estimates: run 112 from efed18a
3 changed files+195−171
README.mdmodified+25−25View file
@@ -21,33 +21,33 @@ Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends
2121
2222 https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json
2323
24-## Current state (98 runs, generated 2026-08-12T09:49:54Z)
24+## Current state (99 runs, generated 2026-08-12T11:27:05Z)
2525
2626 | cell | sigma | M | mean | se | pasts | predicted |
2727 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
28-| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9312 | 0.0044 | 784 | 0.9513 |
29-| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5417 | 0.0078 | 784 | 2.5680 |
30-| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3095 | 0.0042 | 784 | 1.3319 |
31-| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9719 | 0.0187 | 784 | 2.9938 |
32-| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7229 | 0.0048 | 784 | 1.7342 |
33-| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1335 | 0.0073 | 784 | 2.1476 |
34-| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4769 | 0.0084 | 784 | 0.6166 |
35-| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4464 | 0.0067 | 784 | 1.4888 |
36-| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7636 | 0.0096 | 784 | 0.8251 |
37-| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6653 | 0.0072 | 784 | 1.7179 |
38-| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 0.9881 | 0.0069 | 784 | 1.0415 |
39-| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2137 | 0.0079 | 784 | 1.2632 |
40-| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4713 | 0.0073 | 784 | 0.6100 |
41-| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.1826 | 0.0093 | 784 | 3.1777 |
42-| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9753 | 0.0034 | 784 | 0.9825 |
43-| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0872 | 0.0085 | 784 | 4.1125 |
44-| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5555 | 0.0037 | 784 | 1.5529 |
45-| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.3029 | 0.0054 | 784 | 2.3064 |
46-| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.1062 | 0.0025 | 784 | 2.1048 |
47-| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 6.0170 | 0.0170 | 784 | 6.0473 |
48-| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0658 | 0.0033 | 784 | 3.0620 |
49-| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 7.0807 | 0.0405 | 784 | 7.0472 |
50-| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0373 | 0.0049 | 784 | 4.0508 |
51-| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0622 | 0.0106 | 784 | 5.0480 |
28+| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9308 | 0.0044 | 792 | 0.9513 |
29+| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5423 | 0.0077 | 792 | 2.5680 |
30+| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3101 | 0.0042 | 792 | 1.3319 |
31+| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9710 | 0.0185 | 792 | 2.9938 |
32+| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7231 | 0.0047 | 792 | 1.7342 |
33+| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1339 | 0.0072 | 792 | 2.1476 |
34+| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4766 | 0.0083 | 792 | 0.6166 |
35+| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4473 | 0.0066 | 792 | 1.4888 |
36+| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7635 | 0.0095 | 792 | 0.8251 |
37+| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6650 | 0.0072 | 792 | 1.7179 |
38+| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 0.9883 | 0.0068 | 792 | 1.0415 |
39+| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2140 | 0.0079 | 792 | 1.2632 |
