estimates: run 19 from efed18a
3 changed files+195−171
README.mdmodified+25−25View file
@@ -21,33 +21,33 @@ Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends
2121
2222 https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json
2323
24-## Current state (11 runs, generated 2026-08-02T15:53:59Z)
24+## Current state (12 runs, generated 2026-08-02T17:55:56Z)
2525
2626 | cell | sigma | M | mean | se | pasts | predicted |
2727 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
28-| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9454 | 0.0136 | 88 | 0.9513 |
29-| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5361 | 0.0250 | 88 | 2.5680 |
30-| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3366 | 0.0140 | 88 | 1.3319 |
31-| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9402 | 0.0423 | 88 | 2.9938 |
32-| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7086 | 0.0149 | 88 | 1.7342 |
33-| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1477 | 0.0252 | 88 | 2.1476 |
34-| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4648 | 0.0240 | 88 | 0.6166 |
35-| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4675 | 0.0189 | 88 | 1.4888 |
36-| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7513 | 0.0295 | 88 | 0.8251 |
37-| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6352 | 0.0257 | 88 | 1.7179 |
38-| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.0189 | 0.0171 | 88 | 1.0415 |
39-| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2293 | 0.0186 | 88 | 1.2632 |
40-| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4832 | 0.0214 | 88 | 0.6100 |
41-| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.1783 | 0.0362 | 88 | 3.1777 |
42-| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9723 | 0.0093 | 88 | 0.9825 |
43-| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0514 | 0.0174 | 88 | 4.1125 |
44-| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5612 | 0.0133 | 88 | 1.5529 |
45-| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.2962 | 0.0151 | 88 | 2.3064 |
46-| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.0976 | 0.0047 | 88 | 2.1048 |
47-| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 6.0135 | 0.0381 | 88 | 6.0473 |
48-| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0575 | 0.0069 | 88 | 3.0620 |
49-| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 6.9959 | 0.0804 | 88 | 7.0472 |
50-| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0343 | 0.0140 | 88 | 4.0508 |
51-| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0705 | 0.0309 | 88 | 5.0480 |
28+| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9411 | 0.0129 | 96 | 0.9513 |
29+| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5286 | 0.0236 | 96 | 2.5680 |
30+| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3260 | 0.0140 | 96 | 1.3319 |
31+| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9571 | 0.0408 | 96 | 2.9938 |
32+| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7029 | 0.0141 | 96 | 1.7342 |
33+| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1431 | 0.0239 | 96 | 2.1476 |
34+| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4646 | 0.0230 | 96 | 0.6166 |
35+| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4641 | 0.0176 | 96 | 1.4888 |
36+| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7532 | 0.0281 | 96 | 0.8251 |
37+| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6346 | 0.0238 | 96 | 1.7179 |
38+| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.0181 | 0.0165 | 96 | 1.0415 |
39+| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2327 | 0.0200 | 96 | 1.2632 |
40+| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4784 | 0.0204 | 96 | 0.6100 |
