estimates: run 13 from efed18a
3 changed files+207−183
README.mdmodified+25−25View file
@@ -21,33 +21,33 @@ Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends
2121
2222 https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json
2323
24-## Current state (5 runs, generated 2026-08-01T23:46:50Z)
24+## Current state (6 runs, generated 2026-08-02T04:25:27Z)
2525
2626 | cell | sigma | M | mean | se | pasts | predicted |
2727 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
28-| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9383 | 0.0223 | 40 | 0.9513 |
29-| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5635 | 0.0438 | 40 | 2.5680 |
30-| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3360 | 0.0243 | 40 | 1.3319 |
31-| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9540 | 0.0632 | 40 | 2.9938 |
32-| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7274 | 0.0188 | 40 | 1.7342 |
33-| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1576 | 0.0519 | 40 | 2.1476 |
34-| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4908 | 0.0381 | 40 | 0.6166 |
35-| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4689 | 0.0215 | 40 | 1.4888 |
36-| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7364 | 0.0483 | 40 | 0.8251 |
37-| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6294 | 0.0381 | 40 | 1.7179 |
38-| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.0112 | 0.0303 | 40 | 1.0415 |
39-| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2314 | 0.0241 | 40 | 1.2632 |
40-| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4912 | 0.0337 | 40 | 0.6100 |
41-| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.2151 | 0.0626 | 40 | 3.1777 |
42-| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9680 | 0.0148 | 40 | 0.9825 |
43-| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0511 | 0.0268 | 40 | 4.1125 |
44-| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5812 | 0.0216 | 40 | 1.5529 |
45-| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.2807 | 0.0159 | 40 | 2.3064 |
46-| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.0956 | 0.0067 | 40 | 2.1048 |
47-| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 5.9694 | 0.0544 | 40 | 6.0473 |
48-| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0556 | 0.0103 | 40 | 3.0620 |
49-| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 6.9683 | 0.1073 | 40 | 7.0472 |
50-| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0412 | 0.0267 | 40 | 4.0508 |
51-| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0853 | 0.0448 | 40 | 5.0480 |
28+| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9504 | 0.0192 | 48 | 0.9513 |
29+| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5518 | 0.0375 | 48 | 2.5680 |
30+| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3379 | 0.0208 | 48 | 1.3319 |
31+| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9085 | 0.0572 | 48 | 2.9938 |
32+| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7208 | 0.0186 | 48 | 1.7342 |
33+| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1590 | 0.0442 | 48 | 2.1476 |
34+| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4905 | 0.0321 | 48 | 0.6166 |
35+| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4802 | 0.0219 | 48 | 1.4888 |
36+| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7430 | 0.0431 | 48 | 0.8251 |
37+| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6384 | 0.0330 | 48 | 1.7179 |
38+| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.0213 | 0.0261 | 48 | 1.0415 |
39+| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2097 | 0.0297 | 48 | 1.2632 |
