estimates: run 33 from efed18a
3 changed files+195−171
README.mdmodified+25−25View file
@@ -21,33 +21,33 @@ Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends
2121
2222 https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json
2323
24-## Current state (25 runs, generated 2026-08-04T07:33:04Z)
24+## Current state (26 runs, generated 2026-08-04T11:34:24Z)
2525
2626 | cell | sigma | M | mean | se | pasts | predicted |
2727 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
28-| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9390 | 0.0081 | 200 | 0.9513 |
29-| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5434 | 0.0154 | 200 | 2.5680 |
30-| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3189 | 0.0089 | 200 | 1.3319 |
31-| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9803 | 0.0404 | 200 | 2.9938 |
32-| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7219 | 0.0095 | 200 | 1.7342 |
33-| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1428 | 0.0154 | 200 | 2.1476 |
34-| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4698 | 0.0173 | 200 | 0.6166 |
35-| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4491 | 0.0116 | 200 | 1.4888 |
36-| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7329 | 0.0207 | 200 | 0.8251 |
37-| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6435 | 0.0141 | 200 | 1.7179 |
38-| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.0215 | 0.0111 | 200 | 1.0415 |
39-| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2183 | 0.0137 | 200 | 1.2632 |
40-| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4877 | 0.0148 | 200 | 0.6100 |
41-| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.2118 | 0.0242 | 200 | 3.1777 |
42-| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9718 | 0.0085 | 200 | 0.9825 |
43-| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0844 | 0.0181 | 200 | 4.1125 |
44-| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5593 | 0.0084 | 200 | 1.5529 |
45-| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.2992 | 0.0110 | 200 | 2.3064 |
46-| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.1039 | 0.0036 | 200 | 2.1048 |
47-| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 5.9981 | 0.0279 | 200 | 6.0473 |
48-| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0619 | 0.0056 | 200 | 3.0620 |
49-| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 6.9805 | 0.0545 | 200 | 7.0472 |
50-| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0405 | 0.0103 | 200 | 4.0508 |
51-| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0677 | 0.0189 | 200 | 5.0480 |
28+| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9388 | 0.0079 | 208 | 0.9513 |
29+| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5434 | 0.0150 | 208 | 2.5680 |
30+| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3169 | 0.0087 | 208 | 1.3319 |
31+| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9736 | 0.0389 | 208 | 2.9938 |
32+| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7216 | 0.0093 | 208 | 1.7342 |
33+| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1452 | 0.0153 | 208 | 2.1476 |
34+| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4760 | 0.0170 | 208 | 0.6166 |
35+| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4489 | 0.0113 | 208 | 1.4888 |
36+| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7411 | 0.0201 | 208 | 0.8251 |
37+| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6455 | 0.0136 | 208 | 1.7179 |
38+| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.0155 | 0.0117 | 208 | 1.0415 |
39+| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2174 | 0.0134 | 208 | 1.2632 |
40+| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4867 | 0.0145 | 208 | 0.6100 |