40+| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4711 | 0.0072 | 792 | 0.6100 |
41+| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.1819 | 0.0093 | 792 | 3.1777 |
42+| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9755 | 0.0034 | 792 | 0.9825 |
43+| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0868 | 0.0084 | 792 | 4.1125 |
44+| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5561 | 0.0037 | 792 | 1.5529 |
45+| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.3049 | 0.0057 | 792 | 2.3064 |
46+| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.1062 | 0.0025 | 792 | 2.1048 |
47+| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 6.0149 | 0.0169 | 792 | 6.0473 |
48+| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0660 | 0.0033 | 792 | 3.0620 |
49+| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 7.0811 | 0.0402 | 792 | 7.0472 |
50+| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0375 | 0.0048 | 792 | 4.0508 |
51+| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0665 | 0.0112 | 792 | 5.0480 |
5252
5353 [wf]: https://github.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/blob/main/.github/workflows/estimates.yml
estimates.jsonmodified+146−146View file
@@ -5,10 +5,10 @@
55 "M": 512,
66 "highres_szego": -4.782567960178533,
77 "id": "bp300-6000_s1",
8- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T09:43:26Z",
9- "mean": 0.9312373778961642,
10- "n_pasts": 784,
11- "n_runs": 98,
8+ "last_utc": "2026-08-12T11:19:41Z",
9+ "mean": 0.930770886940809,
10+ "n_pasts": 792,
11+ "n_runs": 99,
1212 "params": {
1313 "filter": "bandpass",
1414 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -18,18 +18,18 @@
1818 "taps": 101
1919 },
2020 "predicted": 0.9512549259549268,
21- "sd": 0.12399922788239118,
22- "se": 0.004428543852942542
21+ "sd": 0.12388113074786992,
22+ "se": 0.004401924303064818
2323 },
2424 {
2525 "L": 101,
2626 "M": 512,
2727 "highres_szego": -0.7825679601785338,
2828 "id": "bp300-6000_s16",
29- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T09:47:44Z",
30- "mean": 2.5417467545436696,
31- "n_pasts": 784,
32- "n_runs": 98,
29+ "last_utc": "2026-08-12T11:24:51Z",
30+ "mean": 2.5422700725414367,
31+ "n_pasts": 792,
32+ "n_runs": 99,
3333 "params": {
3434 "filter": "bandpass",
3535 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -39,18 +39,18 @@
3939 "taps": 101
4040 },
4141 "predicted": 2.56797969986038,
42- "sd": 0.2178497078556993,
43- "se": 0.007780346709132117
42+ "sd": 0.2175793036993013,
43+ "se": 0.007731343902140993
4444 },
4545 {
4646 "L": 101,
4747 "M": 512,
4848 "highres_szego": -3.782567960178534,
4949 "id": "bp300-6000_s2",
50- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T09:44:04Z",
51- "mean": 1.309499220421168,
52- "n_pasts": 784,
53- "n_runs": 98,
50+ "last_utc": "2026-08-12T11:21:11Z",
51+ "mean": 1.3101054190883772,
52+ "n_pasts": 792,
53+ "n_runs": 99,
5454 "params": {
5555 "filter": "bandpass",
5656 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -60,18 +60,18 @@
6060 "taps": 101
6161 },
6262 "predicted": 1.3318639472861573,
63- "sd": 0.1172569652837716,
64- "se": 0.0041877487601347
63+ "sd": 0.11715229084484265,
64+ "se": 0.004162825388470213
6565 },
6666 {
6767 "L": 101,
6868 "M": 512,
6969 "highres_szego": 0.21743203982146625,
7070 "id": "bp300-6000_s32",
71- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T09:49:54Z",
72- "mean": 2.9719017007047004,
73- "n_pasts": 784,
74- "n_runs": 98,
71+ "last_utc": "2026-08-12T11:27:05Z",
72+ "mean": 2.97103413110487,
73+ "n_pasts": 792,
74+ "n_runs": 99,
7575 "params": {
7676 "filter": "bandpass",
7777 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -81,18 +81,18 @@
8181 "taps": 101
8282 },