41+| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.1817 | 0.0334 | 96 | 3.1777 |
42+| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9756 | 0.0089 | 96 | 0.9825 |
43+| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0728 | 0.0229 | 96 | 4.1125 |
44+| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5599 | 0.0124 | 96 | 1.5529 |
45+| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.2979 | 0.0141 | 96 | 2.3064 |
46+| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.0998 | 0.0047 | 96 | 2.1048 |
47+| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 5.9921 | 0.0358 | 96 | 6.0473 |
48+| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0557 | 0.0066 | 96 | 3.0620 |
49+| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 6.9754 | 0.0762 | 96 | 7.0472 |
50+| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0294 | 0.0130 | 96 | 4.0508 |
51+| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0676 | 0.0290 | 96 | 5.0480 |
5252
5353 [wf]: https://github.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/blob/main/.github/workflows/estimates.yml
estimates.jsonmodified+146−146View file
@@ -5,10 +5,10 @@
55 "M": 512,
66 "highres_szego": -4.78256796018064,
77 "id": "bp300-6000_s1",
8- "last_utc": "2026-08-02T15:44:08Z",
9- "mean": 0.945380778419472,
10- "n_pasts": 88,
11- "n_runs": 11,
8+ "last_utc": "2026-08-02T17:42:24Z",
9+ "mean": 0.9411180642479379,
10+ "n_pasts": 96,
11+ "n_runs": 12,
1212 "params": {
1313 "filter": "bandpass",
1414 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -18,18 +18,18 @@
1818 "taps": 101
1919 },
2020 "predicted": 0.9512549259549268,
21- "sd": 0.12729736846243966,
22- "se": 0.013569945073188115
21+ "sd": 0.12685465776377491,
22+ "se": 0.012947049292359882
2323 },
2424 {
2525 "L": 101,
2626 "M": 512,
2727 "highres_szego": -0.7825679601806399,
2828 "id": "bp300-6000_s16",
29- "last_utc": "2026-08-02T15:50:12Z",
30- "mean": 2.536078970886715,
31- "n_pasts": 88,
32- "n_runs": 11,
29+ "last_utc": "2026-08-02T17:52:16Z",
30+ "mean": 2.5285887451382956,
31+ "n_pasts": 96,
32+ "n_runs": 12,
3333 "params": {
3434 "filter": "bandpass",
3535 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -39,18 +39,18 @@
3939 "taps": 101
4040 },
4141 "predicted": 2.56797969986038,
42- "sd": 0.23458079033717985,
43- "se": 0.025006396271575998
42+ "sd": 0.23152011568152656,
43+ "se": 0.023629422858744756
4444 },
4545 {
4646 "L": 101,
4747 "M": 512,
4848 "highres_szego": -3.7825679601806397,
4949 "id": "bp300-6000_s2",
50- "last_utc": "2026-08-02T15:44:58Z",
51- "mean": 1.3366055226865405,
52- "n_pasts": 88,
53- "n_runs": 11,
50+ "last_utc": "2026-08-02T17:43:19Z",
51+ "mean": 1.3260450725839636,
52+ "n_pasts": 96,
53+ "n_runs": 12,
5454 "params": {
5555 "filter": "bandpass",
5656 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -60,18 +60,18 @@
6060 "taps": 101
6161 },
6262 "predicted": 1.3318639472861573,
63- "sd": 0.13136629760078886,
64- "se": 0.014003694376736247
63+ "sd": 0.1372953476707097,
64+ "se": 0.014012647743802238
6565 },
6666 {
6767 "L": 101,
6868 "M": 512,
6969 "highres_szego": 0.2174320398193601,
7070 "id": "bp300-6000_s32",
71- "last_utc": "2026-08-02T15:53:59Z",
72- "mean": 2.940219115607441,
73- "n_pasts": 88,
74- "n_runs": 11,
71+ "last_utc": "2026-08-02T17:55:56Z",
72+ "mean": 2.9570843493443575,
73+ "n_pasts": 96,
74+ "n_runs": 12,
7575 "params": {
7676 "filter": "bandpass",
7777 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -81,18 +81,18 @@
8181 "taps": 101
8282 },
8383 "predicted": 2.9937688408517453,
84- "sd": 0.3971887647102955,
85- "se": 0.04234046458231751
84+ "sd": 0.39937504493837833,
85+ "se": 0.04076104483750535
8686 },
8787 {
8888 "L": 101,
