estimates: run 79 from efed18a
3 changed files+195−171
README.mdmodified+25−25View file
@@ -21,33 +21,33 @@ Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends
2121
2222 https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json
2323
24-## Current state (70 runs, generated 2026-08-09T09:38:48Z)
24+## Current state (71 runs, generated 2026-08-09T11:23:24Z)
2525
2626 | cell | sigma | M | mean | se | pasts | predicted |
2727 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
28-| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9334 | 0.0052 | 560 | 0.9513 |
29-| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5485 | 0.0095 | 560 | 2.5680 |
30-| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3128 | 0.0049 | 560 | 1.3319 |
31-| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9589 | 0.0183 | 560 | 2.9938 |
32-| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7202 | 0.0056 | 560 | 1.7342 |
33-| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1337 | 0.0093 | 560 | 2.1476 |
34-| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4776 | 0.0098 | 560 | 0.6166 |
35-| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4495 | 0.0079 | 560 | 1.4888 |
36-| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7589 | 0.0115 | 560 | 0.8251 |
37-| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6550 | 0.0088 | 560 | 1.7179 |
38-| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 0.9854 | 0.0082 | 560 | 1.0415 |
39-| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2243 | 0.0089 | 560 | 1.2632 |
40-| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4753 | 0.0087 | 560 | 0.6100 |
41-| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.1840 | 0.0113 | 560 | 3.1777 |
42-| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9721 | 0.0043 | 560 | 0.9825 |
43-| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0852 | 0.0101 | 560 | 4.1125 |
44-| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5569 | 0.0046 | 560 | 1.5529 |
45-| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.3024 | 0.0063 | 560 | 2.3064 |
46-| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.1075 | 0.0032 | 560 | 2.1048 |
47-| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 6.0315 | 0.0211 | 560 | 6.0473 |
48-| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0665 | 0.0040 | 560 | 3.0620 |
49-| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 7.0796 | 0.0450 | 560 | 7.0472 |
50-| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0378 | 0.0058 | 560 | 4.0508 |
51-| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0719 | 0.0136 | 560 | 5.0480 |
28+| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9330 | 0.0052 | 568 | 0.9513 |
29+| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5490 | 0.0094 | 568 | 2.5680 |
30+| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3134 | 0.0049 | 568 | 1.3319 |
31+| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9572 | 0.0181 | 568 | 2.9938 |
32+| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7203 | 0.0055 | 568 | 1.7342 |
33+| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1332 | 0.0091 | 568 | 2.1476 |
34+| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4775 | 0.0098 | 568 | 0.6166 |
35+| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4489 | 0.0078 | 568 | 1.4888 |
36+| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7565 | 0.0115 | 568 | 0.8251 |
37+| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6579 | 0.0088 | 568 | 1.7179 |
38+| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 0.9872 | 0.0081 | 568 | 1.0415 |
39+| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2252 | 0.0088 | 568 | 1.2632 |