8383 "predicted": 2.9937688408517453,
84- "sd": 0.5238728136979679,
85- "se": 0.018709743346355997
84+ "sd": 0.5214124420481349,
85+ "se": 0.018527584360231757
8686 },
8787 {
8888 "L": 101,
8989 "M": 512,
9090 "highres_szego": -2.782567960178534,
9191 "id": "bp300-6000_s4",
92- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T09:44:57Z",
93- "mean": 1.7228744170282955,
94- "n_pasts": 784,
95- "n_runs": 98,
92+ "last_utc": "2026-08-12T11:22:34Z",
93+ "mean": 1.7231318115812888,
94+ "n_pasts": 792,
95+ "n_runs": 99,
9696 "params": {
9797 "filter": "bandpass",
9898 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -102,18 +102,18 @@
102102 "taps": 101
103103 },
104104 "predicted": 1.734166393696377,
105- "sd": 0.13370352258432475,
106- "se": 0.004775125806583027
105+ "sd": 0.13349850085181836,
106+ "se": 0.00474366266900129
107107 },
108108 {
109109 "L": 101,
110110 "M": 512,
111111 "highres_szego": -1.7825679601785338,
112112 "id": "bp300-6000_s8",
113- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T09:45:52Z",
114- "mean": 2.1335029238375287,
115- "n_pasts": 784,
116- "n_runs": 98,
113+ "last_utc": "2026-08-12T11:23:32Z",
114+ "mean": 2.1338649509573187,
115+ "n_pasts": 792,
116+ "n_runs": 99,
117117 "params": {
118118 "filter": "bandpass",
119119 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -123,18 +123,18 @@
123123 "taps": 101
124124 },
125125 "predicted": 2.1476021059762167,
126- "sd": 0.20425965421151937,
127- "se": 0.007294987650411406
126+ "sd": 0.2035663834871029,
127+ "se": 0.0072334164642285405
128128 },
129129 {
130130 "L": 101,
131131 "M": 512,
132132 "highres_szego": -7.756237076152649,
133133 "id": "lp3000_s1",
134- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T09:36:54Z",
135- "mean": 0.47693940831935955,
136- "n_pasts": 784,
137- "n_runs": 98,
134+ "last_utc": "2026-08-12T11:15:32Z",
135+ "mean": 0.47658266208764494,
136+ "n_pasts": 792,
137+ "n_runs": 99,
138138 "params": {
139139 "filter": "lowpass",
140140 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -143,18 +143,18 @@
143143 "taps": 101
144144 },
145145 "predicted": 0.616561114498688,
146- "sd": 0.23391341772998162,
147- "se": 0.008354050633213629
146+ "sd": 0.23319534271655806,
147+ "se": 0.008286235686327043
148148 },
149149 {
150150 "L": 101,
151151 "M": 512,
152152 "highres_szego": -3.7562370761526487,
153153 "id": "lp3000_s16",
154- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T09:40:02Z",
155- "mean": 1.4464012106536674,
156- "n_pasts": 784,
157- "n_runs": 98,
154+ "last_utc": "2026-08-12T11:17:34Z",
155+ "mean": 1.4473275604732836,
156+ "n_pasts": 792,
157+ "n_runs": 99,
158158 "params": {
159159 "filter": "lowpass",
160160 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -163,18 +163,18 @@
163163 "taps": 101
164164 },
165165 "predicted": 1.4888184418209351,
166- "sd": 0.18659129055100437,
167- "se": 0.00666397466253587
166+ "sd": 0.18684117933855401,
167+ "se": 0.006639112213284466
168168 },
169169 {
170170 "L": 101,
171171 "M": 512,
172172 "highres_szego": -6.756237076152649,
173173 "id": "lp3000_s2",
174- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T09:37:37Z",
175- "mean": 0.7635697083548852,
176- "n_pasts": 784,
177- "n_runs": 98,
174+ "last_utc": "2026-08-12T11:16:02Z",
175+ "mean": 0.7634765574261397,
176+ "n_pasts": 792,
177+ "n_runs": 99,
178178 "params": {
179179 "filter": "lowpass",
180180 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -183,18 +183,18 @@
183183 "taps": 101
184184 },
185185 "predicted": 0.8251241884518832,
186- "sd": 0.26853634393567616,
187- "se": 0.009590583711988433
186+ "sd": 0.2682485927152589,
187+ "se": 0.009531798688046265
188188 },
189189 {
190190 "L": 101,
