estimates: run 78 from efed18a
3 changed files+207−183
README.mdmodified+25−25View file
@@ -21,33 +21,33 @@ Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends
2121
2222 https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json
2323
24-## Current state (69 runs, generated 2026-08-09T07:45:20Z)
24+## Current state (70 runs, generated 2026-08-09T09:38:48Z)
2525
2626 | cell | sigma | M | mean | se | pasts | predicted |
2727 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
28-| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9339 | 0.0052 | 552 | 0.9513 |
29-| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5458 | 0.0094 | 552 | 2.5680 |
30-| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3120 | 0.0050 | 552 | 1.3319 |
31-| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9586 | 0.0186 | 552 | 2.9938 |
32-| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7202 | 0.0056 | 552 | 1.7342 |
33-| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1340 | 0.0094 | 552 | 2.1476 |
34-| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4760 | 0.0099 | 552 | 0.6166 |
35-| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4492 | 0.0080 | 552 | 1.4888 |
36-| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7597 | 0.0116 | 552 | 0.8251 |
37-| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6566 | 0.0089 | 552 | 1.7179 |
38-| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 0.9855 | 0.0082 | 552 | 1.0415 |
39-| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2234 | 0.0091 | 552 | 1.2632 |
40-| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4770 | 0.0088 | 552 | 0.6100 |
41-| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.1850 | 0.0114 | 552 | 3.1777 |
42-| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9723 | 0.0043 | 552 | 0.9825 |
43-| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0857 | 0.0102 | 552 | 4.1125 |
44-| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5576 | 0.0046 | 552 | 1.5529 |
45-| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.3025 | 0.0063 | 552 | 2.3064 |
46-| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.1071 | 0.0033 | 552 | 2.1048 |
47-| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 6.0326 | 0.0213 | 552 | 6.0473 |
48-| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0666 | 0.0041 | 552 | 3.0620 |
49-| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 7.0816 | 0.0455 | 552 | 7.0472 |
50-| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0385 | 0.0059 | 552 | 4.0508 |
51-| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0731 | 0.0137 | 552 | 5.0480 |
28+| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9334 | 0.0052 | 560 | 0.9513 |
29+| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5485 | 0.0095 | 560 | 2.5680 |
30+| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3128 | 0.0049 | 560 | 1.3319 |
31+| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9589 | 0.0183 | 560 | 2.9938 |
32+| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7202 | 0.0056 | 560 | 1.7342 |
33+| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1337 | 0.0093 | 560 | 2.1476 |
34+| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4776 | 0.0098 | 560 | 0.6166 |
35+| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4495 | 0.0079 | 560 | 1.4888 |
36+| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7589 | 0.0115 | 560 | 0.8251 |
37+| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6550 | 0.0088 | 560 | 1.7179 |
38+| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 0.9854 | 0.0082 | 560 | 1.0415 |
