estimates: run 113 from efed18a
3 changed files+207−183
README.mdmodified+25−25View file
@@ -21,33 +21,33 @@ Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends
2121
2222 https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json
2323
24-## Current state (99 runs, generated 2026-08-12T11:27:05Z)
24+## Current state (100 runs, generated 2026-08-12T14:19:39Z)
2525
2626 | cell | sigma | M | mean | se | pasts | predicted |
2727 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
28-| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9308 | 0.0044 | 792 | 0.9513 |
29-| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5423 | 0.0077 | 792 | 2.5680 |
30-| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3101 | 0.0042 | 792 | 1.3319 |
31-| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9710 | 0.0185 | 792 | 2.9938 |
32-| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7231 | 0.0047 | 792 | 1.7342 |
33-| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1339 | 0.0072 | 792 | 2.1476 |
34-| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4766 | 0.0083 | 792 | 0.6166 |
35-| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4473 | 0.0066 | 792 | 1.4888 |
36-| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7635 | 0.0095 | 792 | 0.8251 |
37-| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6650 | 0.0072 | 792 | 1.7179 |
38-| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 0.9883 | 0.0068 | 792 | 1.0415 |
39-| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2140 | 0.0079 | 792 | 1.2632 |
40-| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4711 | 0.0072 | 792 | 0.6100 |
41-| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.1819 | 0.0093 | 792 | 3.1777 |
42-| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9755 | 0.0034 | 792 | 0.9825 |
43-| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0868 | 0.0084 | 792 | 4.1125 |
44-| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5561 | 0.0037 | 792 | 1.5529 |
45-| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.3049 | 0.0057 | 792 | 2.3064 |
46-| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.1062 | 0.0025 | 792 | 2.1048 |
47-| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 6.0149 | 0.0169 | 792 | 6.0473 |
48-| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0660 | 0.0033 | 792 | 3.0620 |
49-| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 7.0811 | 0.0402 | 792 | 7.0472 |
50-| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0375 | 0.0048 | 792 | 4.0508 |
51-| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0665 | 0.0112 | 792 | 5.0480 |
28+| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9312 | 0.0044 | 800 | 0.9513 |
29+| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5422 | 0.0077 | 800 | 2.5680 |
30+| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3098 | 0.0041 | 800 | 1.3319 |
31+| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9701 | 0.0184 | 800 | 2.9938 |
32+| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7242 | 0.0048 | 800 | 1.7342 |
33+| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1336 | 0.0072 | 800 | 2.1476 |
34+| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4771 | 0.0083 | 800 | 0.6166 |
35+| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4457 | 0.0066 | 800 | 1.4888 |
36+| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7627 | 0.0095 | 800 | 0.8251 |
37+| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6650 | 0.0071 | 800 | 1.7179 |
38+| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 0.9885 | 0.0068 | 800 | 1.0415 |
39+| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2133 | 0.0078 | 800 | 1.2632 |
40+| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4728 | 0.0072 | 800 | 0.6100 |