41+| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.2083 | 0.0233 | 208 | 3.1777 |
42+| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9710 | 0.0084 | 208 | 0.9825 |
43+| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0821 | 0.0176 | 208 | 4.1125 |
44+| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5619 | 0.0088 | 208 | 1.5529 |
45+| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.2982 | 0.0106 | 208 | 2.3064 |
46+| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.1037 | 0.0035 | 208 | 2.1048 |
47+| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 5.9967 | 0.0271 | 208 | 6.0473 |
48+| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0614 | 0.0056 | 208 | 3.0620 |
49+| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 6.9941 | 0.0555 | 208 | 7.0472 |
50+| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0380 | 0.0099 | 208 | 4.0508 |
51+| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0659 | 0.0184 | 208 | 5.0480 |
5252
5353 [wf]: https://github.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/blob/main/.github/workflows/estimates.yml
estimates.jsonmodified+146−146View file
@@ -5,10 +5,10 @@
55 "M": 512,
66 "highres_szego": -4.78256796018064,
77 "id": "bp300-6000_s1",
8- "last_utc": "2026-08-04T07:17:08Z",
9- "mean": 0.9390024860112779,
10- "n_pasts": 200,
11- "n_runs": 25,
8+ "last_utc": "2026-08-04T11:13:54Z",
9+ "mean": 0.9388110559014147,
10+ "n_pasts": 208,
11+ "n_runs": 26,
1212 "params": {
1313 "filter": "bandpass",
1414 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -18,18 +18,18 @@
1818 "taps": 101
1919 },
2020 "predicted": 0.9512549259549268,
21- "sd": 0.11515183594329598,
22- "se": 0.008142464406158541
21+ "sd": 0.11401781230460768,
22+ "se": 0.007905712857317154
2323 },
2424 {
2525 "L": 101,
2626 "M": 512,
2727 "highres_szego": -0.7825679601806399,
2828 "id": "bp300-6000_s16",
29- "last_utc": "2026-08-04T07:26:28Z",
30- "mean": 2.5434447392443467,
31- "n_pasts": 200,
32- "n_runs": 25,
29+ "last_utc": "2026-08-04T11:30:29Z",
30+ "mean": 2.543433684760092,
31+ "n_pasts": 208,
32+ "n_runs": 26,
3333 "params": {
3434 "filter": "bandpass",
3535 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -39,18 +39,18 @@
3939 "taps": 101
4040 },
4141 "predicted": 2.56797969986038,
42- "sd": 0.21802614973356527,
43- "se": 0.015416776895259757
42+ "sd": 0.21566991887218936,
43+ "se": 0.014954018289785336
4444 },
4545 {
4646 "L": 101,
4747 "M": 512,
4848 "highres_szego": -3.7825679601806397,
4949 "id": "bp300-6000_s2",
50- "last_utc": "2026-08-04T07:18:42Z",
51- "mean": 1.3188937057978805,
52- "n_pasts": 200,
53- "n_runs": 25,
50+ "last_utc": "2026-08-04T11:15:17Z",
51+ "mean": 1.3168989384633678,
52+ "n_pasts": 208,
53+ "n_runs": 26,
5454 "params": {
5555 "filter": "bandpass",
5656 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -60,18 +60,18 @@
6060 "taps": 101
6161 },
6262 "predicted": 1.3318639472861573,
63- "sd": 0.1251834053791259,
64- "se": 0.008851803483560445
63+ "sd": 0.12479219783638047,
64+ "se": 0.008652782078402232
6565 },
6666 {
6767 "L": 101,
6868 "M": 512,
6969 "highres_szego": 0.2174320398193601,
7070 "id": "bp300-6000_s32",
71- "last_utc": "2026-08-04T07:33:04Z",
72- "mean": 2.9803325184330007,
73- "n_pasts": 200,
74- "n_runs": 25,
71+ "last_utc": "2026-08-04T11:34:23Z",
72+ "mean": 2.9735629192803446,
73+ "n_pasts": 208,
74+ "n_runs": 26,
7575 "params": {
7676 "filter": "bandpass",
7777 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -81,18 +81,18 @@
8181 "taps": 101
8282 },
8383 "predicted": 2.9937688408517453,
84- "sd": 0.5708335140696204,
85- "se": 0.04036402487271751
84+ "sd": 0.5617208268010259,
85+ "se": 0.038948331606290874
