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timeseries-entropy / README.md
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Cached entropy estimates#

Machine-generated by .github/workflows/estimates.yml on main — do not edit by hand. Every dispatch runs the whole grid again with fresh, independent pasts, appends one record per cell to runs.jsonl, and rebuilds estimates.json from the full log, so the means tighten run after run.

The estimand is H(z_(M+1) | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample — an upper bound on the entropy rate of z that tightens as the conditioning window M grows.

Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends access-control-allow-origin: *):

https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json

Current state (174 runs, generated 2026-08-19T06:13:38Z)#

cell sigma M mean se pasts predicted
bp300-6000_s1 1 512 0.9330 0.0033 1392 0.9513
bp300-6000_s16 16 512 2.5505 0.0069 1392 2.5680
bp300-6000_s2 2 512 1.3139 0.0030 1392 1.3319
bp300-6000_s32 32 512 2.9878 0.0172 1392 2.9938
bp300-6000_s4 4 512 1.7239 0.0040 1392 1.7342
bp300-6000_s8 8 512 2.1310 0.0051 1392 2.1476
lp3000_s1 1 512 0.4801 0.0063 1392 0.6166
lp3000_s16 16 512 1.4437 0.0056 1392 1.4888
lp3000_s2 2 512 0.7580 0.0072 1392 0.8251
lp3000_s32 32 512 1.6680 0.0056 1392 1.7179
lp3000_s4 4 512 0.9912 0.0051 1392 1.0415
lp3000_s8 8 512 1.2094 0.0056 1392 1.2632
ma8_s1 1 512 0.4821 0.0056 1392 0.6100
ma8_s16 16 512 3.1730 0.0064 1392 3.1777
ma8_s2 2 512 0.9742 0.0025 1392 0.9825
ma8_s32 32 512 4.0886 0.0065 1392 4.1125
ma8_s4 4 512 1.5568 0.0029 1392 1.5529
ma8_s8 8 512 2.3111 0.0048 1392 2.3064
none_s1 1 512 2.1058 0.0018 1392 2.1048
none_s16 16 512 6.0265 0.0154 1392 6.0473
none_s2 2 512 3.0640 0.0030 1392 3.0620
none_s32 32 512 7.0413 0.0272 1392 7.0472
none_s4 4 512 4.0437 0.0038 1392 4.0508
none_s8 8 512 5.0435 0.0074 1392 5.0480
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