39+| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2243 | 0.0089 | 560 | 1.2632 |
40+| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4753 | 0.0087 | 560 | 0.6100 |
41+| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.1840 | 0.0113 | 560 | 3.1777 |
42+| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9721 | 0.0043 | 560 | 0.9825 |
43+| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0852 | 0.0101 | 560 | 4.1125 |
44+| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5569 | 0.0046 | 560 | 1.5529 |
45+| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.3024 | 0.0063 | 560 | 2.3064 |
46+| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.1075 | 0.0032 | 560 | 2.1048 |
47+| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 6.0315 | 0.0211 | 560 | 6.0473 |
48+| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0665 | 0.0040 | 560 | 3.0620 |
49+| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 7.0796 | 0.0450 | 560 | 7.0472 |
50+| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0378 | 0.0058 | 560 | 4.0508 |
51+| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0719 | 0.0136 | 560 | 5.0480 |
5252
5353 [wf]: https://github.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/blob/main/.github/workflows/estimates.yml
estimates.jsonmodified+158−158View file
@@ -3,12 +3,12 @@
33 {
44 "L": 101,
55 "M": 512,
6- "highres_szego": -4.782567960178533,
6+ "highres_szego": -4.78256796018064,
77 "id": "bp300-6000_s1",
8- "last_utc": "2026-08-09T07:37:22Z",
9- "mean": 0.9339162739351445,
10- "n_pasts": 552,
11- "n_runs": 69,
8+ "last_utc": "2026-08-09T09:25:35Z",
9+ "mean": 0.933369578211153,
10+ "n_pasts": 560,
11+ "n_runs": 70,
1212 "params": {
1313 "filter": "bandpass",
1414 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -18,18 +18,18 @@
1818 "taps": 101
1919 },
2020 "predicted": 0.9512549259549268,
21- "sd": 0.12253923829142671,
22- "se": 0.005215616343488975
21+ "sd": 0.12336345237052103,
22+ "se": 0.005213057332447228
2323 },
2424 {
2525 "L": 101,
2626 "M": 512,
27- "highres_szego": -0.7825679601785338,
27+ "highres_szego": -0.7825679601806399,
2828 "id": "bp300-6000_s16",
29- "last_utc": "2026-08-09T07:42:53Z",
30- "mean": 2.5458248969294646,
31- "n_pasts": 552,
32- "n_runs": 69,
29+ "last_utc": "2026-08-09T09:36:06Z",
30+ "mean": 2.5484652925015325,
31+ "n_pasts": 560,
32+ "n_runs": 70,
3333 "params": {
3434 "filter": "bandpass",
3535 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -39,18 +39,18 @@
3939 "taps": 101
4040 },
4141 "predicted": 2.56797969986038,
42- "sd": 0.2212358495133447,
43- "se": 0.00941642308680972
42+ "sd": 0.2240537012083993,
43+ "se": 0.009467996943197523
4444 },
4545 {
4646 "L": 101,
4747 "M": 512,
48- "highres_szego": -3.782567960178534,
48+ "highres_szego": -3.7825679601806397,
4949 "id": "bp300-6000_s2",
50- "last_utc": "2026-08-09T07:37:56Z",
51- "mean": 1.3119608439677886,
52- "n_pasts": 552,
53- "n_runs": 69,
50+ "last_utc": "2026-08-09T09:26:46Z",
51+ "mean": 1.3128450734205663,
52+ "n_pasts": 560,
53+ "n_runs": 70,
5454 "params": {
5555 "filter": "bandpass",
5656 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -60,18 +60,18 @@
6060 "taps": 101
6161 },
6262 "predicted": 1.3318639472861573,
63- "sd": 0.11646036487250754,
64- "se": 0.0049568823086134405
63+ "sd": 0.11619531730071822,
64+ "se": 0.0049101483398116
6565 },
6666 {
6767 "L": 101,
6868 "M": 512,
69- "highres_szego": 0.21743203982146625,
69+ "highres_szego": 0.2174320398193601,
7070 "id": "bp300-6000_s32",
71- "last_utc": "2026-08-09T07:45:20Z",
72- "mean": 2.95856753960894,
73- "n_pasts": 552,
74- "n_runs": 69,
71+ "last_utc": "2026-08-09T09:38:48Z",