8989 "M": 512,
9090 "highres_szego": -2.7825679601806397,
9191 "id": "bp300-6000_s4",
92- "last_utc": "2026-08-02T15:46:18Z",
93- "mean": 1.70861044192507,
94- "n_pasts": 88,
95- "n_runs": 11,
92+ "last_utc": "2026-08-02T17:45:19Z",
93+ "mean": 1.7029425893421568,
94+ "n_pasts": 96,
95+ "n_runs": 12,
9696 "params": {
9797 "filter": "bandpass",
9898 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -102,18 +102,18 @@
102102 "taps": 101
103103 },
104104 "predicted": 1.734166393696377,
105- "sd": 0.13934205326080026,
106- "se": 0.014853912786832119
105+ "sd": 0.13789009280641432,
106+ "se": 0.014073348665030514
107107 },
108108 {
109109 "L": 101,
110110 "M": 512,
111111 "highres_szego": -1.78256796018064,
112112 "id": "bp300-6000_s8",
113- "last_utc": "2026-08-02T15:48:11Z",
114- "mean": 2.147738489564205,
115- "n_pasts": 88,
116- "n_runs": 11,
113+ "last_utc": "2026-08-02T17:49:44Z",
114+ "mean": 2.1430636062021686,
115+ "n_pasts": 96,
116+ "n_runs": 12,
117117 "params": {
118118 "filter": "bandpass",
119119 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -123,18 +123,18 @@
123123 "taps": 101
124124 },
125125 "predicted": 2.1476021059762167,
126- "sd": 0.23613754127747638,
127- "se": 0.025172346479405246
126+ "sd": 0.23406419382996002,
127+ "se": 0.02388907674747086
128128 },
129129 {
130130 "L": 101,
131131 "M": 512,
132132 "highres_szego": -7.756237076152647,
133133 "id": "lp3000_s1",
134- "last_utc": "2026-08-02T15:34:49Z",
135- "mean": 0.46479067968235005,
136- "n_pasts": 88,
137- "n_runs": 11,
134+ "last_utc": "2026-08-02T17:32:17Z",
135+ "mean": 0.4645831100838856,
136+ "n_pasts": 96,
137+ "n_runs": 12,
138138 "params": {
139139 "filter": "lowpass",
140140 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -143,18 +143,18 @@
143143 "taps": 101
144144 },
145145 "predicted": 0.616561114498688,
146- "sd": 0.22503870269884116,
147- "se": 0.023989206311565092
146+ "sd": 0.22516522536763245,
147+ "se": 0.022980829582061598
148148 },
149149 {
150150 "L": 101,
151151 "M": 512,
152152 "highres_szego": -3.756237076152648,
153153 "id": "lp3000_s16",
154- "last_utc": "2026-08-02T15:39:02Z",
155- "mean": 1.4674871933985332,
156- "n_pasts": 88,
157- "n_runs": 11,
154+ "last_utc": "2026-08-02T17:38:26Z",
155+ "mean": 1.4641234143739508,
156+ "n_pasts": 96,
157+ "n_runs": 12,
158158 "params": {
159159 "filter": "lowpass",
160160 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -163,18 +163,18 @@
163163 "taps": 101
164164 },
165165 "predicted": 1.4888184418209351,
166- "sd": 0.1774489614487671,
167- "se": 0.01891612284871812
166+ "sd": 0.17260926352744235,
167+ "se": 0.01761685918832619
168168 },
169169 {
170170 "L": 101,
171171 "M": 512,
172172 "highres_szego": -6.756237076152647,
173173 "id": "lp3000_s2",
174- "last_utc": "2026-08-02T15:35:49Z",
175- "mean": 0.7512688839334896,
176- "n_pasts": 88,
177- "n_runs": 11,
174+ "last_utc": "2026-08-02T17:33:12Z",
175+ "mean": 0.7531969920050258,
176+ "n_pasts": 96,
177+ "n_runs": 12,
178178 "params": {
179179 "filter": "lowpass",
180180 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -183,18 +183,18 @@
183183 "taps": 101
184184 },
185185 "predicted": 0.8251241884518832,
186- "sd": 0.27629477863702806,
187- "se": 0.029453122365364594
186+ "sd": 0.2757555445473519,
187+ "se": 0.02814418241184701
188188 },
189189 {
190190 "L": 101,
191191 "M": 512,
192192 "highres_szego": -2.756237076152648,
193193 "id": "lp3000_s32",
194- "last_utc": "2026-08-02T15:42:57Z",
195- "mean": 1.6352033092852203,
196- "n_pasts": 88,
197- "n_runs": 11,
194+ "last_utc": "2026-08-02T17:41:27Z",
195+ "mean": 1.6345752516173382,
196+ "n_pasts": 96,
197+ "n_runs": 12,
198198 "params": {
199199 "filter": "lowpass",