40+| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4781 | 0.0290 | 48 | 0.6100 |
41+| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.2271 | 0.0636 | 48 | 3.1777 |
42+| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9742 | 0.0140 | 48 | 0.9825 |
43+| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0515 | 0.0232 | 48 | 4.1125 |
44+| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5723 | 0.0184 | 48 | 1.5529 |
45+| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.2766 | 0.0153 | 48 | 2.3064 |
46+| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.0912 | 0.0061 | 48 | 2.1048 |
47+| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 5.9847 | 0.0502 | 48 | 6.0473 |
48+| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0576 | 0.0104 | 48 | 3.0620 |
49+| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 6.9562 | 0.0941 | 48 | 7.0472 |
50+| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0363 | 0.0225 | 48 | 4.0508 |
51+| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.1120 | 0.0488 | 48 | 5.0480 |
5252
5353 [wf]: https://github.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/blob/main/.github/workflows/estimates.yml
estimates.jsonmodified+158−158View file
@@ -3,12 +3,12 @@
33 {
44 "L": 101,
55 "M": 512,
6- "highres_szego": -4.78256796018064,
6+ "highres_szego": -4.782567960178533,
77 "id": "bp300-6000_s1",
8- "last_utc": "2026-08-01T23:35:28Z",
9- "mean": 0.9382866128055667,
10- "n_pasts": 40,
11- "n_runs": 5,
8+ "last_utc": "2026-08-02T04:16:50Z",
9+ "mean": 0.9503877513357789,
10+ "n_pasts": 48,
11+ "n_runs": 6,
1212 "params": {
1313 "filter": "bandpass",
1414 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -18,18 +18,18 @@
1818 "taps": 101
1919 },
2020 "predicted": 0.9512549259549268,
21- "sd": 0.14104867351285844,
22- "se": 0.022301753462304782
21+ "sd": 0.13271766874118074,
22+ "se": 0.01915614544348507
2323 },
2424 {
2525 "L": 101,
2626 "M": 512,
27- "highres_szego": -0.7825679601806399,
27+ "highres_szego": -0.7825679601785338,
2828 "id": "bp300-6000_s16",
29- "last_utc": "2026-08-01T23:42:15Z",
30- "mean": 2.56352226813084,
31- "n_pasts": 40,
32- "n_runs": 5,
29+ "last_utc": "2026-08-02T04:23:13Z",
30+ "mean": 2.551770666866759,
31+ "n_pasts": 48,
32+ "n_runs": 6,
3333 "params": {
3434 "filter": "bandpass",
3535 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -39,18 +39,18 @@
3939 "taps": 101
4040 },
4141 "predicted": 2.56797969986038,
42- "sd": 0.27679864454841663,
43- "se": 0.04376570850101729
42+ "sd": 0.2597116014205822,
43+ "se": 0.037486140747960486
4444 },
4545 {
4646 "L": 101,
4747 "M": 512,
48- "highres_szego": -3.7825679601806397,
48+ "highres_szego": -3.782567960178534,
4949 "id": "bp300-6000_s2",
50- "last_utc": "2026-08-01T23:36:39Z",
51- "mean": 1.3360134035593763,
52- "n_pasts": 40,
53- "n_runs": 5,
50+ "last_utc": "2026-08-02T04:18:34Z",
51+ "mean": 1.337923840829446,
52+ "n_pasts": 48,
53+ "n_runs": 6,
5454 "params": {
5555 "filter": "bandpass",
5656 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -60,18 +60,18 @@
6060 "taps": 101
6161 },
6262 "predicted": 1.3318639472861573,
63- "sd": 0.15349472637668135,
64- "se": 0.024269647208731874
63+ "sd": 0.14415790122802197,
64+ "se": 0.020807400769952494
6565 },
6666 {
6767 "L": 101,
6868 "M": 512,
69- "highres_szego": 0.2174320398193601,
69+ "highres_szego": 0.21743203982146625,
7070 "id": "bp300-6000_s32",
71- "last_utc": "2026-08-01T23:46:50Z",
72- "mean": 2.9540269160381287,
73- "n_pasts": 40,
74- "n_runs": 5,
71+ "last_utc": "2026-08-02T04:25:27Z",
72+ "mean": 2.9085380502981217,
73+ "n_pasts": 48,