41+| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.1813 | 0.0092 | 800 | 3.1777 |
42+| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9758 | 0.0034 | 800 | 0.9825 |
43+| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0863 | 0.0084 | 800 | 4.1125 |
44+| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5559 | 0.0037 | 800 | 1.5529 |
45+| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.3046 | 0.0057 | 800 | 2.3064 |
46+| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.1061 | 0.0025 | 800 | 2.1048 |
47+| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 6.0151 | 0.0167 | 800 | 6.0473 |
48+| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0659 | 0.0032 | 800 | 3.0620 |
49+| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 7.0749 | 0.0398 | 800 | 7.0472 |
50+| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0375 | 0.0048 | 800 | 4.0508 |
51+| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0670 | 0.0111 | 800 | 5.0480 |
5252
5353 [wf]: https://github.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/blob/main/.github/workflows/estimates.yml
estimates.jsonmodified+158−158View file
@@ -3,12 +3,12 @@
33 {
44 "L": 101,
55 "M": 512,
6- "highres_szego": -4.782567960178533,
6+ "highres_szego": -4.78256796018064,
77 "id": "bp300-6000_s1",
8- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T11:19:41Z",
9- "mean": 0.930770886940809,
10- "n_pasts": 792,
11- "n_runs": 99,
8+ "last_utc": "2026-08-12T14:03:59Z",
9+ "mean": 0.9311724037243223,
10+ "n_pasts": 800,
11+ "n_runs": 100,
1212 "params": {
1313 "filter": "bandpass",
1414 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -18,18 +18,18 @@
1818 "taps": 101
1919 },
2020 "predicted": 0.9512549259549268,
21- "sd": 0.12388113074786992,
22- "se": 0.004401924303064818
21+ "sd": 0.12342260605409065,
22+ "se": 0.004363648084628167
2323 },
2424 {
2525 "L": 101,
2626 "M": 512,
27- "highres_szego": -0.7825679601785338,
27+ "highres_szego": -0.7825679601806399,
2828 "id": "bp300-6000_s16",
29- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T11:24:51Z",
30- "mean": 2.5422700725414367,
31- "n_pasts": 792,
32- "n_runs": 99,
29+ "last_utc": "2026-08-12T14:14:40Z",
30+ "mean": 2.542161932702639,
31+ "n_pasts": 800,
32+ "n_runs": 100,
3333 "params": {
3434 "filter": "bandpass",
3535 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -39,18 +39,18 @@
3939 "taps": 101
4040 },
4141 "predicted": 2.56797969986038,
42- "sd": 0.2175793036993013,
43- "se": 0.007731343902140993
42+ "sd": 0.21696524702945608,
43+ "se": 0.007670879872817141
4444 },
4545 {
4646 "L": 101,
4747 "M": 512,
48- "highres_szego": -3.782567960178534,
48+ "highres_szego": -3.7825679601806397,
4949 "id": "bp300-6000_s2",
50- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T11:21:11Z",
51- "mean": 1.3101054190883772,
52- "n_pasts": 792,
53- "n_runs": 99,
50+ "last_utc": "2026-08-12T14:05:04Z",
51+ "mean": 1.309775275697489,
52+ "n_pasts": 800,
53+ "n_runs": 100,
5454 "params": {
5555 "filter": "bandpass",
5656 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -60,18 +60,18 @@
6060 "taps": 101
6161 },
6262 "predicted": 1.3318639472861573,
63- "sd": 0.11715229084484265,
64- "se": 0.004162825388470213
63+ "sd": 0.11728815256969594,
64+ "se": 0.004146762401743719
6565 },
6666 {
6767 "L": 101,
6868 "M": 512,
69- "highres_szego": 0.21743203982146625,
69+ "highres_szego": 0.2174320398193601,
7070 "id": "bp300-6000_s32",
71- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T11:27:05Z",
72- "mean": 2.97103413110487,
73- "n_pasts": 792,
74- "n_runs": 99,
71+ "last_utc": "2026-08-12T14:19:39Z",
72+ "mean": 2.9700544394588038,
73+ "n_pasts": 800,
74+ "n_runs": 100,
