estimates: run 123 from efed18a
3 changed files+195−171
README.mdmodified+25−25View file
@@ -21,33 +21,33 @@ Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends
2121
2222 https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json
2323
24-## Current state (109 runs, generated 2026-08-13T10:28:30Z)
24+## Current state (110 runs, generated 2026-08-13T11:35:27Z)
2525
2626 | cell | sigma | M | mean | se | pasts | predicted |
2727 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
28-| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9320 | 0.0042 | 872 | 0.9513 |
29-| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5433 | 0.0077 | 872 | 2.5680 |
30-| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3098 | 0.0039 | 872 | 1.3319 |
31-| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9806 | 0.0205 | 872 | 2.9938 |
32-| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7227 | 0.0045 | 872 | 1.7342 |
33-| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1310 | 0.0067 | 872 | 2.1476 |
34-| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4753 | 0.0078 | 872 | 0.6166 |
35-| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4437 | 0.0064 | 872 | 1.4888 |
36-| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7628 | 0.0091 | 872 | 0.8251 |
37-| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6657 | 0.0070 | 872 | 1.7179 |
38-| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 0.9931 | 0.0064 | 872 | 1.0415 |
39-| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2108 | 0.0074 | 872 | 1.2632 |
40-| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4741 | 0.0070 | 872 | 0.6100 |
41-| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.1794 | 0.0087 | 872 | 3.1777 |
42-| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9750 | 0.0032 | 872 | 0.9825 |
43-| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0888 | 0.0081 | 872 | 4.1125 |
44-| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5588 | 0.0036 | 872 | 1.5529 |
45-| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.3062 | 0.0054 | 872 | 2.3064 |
46-| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.1059 | 0.0023 | 872 | 2.1048 |
47-| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 6.0163 | 0.0161 | 872 | 6.0473 |
48-| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0653 | 0.0031 | 872 | 3.0620 |
49-| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 7.0676 | 0.0373 | 872 | 7.0472 |
50-| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0367 | 0.0045 | 872 | 4.0508 |
51-| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0585 | 0.0104 | 872 | 5.0480 |
28+| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9318 | 0.0042 | 880 | 0.9513 |
29+| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5435 | 0.0076 | 880 | 2.5680 |
30+| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3098 | 0.0039 | 880 | 1.3319 |
31+| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9788 | 0.0204 | 880 | 2.9938 |
32+| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7230 | 0.0045 | 880 | 1.7342 |
33+| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1314 | 0.0067 | 880 | 2.1476 |
34+| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4747 | 0.0078 | 880 | 0.6166 |
35+| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4438 | 0.0064 | 880 | 1.4888 |
36+| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7633 | 0.0091 | 880 | 0.8251 |
37+| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6666 | 0.0069 | 880 | 1.7179 |
38+| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 0.9932 | 0.0063 | 880 | 1.0415 |
39+| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2109 | 0.0074 | 880 | 1.2632 |
40+| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4748 | 0.0069 | 880 | 0.6100 |
41+| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.1788 | 0.0086 | 880 | 3.1777 |
