/ concept-collection / timeseries-entropy
Sign in
concept-collection / timeseries-entropy
Go to fileHistoryFork
github-actions[bot] estimates: run 180 from efed18a 45de6e6 168 Commits
estimates.jsonestimates: run 180 from efed18a
README.mdestimates: run 180 from efed18a
runs.jsonlestimates: run 180 from efed18a

Cached entropy estimates#

Machine-generated by .github/workflows/estimates.yml on main — do not edit by hand. Every dispatch runs the whole grid again with fresh, independent pasts, appends one record per cell to runs.jsonl, and rebuilds estimates.json from the full log, so the means tighten run after run.

  • runs.jsonl — append-only, one JSON object per (cell, dispatch): the cell's parameters, the per-past values with their sum and sum of squares, the per-past resolved Gibbs thinning and probe autocorrelation times (thin='auto' matches thinning to each chain's measured mixing), the seed, and the code commit that produced them.
  • estimates.json — pooled mean and se per cell over every past ever drawn for it, alongside the analytic predicted rate for comparison.

The estimand is H(z_(M+1) | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample — an upper bound on the entropy rate of z that tightens as the conditioning window M grows.

Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends access-control-allow-origin: *):

https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json

Current state (167 runs, generated 2026-08-18T07:48:36Z)#

cell sigma M mean se pasts predicted
bp300-6000_s1 1 512 0.9349 0.0033 1336 0.9513
bp300-6000_s16 16 512 2.5522 0.0071 1336 2.5680
bp300-6000_s2 2 512 1.3136 0.0031 1336 1.3319
bp300-6000_s32 32 512 2.9840 0.0174 1336 2.9938
bp300-6000_s4 4 512 1.7259 0.0041 1336 1.7342
bp300-6000_s8 8 512 2.1303 0.0053 1336 2.1476
lp3000_s1 1 512 0.4780 0.0064 1336 0.6166
lp3000_s16 16 512 1.4446 0.0057 1336 1.4888
lp3000_s2 2 512 0.7585 0.0074 1336 0.8251
lp3000_s32 32 512 1.6669 0.0057 1336 1.7179
lp3000_s4 4 512 0.9915 0.0052 1336 1.0415
lp3000_s8 8 512 1.2095 0.0057 1336 1.2632
ma8_s1 1 512 0.4824 0.0058 1336 0.6100
ma8_s16 16 512 3.1716 0.0064 1336 3.1777
ma8_s2 2 512 0.9740 0.0026 1336 0.9825
ma8_s32 32 512 4.0892 0.0066 1336 4.1125
ma8_s4 4 512 1.5564 0.0029 1336 1.5529
ma8_s8 8 512 2.3117 0.0050 1336 2.3064
none_s1 1 512 2.1055 0.0018 1336 2.1048
none_s16 16 512 6.0271 0.0158 1336 6.0473
none_s2 2 512 3.0635 0.0031 1336 3.0620
none_s32 32 512 7.0423 0.0281 1336 7.0472
none_s4 4 512 4.0429 0.0039 1336 4.0508
none_s8 8 512 5.0428 0.0076 1336 5.0480
moveopenescclose