7575 "params": {
7676 "filter": "bandpass",
7777 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -81,18 +81,18 @@
8181 "taps": 101
8282 },
8383 "predicted": 2.9937688408517453,
84- "sd": 0.5214124420481349,
85- "se": 0.018527584360231757
84+ "sd": 0.5194322731315308,
85+ "se": 0.01836470413492242
8686 },
8787 {
8888 "L": 101,
8989 "M": 512,
90- "highres_szego": -2.782567960178534,
90+ "highres_szego": -2.7825679601806397,
9191 "id": "bp300-6000_s4",
92- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T11:22:34Z",
93- "mean": 1.7231318115812888,
94- "n_pasts": 792,
95- "n_runs": 99,
92+ "last_utc": "2026-08-12T14:09:23Z",
93+ "mean": 1.7242177205696905,
94+ "n_pasts": 800,
95+ "n_runs": 100,
9696 "params": {
9797 "filter": "bandpass",
9898 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -102,18 +102,18 @@
102102 "taps": 101
103103 },
104104 "predicted": 1.734166393696377,
105- "sd": 0.13349850085181836,
106- "se": 0.00474366266900129
105+ "sd": 0.1345739572107572,
106+ "se": 0.004757907885741736
107107 },
108108 {
109109 "L": 101,
110110 "M": 512,
111- "highres_szego": -1.7825679601785338,
111+ "highres_szego": -1.78256796018064,
112112 "id": "bp300-6000_s8",
113- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T11:23:32Z",
114- "mean": 2.1338649509573187,
115- "n_pasts": 792,
116- "n_runs": 99,
113+ "last_utc": "2026-08-12T14:11:17Z",
114+ "mean": 2.133584073037998,
115+ "n_pasts": 800,
116+ "n_runs": 100,
117117 "params": {
118118 "filter": "bandpass",
119119 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -123,18 +123,18 @@
123123 "taps": 101
124124 },
125125 "predicted": 2.1476021059762167,
126- "sd": 0.2035663834871029,
127- "se": 0.0072334164642285405
126+ "sd": 0.20293995463985226,
127+ "se": 0.0071750109049764955
128128 },
129129 {
130130 "L": 101,
131131 "M": 512,
132- "highres_szego": -7.756237076152649,
132+ "highres_szego": -7.756237076152647,
133133 "id": "lp3000_s1",
134- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T11:15:32Z",
135- "mean": 0.47658266208764494,
136- "n_pasts": 792,
137- "n_runs": 99,
134+ "last_utc": "2026-08-12T13:55:52Z",
135+ "mean": 0.4771065644834225,
136+ "n_pasts": 800,
137+ "n_runs": 100,
138138 "params": {
139139 "filter": "lowpass",
140140 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -143,18 +143,18 @@
143143 "taps": 101
144144 },
145145 "predicted": 0.616561114498688,
146- "sd": 0.23319534271655806,
147- "se": 0.008286235686327043
146+ "sd": 0.2336177002392927,
147+ "se": 0.0082596330022205
148148 },
149149 {
150150 "L": 101,
151151 "M": 512,
152- "highres_szego": -3.7562370761526487,
152+ "highres_szego": -3.756237076152648,
153153 "id": "lp3000_s16",
154- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T11:17:34Z",
155- "mean": 1.4473275604732836,
156- "n_pasts": 792,
157- "n_runs": 99,
154+ "last_utc": "2026-08-12T14:01:00Z",
155+ "mean": 1.4456648504989797,
156+ "n_pasts": 800,
157+ "n_runs": 100,
158158 "params": {
159159 "filter": "lowpass",
160160 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -163,18 +163,18 @@
163163 "taps": 101
164164 },
165165 "predicted": 1.4888184418209351,
166- "sd": 0.18684117933855401,
167- "se": 0.006639112213284466
166+ "sd": 0.18683062687027777,
167+ "se": 0.006605460159665351
168168 },
169169 {
170170 "L": 101,
171171 "M": 512,
172- "highres_szego": -6.756237076152649,
172+ "highres_szego": -6.756237076152647,
173173 "id": "lp3000_s2",
174- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T11:16:02Z",
175- "mean": 0.7634765574261397,
176- "n_pasts": 792,
177- "n_runs": 99,
174+ "last_utc": "2026-08-12T13:57:12Z",
175+ "mean": 0.7626526865951685,
176+ "n_pasts": 800,
177+ "n_runs": 100,
178178 "params": {
179179 "filter": "lowpass",