8686 },
8787 {
8888 "L": 101,
8989 "M": 512,
9090 "highres_szego": -2.7825679601806397,
9191 "id": "bp300-6000_s4",
92- "last_utc": "2026-08-04T07:19:44Z",
93- "mean": 1.7219437355755138,
94- "n_pasts": 200,
95- "n_runs": 25,
92+ "last_utc": "2026-08-04T11:16:28Z",
93+ "mean": 1.7215896679945737,
94+ "n_pasts": 208,
95+ "n_runs": 26,
9696 "params": {
9797 "filter": "bandpass",
9898 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -102,18 +102,18 @@
102102 "taps": 101
103103 },
104104 "predicted": 1.734166393696377,
105- "sd": 0.13429329845546395,
106- "se": 0.009495970200576747
105+ "sd": 0.13381370141224863,
106+ "se": 0.009278310803874817
107107 },
108108 {
109109 "L": 101,
110110 "M": 512,
111111 "highres_szego": -1.78256796018064,
112112 "id": "bp300-6000_s8",
113- "last_utc": "2026-08-04T07:23:43Z",
114- "mean": 2.142751617952891,
115- "n_pasts": 200,
116- "n_runs": 25,
113+ "last_utc": "2026-08-04T11:22:52Z",
114+ "mean": 2.145180498617836,
115+ "n_pasts": 208,
116+ "n_runs": 26,
117117 "params": {
118118 "filter": "bandpass",
119119 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -123,18 +123,18 @@
123123 "taps": 101
124124 },
125125 "predicted": 2.1476021059762167,
126- "sd": 0.2177344014951279,
127- "se": 0.01539614717947993
126+ "sd": 0.22108568479495588,
127+ "se": 0.015329534092293899
128128 },
129129 {
130130 "L": 101,
131131 "M": 512,
132132 "highres_szego": -7.756237076152647,
133133 "id": "lp3000_s1",
134- "last_utc": "2026-08-04T07:07:32Z",
135- "mean": 0.46983936035514823,
136- "n_pasts": 200,
137- "n_runs": 25,
134+ "last_utc": "2026-08-04T11:02:04Z",
135+ "mean": 0.4759904888158472,
136+ "n_pasts": 208,
137+ "n_runs": 26,
138138 "params": {
139139 "filter": "lowpass",
140140 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -143,18 +143,18 @@
143143 "taps": 101
144144 },
145145 "predicted": 0.616561114498688,
146- "sd": 0.24412918861536104,
147- "se": 0.01726254047554915
146+ "sd": 0.24547934233485555,
147+ "se": 0.01702092992029807
148148 },
149149 {
150150 "L": 101,
151151 "M": 512,
152152 "highres_szego": -3.756237076152648,
153153 "id": "lp3000_s16",
154- "last_utc": "2026-08-04T07:12:37Z",
155- "mean": 1.4490849395626706,
156- "n_pasts": 200,
157- "n_runs": 25,
154+ "last_utc": "2026-08-04T11:06:53Z",
155+ "mean": 1.4489474651332548,
156+ "n_pasts": 208,
157+ "n_runs": 26,
158158 "params": {
159159 "filter": "lowpass",
160160 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -163,18 +163,18 @@
163163 "taps": 101
164164 },
165165 "predicted": 1.4888184418209351,
166- "sd": 0.16468567594635505,
167- "se": 0.011645035822595795
166+ "sd": 0.16287095357206374,
167+ "se": 0.011293068738226743
168168 },
169169 {
170170 "L": 101,
171171 "M": 512,
172172 "highres_szego": -6.756237076152647,
173173 "id": "lp3000_s2",
174- "last_utc": "2026-08-04T07:08:34Z",
175- "mean": 0.732948344282454,
176- "n_pasts": 200,
177- "n_runs": 25,
174+ "last_utc": "2026-08-04T11:03:32Z",
175+ "mean": 0.7410773570863043,
176+ "n_pasts": 208,
177+ "n_runs": 26,
178178 "params": {
179179 "filter": "lowpass",
180180 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -183,18 +183,18 @@
183183 "taps": 101
184184 },
185185 "predicted": 0.8251241884518832,
186- "sd": 0.2930947192067987,
187- "se": 0.020724926348109438
186+ "sd": 0.2905554212368854,
187+ "se": 0.020146393646800553
188188 },
189189 {
190190 "L": 101,
191191 "M": 512,
192192 "highres_szego": -2.756237076152648,
193193 "id": "lp3000_s32",
194- "last_utc": "2026-08-04T07:15:50Z",
195- "mean": 1.6434983789235276,
196- "n_pasts": 200,
197- "n_runs": 25,
194+ "last_utc": "2026-08-04T11:12:16Z",
195+ "mean": 1.6455369021174922,
196+ "n_pasts": 208,
197+ "n_runs": 26,
198198 "params": {