72+ "mean": 2.9588873299992504,
73+ "n_pasts": 560,
74+ "n_runs": 70,
7575 "params": {
7676 "filter": "bandpass",
7777 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -81,18 +81,18 @@
8181 "taps": 101
8282 },
8383 "predicted": 2.9937688408517453,
84- "sd": 0.4362763159237356,
85- "se": 0.01856915315727235
84+ "sd": 0.4333947024794952,
85+ "se": 0.018314268838867245
8686 },
8787 {
8888 "L": 101,
8989 "M": 512,
90- "highres_szego": -2.782567960178534,
90+ "highres_szego": -2.7825679601806397,
9191 "id": "bp300-6000_s4",
92- "last_utc": "2026-08-09T07:39:49Z",
93- "mean": 1.7201529397857402,
94- "n_pasts": 552,
95- "n_runs": 69,
92+ "last_utc": "2026-08-09T09:28:02Z",
93+ "mean": 1.7202446982628805,
94+ "n_pasts": 560,
95+ "n_runs": 70,
9696 "params": {
9797 "filter": "bandpass",
9898 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -102,18 +102,18 @@
102102 "taps": 101
103103 },
104104 "predicted": 1.734166393696377,
105- "sd": 0.13226189617532688,
106- "se": 0.0056294401444891284
105+ "sd": 0.13230743432663988,
106+ "se": 0.005591009552668674
107107 },
108108 {
109109 "L": 101,
110110 "M": 512,
111- "highres_szego": -1.7825679601785338,
111+ "highres_szego": -1.78256796018064,
112112 "id": "bp300-6000_s8",
113- "last_utc": "2026-08-09T07:40:50Z",
114- "mean": 2.134020745302418,
115- "n_pasts": 552,
116- "n_runs": 69,
113+ "last_utc": "2026-08-09T09:29:11Z",
114+ "mean": 2.1336992534851857,
115+ "n_pasts": 560,
116+ "n_runs": 70,
117117 "params": {
118118 "filter": "bandpass",
119119 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -123,18 +123,18 @@
123123 "taps": 101
124124 },
125125 "predicted": 2.1476021059762167,
126- "sd": 0.22039996422155167,
127- "se": 0.00938084544612952
126+ "sd": 0.21928442800276762,
127+ "se": 0.009266458366112406
128128 },
129129 {
130130 "L": 101,
131131 "M": 512,
132- "highres_szego": -7.756237076152649,
132+ "highres_szego": -7.756237076152647,
133133 "id": "lp3000_s1",
134- "last_utc": "2026-08-09T07:29:21Z",
135- "mean": 0.47595212172315815,
136- "n_pasts": 552,
137- "n_runs": 69,
134+ "last_utc": "2026-08-09T09:09:46Z",
135+ "mean": 0.4776046398877531,
136+ "n_pasts": 560,
137+ "n_runs": 70,
138138 "params": {
139139 "filter": "lowpass",
140140 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -143,18 +143,18 @@
143143 "taps": 101
144144 },
145145 "predicted": 0.616561114498688,
146- "sd": 0.23282782934325347,
147- "se": 0.009909810513541395
146+ "sd": 0.23241358498523298,
147+ "se": 0.009821266510348866
148148 },
149149 {
150150 "L": 101,
151151 "M": 512,
152- "highres_szego": -3.7562370761526487,
152+ "highres_szego": -3.756237076152648,
153153 "id": "lp3000_s16",
154- "last_utc": "2026-08-09T07:34:37Z",
155- "mean": 1.4492200708910274,
156- "n_pasts": 552,
157- "n_runs": 69,
154+ "last_utc": "2026-08-09T09:22:14Z",
155+ "mean": 1.4495139781082622,
156+ "n_pasts": 560,
157+ "n_runs": 70,
158158 "params": {
159159 "filter": "lowpass",
160160 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -163,18 +163,18 @@
163163 "taps": 101
164164 },
165165 "predicted": 1.4888184418209351,
166- "sd": 0.18713357099194117,
167- "se": 0.007964933721554792
166+ "sd": 0.1877192714066211,
167+ "se": 0.007932587046192149
168168 },
169169 {
170170 "L": 101,
171171 "M": 512,
172- "highres_szego": -6.756237076152649,
172+ "highres_szego": -6.756237076152647,
173173 "id": "lp3000_s2",
174- "last_utc": "2026-08-09T07:30:01Z",
175- "mean": 0.759699282878149,
176- "n_pasts": 552,
177- "n_runs": 69,
174+ "last_utc": "2026-08-09T09:12:29Z",
175+ "mean": 0.758861939283005,
176+ "n_pasts": 560,
177+ "n_runs": 70,