74+ "n_runs": 6,
7575 "params": {
7676 "filter": "bandpass",
7777 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -81,18 +81,18 @@
8181 "taps": 101
8282 },
8383 "predicted": 2.9937688408517453,
84- "sd": 0.39940305319890007,
85- "se": 0.06315116762669622
84+ "sd": 0.39659712663519886,
85+ "se": 0.05724386445566604
8686 },
8787 {
8888 "L": 101,
8989 "M": 512,
90- "highres_szego": -2.7825679601806397,
90+ "highres_szego": -2.782567960178534,
9191 "id": "bp300-6000_s4",
92- "last_utc": "2026-08-01T23:37:37Z",
93- "mean": 1.727429087646841,
94- "n_pasts": 40,
95- "n_runs": 5,
92+ "last_utc": "2026-08-02T04:19:36Z",
93+ "mean": 1.7207533170105205,
94+ "n_pasts": 48,
95+ "n_runs": 6,
9696 "params": {
9797 "filter": "bandpass",
9898 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -102,18 +102,18 @@
102102 "taps": 101
103103 },
104104 "predicted": 1.734166393696377,
105- "sd": 0.11917771172507995,
106- "se": 0.018843650768910373
105+ "sd": 0.1286593965375855,
106+ "se": 0.01857038430618745
107107 },
108108 {
109109 "L": 101,
110110 "M": 512,
111- "highres_szego": -1.78256796018064,
111+ "highres_szego": -1.7825679601785338,
112112 "id": "bp300-6000_s8",
113- "last_utc": "2026-08-01T23:39:54Z",
114- "mean": 2.1576154762166637,
115- "n_pasts": 40,
116- "n_runs": 5,
113+ "last_utc": "2026-08-02T04:21:17Z",
114+ "mean": 2.1589728398179022,
115+ "n_pasts": 48,
116+ "n_runs": 6,
117117 "params": {
118118 "filter": "bandpass",
119119 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -123,18 +123,18 @@
123123 "taps": 101
124124 },
125125 "predicted": 2.1476021059762167,
126- "sd": 0.32821665266536865,
127- "se": 0.05189560942094698
126+ "sd": 0.30628520502808104,
127+ "se": 0.04420846139294058
128128 },
129129 {
130130 "L": 101,
131131 "M": 512,
132- "highres_szego": -7.756237076152647,
132+ "highres_szego": -7.756237076152649,
133133 "id": "lp3000_s1",
134- "last_utc": "2026-08-01T23:25:55Z",
135- "mean": 0.49078901242103623,
136- "n_pasts": 40,
137- "n_runs": 5,
134+ "last_utc": "2026-08-02T04:04:55Z",
135+ "mean": 0.49046417300495504,
136+ "n_pasts": 48,
137+ "n_runs": 6,
138138 "params": {
139139 "filter": "lowpass",
140140 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -143,18 +143,18 @@
143143 "taps": 101
144144 },
145145 "predicted": 0.616561114498688,
146- "sd": 0.24066965717228214,
147- "se": 0.038053214017814516
146+ "sd": 0.22249311627565588,
147+ "se": 0.032114115143647155
148148 },
149149 {
150150 "L": 101,
151151 "M": 512,
152- "highres_szego": -3.756237076152648,
152+ "highres_szego": -3.7562370761526487,
153153 "id": "lp3000_s16",
154- "last_utc": "2026-08-01T23:31:22Z",
155- "mean": 1.4688938566117866,
156- "n_pasts": 40,
157- "n_runs": 5,
154+ "last_utc": "2026-08-02T04:12:56Z",
155+ "mean": 1.480182620947257,
156+ "n_pasts": 48,
157+ "n_runs": 6,
158158 "params": {
159159 "filter": "lowpass",
160160 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -163,18 +163,18 @@
163163 "taps": 101
164164 },
165165 "predicted": 1.4888184418209351,
166- "sd": 0.13623872698015213,
167- "se": 0.021541234138955707
166+ "sd": 0.15204917598984002,
167+ "se": 0.02194640817194873
168168 },
169169 {
170170 "L": 101,
171171 "M": 512,
172- "highres_szego": -6.756237076152647,
172+ "highres_szego": -6.756237076152649,
173173 "id": "lp3000_s2",
174- "last_utc": "2026-08-01T23:26:48Z",
175- "mean": 0.7363615555986732,
176- "n_pasts": 40,
177- "n_runs": 5,
174+ "last_utc": "2026-08-02T04:08:44Z",
175+ "mean": 0.743035465701837,
176+ "n_pasts": 48,
177+ "n_runs": 6,
178178 "params": {
179179 "filter": "lowpass",