42+| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9749 | 0.0032 | 880 | 0.9825 |
43+| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0892 | 0.0081 | 880 | 4.1125 |
44+| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5583 | 0.0036 | 880 | 1.5529 |
45+| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.3060 | 0.0054 | 880 | 2.3064 |
46+| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.1058 | 0.0023 | 880 | 2.1048 |
47+| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 6.0169 | 0.0161 | 880 | 6.0473 |
48+| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0655 | 0.0030 | 880 | 3.0620 |
49+| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 7.0659 | 0.0370 | 880 | 7.0472 |
50+| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0367 | 0.0045 | 880 | 4.0508 |
51+| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0583 | 0.0103 | 880 | 5.0480 |
5252
5353 [wf]: https://github.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/blob/main/.github/workflows/estimates.yml
estimates.jsonmodified+146−146View file
@@ -5,10 +5,10 @@
55 "M": 512,
66 "highres_szego": -4.78256796018064,
77 "id": "bp300-6000_s1",
8- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T09:55:19Z",
9- "mean": 0.9319573988276361,
10- "n_pasts": 872,
11- "n_runs": 109,
8+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T11:24:11Z",
9+ "mean": 0.9318103364678031,
10+ "n_pasts": 880,
11+ "n_runs": 110,
1212 "params": {
1313 "filter": "bandpass",
1414 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -18,18 +18,18 @@
1818 "taps": 101
1919 },
2020 "predicted": 0.9512549259549268,
21- "sd": 0.1235058235310428,
22- "se": 0.00418243493427582
21+ "sd": 0.12394540127206324,
22+ "se": 0.0041781986245288194
2323 },
2424 {
2525 "L": 101,
2626 "M": 512,
2727 "highres_szego": -0.7825679601806399,
2828 "id": "bp300-6000_s16",
29- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T10:02:39Z",
30- "mean": 2.5433032046261403,
31- "n_pasts": 872,
32- "n_runs": 109,
29+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T11:31:38Z",
30+ "mean": 2.543521856152455,
31+ "n_pasts": 880,
32+ "n_runs": 110,
3333 "params": {
3434 "filter": "bandpass",
3535 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -39,18 +39,18 @@
3939 "taps": 101
4040 },
4141 "predicted": 2.56797969986038,
42- "sd": 0.22714035993854947,
43- "se": 0.007691943175069748
42+ "sd": 0.22639720024592896,
43+ "se": 0.007631848063393419
4444 },
4545 {
4646 "L": 101,
4747 "M": 512,
4848 "highres_szego": -3.7825679601806397,
4949 "id": "bp300-6000_s2",
50- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T09:56:23Z",
51- "mean": 1.3097522244791038,
52- "n_pasts": 872,
53- "n_runs": 109,
50+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T11:24:58Z",
51+ "mean": 1.3098304571443062,
52+ "n_pasts": 880,
53+ "n_runs": 110,
5454 "params": {
5555 "filter": "bandpass",
5656 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -60,18 +60,18 @@
6060 "taps": 101
6161 },
6262 "predicted": 1.3318639472861573,
63- "sd": 0.11575262789554248,
64- "se": 0.003919878600079637
63+ "sd": 0.11531474665737741,
64+ "se": 0.0038872593168193725
6565 },
6666 {
6767 "L": 101,
6868 "M": 512,
6969 "highres_szego": 0.2174320398193601,
7070 "id": "bp300-6000_s32",
71- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T10:28:30Z",
72- "mean": 2.9805925744485684,
73- "n_pasts": 872,
74- "n_runs": 109,
71+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T11:35:26Z",
72+ "mean": 2.978815187234216,
73+ "n_pasts": 880,
74+ "n_runs": 110,
7575 "params": {
7676 "filter": "bandpass",
7777 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -81,18 +81,18 @@
8181 "taps": 101
8282 },
8383 "predicted": 2.9937688408517453,
84- "sd": 0.6059278238953678,
85- "se": 0.020519305291484793
84+ "sd": 0.6040663152846496,
85+ "se": 0.02036307133417941
8686 },
8787 {
8888 "L": 101,
8989 "M": 512,
9090 "highres_szego": -2.7825679601806397,
