estimates: run 191 from efed18a
3 changed files+207−183
README.mdmodified+25−25View file
@@ -21,33 +21,33 @@ Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends
2121
2222 https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json
2323
24-## Current state (173 runs, generated 2026-08-19T05:56:57Z)
24+## Current state (174 runs, generated 2026-08-19T06:13:38Z)
2525
2626 | cell | sigma | M | mean | se | pasts | predicted |
2727 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
28-| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9337 | 0.0033 | 1384 | 0.9513 |
29-| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5513 | 0.0069 | 1384 | 2.5680 |
30-| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3140 | 0.0030 | 1384 | 1.3319 |
31-| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9879 | 0.0173 | 1384 | 2.9938 |
32-| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7243 | 0.0040 | 1384 | 1.7342 |
33-| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1311 | 0.0051 | 1384 | 2.1476 |
34-| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4797 | 0.0063 | 1384 | 0.6166 |
35-| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4441 | 0.0056 | 1384 | 1.4888 |
36-| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7580 | 0.0072 | 1384 | 0.8251 |
37-| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6681 | 0.0056 | 1384 | 1.7179 |
38-| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 0.9904 | 0.0051 | 1384 | 1.0415 |
39-| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2092 | 0.0056 | 1384 | 1.2632 |
40-| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4816 | 0.0056 | 1384 | 0.6100 |
41-| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.1731 | 0.0064 | 1384 | 3.1777 |
42-| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9740 | 0.0025 | 1384 | 0.9825 |
43-| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0888 | 0.0065 | 1384 | 4.1125 |
44-| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5568 | 0.0029 | 1384 | 1.5529 |
45-| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.3109 | 0.0049 | 1384 | 2.3064 |
46-| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.1058 | 0.0018 | 1384 | 2.1048 |
47-| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 6.0273 | 0.0155 | 1384 | 6.0473 |
48-| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0639 | 0.0030 | 1384 | 3.0620 |
49-| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 7.0397 | 0.0273 | 1384 | 7.0472 |
50-| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0439 | 0.0039 | 1384 | 4.0508 |
51-| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0424 | 0.0074 | 1384 | 5.0480 |
28+| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9330 | 0.0033 | 1392 | 0.9513 |
29+| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5505 | 0.0069 | 1392 | 2.5680 |
30+| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3139 | 0.0030 | 1392 | 1.3319 |
31+| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9878 | 0.0172 | 1392 | 2.9938 |
32+| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7239 | 0.0040 | 1392 | 1.7342 |
33+| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1310 | 0.0051 | 1392 | 2.1476 |
34+| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4801 | 0.0063 | 1392 | 0.6166 |
35+| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4437 | 0.0056 | 1392 | 1.4888 |
36+| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7580 | 0.0072 | 1392 | 0.8251 |
37+| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6680 | 0.0056 | 1392 | 1.7179 |
38+| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 0.9912 | 0.0051 | 1392 | 1.0415 |