180180 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -183,18 +183,18 @@
183183 "taps": 101
184184 },
185185 "predicted": 0.8251241884518832,
186- "sd": 0.30551541272507693,
187- "se": 0.04830622822488165
186+ "sd": 0.29851436335606113,
187+ "se": 0.04308683701014791
188188 },
189189 {
190190 "L": 101,
191191 "M": 512,
192- "highres_szego": -2.756237076152648,
192+ "highres_szego": -2.7562370761526487,
193193 "id": "lp3000_s32",
194- "last_utc": "2026-08-01T23:34:33Z",
195- "mean": 1.6294284179090774,
196- "n_pasts": 40,
197- "n_runs": 5,
194+ "last_utc": "2026-08-02T04:15:55Z",
195+ "mean": 1.6383523174621102,
196+ "n_pasts": 48,
197+ "n_runs": 6,
198198 "params": {
199199 "filter": "lowpass",
200200 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -203,18 +203,18 @@
203203 "taps": 101
204204 },
205205 "predicted": 1.71791605587854,
206- "sd": 0.2407636319812116,
207- "se": 0.038068072739759325
206+ "sd": 0.22855825226869841,
207+ "se": 0.032989542118210854
208208 },
209209 {
210210 "L": 101,
211211 "M": 512,
212- "highres_szego": -5.756237076152647,
212+ "highres_szego": -5.756237076152649,
213213 "id": "lp3000_s4",
214- "last_utc": "2026-08-01T23:27:48Z",
215- "mean": 1.0112408019645882,
216- "n_pasts": 40,
217- "n_runs": 5,
214+ "last_utc": "2026-08-02T04:09:47Z",
215+ "mean": 1.0213399061417194,
216+ "n_pasts": 48,
217+ "n_runs": 6,
218218 "params": {
219219 "filter": "lowpass",
220220 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -223,18 +223,18 @@
223223 "taps": 101
224224 },
225225 "predicted": 1.04149876351225,
226- "sd": 0.19146793817588903,
227- "se": 0.030273739176605714
226+ "sd": 0.18069470529172188,
227+ "se": 0.026081034185328932
228228 },
229229 {
230230 "L": 101,
231231 "M": 512,
232- "highres_szego": -4.756237076152647,
232+ "highres_szego": -4.756237076152649,
233233 "id": "lp3000_s8",
234- "last_utc": "2026-08-01T23:29:55Z",
235- "mean": 1.2313601283266347,
236- "n_pasts": 40,
237- "n_runs": 5,
234+ "last_utc": "2026-08-02T04:10:32Z",
235+ "mean": 1.2096660530882317,
236+ "n_pasts": 48,
237+ "n_runs": 6,
238238 "params": {
239239 "filter": "lowpass",
240240 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -243,222 +243,222 @@
243243 "taps": 101
244244 },
245245 "predicted": 1.2631675560846525,
246- "sd": 0.15231668711617674,
247- "se": 0.024083382846917127
246+ "sd": 0.20570067034850667,
247+ "se": 0.0296903343495492
248248 },
249249 {
250250 "L": 8,
251251 "M": 512,
252252 "highres_szego": -0.9529044148193548,
253253 "id": "ma8_s1",
254- "last_utc": "2026-08-01T23:24:01Z",
255- "mean": 0.4912432410747451,
256- "n_pasts": 40,
257- "n_runs": 5,
254+ "last_utc": "2026-08-02T04:01:53Z",
255+ "mean": 0.4780909330802685,
256+ "n_pasts": 48,
257+ "n_runs": 6,
258258 "params": {
259259 "filter": "moving-average",
260260 "sigma": 1.0,
261261 "width": 8
262262 },
263263 "predicted": 0.6099987154839898,
264- "sd": 0.21336046448667104,
265- "se": 0.033735251520467434
264+ "sd": 0.2005996246678674,
265+ "se": 0.028954061825332784
266266 },
267267 {
268268 "L": 8,
269269 "M": 512,
270270 "highres_szego": 3.0470955851806454,
271271 "id": "ma8_s16",
272- "last_utc": "2026-08-01T23:24:43Z",
273- "mean": 3.2151361245429357,
274- "n_pasts": 40,
275- "n_runs": 5,
272+ "last_utc": "2026-08-02T04:03:21Z",
273+ "mean": 3.227072390088001,
274+ "n_pasts": 48,
275+ "n_runs": 6,
276276 "params": {
277277 "filter": "moving-average",
278278 "sigma": 16.0,
279279 "width": 8
280280 },
281281 "predicted": 3.1776500292335506,
282- "sd": 0.39572353032845603,
283- "se": 0.06256938397803202
282+ "sd": 0.44052500185022314,
283+ "se": 0.06358430710074668
284284 },
285285 {