40+| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4768 | 0.0087 | 568 | 0.6100 |
41+| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.1838 | 0.0112 | 568 | 3.1777 |
42+| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9721 | 0.0043 | 568 | 0.9825 |
43+| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0851 | 0.0100 | 568 | 4.1125 |
44+| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5570 | 0.0045 | 568 | 1.5529 |
45+| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.3024 | 0.0062 | 568 | 2.3064 |
46+| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.1078 | 0.0032 | 568 | 2.1048 |
47+| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 6.0330 | 0.0209 | 568 | 6.0473 |
48+| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0667 | 0.0040 | 568 | 3.0620 |
49+| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 7.0781 | 0.0446 | 568 | 7.0472 |
50+| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0392 | 0.0059 | 568 | 4.0508 |
51+| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0704 | 0.0134 | 568 | 5.0480 |
5252
5353 [wf]: https://github.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/blob/main/.github/workflows/estimates.yml
estimates.jsonmodified+146−146View file
@@ -5,10 +5,10 @@
55 "M": 512,
66 "highres_szego": -4.78256796018064,
77 "id": "bp300-6000_s1",
8- "last_utc": "2026-08-09T09:25:35Z",
9- "mean": 0.933369578211153,
10- "n_pasts": 560,
11- "n_runs": 70,
8+ "last_utc": "2026-08-09T11:11:28Z",
9+ "mean": 0.9329701747948816,
10+ "n_pasts": 568,
11+ "n_runs": 71,
1212 "params": {
1313 "filter": "bandpass",
1414 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -18,18 +18,18 @@
1818 "taps": 101
1919 },
2020 "predicted": 0.9512549259549268,
21- "sd": 0.12336345237052103,
22- "se": 0.005213057332447228
21+ "sd": 0.12467701785422086,
22+ "se": 0.005231331459564281
2323 },
2424 {
2525 "L": 101,
2626 "M": 512,
2727 "highres_szego": -0.7825679601806399,
2828 "id": "bp300-6000_s16",
29- "last_utc": "2026-08-09T09:36:06Z",
30- "mean": 2.5484652925015325,
31- "n_pasts": 560,
32- "n_runs": 70,
29+ "last_utc": "2026-08-09T11:20:32Z",
30+ "mean": 2.5489878044368766,
31+ "n_pasts": 568,
32+ "n_runs": 71,
3333 "params": {
3434 "filter": "bandpass",
3535 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -39,18 +39,18 @@
3939 "taps": 101
4040 },
4141 "predicted": 2.56797969986038,
42- "sd": 0.2240537012083993,
43- "se": 0.009467996943197523
42+ "sd": 0.22431739877579812,
43+ "se": 0.009412148969712717
4444 },
4545 {
4646 "L": 101,
4747 "M": 512,
4848 "highres_szego": -3.7825679601806397,
4949 "id": "bp300-6000_s2",
50- "last_utc": "2026-08-09T09:26:46Z",
51- "mean": 1.3128450734205663,
52- "n_pasts": 560,
53- "n_runs": 70,
50+ "last_utc": "2026-08-09T11:12:38Z",
51+ "mean": 1.3134198259481376,
52+ "n_pasts": 568,
53+ "n_runs": 71,
5454 "params": {
5555 "filter": "bandpass",
5656 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -60,18 +60,18 @@
6060 "taps": 101
6161 },
6262 "predicted": 1.3318639472861573,
63- "sd": 0.11619531730071822,
64- "se": 0.0049101483398116
63+ "sd": 0.11564284479147977,
64+ "se": 0.004852265978470359
6565 },
6666 {
6767 "L": 101,
6868 "M": 512,
6969 "highres_szego": 0.2174320398193601,
7070 "id": "bp300-6000_s32",
71- "last_utc": "2026-08-09T09:38:48Z",
72- "mean": 2.9588873299992504,
73- "n_pasts": 560,
74- "n_runs": 70,
71+ "last_utc": "2026-08-09T11:23:23Z",
72+ "mean": 2.957154457019735,
73+ "n_pasts": 568,
74+ "n_runs": 71,
7575 "params": {
7676 "filter": "bandpass",
7777 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -81,18 +81,18 @@
8181 "taps": 101
8282 },
8383 "predicted": 2.9937688408517453,
84- "sd": 0.4333947024794952,
85- "se": 0.018314268838867245
84+ "sd": 0.43111778896304437,