180180 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -183,18 +183,18 @@
183183 "taps": 101
184184 },
185185 "predicted": 0.8251241884518832,
186- "sd": 0.2682485927152589,
187- "se": 0.009531798688046265
186+ "sd": 0.26925484453798537,
187+ "se": 0.009519596322006954
188188 },
189189 {
190190 "L": 101,
191191 "M": 512,
192- "highres_szego": -2.7562370761526487,
192+ "highres_szego": -2.756237076152648,
193193 "id": "lp3000_s32",
194- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T11:19:18Z",
195- "mean": 1.6649752648717377,
196- "n_pasts": 792,
197- "n_runs": 99,
194+ "last_utc": "2026-08-12T14:02:48Z",
195+ "mean": 1.6649746352667452,
196+ "n_pasts": 800,
197+ "n_runs": 100,
198198 "params": {
199199 "filter": "lowpass",
200200 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -203,18 +203,18 @@
203203 "taps": 101
204204 },
205205 "predicted": 1.71791605587854,
206- "sd": 0.20186982995439576,
207- "se": 0.007173132059477073
206+ "sd": 0.20103306573341523,
207+ "se": 0.0071075922011409436
208208 },
209209 {
210210 "L": 101,
211211 "M": 512,
212- "highres_szego": -5.756237076152649,
212+ "highres_szego": -5.756237076152647,
213213 "id": "lp3000_s4",
214- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T11:16:26Z",
215- "mean": 0.9883016437116783,
216- "n_pasts": 792,
217- "n_runs": 99,
214+ "last_utc": "2026-08-12T13:58:25Z",
215+ "mean": 0.9884942010336272,
216+ "n_pasts": 800,
217+ "n_runs": 100,
218218 "params": {
219219 "filter": "lowpass",
220220 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -223,18 +223,18 @@
223223 "taps": 101
224224 },
225225 "predicted": 1.04149876351225,
226- "sd": 0.19265633674579197,
227- "se": 0.006845744834108427
226+ "sd": 0.192758600265119,
227+ "se": 0.006815045668974635
228228 },
229229 {
230230 "L": 101,
231231 "M": 512,
232- "highres_szego": -4.756237076152649,
232+ "highres_szego": -4.756237076152647,
233233 "id": "lp3000_s8",
234- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T11:16:47Z",
235- "mean": 1.2140118467593308,
236- "n_pasts": 792,
237- "n_runs": 99,
234+ "last_utc": "2026-08-12T13:59:25Z",
235+ "mean": 1.213254842142367,
236+ "n_pasts": 800,
237+ "n_runs": 100,
238238 "params": {
239239 "filter": "lowpass",
240240 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -243,222 +243,222 @@
243243 "taps": 101
244244 },
245245 "predicted": 1.2631675560846525,
246- "sd": 0.22109614558514123,
247- "se": 0.007856309437036075
246+ "sd": 0.2208406051435219,
247+ "se": 0.007807894472916254
248248 },
249249 {
250250 "L": 8,
251251 "M": 512,
252252 "highres_szego": -0.9529044148193548,
253253 "id": "ma8_s1",
254- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T11:14:02Z",
255- "mean": 0.4711451787267783,
256- "n_pasts": 792,
257- "n_runs": 99,
254+ "last_utc": "2026-08-12T13:53:56Z",
255+ "mean": 0.47281091597404495,
256+ "n_pasts": 800,
257+ "n_runs": 100,
258258 "params": {
259259 "filter": "moving-average",
260260 "sigma": 1.0,
261261 "width": 8
262262 },
263263 "predicted": 0.6099987154839898,
264- "sd": 0.2033524757208356,
265- "se": 0.00722581558272817
264+ "sd": 0.20454630936381674,
265+ "se": 0.007231804120891811
266266 },
267267 {
268268 "L": 8,
269269 "M": 512,
270270 "highres_szego": 3.0470955851806454,
271271 "id": "ma8_s16",
272- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T11:15:06Z",
273- "mean": 3.1819084126087454,
274- "n_pasts": 792,
275- "n_runs": 99,
272+ "last_utc": "2026-08-12T13:54:21Z",
273+ "mean": 3.181254635401856,
274+ "n_pasts": 800,
275+ "n_runs": 100,
276276 "params": {
277277 "filter": "moving-average",
278278 "sigma": 16.0,
279279 "width": 8
280280 },
281281 "predicted": 3.1776500292335506,
282- "sd": 0.2610140642095094,
283- "se": 0.009274730911392783