191191 "M": 512,
192192 "highres_szego": -2.7562370761526487,
193193 "id": "lp3000_s32",
194- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T09:42:46Z",
195- "mean": 1.6652568781477706,
196- "n_pasts": 784,
197- "n_runs": 98,
194+ "last_utc": "2026-08-12T11:19:18Z",
195+ "mean": 1.6649752648717377,
196+ "n_pasts": 792,
197+ "n_runs": 99,
198198 "params": {
199199 "filter": "lowpass",
200200 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -203,18 +203,18 @@
203203 "taps": 101
204204 },
205205 "predicted": 1.71791605587854,
206- "sd": 0.20270538947555908,
207- "se": 0.007239478195555681
206+ "sd": 0.20186982995439576,
207+ "se": 0.007173132059477073
208208 },
209209 {
210210 "L": 101,
211211 "M": 512,
212212 "highres_szego": -5.756237076152649,
213213 "id": "lp3000_s4",
214- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T09:38:23Z",
215- "mean": 0.9880861411245339,
216- "n_pasts": 784,
217- "n_runs": 98,
214+ "last_utc": "2026-08-12T11:16:26Z",
215+ "mean": 0.9883016437116783,
216+ "n_pasts": 792,
217+ "n_runs": 99,
218218 "params": {
219219 "filter": "lowpass",
220220 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -223,18 +223,18 @@
223223 "taps": 101
224224 },
225225 "predicted": 1.04149876351225,
226- "sd": 0.19348438419169986,
227- "se": 0.006910156578274995
226+ "sd": 0.19265633674579197,
227+ "se": 0.006845744834108427
228228 },
229229 {
230230 "L": 101,
231231 "M": 512,
232232 "highres_szego": -4.756237076152649,
233233 "id": "lp3000_s8",
234- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T09:39:01Z",
235- "mean": 1.2137322559842443,
236- "n_pasts": 784,
237- "n_runs": 98,
234+ "last_utc": "2026-08-12T11:16:47Z",
235+ "mean": 1.2140118467593308,
236+ "n_pasts": 792,
237+ "n_runs": 99,
238238 "params": {
239239 "filter": "lowpass",
240240 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -243,222 +243,222 @@
243243 "taps": 101
244244 },
245245 "predicted": 1.2631675560846525,
246- "sd": 0.22183585945326678,
247- "se": 0.0079227092661881
246+ "sd": 0.22109614558514123,
247+ "se": 0.007856309437036075
248248 },
249249 {
250250 "L": 8,
251251 "M": 512,
252252 "highres_szego": -0.9529044148193548,
253253 "id": "ma8_s1",
254- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T09:35:46Z",
255- "mean": 0.47129611698781365,
256- "n_pasts": 784,
257- "n_runs": 98,
254+ "last_utc": "2026-08-12T11:14:02Z",
255+ "mean": 0.4711451787267783,
256+ "n_pasts": 792,
257+ "n_runs": 99,
258258 "params": {
259259 "filter": "moving-average",
260260 "sigma": 1.0,
261261 "width": 8
262262 },
263263 "predicted": 0.6099987154839898,
264- "sd": 0.20388571556739254,
265- "se": 0.007281632698835448
264+ "sd": 0.2033524757208356,
265+ "se": 0.00722581558272817
266266 },
267267 {
268268 "L": 8,
269269 "M": 512,
270270 "highres_szego": 3.0470955851806454,
271271 "id": "ma8_s16",
272- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T09:36:04Z",
273- "mean": 3.1825642595551757,
274- "n_pasts": 784,
275- "n_runs": 98,
272+ "last_utc": "2026-08-12T11:15:06Z",
273+ "mean": 3.1819084126087454,
274+ "n_pasts": 792,
275+ "n_runs": 99,
276276 "params": {
277277 "filter": "moving-average",
278278 "sigma": 16.0,
279279 "width": 8
280280 },
281281 "predicted": 3.1776500292335506,
282- "sd": 0.2617667452617851,
283- "se": 0.00934881233077804
282+ "sd": 0.2610140642095094,
283+ "se": 0.009274730911392783
284284 },
285285 {
286286 "L": 8,
287287 "M": 512,
288288 "highres_szego": 0.04709558518064521,
289289 "id": "ma8_s2",
290- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T09:35:52Z",
291- "mean": 0.9753034702688547,
292- "n_pasts": 784,
293- "n_runs": 98,
290+ "last_utc": "2026-08-12T11:14:04Z",
291+ "mean": 0.9755137513785052,