85+ "se": 0.018089300586393648
8686 },
8787 {
8888 "L": 101,
8989 "M": 512,
9090 "highres_szego": -2.7825679601806397,
9191 "id": "bp300-6000_s4",
92- "last_utc": "2026-08-09T09:28:02Z",
93- "mean": 1.7202446982628805,
94- "n_pasts": 560,
95- "n_runs": 70,
92+ "last_utc": "2026-08-09T11:13:33Z",
93+ "mean": 1.7203473543240206,
94+ "n_pasts": 568,
95+ "n_runs": 71,
9696 "params": {
9797 "filter": "bandpass",
9898 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -102,18 +102,18 @@
102102 "taps": 101
103103 },
104104 "predicted": 1.734166393696377,
105- "sd": 0.13230743432663988,
106- "se": 0.005591009552668674
105+ "sd": 0.13224921749923085,
106+ "se": 0.0055490538987339405
107107 },
108108 {
109109 "L": 101,
110110 "M": 512,
111111 "highres_szego": -1.78256796018064,
112112 "id": "bp300-6000_s8",
113- "last_utc": "2026-08-09T09:29:11Z",
114- "mean": 2.1336992534851857,
115- "n_pasts": 560,
116- "n_runs": 70,
113+ "last_utc": "2026-08-09T11:16:20Z",
114+ "mean": 2.1331715117109815,
115+ "n_pasts": 568,
116+ "n_runs": 71,
117117 "params": {
118118 "filter": "bandpass",
119119 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -123,18 +123,18 @@
123123 "taps": 101
124124 },
125125 "predicted": 2.1476021059762167,
126- "sd": 0.21928442800276762,
127- "se": 0.009266458366112406
126+ "sd": 0.21804458555073075,
127+ "se": 0.009148947573585043
128128 },
129129 {
130130 "L": 101,
131131 "M": 512,
132132 "highres_szego": -7.756237076152647,
133133 "id": "lp3000_s1",
134- "last_utc": "2026-08-09T09:09:46Z",
135- "mean": 0.4776046398877531,
136- "n_pasts": 560,
137- "n_runs": 70,
134+ "last_utc": "2026-08-09T10:59:50Z",
135+ "mean": 0.47746695359732544,
136+ "n_pasts": 568,
137+ "n_runs": 71,
138138 "params": {
139139 "filter": "lowpass",
140140 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -143,18 +143,18 @@
143143 "taps": 101
144144 },
145145 "predicted": 0.616561114498688,
146- "sd": 0.23241358498523298,
147- "se": 0.009821266510348866
146+ "sd": 0.23248639336319496,
147+ "se": 0.009754912368401215
148148 },
149149 {
150150 "L": 101,
151151 "M": 512,
152152 "highres_szego": -3.756237076152648,
153153 "id": "lp3000_s16",
154- "last_utc": "2026-08-09T09:22:14Z",
155- "mean": 1.4495139781082622,
156- "n_pasts": 560,
157- "n_runs": 70,
154+ "last_utc": "2026-08-09T11:05:22Z",
155+ "mean": 1.4488711085142287,
156+ "n_pasts": 568,
157+ "n_runs": 71,
158158 "params": {
159159 "filter": "lowpass",
160160 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -163,18 +163,18 @@
163163 "taps": 101
164164 },
165165 "predicted": 1.4888184418209351,
166- "sd": 0.1877192714066211,
167- "se": 0.007932587046192149
166+ "sd": 0.18661009217716662,
167+ "se": 0.007829985531255253
168168 },
169169 {
170170 "L": 101,
171171 "M": 512,
172172 "highres_szego": -6.756237076152647,
173173 "id": "lp3000_s2",
174- "last_utc": "2026-08-09T09:12:29Z",
175- "mean": 0.758861939283005,
176- "n_pasts": 560,
177- "n_runs": 70,
174+ "last_utc": "2026-08-09T11:01:27Z",
175+ "mean": 0.7564970218835848,
176+ "n_pasts": 568,
177+ "n_runs": 71,
178178 "params": {
179179 "filter": "lowpass",
180180 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -183,18 +183,18 @@
183183 "taps": 101
184184 },
185185 "predicted": 0.8251241884518832,
186- "sd": 0.27204914934977625,
187- "se": 0.011496174803411852
186+ "sd": 0.274348284054067,
187+ "se": 0.011511398282942894
188188 },
189189 {
190190 "L": 101,
191191 "M": 512,
192192 "highres_szego": -2.756237076152648,
193193 "id": "lp3000_s32",
194- "last_utc": "2026-08-09T09:24:06Z",
195- "mean": 1.6550487870513992,
196- "n_pasts": 560,
197- "n_runs": 70,
194+ "last_utc": "2026-08-09T11:10:28Z",
195+ "mean": 1.6579217781995368,
196+ "n_pasts": 568,