39+| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2094 | 0.0056 | 1392 | 1.2632 |
40+| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4821 | 0.0056 | 1392 | 0.6100 |
41+| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.1730 | 0.0064 | 1392 | 3.1777 |
42+| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9742 | 0.0025 | 1392 | 0.9825 |
43+| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0886 | 0.0065 | 1392 | 4.1125 |
44+| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5568 | 0.0029 | 1392 | 1.5529 |
45+| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.3111 | 0.0048 | 1392 | 2.3064 |
46+| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.1058 | 0.0018 | 1392 | 2.1048 |
47+| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 6.0265 | 0.0154 | 1392 | 6.0473 |
48+| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0640 | 0.0030 | 1392 | 3.0620 |
49+| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 7.0413 | 0.0272 | 1392 | 7.0472 |
50+| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0437 | 0.0038 | 1392 | 4.0508 |
51+| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0435 | 0.0074 | 1392 | 5.0480 |
5252
5353 [wf]: https://github.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/blob/main/.github/workflows/estimates.yml
estimates.jsonmodified+158−158View file
@@ -3,12 +3,12 @@
33 {
44 "L": 101,
55 "M": 512,
6- "highres_szego": -4.78256796018064,
6+ "highres_szego": -4.782567960178533,
77 "id": "bp300-6000_s1",
8- "last_utc": "2026-08-19T04:06:10Z",
9- "mean": 0.9337146919528091,
10- "n_pasts": 1384,
11- "n_runs": 173,
8+ "last_utc": "2026-08-19T06:05:08Z",
9+ "mean": 0.9330244350324152,
10+ "n_pasts": 1392,
11+ "n_runs": 174,
1212 "params": {
1313 "filter": "bandpass",
1414 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -18,18 +18,18 @@
1818 "taps": 101
1919 },
2020 "predicted": 0.9512549259549268,
21- "sd": 0.12257991631063972,
22- "se": 0.003294968563482472
21+ "sd": 0.12360285331021702,
22+ "se": 0.003312904209390022
2323 },
2424 {
2525 "L": 101,
2626 "M": 512,
27- "highres_szego": -0.7825679601806399,
27+ "highres_szego": -0.7825679601785338,
2828 "id": "bp300-6000_s16",
29- "last_utc": "2026-08-19T04:13:43Z",
30- "mean": 2.551342288280394,
31- "n_pasts": 1384,
32- "n_runs": 173,
29+ "last_utc": "2026-08-19T06:09:38Z",
30+ "mean": 2.5505255305293577,
31+ "n_pasts": 1392,
32+ "n_runs": 174,
3333 "params": {
3434 "filter": "bandpass",
3535 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -39,18 +39,18 @@
3939 "taps": 101
4040 },
4141 "predicted": 2.56797969986038,
42- "sd": 0.2570013777200267,
43- "se": 0.006908239831174292
42+ "sd": 0.2566190063320565,
43+ "se": 0.006878111334155429
4444 },
4545 {
4646 "L": 101,
4747 "M": 512,
48- "highres_szego": -3.7825679601806397,
48+ "highres_szego": -3.782567960178534,
4949 "id": "bp300-6000_s2",
50- "last_utc": "2026-08-19T04:07:02Z",
51- "mean": 1.313981634603409,
52- "n_pasts": 1384,
53- "n_runs": 173,
50+ "last_utc": "2026-08-19T06:05:46Z",
51+ "mean": 1.3138583458454198,
52+ "n_pasts": 1392,
53+ "n_runs": 174,
5454 "params": {
5555 "filter": "bandpass",
5656 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -60,18 +60,18 @@
6060 "taps": 101
6161 },
6262 "predicted": 1.3318639472861573,
63- "sd": 0.11249499244155586,
64- "se": 0.0030238841304540158
63+ "sd": 0.11242634574258743,
64+ "se": 0.0030133423629158935
6565 },
6666 {
6767 "L": 101,
6868 "M": 512,
69- "highres_szego": 0.2174320398193601,
69+ "highres_szego": 0.21743203982146625,
7070 "id": "bp300-6000_s32",