282+ "sd": 0.2605447528239623,
283+ "se": 0.00921164807621983
284284 },
285285 {
286286 "L": 8,
287287 "M": 512,
288288 "highres_szego": 0.04709558518064521,
289289 "id": "ma8_s2",
290- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T11:14:04Z",
291- "mean": 0.9755137513785052,
292- "n_pasts": 792,
293- "n_runs": 99,
290+ "last_utc": "2026-08-12T13:54:01Z",
291+ "mean": 0.9757884533520267,
292+ "n_pasts": 800,
293+ "n_runs": 100,
294294 "params": {
295295 "filter": "moving-average",
296296 "sigma": 2.0,
297297 "width": 8
298298 },
299299 "predicted": 0.9825176804091631,
300- "sd": 0.0962974597087052,
301- "se": 0.0034217812321869134
300+ "sd": 0.09603774160376714,
301+ "se": 0.0033954469168932582
302302 },
303303 {
304304 "L": 8,
305305 "M": 512,
306306 "highres_szego": 4.047095585180645,
307307 "id": "ma8_s32",
308- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T11:15:08Z",
309- "mean": 4.086812337103367,
310- "n_pasts": 792,
311- "n_runs": 99,
308+ "last_utc": "2026-08-12T13:54:26Z",
309+ "mean": 4.086314657505013,
310+ "n_pasts": 800,
311+ "n_runs": 100,
312312 "params": {
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314314 "sigma": 32.0,
315315 "width": 8
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317317 "predicted": 4.112486639362294,
318- "sd": 0.23748502906968372,
319- "se": 0.008438663053564922
318+ "sd": 0.23662337300109543,
319+ "se": 0.00836589958181542
320320 },
321321 {
322322 "L": 8,
323323 "M": 512,
324324 "highres_szego": 1.0470955851806452,
325325 "id": "ma8_s4",
326- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T11:14:10Z",
327- "mean": 1.5561323973047,
328- "n_pasts": 792,
329- "n_runs": 99,
326+ "last_utc": "2026-08-12T13:54:08Z",
327+ "mean": 1.555877909557388,
328+ "n_pasts": 800,
329+ "n_runs": 100,
330330 "params": {
331331 "filter": "moving-average",
332332 "sigma": 4.0,
333333 "width": 8
334334 },
335335 "predicted": 1.5529090070448803,
336- "sd": 0.10520246686882187,
337- "se": 0.0037382068831350325
336+ "sd": 0.1050745581818624,
337+ "se": 0.0037149466310287664
338338 },
339339 {
340340 "L": 8,
341341 "M": 512,
342342 "highres_szego": 2.0470955851806454,
343343 "id": "ma8_s8",
344- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T11:15:03Z",
345- "mean": 2.3049029506519942,
346- "n_pasts": 792,
347- "n_runs": 99,
344+ "last_utc": "2026-08-12T13:54:15Z",
345+ "mean": 2.30464618852494,
346+ "n_pasts": 800,
347+ "n_runs": 100,
348348 "params": {
349349 "filter": "moving-average",
350350 "sigma": 8.0,
351351 "width": 8
352352 },
353353 "predicted": 2.3064317412363535,
354- "sd": 0.16098080039903476,
355- "se": 0.005720203660762291
354+ "sd": 0.16035293822968677,
355+ "se": 0.005669332500269955
356356 },
357357 {
358358 "L": 1,
359359 "M": 512,
360360 "highres_szego": 2.047095585180641,
361361 "id": "none_s1",
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451451 "params": {
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455455 "predicted": 5.048034228800837,
456- "sd": 0.31455007298151094,
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456+ "sd": 0.3152798410540281,
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458458 }
459459 ],
460460 "estimand": "H(z_{M+1} | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample, for x ~ iid N(0, sigma^2) -> y = h * x -> z = round(y)",
461- "generated": "2026-08-12T11:27:05Z",
461+ "generated": "2026-08-12T14:19:39Z",
462462 "settings": {
463463 "n0": 128,
464464 "pasts_per_run": 8,
@@ -466,5 +466,5 @@
466466 "reps": 8,
467467 "thin": "auto"
468468 },
469- "total_runs": 99
469+ "total_runs": 100
470470 }
runs.jsonlmodified+24−0View file
@@ -2374,3 +2374,27 @@
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