178178 "params": {
179179 "filter": "lowpass",
180180 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -183,18 +183,18 @@
183183 "taps": 101
184184 },
185185 "predicted": 0.8251241884518832,
186- "sd": 0.2719445627468092,
187- "se": 0.011574729252127682
186+ "sd": 0.27204914934977625,
187+ "se": 0.011496174803411852
188188 },
189189 {
190190 "L": 101,
191191 "M": 512,
192- "highres_szego": -2.7562370761526487,
192+ "highres_szego": -2.756237076152648,
193193 "id": "lp3000_s32",
194- "last_utc": "2026-08-09T07:36:36Z",
195- "mean": 1.656603059066441,
196- "n_pasts": 552,
197- "n_runs": 69,
194+ "last_utc": "2026-08-09T09:24:06Z",
195+ "mean": 1.6550487870513992,
196+ "n_pasts": 560,
197+ "n_runs": 70,
198198 "params": {
199199 "filter": "lowpass",
200200 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -203,18 +203,18 @@
203203 "taps": 101
204204 },
205205 "predicted": 1.71791605587854,
206- "sd": 0.20843045317132924,
207- "se": 0.008871389223554977
206+ "sd": 0.2092223642875319,
207+ "se": 0.008841258568098361
208208 },
209209 {
210210 "L": 101,
211211 "M": 512,
212- "highres_szego": -5.756237076152649,
212+ "highres_szego": -5.756237076152647,
213213 "id": "lp3000_s4",
214- "last_utc": "2026-08-09T07:31:02Z",
215- "mean": 0.9854986878168533,
216- "n_pasts": 552,
217- "n_runs": 69,
214+ "last_utc": "2026-08-09T09:13:32Z",
215+ "mean": 0.9853649105874228,
216+ "n_pasts": 560,
217+ "n_runs": 70,
218218 "params": {
219219 "filter": "lowpass",
220220 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -223,18 +223,18 @@
223223 "taps": 101
224224 },
225225 "predicted": 1.04149876351225,
226- "sd": 0.19344972034467273,
227- "se": 0.008233766890842811
226+ "sd": 0.19364613251630106,
227+ "se": 0.008183042640393698
228228 },
229229 {
230230 "L": 101,
231231 "M": 512,
232- "highres_szego": -4.756237076152649,
232+ "highres_szego": -4.756237076152647,
233233 "id": "lp3000_s8",
234- "last_utc": "2026-08-09T07:33:20Z",
235- "mean": 1.2234037973722391,
236- "n_pasts": 552,
237- "n_runs": 69,
234+ "last_utc": "2026-08-09T09:14:49Z",
235+ "mean": 1.2243384392248902,
236+ "n_pasts": 560,
237+ "n_runs": 70,
238238 "params": {
239239 "filter": "lowpass",
240240 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -243,222 +243,222 @@
243243 "taps": 101
244244 },
245245 "predicted": 1.2631675560846525,
246- "sd": 0.21269495929996363,
247- "se": 0.009052898658178014
246+ "sd": 0.21177038561180203,
247+ "se": 0.008948932121265655
248248 },
249249 {
250250 "L": 8,
251251 "M": 512,
252252 "highres_szego": -0.9529044148193548,
253253 "id": "ma8_s1",
254- "last_utc": "2026-08-09T07:27:46Z",
255- "mean": 0.47695072331824406,
256- "n_pasts": 552,
257- "n_runs": 69,
254+ "last_utc": "2026-08-09T09:07:39Z",
255+ "mean": 0.4753275611198387,
256+ "n_pasts": 560,
257+ "n_runs": 70,
258258 "params": {
259259 "filter": "moving-average",
260260 "sigma": 1.0,
261261 "width": 8
262262 },
263263 "predicted": 0.6099987154839898,
264- "sd": 0.20680910189877028,
265- "se": 0.008802379930583986
264+ "sd": 0.2058567053915478,
265+ "se": 0.008699033521303069
266266 },
267267 {
268268 "L": 8,
269269 "M": 512,
270270 "highres_szego": 3.0470955851806454,
271271 "id": "ma8_s16",
272- "last_utc": "2026-08-09T07:28:04Z",
273- "mean": 3.1850226729342475,
274- "n_pasts": 552,
275- "n_runs": 69,
272+ "last_utc": "2026-08-09T09:08:13Z",
273+ "mean": 3.184000078377974,
274+ "n_pasts": 560,
275+ "n_runs": 70,
276276 "params": {
277277 "filter": "moving-average",
278278 "sigma": 16.0,
279279 "width": 8
280280 },
281281 "predicted": 3.1776500292335506,