199199 "filter": "lowpass",
200200 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -203,18 +203,18 @@
203203 "taps": 101
204204 },
205205 "predicted": 1.71791605587854,
206- "sd": 0.19934797183370007,
207- "se": 0.014096030269939419
206+ "sd": 0.19639360852196466,
207+ "se": 0.01361744664806433
208208 },
209209 {
210210 "L": 101,
211211 "M": 512,
212212 "highres_szego": -5.756237076152647,
213213 "id": "lp3000_s4",
214- "last_utc": "2026-08-04T07:09:40Z",
215- "mean": 1.02154934813005,
216- "n_pasts": 200,
217- "n_runs": 25,
214+ "last_utc": "2026-08-04T11:04:42Z",
215+ "mean": 1.0154833153548912,
216+ "n_pasts": 208,
217+ "n_runs": 26,
218218 "params": {
219219 "filter": "lowpass",
220220 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -223,18 +223,18 @@
223223 "taps": 101
224224 },
225225 "predicted": 1.04149876351225,
226- "sd": 0.15680874403198394,
227- "se": 0.011088052625436141
226+ "sd": 0.16902797945365255,
227+ "se": 0.011719981671311884
228228 },
229229 {
230230 "L": 101,
231231 "M": 512,
232232 "highres_szego": -4.756237076152647,
233233 "id": "lp3000_s8",
234- "last_utc": "2026-08-04T07:10:50Z",
235- "mean": 1.2183335675168039,
236- "n_pasts": 200,
237- "n_runs": 25,
234+ "last_utc": "2026-08-04T11:05:40Z",
235+ "mean": 1.21744147326205,
236+ "n_pasts": 208,
237+ "n_runs": 26,
238238 "params": {
239239 "filter": "lowpass",
240240 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -243,222 +243,222 @@
243243 "taps": 101
244244 },
245245 "predicted": 1.2631675560846525,
246- "sd": 0.19349501867638286,
247- "se": 0.013682163983188798
246+ "sd": 0.19368095336911337,
247+ "se": 0.01342935785486708
248248 },
249249 {
250250 "L": 8,
251251 "M": 512,
252252 "highres_szego": -0.9529044148193548,
253253 "id": "ma8_s1",
254- "last_utc": "2026-08-04T07:05:32Z",
255- "mean": 0.48771870787091887,
256- "n_pasts": 200,
257- "n_runs": 25,
254+ "last_utc": "2026-08-04T11:00:15Z",
255+ "mean": 0.48671013489552784,
256+ "n_pasts": 208,
257+ "n_runs": 26,
258258 "params": {
259259 "filter": "moving-average",
260260 "sigma": 1.0,
261261 "width": 8
262262 },
263263 "predicted": 0.6099987154839898,
264- "sd": 0.20999459751408955,
265- "se": 0.014848860391475245
264+ "sd": 0.2096994385947463,
265+ "se": 0.014540039967103268
266266 },
267267 {
268268 "L": 8,
269269 "M": 512,
270270 "highres_szego": 3.0470955851806454,
271271 "id": "ma8_s16",
272- "last_utc": "2026-08-04T07:05:56Z",
273- "mean": 3.2118214901514017,
274- "n_pasts": 200,
275- "n_runs": 25,
272+ "last_utc": "2026-08-04T11:00:58Z",
273+ "mean": 3.208250861663929,
274+ "n_pasts": 208,
275+ "n_runs": 26,
276276 "params": {
277277 "filter": "moving-average",
278278 "sigma": 16.0,
279279 "width": 8
280280 },
281281 "predicted": 3.1776500292335506,
282- "sd": 0.34184084843764645,
283- "se": 0.024171798201682262
282+ "sd": 0.3365835983279779,
283+ "se": 0.02333787350484038
284284 },
285285 {
286286 "L": 8,
287287 "M": 512,
288288 "highres_szego": 0.04709558518064521,
289289 "id": "ma8_s2",
290- "last_utc": "2026-08-04T07:05:37Z",
291- "mean": 0.9718350466055796,
292- "n_pasts": 200,
293- "n_runs": 25,
290+ "last_utc": "2026-08-04T11:00:26Z",
291+ "mean": 0.9709749317440302,
292+ "n_pasts": 208,
293+ "n_runs": 26,
294294 "params": {
295295 "filter": "moving-average",
296296 "sigma": 2.0,
297297 "width": 8
298298 },
299299 "predicted": 0.9825176804091631,
300- "sd": 0.12067472388094957,
301- "se": 0.008532991557403365
300+ "sd": 0.12131178822162705,
301+ "se": 0.008411459091371247
302302 },
303303 {
304304 "L": 8,
305305 "M": 512,
306306 "highres_szego": 4.047095585180645,
307307 "id": "ma8_s32",
308- "last_utc": "2026-08-04T07:06:02Z",
309- "mean": 4.084428060026538,
310- "n_pasts": 200,
311- "n_runs": 25,