9191 "id": "bp300-6000_s4",
92- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T09:58:10Z",
93- "mean": 1.7227486221579187,
94- "n_pasts": 872,
95- "n_runs": 109,
92+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T11:25:45Z",
93+ "mean": 1.7229689234619416,
94+ "n_pasts": 880,
95+ "n_runs": 110,
9696 "params": {
9797 "filter": "bandpass",
9898 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -102,18 +102,18 @@
102102 "taps": 101
103103 },
104104 "predicted": 1.734166393696377,
105- "sd": 0.13388707175120043,
106- "se": 0.004533988358851487
105+ "sd": 0.13339779274206157,
106+ "se": 0.004496838675979899
107107 },
108108 {
109109 "L": 101,
110110 "M": 512,
111111 "highres_szego": -1.78256796018064,
112112 "id": "bp300-6000_s8",
113- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T10:00:14Z",
114- "mean": 2.1310392201490305,
115- "n_pasts": 872,
116- "n_runs": 109,
113+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T11:28:51Z",
114+ "mean": 2.131438883308515,
115+ "n_pasts": 880,
116+ "n_runs": 110,
117117 "params": {
118118 "filter": "bandpass",
119119 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -123,18 +123,18 @@
123123 "taps": 101
124124 },
125125 "predicted": 2.1476021059762167,
126- "sd": 0.19914381104242632,
127- "se": 0.006743860398123805
126+ "sd": 0.19849105153025934,
127+ "se": 0.006691131982094257
128128 },
129129 {
130130 "L": 101,
131131 "M": 512,
132132 "highres_szego": -7.756237076152647,
133133 "id": "lp3000_s1",
134- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T09:38:53Z",
135- "mean": 0.47530900536382226,
136- "n_pasts": 872,
137- "n_runs": 109,
134+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T11:16:09Z",
135+ "mean": 0.4747064686118314,
136+ "n_pasts": 880,
137+ "n_runs": 110,
138138 "params": {
139139 "filter": "lowpass",
140140 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -143,18 +143,18 @@
143143 "taps": 101
144144 },
145145 "predicted": 0.616561114498688,
146- "sd": 0.2316842340011699,
147- "se": 0.007845818167139872
146+ "sd": 0.2323091963658994,
147+ "se": 0.007831141411941783
148148 },
149149 {
150150 "L": 101,
151151 "M": 512,
152152 "highres_szego": -3.756237076152648,
153153 "id": "lp3000_s16",
154- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T09:49:08Z",
155- "mean": 1.4436705850369072,
156- "n_pasts": 872,
157- "n_runs": 109,
154+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T11:20:47Z",
155+ "mean": 1.4438201041964616,
156+ "n_pasts": 880,
157+ "n_runs": 110,
158158 "params": {
159159 "filter": "lowpass",
160160 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -163,18 +163,18 @@
163163 "taps": 101
164164 },
165165 "predicted": 1.4888184418209351,
166- "sd": 0.1901978384828443,
167- "se": 0.0064409115404542375
166+ "sd": 0.18971819615394842,
167+ "se": 0.0063953990876883205
168168 },
169169 {
170170 "L": 101,
171171 "M": 512,
172172 "highres_szego": -6.756237076152647,
173173 "id": "lp3000_s2",
174- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T09:40:04Z",
175- "mean": 0.7628491976902436,
176- "n_pasts": 872,
177- "n_runs": 109,
174+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T11:17:16Z",
175+ "mean": 0.7633383837202653,
176+ "n_pasts": 880,
177+ "n_runs": 110,
178178 "params": {
179179 "filter": "lowpass",
180180 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -183,18 +183,18 @@
183183 "taps": 101
184184 },
185185 "predicted": 0.8251241884518832,
186- "sd": 0.2691367000183857,
187- "se": 0.009114118703638945
186+ "sd": 0.26988507886347585,
187+ "se": 0.009097824152531834
188188 },
189189 {
190190 "L": 101,
191191 "M": 512,
192192 "highres_szego": -2.756237076152648,
193193 "id": "lp3000_s32",
194- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T09:54:20Z",
195- "mean": 1.6657098978920941,
196- "n_pasts": 872,
197- "n_runs": 109,
194+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T11:23:14Z",