197+ "n_runs": 71,
198198 "params": {
199199 "filter": "lowpass",
200200 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -203,18 +203,18 @@
203203 "taps": 101
204204 },
205205 "predicted": 1.71791605587854,
206- "sd": 0.2092223642875319,
207- "se": 0.008841258568098361
206+ "sd": 0.21084595567580977,
207+ "se": 0.008846899773769477
208208 },
209209 {
210210 "L": 101,
211211 "M": 512,
212212 "highres_szego": -5.756237076152647,
213213 "id": "lp3000_s4",
214- "last_utc": "2026-08-09T09:13:32Z",
215- "mean": 0.9853649105874228,
216- "n_pasts": 560,
217- "n_runs": 70,
214+ "last_utc": "2026-08-09T11:02:28Z",
215+ "mean": 0.9871525095828377,
216+ "n_pasts": 568,
217+ "n_runs": 71,
218218 "params": {
219219 "filter": "lowpass",
220220 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -223,18 +223,18 @@
223223 "taps": 101
224224 },
225225 "predicted": 1.04149876351225,
226- "sd": 0.19364613251630106,
227- "se": 0.008183042640393698
226+ "sd": 0.19315234830132227,
227+ "se": 0.00810449250028494
228228 },
229229 {
230230 "L": 101,
231231 "M": 512,
232232 "highres_szego": -4.756237076152647,
233233 "id": "lp3000_s8",
234- "last_utc": "2026-08-09T09:14:49Z",
235- "mean": 1.2243384392248902,
236- "n_pasts": 560,
237- "n_runs": 70,
234+ "last_utc": "2026-08-09T11:03:38Z",
235+ "mean": 1.2252043510293245,
236+ "n_pasts": 568,
237+ "n_runs": 71,
238238 "params": {
239239 "filter": "lowpass",
240240 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -243,222 +243,222 @@
243243 "taps": 101
244244 },
245245 "predicted": 1.2631675560846525,
246- "sd": 0.21177038561180203,
247- "se": 0.008948932121265655
246+ "sd": 0.21070111813383988,
247+ "se": 0.008840822525509344
248248 },
249249 {
250250 "L": 8,
251251 "M": 512,
252252 "highres_szego": -0.9529044148193548,
253253 "id": "ma8_s1",
254- "last_utc": "2026-08-09T09:07:39Z",
255- "mean": 0.4753275611198387,
256- "n_pasts": 560,
257- "n_runs": 70,
254+ "last_utc": "2026-08-09T10:58:09Z",
255+ "mean": 0.47679908674857285,
256+ "n_pasts": 568,
257+ "n_runs": 71,
258258 "params": {
259259 "filter": "moving-average",
260260 "sigma": 1.0,
261261 "width": 8
262262 },
263263 "predicted": 0.6099987154839898,
264- "sd": 0.2058567053915478,
265- "se": 0.008699033521303069
264+ "sd": 0.20673969884496746,
265+ "se": 0.00867460506452841
266266 },
267267 {
268268 "L": 8,
269269 "M": 512,
270270 "highres_szego": 3.0470955851806454,
271271 "id": "ma8_s16",
272- "last_utc": "2026-08-09T09:08:13Z",
273- "mean": 3.184000078377974,
274- "n_pasts": 560,
275- "n_runs": 70,
272+ "last_utc": "2026-08-09T10:58:36Z",
273+ "mean": 3.1837853923839603,
274+ "n_pasts": 568,
275+ "n_runs": 71,
276276 "params": {
277277 "filter": "moving-average",
278278 "sigma": 16.0,
279279 "width": 8
280280 },
281281 "predicted": 3.1776500292335506,
282- "sd": 0.26764803790840613,
283- "se": 0.011310193900401437
282+ "sd": 0.2673107256950517,
283+ "se": 0.011216108893802357
284284 },
285285 {
286286 "L": 8,
287287 "M": 512,
288288 "highres_szego": 0.04709558518064521,
289289 "id": "ma8_s2",
290- "last_utc": "2026-08-09T09:07:56Z",
291- "mean": 0.9721397632070997,
292- "n_pasts": 560,
293- "n_runs": 70,
290+ "last_utc": "2026-08-09T10:58:14Z",
291+ "mean": 0.9720783217675598,
292+ "n_pasts": 568,
293+ "n_runs": 71,
294294 "params": {
295295 "filter": "moving-average",
296296 "sigma": 2.0,
297297 "width": 8
298298 },
299299 "predicted": 0.9825176804091631,
300- "sd": 0.10285436896626829,
301- "se": 0.004346390377462917
300+ "sd": 0.10219837181775317,
301+ "se": 0.004288148423886608
302302 },
303303 {
304304 "L": 8,
305305 "M": 512,
306306 "highres_szego": 4.047095585180645,
307307 "id": "ma8_s32",
308- "last_utc": "2026-08-09T09:08:19Z",
309- "mean": 4.085183183224673,
