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github-actions[bot] estimates: run 33 from efed18a 2b48973 27 Commits
estimates.jsonestimates: run 33 from efed18a
README.mdestimates: run 33 from efed18a
runs.jsonlestimates: run 33 from efed18a

Cached entropy estimates#

Machine-generated by .github/workflows/estimates.yml on main — do not edit by hand. Every dispatch runs the whole grid again with fresh, independent pasts, appends one record per cell to runs.jsonl, and rebuilds estimates.json from the full log, so the means tighten run after run.

  • runs.jsonl — append-only, one JSON object per (cell, dispatch): the cell's parameters, the per-past values with their sum and sum of squares, the per-past resolved Gibbs thinning and probe autocorrelation times (thin='auto' matches thinning to each chain's measured mixing), the seed, and the code commit that produced them.
  • estimates.json — pooled mean and se per cell over every past ever drawn for it, alongside the analytic predicted rate for comparison.

The estimand is H(z_(M+1) | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample — an upper bound on the entropy rate of z that tightens as the conditioning window M grows.

Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends access-control-allow-origin: *):

https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json

Current state (26 runs, generated 2026-08-04T11:34:24Z)#

cell sigma M mean se pasts predicted
bp300-6000_s1 1 512 0.9388 0.0079 208 0.9513
bp300-6000_s16 16 512 2.5434 0.0150 208 2.5680
bp300-6000_s2 2 512 1.3169 0.0087 208 1.3319
bp300-6000_s32 32 512 2.9736 0.0389 208 2.9938
bp300-6000_s4 4 512 1.7216 0.0093 208 1.7342
bp300-6000_s8 8 512 2.1452 0.0153 208 2.1476
lp3000_s1 1 512 0.4760 0.0170 208 0.6166
lp3000_s16 16 512 1.4489 0.0113 208 1.4888
lp3000_s2 2 512 0.7411 0.0201 208 0.8251
lp3000_s32 32 512 1.6455 0.0136 208 1.7179
lp3000_s4 4 512 1.0155 0.0117 208 1.0415
lp3000_s8 8 512 1.2174 0.0134 208 1.2632
ma8_s1 1 512 0.4867 0.0145 208 0.6100
ma8_s16 16 512 3.2083 0.0233 208 3.1777
ma8_s2 2 512 0.9710 0.0084 208 0.9825
ma8_s32 32 512 4.0821 0.0176 208 4.1125
ma8_s4 4 512 1.5619 0.0088 208 1.5529
ma8_s8 8 512 2.2982 0.0106 208 2.3064
none_s1 1 512 2.1037 0.0035 208 2.1048
none_s16 16 512 5.9967 0.0271 208 6.0473
none_s2 2 512 3.0614 0.0056 208 3.0620
none_s32 32 512 6.9941 0.0555 208 7.0472
none_s4 4 512 4.0380 0.0099 208 4.0508
none_s8 8 512 5.0659 0.0184 208 5.0480
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