71- "last_utc": "2026-08-19T05:56:57Z",
72- "mean": 2.9879167964606768,
73- "n_pasts": 1384,
74- "n_runs": 173,
71+ "last_utc": "2026-08-19T06:13:38Z",
72+ "mean": 2.9878132256390155,
73+ "n_pasts": 1392,
74+ "n_runs": 174,
7575 "params": {
7676 "filter": "bandpass",
7777 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -81,18 +81,18 @@
8181 "taps": 101
8282 },
8383 "predicted": 2.9937688408517453,
84- "sd": 0.6445115271545385,
85- "se": 0.017324577179467
84+ "sd": 0.6429753560330164,
85+ "se": 0.01723354846986977
8686 },
8787 {
8888 "L": 101,
8989 "M": 512,
90- "highres_szego": -2.7825679601806397,
90+ "highres_szego": -2.782567960178534,
9191 "id": "bp300-6000_s4",
92- "last_utc": "2026-08-19T04:08:14Z",
93- "mean": 1.7242749803422344,
94- "n_pasts": 1384,
95- "n_runs": 173,
92+ "last_utc": "2026-08-19T06:06:29Z",
93+ "mean": 1.723935974345957,
94+ "n_pasts": 1392,
95+ "n_runs": 174,
9696 "params": {
9797 "filter": "bandpass",
9898 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -102,18 +102,18 @@
102102 "taps": 101
103103 },
104104 "predicted": 1.734166393696377,
105- "sd": 0.14906912873818873,
106- "se": 0.004007003004744424
105+ "sd": 0.14896273317862832,
106+ "se": 0.003992620336612632
107107 },
108108 {
109109 "L": 101,
110110 "M": 512,
111- "highres_szego": -1.78256796018064,
111+ "highres_szego": -1.7825679601785338,
112112 "id": "bp300-6000_s8",
113- "last_utc": "2026-08-19T04:10:07Z",
114- "mean": 2.1311158776605246,
115- "n_pasts": 1384,
116- "n_runs": 173,
113+ "last_utc": "2026-08-19T06:08:02Z",
114+ "mean": 2.131033781046407,
115+ "n_pasts": 1392,
116+ "n_runs": 174,
117117 "params": {
118118 "filter": "bandpass",
119119 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -123,18 +123,18 @@
123123 "taps": 101
124124 },
125125 "predicted": 2.1476021059762167,
126- "sd": 0.19137526914280106,
127- "se": 0.0051441991039995
126+ "sd": 0.19098701223456402,
127+ "se": 0.005118989245197384
128128 },
129129 {
130130 "L": 101,
131131 "M": 512,
132- "highres_szego": -7.756237076152647,
132+ "highres_szego": -7.756237076152649,
133133 "id": "lp3000_s1",
134- "last_utc": "2026-08-19T03:58:51Z",
135- "mean": 0.47972090998356054,
136- "n_pasts": 1384,
137- "n_runs": 173,
134+ "last_utc": "2026-08-19T05:59:17Z",
135+ "mean": 0.4800751027530488,
136+ "n_pasts": 1392,
137+ "n_runs": 174,
138138 "params": {
139139 "filter": "lowpass",
140140 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -143,18 +143,18 @@
143143 "taps": 101
144144 },
145145 "predicted": 0.616561114498688,
146- "sd": 0.2344640176915875,
147- "se": 0.006302431840496557
146+ "sd": 0.23427355150079412,
147+ "se": 0.006279190278624227
148148 },
149149 {
150150 "L": 101,
151151 "M": 512,
152- "highres_szego": -3.756237076152648,
152+ "highres_szego": -3.7562370761526487,
153153 "id": "lp3000_s16",
154- "last_utc": "2026-08-19T04:03:03Z",
155- "mean": 1.4440848949034675,
156- "n_pasts": 1384,
157- "n_runs": 173,
154+ "last_utc": "2026-08-19T06:02:51Z",
155+ "mean": 1.4437245908947223,
156+ "n_pasts": 1392,
157+ "n_runs": 174,
158158 "params": {
159159 "filter": "lowpass",
160160 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -163,18 +163,18 @@
163163 "taps": 101
164164 },
165165 "predicted": 1.4888184418209351,
166- "sd": 0.2085851692873904,
167- "se": 0.005606804085825323
166+ "sd": 0.2083018202415429,
167+ "se": 0.005583074812762181
168168 },
169169 {
170170 "L": 101,
171171 "M": 512,
172- "highres_szego": -6.756237076152647,
172+ "highres_szego": -6.756237076152649,
173173 "id": "lp3000_s2",
174- "last_utc": "2026-08-19T04:00:02Z",