200200 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -203,18 +203,18 @@
203203 "taps": 101
204204 },
205205 "predicted": 1.71791605587854,
206- "sd": 0.24118590991822478,
207- "se": 0.025710504384722624
206+ "sd": 0.23282217212535458,
207+ "se": 0.023762313438064817
208208 },
209209 {
210210 "L": 101,
211211 "M": 512,
212212 "highres_szego": -5.756237076152647,
213213 "id": "lp3000_s4",
214- "last_utc": "2026-08-02T15:36:46Z",
215- "mean": 1.018886129263816,
216- "n_pasts": 88,
217- "n_runs": 11,
214+ "last_utc": "2026-08-02T17:34:16Z",
215+ "mean": 1.018135343047627,
216+ "n_pasts": 96,
217+ "n_runs": 12,
218218 "params": {
219219 "filter": "lowpass",
220220 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -223,18 +223,18 @@
223223 "taps": 101
224224 },
225225 "predicted": 1.04149876351225,
226- "sd": 0.16032040226922645,
227- "se": 0.017090212305109355
226+ "sd": 0.16146118964070647,
227+ "se": 0.016479063661770002
228228 },
229229 {
230230 "L": 101,
231231 "M": 512,
232232 "highres_szego": -4.756237076152647,
233233 "id": "lp3000_s8",
234- "last_utc": "2026-08-02T15:37:28Z",
235- "mean": 1.2292979860091473,
236- "n_pasts": 88,
237- "n_runs": 11,
234+ "last_utc": "2026-08-02T17:36:35Z",
235+ "mean": 1.232746018749677,
236+ "n_pasts": 96,
237+ "n_runs": 12,
238238 "params": {
239239 "filter": "lowpass",
240240 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -243,222 +243,222 @@
243243 "taps": 101
244244 },
245245 "predicted": 1.2631675560846525,
246- "sd": 0.17474915363024296,
247- "se": 0.01862832236825221
246+ "sd": 0.19573054615957056,
247+ "se": 0.019976665215300726
248248 },
249249 {
250250 "L": 8,
251251 "M": 512,
252252 "highres_szego": -0.9529044148193548,
253253 "id": "ma8_s1",
254- "last_utc": "2026-08-02T15:33:11Z",
255- "mean": 0.48322355310933235,
256- "n_pasts": 88,
257- "n_runs": 11,
254+ "last_utc": "2026-08-02T17:30:06Z",
255+ "mean": 0.4784337674494721,
256+ "n_pasts": 96,
257+ "n_runs": 12,
258258 "params": {
259259 "filter": "moving-average",
260260 "sigma": 1.0,
261261 "width": 8
262262 },
263263 "predicted": 0.6099987154839898,
264- "sd": 0.2003933644657745,
265- "se": 0.021362004428507025
264+ "sd": 0.20001781183358122,
265+ "se": 0.02041423243584554
266266 },
267267 {
268268 "L": 8,
269269 "M": 512,
270270 "highres_szego": 3.0470955851806454,
271271 "id": "ma8_s16",
272- "last_utc": "2026-08-02T15:33:44Z",
273- "mean": 3.1783299077899625,
274- "n_pasts": 88,
275- "n_runs": 11,
272+ "last_utc": "2026-08-02T17:30:35Z",
273+ "mean": 3.1817194438280794,
274+ "n_pasts": 96,
275+ "n_runs": 12,
276276 "params": {
277277 "filter": "moving-average",
278278 "sigma": 16.0,
279279 "width": 8
280280 },
281281 "predicted": 3.1776500292335506,
282- "sd": 0.33976521764155365,
283- "se": 0.036219093896949564
282+ "sd": 0.32757762402334395,
283+ "se": 0.03343325125043606
284284 },
285285 {
286286 "L": 8,
287287 "M": 512,
288288 "highres_szego": 0.04709558518064521,
289289 "id": "ma8_s2",
290- "last_utc": "2026-08-02T15:33:15Z",
291- "mean": 0.9722645229718888,
292- "n_pasts": 88,
293- "n_runs": 11,
290+ "last_utc": "2026-08-02T17:30:12Z",
291+ "mean": 0.9756137165938429,
292+ "n_pasts": 96,
293+ "n_runs": 12,
294294 "params": {
295295 "filter": "moving-average",
296296 "sigma": 2.0,
297297 "width": 8
298298 },
299299 "predicted": 0.9825176804091631,
300- "sd": 0.08755070608774171,
301- "se": 0.009332936627673018
300+ "sd": 0.08724260842116294,
301+ "se": 0.008904161435886997
302302 },
303303 {
304304 "L": 8,
305305 "M": 512,
306306 "highres_szego": 4.047095585180645,
307307 "id": "ma8_s32",
308- "last_utc": "2026-08-02T15:33:49Z",
309- "mean": 4.051415214836022,
310- "n_pasts": 88,
311- "n_runs": 11,
308+ "last_utc": "2026-08-02T17:30:54Z",