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283- "se": 0.011447169460203651
282+ "sd": 0.26764803790840613,
283+ "se": 0.011310193900401437
284284 },
285285 {
286286 "L": 8,
287287 "M": 512,
288288 "highres_szego": 0.04709558518064521,
289289 "id": "ma8_s2",
290- "last_utc": "2026-08-09T07:27:51Z",
291- "mean": 0.9722952870792475,
292- "n_pasts": 552,
293- "n_runs": 69,
290+ "last_utc": "2026-08-09T09:07:56Z",
291+ "mean": 0.9721397632070997,
292+ "n_pasts": 560,
293+ "n_runs": 70,
294294 "params": {
295295 "filter": "moving-average",
296296 "sigma": 2.0,
297297 "width": 8
298298 },
299299 "predicted": 0.9825176804091631,
300- "sd": 0.1021152410044045,
301- "se": 0.004346313289750144
300+ "sd": 0.10285436896626829,
301+ "se": 0.004346390377462917
302302 },
303303 {
304304 "L": 8,
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306306 "highres_szego": 4.047095585180645,
307307 "id": "ma8_s32",
308- "last_utc": "2026-08-09T07:28:11Z",
309- "mean": 4.085679679941519,
310- "n_pasts": 552,
311- "n_runs": 69,
308+ "last_utc": "2026-08-09T09:08:19Z",
309+ "mean": 4.085183183224673,
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312312 "params": {
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319+ "se": 0.010113163528851577
320320 },
321321 {
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323323 "M": 512,
324324 "highres_szego": 1.0470955851806452,
325325 "id": "ma8_s4",
326- "last_utc": "2026-08-09T07:27:55Z",
327- "mean": 1.5575727897887788,
328- "n_pasts": 552,
329- "n_runs": 69,
326+ "last_utc": "2026-08-09T09:08:02Z",
327+ "mean": 1.556906079262512,
328+ "n_pasts": 560,
329+ "n_runs": 70,
330330 "params": {
331331 "filter": "moving-average",
332332 "sigma": 4.0,
333333 "width": 8
334334 },
335335 "predicted": 1.5529090070448803,
336- "sd": 0.10818132749274084,
337- "se": 0.00460450307671733
336+ "sd": 0.10773879948660833,
337+ "se": 0.004552795239272478
338338 },
339339 {
340340 "L": 8,
341341 "M": 512,
342342 "highres_szego": 2.0470955851806454,
343343 "id": "ma8_s8",
344- "last_utc": "2026-08-09T07:28:01Z",
345- "mean": 2.3024895925837527,
346- "n_pasts": 552,
347- "n_runs": 69,
344+ "last_utc": "2026-08-09T09:08:08Z",
345+ "mean": 2.302435063152309,
346+ "n_pasts": 560,
347+ "n_runs": 70,
348348 "params": {
349349 "filter": "moving-average",
350350 "sigma": 8.0,
351351 "width": 8
352352 },
353353 "predicted": 2.3064317412363535,
354- "sd": 0.14886884876724252,
355- "se": 0.006336278986982584
354+ "sd": 0.148199632497191,
355+ "se": 0.006262577497710176
356356 },
357357 {
358358 "L": 1,
359359 "M": 512,
360360 "highres_szego": 2.047095585180641,
361361 "id": "none_s1",
362- "last_utc": "2026-08-09T07:27:37Z",
363- "mean": 2.1071471885993076,
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442442 {
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450- "n_runs": 69,
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451451 "params": {
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455455 "predicted": 5.048034228800837,
456- "sd": 0.3229357664138179,
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458458 }
459459 ],
460460 "estimand": "H(z_{M+1} | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample, for x ~ iid N(0, sigma^2) -> y = h * x -> z = round(y)",
461- "generated": "2026-08-09T07:45:20Z",
461+ "generated": "2026-08-09T09:38:48Z",
462462 "settings": {
463463 "n0": 128,
464464 "pasts_per_run": 8,
@@ -466,5 +466,5 @@
466466 "reps": 8,
467467 "thin": "auto"
468468 },
469- "total_runs": 69
469+ "total_runs": 70
470470 }
runs.jsonlmodified+24−0View file
@@ -1654,3 +1654,27 @@
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