175- "mean": 0.7580492507734835,
176- "n_pasts": 1384,
177- "n_runs": 173,
174+ "last_utc": "2026-08-19T06:00:01Z",
175+ "mean": 0.7580296069620459,
176+ "n_pasts": 1392,
177+ "n_runs": 174,
178178 "params": {
179179 "filter": "lowpass",
180180 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -183,18 +183,18 @@
183183 "taps": 101
184184 },
185185 "predicted": 0.8251241884518832,
186- "sd": 0.26837935117827943,
187- "se": 0.007214081652489246
186+ "sd": 0.26832105434766873,
187+ "se": 0.007191759143175721
188188 },
189189 {
190190 "L": 101,
191191 "M": 512,
192- "highres_szego": -2.756237076152648,
192+ "highres_szego": -2.7562370761526487,
193193 "id": "lp3000_s32",
194- "last_utc": "2026-08-19T04:05:22Z",
195- "mean": 1.6680607978803648,
196- "n_pasts": 1384,
197- "n_runs": 173,
194+ "last_utc": "2026-08-19T06:04:27Z",
195+ "mean": 1.6680403501935561,
196+ "n_pasts": 1392,
197+ "n_runs": 174,
198198 "params": {
199199 "filter": "lowpass",
200200 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -203,18 +203,18 @@
203203 "taps": 101
204204 },
205205 "predicted": 1.71791605587854,
206- "sd": 0.20772095304775698,
207- "se": 0.0055835738093873225
206+ "sd": 0.20767342853948104,
207+ "se": 0.005566232147247967
208208 },
209209 {
210210 "L": 101,
211211 "M": 512,
212- "highres_szego": -5.756237076152647,
212+ "highres_szego": -5.756237076152649,
213213 "id": "lp3000_s4",
214- "last_utc": "2026-08-19T04:00:51Z",
215- "mean": 0.990420509391289,
216- "n_pasts": 1384,
217- "n_runs": 173,
214+ "last_utc": "2026-08-19T06:00:52Z",
215+ "mean": 0.9911693413595998,
216+ "n_pasts": 1392,
217+ "n_runs": 174,
218218 "params": {
219219 "filter": "lowpass",
220220 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -223,18 +223,18 @@
223223 "taps": 101
224224 },
225225 "predicted": 1.04149876351225,
226- "sd": 0.1911489510255513,
227- "se": 0.005138115635319405
226+ "sd": 0.1909527012993015,
227+ "se": 0.00511806961560296
228228 },
229229 {
230230 "L": 101,
231231 "M": 512,
232- "highres_szego": -4.756237076152647,
232+ "highres_szego": -4.756237076152649,
233233 "id": "lp3000_s8",
234- "last_utc": "2026-08-19T04:01:44Z",
235- "mean": 1.2092480796315261,
236- "n_pasts": 1384,
237- "n_runs": 173,
234+ "last_utc": "2026-08-19T06:01:41Z",
235+ "mean": 1.2094237926893434,
236+ "n_pasts": 1392,
237+ "n_runs": 174,
238238 "params": {
239239 "filter": "lowpass",
240240 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -243,222 +243,222 @@
243243 "taps": 101
244244 },
245245 "predicted": 1.2631675560846525,
246- "sd": 0.20884484323535882,
247- "se": 0.005613784164789834
246+ "sd": 0.20845517912894712,
247+ "se": 0.005587185262400052
248248 },
249249 {
250250 "L": 8,
251251 "M": 512,
252252 "highres_szego": -0.9529044148193548,
253253 "id": "ma8_s1",
254- "last_utc": "2026-08-19T03:57:36Z",
255- "mean": 0.4816015138122382,
256- "n_pasts": 1384,
257- "n_runs": 173,
254+ "last_utc": "2026-08-19T05:57:24Z",
255+ "mean": 0.482052415250331,
256+ "n_pasts": 1392,
257+ "n_runs": 174,
258258 "params": {
259259 "filter": "moving-average",
260260 "sigma": 1.0,
261261 "width": 8
262262 },
263263 "predicted": 0.6099987154839898,
264- "sd": 0.21001305966612352,
265- "se": 0.005645186016990145
264+ "sd": 0.21036647537572556,
265+ "se": 0.005638413378999042
266266 },
267267 {
268268 "L": 8,
269269 "M": 512,
270270 "highres_szego": 3.0470955851806454,
271271 "id": "ma8_s16",
272- "last_utc": "2026-08-19T03:57:59Z",
273- "mean": 3.173114871524599,
274- "n_pasts": 1384,
275- "n_runs": 173,
272+ "last_utc": "2026-08-19T05:57:41Z",
273+ "mean": 3.172998610908764,