195+ "mean": 1.6665693364103997,
196+ "n_pasts": 880,
197+ "n_runs": 110,
198198 "params": {
199199 "filter": "lowpass",
200200 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -203,18 +203,18 @@
203203 "taps": 101
204204 },
205205 "predicted": 1.71791605587854,
206- "sd": 0.20620209094482247,
207- "se": 0.0069828839161707795
206+ "sd": 0.20596612860849337,
207+ "se": 0.006943116778996633
208208 },
209209 {
210210 "L": 101,
211211 "M": 512,
212212 "highres_szego": -5.756237076152647,
213213 "id": "lp3000_s4",
214- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T09:41:18Z",
215- "mean": 0.9930870852055393,
216- "n_pasts": 872,
217- "n_runs": 109,
214+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T11:18:17Z",
215+ "mean": 0.9931990505599596,
216+ "n_pasts": 880,
217+ "n_runs": 110,
218218 "params": {
219219 "filter": "lowpass",
220220 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -223,18 +223,18 @@
223223 "taps": 101
224224 },
225225 "predicted": 1.04149876351225,
226- "sd": 0.18909878867695387,
227- "se": 0.006403693017705714
226+ "sd": 0.188318617390472,
227+ "se": 0.006348219297196207
228228 },
229229 {
230230 "L": 101,
231231 "M": 512,
232232 "highres_szego": -4.756237076152647,
233233 "id": "lp3000_s8",
234- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T09:46:18Z",
235- "mean": 1.2107628653075386,
236- "n_pasts": 872,
237- "n_runs": 109,
234+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T11:19:13Z",
235+ "mean": 1.2109406801367553,
236+ "n_pasts": 880,
237+ "n_runs": 110,
238238 "params": {
239239 "filter": "lowpass",
240240 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -243,222 +243,222 @@
243243 "taps": 101
244244 },
245245 "predicted": 1.2631675560846525,
246- "sd": 0.21909177426497325,
247- "se": 0.007419383671960844
246+ "sd": 0.21827265905381274,
247+ "se": 0.007357969835678334
248248 },
249249 {
250250 "L": 8,
251251 "M": 512,
252252 "highres_szego": -0.9529044148193548,
253253 "id": "ma8_s1",
254- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T09:37:00Z",
255- "mean": 0.4740678732149267,
256- "n_pasts": 872,
257- "n_runs": 109,
254+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T11:14:30Z",
255+ "mean": 0.47475056449198927,
256+ "n_pasts": 880,
257+ "n_runs": 110,
258258 "params": {
259259 "filter": "moving-average",
260260 "sigma": 1.0,
261261 "width": 8
262262 },
263263 "predicted": 0.6099987154839898,
264- "sd": 0.20546560043412923,
265- "se": 0.006957943200400305
264+ "sd": 0.20609643119789728,
265+ "se": 0.006947509278389369
266266 },
267267 {
268268 "L": 8,
269269 "M": 512,
270270 "highres_szego": 3.0470955851806454,
271271 "id": "ma8_s16",
272- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T09:37:23Z",
273- "mean": 3.179382908127434,
274- "n_pasts": 872,
275- "n_runs": 109,
272+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T11:14:55Z",
273+ "mean": 3.1787678942982964,
274+ "n_pasts": 880,
275+ "n_runs": 110,
276276 "params": {
277277 "filter": "moving-average",
278278 "sigma": 16.0,
279279 "width": 8
280280 },
281281 "predicted": 3.1776500292335506,
282- "sd": 0.2570538484854355,
283- "se": 0.00870494171981537
282+ "sd": 0.2560393264299882,
283+ "se": 0.00863108393321396
284284 },
285285 {
286286 "L": 8,
287287 "M": 512,
288288 "highres_szego": 0.04709558518064521,
289289 "id": "ma8_s2",
290- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T09:37:05Z",
291- "mean": 0.9749984721709434,
292- "n_pasts": 872,
293- "n_runs": 109,
290+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T11:14:34Z",
291+ "mean": 0.9749469220336169,
292+ "n_pasts": 880,
293+ "n_runs": 110,
294294 "params": {
295295 "filter": "moving-average",
296296 "sigma": 2.0,
297297 "width": 8
298298 },
299299 "predicted": 0.9825176804091631,
300- "sd": 0.09510334222008544,
301- "se": 0.0032206055511843725
300+ "sd": 0.09503033839334009,
301+ "se": 0.0032034720537312622