310- "n_pasts": 560,
311- "n_runs": 70,
308+ "last_utc": "2026-08-09T10:58:42Z",
309+ "mean": 4.085094739947648,
310+ "n_pasts": 568,
311+ "n_runs": 71,
312312 "params": {
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314314 "sigma": 32.0,
315315 "width": 8
316316 },
317317 "predicted": 4.112486639362294,
318- "sd": 0.23932112918487672,
319- "se": 0.010113163528851577
318+ "sd": 0.23809872977455,
319+ "se": 0.00999040077304616
320320 },
321321 {
322322 "L": 8,
323323 "M": 512,
324324 "highres_szego": 1.0470955851806452,
325325 "id": "ma8_s4",
326- "last_utc": "2026-08-09T09:08:02Z",
327- "mean": 1.556906079262512,
328- "n_pasts": 560,
329- "n_runs": 70,
326+ "last_utc": "2026-08-09T10:58:20Z",
327+ "mean": 1.5569534124291573,
328+ "n_pasts": 568,
329+ "n_runs": 71,
330330 "params": {
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333333 "width": 8
334334 },
335335 "predicted": 1.5529090070448803,
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336+ "sd": 0.10728211426185368,
337+ "se": 0.004501457518360149
338338 },
339339 {
340340 "L": 8,
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342342 "highres_szego": 2.0470955851806454,
343343 "id": "ma8_s8",
344- "last_utc": "2026-08-09T09:08:08Z",
345- "mean": 2.302435063152309,
346- "n_pasts": 560,
347- "n_runs": 70,
344+ "last_utc": "2026-08-09T10:58:27Z",
345+ "mean": 2.3024393907025873,
346+ "n_pasts": 568,
347+ "n_runs": 71,
348348 "params": {
349349 "filter": "moving-average",
350350 "sigma": 8.0,
351351 "width": 8
352352 },
353353 "predicted": 2.3064317412363535,
354- "sd": 0.148199632497191,
355- "se": 0.006262577497710176
354+ "sd": 0.14772808194662065,
355+ "se": 0.0061985326233264856
356356 },
357357 {
358358 "L": 1,
359359 "M": 512,
360360 "highres_szego": 2.047095585180641,
361361 "id": "none_s1",
362- "last_utc": "2026-08-09T09:07:29Z",
363- "mean": 2.1075152205831733,
364- "n_pasts": 560,
365- "n_runs": 70,
362+ "last_utc": "2026-08-09T10:57:58Z",
363+ "mean": 2.1077863763120512,
364+ "n_pasts": 568,
365+ "n_runs": 71,
366366 "params": {
367367 "filter": "none",
368368 "sigma": 1.0
369369 },
370370 "predicted": 2.1048326603976193,
371- "sd": 0.07636094040392073,
372- "se": 0.003226838683872215
371+ "sd": 0.07599561751198466,
372+ "se": 0.003188705276415147
373373 },
374374 {
375375 "L": 1,
376376 "M": 512,
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378378 "id": "none_s16",
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442442 {
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445445 "highres_szego": 5.047095585180641,
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447- "last_utc": "2026-08-09T09:07:32Z",
448- "mean": 5.071884243139249,
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450- "n_runs": 70,
447+ "last_utc": "2026-08-09T10:58:02Z",
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451451 "params": {
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454454 },
455455 "predicted": 5.048034228800837,
456- "sd": 0.3212765856769819,
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456+ "sd": 0.31950366822464615,
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458458 }
459459 ],
460460 "estimand": "H(z_{M+1} | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample, for x ~ iid N(0, sigma^2) -> y = h * x -> z = round(y)",
461- "generated": "2026-08-09T09:38:48Z",
461+ "generated": "2026-08-09T11:23:24Z",
462462 "settings": {
463463 "n0": 128,
464464 "pasts_per_run": 8,
@@ -466,5 +466,5 @@
466466 "reps": 8,
467467 "thin": "auto"
468468 },
469- "total_runs": 70
469+ "total_runs": 71
470470 }
runs.jsonlmodified+24−0View file
@@ -1678,3 +1678,27 @@
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