292+ "n_pasts": 792,
293+ "n_runs": 99,
294294 "params": {
295295 "filter": "moving-average",
296296 "sigma": 2.0,
297297 "width": 8
298298 },
299299 "predicted": 0.9825176804091631,
300- "sd": 0.09659962471470426,
301- "se": 0.003449986596953724
300+ "sd": 0.0962974597087052,
301+ "se": 0.0034217812321869134
302302 },
303303 {
304304 "L": 8,
305305 "M": 512,
306306 "highres_szego": 4.047095585180645,
307307 "id": "ma8_s32",
308- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T09:36:09Z",
309- "mean": 4.087191286581031,
310- "n_pasts": 784,
311- "n_runs": 98,
308+ "last_utc": "2026-08-12T11:15:08Z",
309+ "mean": 4.086812337103367,
310+ "n_pasts": 792,
311+ "n_runs": 99,
312312 "params": {
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314314 "sigma": 32.0,
315315 "width": 8
316316 },
317317 "predicted": 4.112486639362294,
318- "sd": 0.23847361986570106,
319- "se": 0.00851691499520361
318+ "sd": 0.23748502906968372,
319+ "se": 0.008438663053564922
320320 },
321321 {
322322 "L": 8,
323323 "M": 512,
324324 "highres_szego": 1.0470955851806452,
325325 "id": "ma8_s4",
326- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T09:35:57Z",
327- "mean": 1.555529791333878,
328- "n_pasts": 784,
329- "n_runs": 98,
326+ "last_utc": "2026-08-12T11:14:10Z",
327+ "mean": 1.5561323973047,
328+ "n_pasts": 792,
329+ "n_runs": 99,
330330 "params": {
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332332 "sigma": 4.0,
333333 "width": 8
334334 },
335335 "predicted": 1.5529090070448803,
336- "sd": 0.10461171556619855,
337- "se": 0.003736132698792806
336+ "sd": 0.10520246686882187,
337+ "se": 0.0037382068831350325
338338 },
339339 {
340340 "L": 8,
341341 "M": 512,
342342 "highres_szego": 2.0470955851806454,
343343 "id": "ma8_s8",
344- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T09:36:00Z",
345- "mean": 2.3029054304960126,
346- "n_pasts": 784,
347- "n_runs": 98,
344+ "last_utc": "2026-08-12T11:15:03Z",
345+ "mean": 2.3049029506519942,
346+ "n_pasts": 792,
347+ "n_runs": 99,
348348 "params": {
349349 "filter": "moving-average",
350350 "sigma": 8.0,
351351 "width": 8
352352 },
353353 "predicted": 2.3064317412363535,
354- "sd": 0.1505354490543577,
355- "se": 0.005376266037655632
354+ "sd": 0.16098080039903476,
355+ "se": 0.005720203660762291
356356 },
357357 {
358358 "L": 1,
359359 "M": 512,
360360 "highres_szego": 2.047095585180641,
361361 "id": "none_s1",
362- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T09:35:36Z",
363- "mean": 2.106214401266967,
364- "n_pasts": 784,
365- "n_runs": 98,
362+ "last_utc": "2026-08-12T11:13:54Z",
363+ "mean": 2.106180861089965,
364+ "n_pasts": 792,
365+ "n_runs": 99,
366366 "params": {
367367 "filter": "none",
368368 "sigma": 1.0
369369 },
370370 "predicted": 2.1048326603976193,
371- "sd": 0.07095543119248206,
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451451 "params": {
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454454 },
455455 "predicted": 5.048034228800837,
456- "sd": 0.2974083691265038,
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456+ "sd": 0.31455007298151094,
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458458 }
459459 ],
460460 "estimand": "H(z_{M+1} | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample, for x ~ iid N(0, sigma^2) -> y = h * x -> z = round(y)",
461- "generated": "2026-08-12T09:49:54Z",
461+ "generated": "2026-08-12T11:27:05Z",
462462 "settings": {
463463 "n0": 128,
464464 "pasts_per_run": 8,
@@ -466,5 +466,5 @@
466466 "reps": 8,
467467 "thin": "auto"
468468 },
469- "total_runs": 98
469+ "total_runs": 99
470470 }
runs.jsonlmodified+24−0View file
@@ -2350,3 +2350,27 @@
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