto' matches thinning to each chain's measured mixing), the seed, and the code commit that produced them.
  • estimates.json — pooled mean and se per cell over every past ever drawn for it, alongside the analytic predicted rate for comparison.

The estimand is H(z_(M+1) | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample — an upper bound on the entropy rate of z that tightens as the conditioning window M grows.

Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends access-control-allow-origin: *):

https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json

Current state (6 runs, generated 2026-08-02T04:25:27Z)#

cell sigma M mean se pasts predicted
bp300-6000_s1 1 512 0.9504 0.0192 48 0.9513
bp300-6000_s16 16 512 2.5518 0.0375 48 2.5680
bp300-6000_s2 2 512 1.3379 0.0208 48 1.3319
bp300-6000_s32 32 512 2.9085 0.0572 48 2.9938
bp300-6000_s4 4 512 1.7208 0.0186 48 1.7342
bp300-6000_s8 8 512 2.1590 0.0442 48 2.1476
lp3000_s1 1 512 0.4905 0.0321 48 0.6166
lp3000_s16 16 512 1.4802 0.0219 48 1.4888
lp3000_s2 2 512 0.7430 0.0431 48 0.8251
lp3000_s32 32 512 1.6384 0.0330 48 1.7179
lp3000_s4 4 512 1.0213 0.0261 48 1.0415
lp3000_s8 8 512 1.2097 0.0297 48 1.2632
ma8_s1 1 512 0.4781 0.0290 48 0.6100
ma8_s16 16 512 3.2271 0.0636 48 3.1777
ma8_s2 2 512 0.9742 0.0140 48 0.9825
ma8_s32 32 512 4.0515 0.0232 48 4.1125
ma8_s4 4 512 1.5723 0.0184 48 1.5529
ma8_s8 8 512 2.2766 0.0153 48 2.3064
none_s1 1 512 2.0912 0.0061 48 2.1048
none_s16 16 512 5.9847 0.0502 48 6.0473
none_s2 2 512 3.0576 0.0104 48 3.0620
none_s32 32 512 6.9562 0.0941 48 7.0472
none_s4 4 512 4.0363 0.0225 48 4.0508
none_s8 8 512 5.1120 0.0488 48 5.0480
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