309+ "mean": 4.072783597208701,
310+ "n_pasts": 96,
311+ "n_runs": 12,
312312 "params": {
313313 "filter": "moving-average",
314314 "sigma": 32.0,
315315 "width": 8
316316 },
317317 "predicted": 4.112486639362294,
318- "sd": 0.163466561456977,
319- "se": 0.017425594001407956
318+ "sd": 0.2246614338623157,
319+ "se": 0.022929411576862655
320320 },
321321 {
322322 "L": 8,
323323 "M": 512,
324324 "highres_szego": 1.0470955851806452,
325325 "id": "ma8_s4",
326- "last_utc": "2026-08-02T15:33:23Z",
327- "mean": 1.561229838104808,
328- "n_pasts": 88,
329- "n_runs": 11,
326+ "last_utc": "2026-08-02T17:30:19Z",
327+ "mean": 1.5599496080077844,
328+ "n_pasts": 96,
329+ "n_runs": 12,
330330 "params": {
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332332 "sigma": 4.0,
333333 "width": 8
334334 },
335335 "predicted": 1.5529090070448803,
336- "sd": 0.12492051831646458,
337- "se": 0.0133165719962922
336+ "sd": 0.12158098409347863,
337+ "se": 0.012408807227269194
338338 },
339339 {
340340 "L": 8,
341341 "M": 512,
342342 "highres_szego": 2.0470955851806454,
343343 "id": "ma8_s8",
344- "last_utc": "2026-08-02T15:33:39Z",
345- "mean": 2.2962498424169087,
346- "n_pasts": 88,
347- "n_runs": 11,
344+ "last_utc": "2026-08-02T17:30:26Z",
345+ "mean": 2.2978962589653134,
346+ "n_pasts": 96,
347+ "n_runs": 12,
348348 "params": {
349349 "filter": "moving-average",
350350 "sigma": 8.0,
351351 "width": 8
352352 },
353353 "predicted": 2.3064317412363535,
354- "sd": 0.14162042144672185,
355- "se": 0.015096787651512277
354+ "sd": 0.13853354102950566,
355+ "se": 0.014139020324300278
356356 },
357357 {
358358 "L": 1,
359359 "M": 512,
360360 "highres_szego": 2.047095585180641,
361361 "id": "none_s1",
362- "last_utc": "2026-08-02T15:33:02Z",
363- "mean": 2.097625920670981,
364- "n_pasts": 88,
365- "n_runs": 11,
362+ "last_utc": "2026-08-02T17:29:55Z",
363+ "mean": 2.099816943954434,
364+ "n_pasts": 96,
365+ "n_runs": 12,
366366 "params": {
367367 "filter": "none",
368368 "sigma": 1.0
369369 },
370370 "predicted": 2.1048326603976193,
371- "sd": 0.04451528946860906,
372- "se": 0.004745345801742407
371+ "sd": 0.04608182913957218,
372+ "se": 0.004703206991919543
373373 },
374374 {
375375 "L": 1,
376376 "M": 512,
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378378 "id": "none_s16",
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434434 "params": {
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440+ "se": 0.013025630588368258
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442442 {
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445445 "highres_szego": 5.047095585180641,
446446 "id": "none_s8",
447- "last_utc": "2026-08-02T15:33:04Z",
448- "mean": 5.07045000170719,
449- "n_pasts": 88,
450- "n_runs": 11,
447+ "last_utc": "2026-08-02T17:29:58Z",
448+ "mean": 5.067573047692205,
449+ "n_pasts": 96,
450+ "n_runs": 12,
451451 "params": {
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453453 "sigma": 8.0
454454 },
455455 "predicted": 5.048034228800837,
456- "sd": 0.2894577316818109,
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456+ "sd": 0.28373191769356815,
457+ "se": 0.02895826758710817
458458 }
459459 ],
460460 "estimand": "H(z_{M+1} | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample, for x ~ iid N(0, sigma^2) -> y = h * x -> z = round(y)",
461- "generated": "2026-08-02T15:53:59Z",
461+ "generated": "2026-08-02T17:55:56Z",
462462 "settings": {
463463 "n0": 128,
464464 "pasts_per_run": 8,
@@ -466,5 +466,5 @@
466466 "reps": 8,
467467 "thin": "auto"
468468 },
469- "total_runs": 11
469+ "total_runs": 12
470470 }
runs.jsonlmodified+24−0View file
@@ -262,3 +262,27 @@
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