286286 "L": 8,
287287 "M": 512,
288288 "highres_szego": 0.04709558518064521,
289289 "id": "ma8_s2",
290- "last_utc": "2026-08-01T23:24:12Z",
291- "mean": 0.9680065717269241,
292- "n_pasts": 40,
293- "n_runs": 5,
290+ "last_utc": "2026-08-02T04:02:54Z",
291+ "mean": 0.9742265991948935,
292+ "n_pasts": 48,
293+ "n_runs": 6,
294294 "params": {
295295 "filter": "moving-average",
296296 "sigma": 2.0,
297297 "width": 8
298298 },
299299 "predicted": 0.9825176804091631,
300- "sd": 0.09339186901040761,
301- "se": 0.014766551050649177
300+ "sd": 0.09690473390162381,
301+ "se": 0.013986993550962891
302302 },
303303 {
304304 "L": 8,
305305 "M": 512,
306306 "highres_szego": 4.047095585180645,
307307 "id": "ma8_s32",
308- "last_utc": "2026-08-01T23:24:49Z",
309- "mean": 4.051117467555987,
310- "n_pasts": 40,
311- "n_runs": 5,
308+ "last_utc": "2026-08-02T04:03:26Z",
309+ "mean": 4.0514826699184505,
310+ "n_pasts": 48,
311+ "n_runs": 6,
312312 "params": {
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314314 "sigma": 32.0,
315315 "width": 8
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317317 "predicted": 4.112486639362294,
318- "sd": 0.16923644576301383,
319- "se": 0.02675863158613381
318+ "sd": 0.16092965091567163,
319+ "se": 0.02322819431918888
320320 },
321321 {
322322 "L": 8,
323323 "M": 512,
324324 "highres_szego": 1.0470955851806452,
325325 "id": "ma8_s4",
326- "last_utc": "2026-08-01T23:24:24Z",
327- "mean": 1.581199806782378,
328- "n_pasts": 40,
329- "n_runs": 5,
326+ "last_utc": "2026-08-02T04:03:00Z",
327+ "mean": 1.5722707631281851,
328+ "n_pasts": 48,
329+ "n_runs": 6,
330330 "params": {
331331 "filter": "moving-average",
332332 "sigma": 4.0,
333333 "width": 8
334334 },
335335 "predicted": 1.5529090070448803,
336- "sd": 0.13650867139134074,
337- "se": 0.02158391609800516
336+ "sd": 0.12755874365284578,
337+ "se": 0.018411518746365246
338338 },
339339 {
340340 "L": 8,
341341 "M": 512,
342342 "highres_szego": 2.0470955851806454,
343343 "id": "ma8_s8",
344- "last_utc": "2026-08-01T23:24:33Z",
345- "mean": 2.2806631666755286,
346- "n_pasts": 40,
347- "n_runs": 5,
344+ "last_utc": "2026-08-02T04:03:06Z",
345+ "mean": 2.276614191515003,
346+ "n_pasts": 48,
347+ "n_runs": 6,
348348 "params": {
349349 "filter": "moving-average",
350350 "sigma": 8.0,
351351 "width": 8
352352 },
353353 "predicted": 2.3064317412363535,
354- "sd": 0.10069135923266323,
355- "se": 0.015920701793672002
354+ "sd": 0.10573203010515751,
355+ "se": 0.015261104010794576
356356 },
357357 {
358358 "L": 1,
359359 "M": 512,
360360 "highres_szego": 2.047095585180641,
361361 "id": "none_s1",
362- "last_utc": "2026-08-01T23:23:50Z",
363- "mean": 2.0955679451639524,
364- "n_pasts": 40,
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450- "n_runs": 5,
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450+ "n_runs": 6,
451451 "params": {
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455455 "predicted": 5.048034228800837,
456- "sd": 0.28334538397773434,
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457+ "se": 0.04876143337455559
458458 }
459459 ],
460460 "estimand": "H(z_{M+1} | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample, for x ~ iid N(0, sigma^2) -> y = h * x -> z = round(y)",
461- "generated": "2026-08-01T23:46:50Z",
461+ "generated": "2026-08-02T04:25:27Z",
462462 "settings": {
463463 "n0": 128,
464464 "pasts_per_run": 8,
@@ -466,5 +466,5 @@
466466 "reps": 8,
467467 "thin": "auto"
468468 },
469- "total_runs": 5
469+ "total_runs": 6
470470 }
runs.jsonlmodified+24−0View file
@@ -118,3 +118,27 @@
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