308+ "last_utc": "2026-08-04T11:01:05Z",
309+ "mean": 4.082054945453777,
310+ "n_pasts": 208,
311+ "n_runs": 26,
312312 "params": {
313313 "filter": "moving-average",
314314 "sigma": 32.0,
315315 "width": 8
316316 },
317317 "predicted": 4.112486639362294,
318- "sd": 0.2565950716527412,
319- "se": 0.018144011518470136
318+ "sd": 0.2532987323374317,
319+ "se": 0.017563107066396896
320320 },
321321 {
322322 "L": 8,
323323 "M": 512,
324324 "highres_szego": 1.0470955851806452,
325325 "id": "ma8_s4",
326- "last_utc": "2026-08-04T07:05:44Z",
327- "mean": 1.5593017157061508,
328- "n_pasts": 200,
329- "n_runs": 25,
326+ "last_utc": "2026-08-04T11:00:44Z",
327+ "mean": 1.5619438873178249,
328+ "n_pasts": 208,
329+ "n_runs": 26,
330330 "params": {
331331 "filter": "moving-average",
332332 "sigma": 4.0,
333333 "width": 8
334334 },
335335 "predicted": 1.5529090070448803,
336- "sd": 0.1189069915746301,
337- "se": 0.008407994007291262
336+ "sd": 0.1271540746696926,
337+ "se": 0.008816548771264492
338338 },
339339 {
340340 "L": 8,
341341 "M": 512,
342342 "highres_szego": 2.0470955851806454,
343343 "id": "ma8_s8",
344- "last_utc": "2026-08-04T07:05:51Z",
345- "mean": 2.2991598192520297,
346- "n_pasts": 200,
347- "n_runs": 25,
344+ "last_utc": "2026-08-04T11:00:52Z",
345+ "mean": 2.298193603955915,
346+ "n_pasts": 208,
347+ "n_runs": 26,
348348 "params": {
349349 "filter": "moving-average",
350350 "sigma": 8.0,
351351 "width": 8
352352 },
353353 "predicted": 2.3064317412363535,
354- "sd": 0.15540898166947634,
355- "se": 0.010989074479578257
354+ "sd": 0.15297726399319814,
355+ "se": 0.01060706479437821
356356 },
357357 {
358358 "L": 1,
359359 "M": 512,
360360 "highres_szego": 2.047095585180641,
361361 "id": "none_s1",
362- "last_utc": "2026-08-04T07:05:19Z",
363- "mean": 2.1039024436480505,
364- "n_pasts": 200,
365- "n_runs": 25,
362+ "last_utc": "2026-08-04T11:00:04Z",
363+ "mean": 2.1037284741852766,
364+ "n_pasts": 208,
365+ "n_runs": 26,
366366 "params": {
367367 "filter": "none",
368368 "sigma": 1.0
369369 },
370370 "predicted": 2.1048326603976193,
371- "sd": 0.05107385128737477,
372- "se": 0.003611466658661598
371+ "sd": 0.05100862939409319,
372+ "se": 0.0035368120917604355
373373 },
374374 {
375375 "L": 1,
376376 "M": 512,
377377 "highres_szego": 6.047095585180641,
378378 "id": "none_s16",
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434434 "params": {
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440+ "se": 0.009916795368364139
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442442 {
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446446 "id": "none_s8",
447- "last_utc": "2026-08-04T07:05:22Z",
448- "mean": 5.067746222425933,
449- "n_pasts": 200,
450- "n_runs": 25,
447+ "last_utc": "2026-08-04T11:00:07Z",
448+ "mean": 5.065866969624637,
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450+ "n_runs": 26,
451451 "params": {
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453453 "sigma": 8.0
454454 },
455455 "predicted": 5.048034228800837,
456- "sd": 0.2667695434327336,
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456+ "sd": 0.26578976883046546,
457+ "se": 0.018429204615614685
458458 }
459459 ],
460460 "estimand": "H(z_{M+1} | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample, for x ~ iid N(0, sigma^2) -> y = h * x -> z = round(y)",
461- "generated": "2026-08-04T07:33:04Z",
461+ "generated": "2026-08-04T11:34:24Z",
462462 "settings": {
463463 "n0": 128,
464464 "pasts_per_run": 8,
@@ -466,5 +466,5 @@
466466 "reps": 8,
467467 "thin": "auto"
468468 },
469- "total_runs": 25
469+ "total_runs": 26
470470 }
runs.jsonlmodified+24−0View file
@@ -598,3 +598,27 @@
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