274+ "n_pasts": 1392,
275+ "n_runs": 174,
276276 "params": {
277277 "filter": "moving-average",
278278 "sigma": 16.0,
279279 "width": 8
280280 },
281281 "predicted": 3.1776500292335506,
282- "sd": 0.23873016223722732,
283- "se": 0.006417106516318107
282+ "sd": 0.23834471123631193,
283+ "se": 0.006388308813218615
284284 },
285285 {
286286 "L": 8,
287287 "M": 512,
288288 "highres_szego": 0.04709558518064521,
289289 "id": "ma8_s2",
290- "last_utc": "2026-08-19T03:57:41Z",
291- "mean": 0.9740298858385973,
292- "n_pasts": 1384,
293- "n_runs": 173,
290+ "last_utc": "2026-08-19T05:57:29Z",
291+ "mean": 0.9742274091931279,
292+ "n_pasts": 1392,
293+ "n_runs": 174,
294294 "params": {
295295 "filter": "moving-average",
296296 "sigma": 2.0,
297297 "width": 8
298298 },
299299 "predicted": 0.9825176804091631,
300- "sd": 0.09415702639690676,
301- "se": 0.0025309565493794386
300+ "sd": 0.09403297631055922,
301+ "se": 0.002520348314766399
302302 },
303303 {
304304 "L": 8,
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306306 "highres_szego": 4.047095585180645,
307307 "id": "ma8_s32",
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309- "mean": 4.088803910179382,
310- "n_pasts": 1384,
311- "n_runs": 173,
308+ "last_utc": "2026-08-19T05:57:45Z",
309+ "mean": 4.088609066434748,
310+ "n_pasts": 1392,
311+ "n_runs": 174,
312312 "params": {
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314314 "sigma": 32.0,
315315 "width": 8
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317317 "predicted": 4.112486639362294,
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319- "se": 0.006514786213469743
318+ "sd": 0.2417693968463366,
319+ "se": 0.0064801000224782674
320320 },
321321 {
322322 "L": 8,
323323 "M": 512,
324324 "highres_szego": 1.0470955851806452,
325325 "id": "ma8_s4",
326- "last_utc": "2026-08-19T03:57:45Z",
327- "mean": 1.5568127694258103,
328- "n_pasts": 1384,
329- "n_runs": 173,
326+ "last_utc": "2026-08-19T05:57:32Z",
327+ "mean": 1.5568379189112245,
328+ "n_pasts": 1392,
329+ "n_runs": 174,
330330 "params": {
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332332 "sigma": 4.0,
333333 "width": 8
334334 },
335335 "predicted": 1.5529090070448803,
336- "sd": 0.10678347841601822,
337- "se": 0.0028703576823175666
336+ "sd": 0.10651393054875338,
337+ "se": 0.0028548730019040203
338338 },
339339 {
340340 "L": 8,
341341 "M": 512,
342342 "highres_szego": 2.0470955851806454,
343343 "id": "ma8_s8",
344- "last_utc": "2026-08-19T03:57:55Z",
345- "mean": 2.310854716338192,
346- "n_pasts": 1384,
347- "n_runs": 173,
344+ "last_utc": "2026-08-19T05:57:36Z",
345+ "mean": 2.3110980741553897,
346+ "n_pasts": 1392,
347+ "n_runs": 174,
348348 "params": {
349349 "filter": "moving-average",
350350 "sigma": 8.0,
351351 "width": 8
352352 },
353353 "predicted": 2.3064317412363535,
354- "sd": 0.18059226858450214,
355- "se": 0.004854350253315263
354+ "sd": 0.18041227332505672,
355+ "se": 0.0048355564917593906
356356 },
357357 {
358358 "L": 1,
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459459 ],
460460 "estimand": "H(z_{M+1} | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample, for x ~ iid N(0, sigma^2) -> y = h * x -> z = round(y)",
461- "generated": "2026-08-19T05:56:57Z",
461+ "generated": "2026-08-19T06:13:38Z",
462462 "settings": {
463463 "n0": 128,
464464 "pasts_per_run": 8,
@@ -466,5 +466,5 @@
466466 "reps": 8,
467467 "thin": "auto"
468468 },
469- "total_runs": 173
469+ "total_runs": 174
470470 }
runs.jsonlmodified+24−0View file
@@ -4150,3 +4150,27 @@
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