302302 },
303303 {
304304 "L": 8,
305305 "M": 512,
306306 "highres_szego": 4.047095585180645,
307307 "id": "ma8_s32",
308- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T09:37:31Z",
309- "mean": 4.088772299375177,
310- "n_pasts": 872,
311- "n_runs": 109,
308+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T11:15:02Z",
309+ "mean": 4.089233244236875,
310+ "n_pasts": 880,
311+ "n_runs": 110,
312312 "params": {
313313 "filter": "moving-average",
314314 "sigma": 32.0,
315315 "width": 8
316316 },
317317 "predicted": 4.112486639362294,
318- "sd": 0.24010744170638668,
319- "se": 0.008131063973027763
318+ "sd": 0.2396061375244481,
319+ "se": 0.008077121248216579
320320 },
321321 {
322322 "L": 8,
323323 "M": 512,
324324 "highres_szego": 1.0470955851806452,
325325 "id": "ma8_s4",
326- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T09:37:12Z",
327- "mean": 1.5587896053618489,
328- "n_pasts": 872,
329- "n_runs": 109,
326+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T11:14:40Z",
327+ "mean": 1.5582683658451308,
328+ "n_pasts": 880,
329+ "n_runs": 110,
330330 "params": {
331331 "filter": "moving-average",
332332 "sigma": 4.0,
333333 "width": 8
334334 },
335335 "predicted": 1.5529090070448803,
336- "sd": 0.106979239628471,
337- "se": 0.003622774184019916
336+ "sd": 0.10710480126391986,
337+ "se": 0.0036105021140643823
338338 },
339339 {
340340 "L": 8,
341341 "M": 512,
342342 "highres_szego": 2.0470955851806454,
343343 "id": "ma8_s8",
344- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T09:37:18Z",
345- "mean": 2.3061731234014218,
346- "n_pasts": 872,
347- "n_runs": 109,
344+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T11:14:50Z",
345+ "mean": 2.306041076133644,
346+ "n_pasts": 880,
347+ "n_runs": 110,
348348 "params": {
349349 "filter": "moving-average",
350350 "sigma": 8.0,
351351 "width": 8
352352 },
353353 "predicted": 2.3064317412363535,
354- "sd": 0.15939673148433164,
355- "se": 0.005397854442077273
354+ "sd": 0.15971058862367205,
355+ "se": 0.005383842844200157
356356 },
357357 {
358358 "L": 1,
359359 "M": 512,
360360 "highres_szego": 2.047095585180641,
361361 "id": "none_s1",
362- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T09:36:41Z",
363- "mean": 2.1059381820740994,
364- "n_pasts": 872,
365- "n_runs": 109,
362+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T11:14:19Z",
363+ "mean": 2.1058480187530466,
364+ "n_pasts": 880,
365+ "n_runs": 110,
366366 "params": {
367367 "filter": "none",
368368 "sigma": 1.0
369369 },
370370 "predicted": 2.1048326603976193,
371- "sd": 0.06912839439691597,
372- "se": 0.002340982825019482
371+ "sd": 0.06914123132041541,
372+ "se": 0.0023307504323381643
373373 },
374374 {
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442442 {
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448- "mean": 5.058460136157667,
449- "n_pasts": 872,
450- "n_runs": 109,
447+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T11:14:22Z",
448+ "mean": 5.058265372461606,
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450+ "n_runs": 110,
451451 "params": {
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453453 "sigma": 8.0
454454 },
455455 "predicted": 5.048034228800837,
456- "sd": 0.3066645944830421,
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456+ "sd": 0.30577223005086,
457+ "se": 0.010307579772268432
458458 }
459459 ],
460460 "estimand": "H(z_{M+1} | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample, for x ~ iid N(0, sigma^2) -> y = h * x -> z = round(y)",
461- "generated": "2026-08-13T10:28:30Z",
461+ "generated": "2026-08-13T11:35:27Z",
462462 "settings": {
463463 "n0": 128,
464464 "pasts_per_run": 8,
@@ -466,5 +466,5 @@
466466 "reps": 8,
467467 "thin": "auto"
468468 },
469- "total_runs": 109
469+ "total_runs": 110
470470 }
runs.jsonlmodified+24−0View file
@@ -2614,3 +2614,27 @@
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