estimates: run 190 from efed18a
3 changed files+195−171
README.mdmodified+25−25View file
@@ -21,33 +21,33 @@ Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends
2121
2222 https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json
2323
24-## Current state (172 runs, generated 2026-08-18T17:28:58Z)
24+## Current state (173 runs, generated 2026-08-19T05:56:57Z)
2525
2626 | cell | sigma | M | mean | se | pasts | predicted |
2727 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
28-| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9342 | 0.0033 | 1376 | 0.9513 |
29-| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5508 | 0.0069 | 1376 | 2.5680 |
30-| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3141 | 0.0030 | 1376 | 1.3319 |
31-| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9857 | 0.0170 | 1376 | 2.9938 |
32-| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7248 | 0.0040 | 1376 | 1.7342 |
33-| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1309 | 0.0052 | 1376 | 2.1476 |
34-| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4802 | 0.0063 | 1376 | 0.6166 |
35-| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4440 | 0.0056 | 1376 | 1.4888 |
36-| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7572 | 0.0072 | 1376 | 0.8251 |
37-| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6682 | 0.0056 | 1376 | 1.7179 |
38-| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 0.9910 | 0.0051 | 1376 | 1.0415 |
39-| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2091 | 0.0056 | 1376 | 1.2632 |
40-| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4811 | 0.0056 | 1376 | 0.6100 |
41-| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.1733 | 0.0065 | 1376 | 3.1777 |
42-| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9740 | 0.0025 | 1376 | 0.9825 |
43-| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0890 | 0.0065 | 1376 | 4.1125 |
44-| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5569 | 0.0029 | 1376 | 1.5529 |
45-| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.3110 | 0.0049 | 1376 | 2.3064 |
46-| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.1058 | 0.0018 | 1376 | 2.1048 |
47-| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 6.0264 | 0.0155 | 1376 | 6.0473 |
48-| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0641 | 0.0030 | 1376 | 3.0620 |
49-| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 7.0388 | 0.0275 | 1376 | 7.0472 |
50-| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0436 | 0.0039 | 1376 | 4.0508 |
51-| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0429 | 0.0074 | 1376 | 5.0480 |
28+| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9337 | 0.0033 | 1384 | 0.9513 |
29+| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5513 | 0.0069 | 1384 | 2.5680 |
30+| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3140 | 0.0030 | 1384 | 1.3319 |
31+| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9879 | 0.0173 | 1384 | 2.9938 |
32+| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7243 | 0.0040 | 1384 | 1.7342 |
33+| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1311 | 0.0051 | 1384 | 2.1476 |
34+| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4797 | 0.0063 | 1384 | 0.6166 |
35+| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4441 | 0.0056 | 1384 | 1.4888 |
36+| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7580 | 0.0072 | 1384 | 0.8251 |
37+| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6681 | 0.0056 | 1384 | 1.7179 |
38+| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 0.9904 | 0.0051 | 1384 | 1.0415 |
39+| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2092 | 0.0056 | 1384 | 1.2632 |
40+| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4816 | 0.0056 | 1384 | 0.6100 |
41+| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.1731 | 0.0064 | 1384 | 3.1777 |
42+| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9740 | 0.0025 | 1384 | 0.9825 |
43+| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0888 | 0.0065 | 1384 | 4.1125 |
44+| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5568 | 0.0029 | 1384 | 1.5529 |
45+| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.3109 | 0.0049 | 1384 | 2.3064 |
46+| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.1058 | 0.0018 | 1384 | 2.1048 |
47+| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 6.0273 | 0.0155 | 1384 | 6.0473 |
48+| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0639 | 0.0030 | 1384 | 3.0620 |
49+| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 7.0397 | 0.0273 | 1384 | 7.0472 |
50+| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0439 | 0.0039 | 1384 | 4.0508 |
51+| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0424 | 0.0074 | 1384 | 5.0480 |
5252
5353 [wf]: https://github.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/blob/main/.github/workflows/estimates.yml
estimates.jsonmodified+146−146View file
@@ -5,10 +5,10 @@
55 "M": 512,
66 "highres_szego": -4.78256796018064,
77 "id": "bp300-6000_s1",
8- "last_utc": "2026-08-18T17:05:23Z",
9- "mean": 0.9341673903316915,
10- "n_pasts": 1376,
11- "n_runs": 172,
8+ "last_utc": "2026-08-19T04:06:10Z",
9+ "mean": 0.9337146919528091,
10+ "n_pasts": 1384,
11+ "n_runs": 173,
1212 "params": {
1313 "filter": "bandpass",
1414 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -18,18 +18,18 @@
1818 "taps": 101
1919 },
2020 "predicted": 0.9512549259549268,
21- "sd": 0.12226080208539873,
22- "se": 0.003295930335736318
21+ "sd": 0.12257991631063972,
22+ "se": 0.003294968563482472
2323 },
2424 {
2525 "L": 101,
2626 "M": 512,
2727 "highres_szego": -0.7825679601806399,
2828 "id": "bp300-6000_s16",
29- "last_utc": "2026-08-18T17:17:02Z",
30- "mean": 2.550838695438705,
31- "n_pasts": 1376,
32- "n_runs": 172,
29+ "last_utc": "2026-08-19T04:13:43Z",
30+ "mean": 2.551342288280394,
31+ "n_pasts": 1384,
32+ "n_runs": 173,
3333 "params": {
3434 "filter": "bandpass",
3535 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -39,18 +39,18 @@
3939 "taps": 101
4040 },
4141 "predicted": 2.56797969986038,
42- "sd": 0.25738518724779735,
43- "se": 0.006938639630604065
42+ "sd": 0.2570013777200267,
43+ "se": 0.006908239831174292
4444 },
4545 {
4646 "L": 101,
4747 "M": 512,
4848 "highres_szego": -3.7825679601806397,
4949 "id": "bp300-6000_s2",
50- "last_utc": "2026-08-18T17:06:21Z",
51- "mean": 1.314129419216483,
52- "n_pasts": 1376,
53- "n_runs": 172,
50+ "last_utc": "2026-08-19T04:07:02Z",
51+ "mean": 1.313981634603409,
52+ "n_pasts": 1384,
53+ "n_runs": 173,
5454 "params": {
5555 "filter": "bandpass",
5656 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -60,18 +60,18 @@
6060 "taps": 101
6161 },
6262 "predicted": 1.3318639472861573,
63- "sd": 0.11262635394968613,
64- "se": 0.0030362030205466715
63+ "sd": 0.11249499244155586,
64+ "se": 0.0030238841304540158
6565 },
6666 {
6767 "L": 101,
6868 "M": 512,
6969 "highres_szego": 0.2174320398193601,
7070 "id": "bp300-6000_s32",
71- "last_utc": "2026-08-18T17:28:58Z",
72- "mean": 2.9856564124350076,
73- "n_pasts": 1376,
74- "n_runs": 172,
71+ "last_utc": "2026-08-19T05:56:57Z",
72+ "mean": 2.9879167964606768,
73+ "n_pasts": 1384,
74+ "n_runs": 173,
7575 "params": {
7676 "filter": "bandpass",
7777 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -81,18 +81,18 @@
8181 "taps": 101
8282 },
8383 "predicted": 2.9937688408517453,
84- "sd": 0.6309643827605271,
85- "se": 0.017009659796415857
84+ "sd": 0.6445115271545385,
85+ "se": 0.017324577179467
8686 },
8787 {
8888 "L": 101,
8989 "M": 512,
9090 "highres_szego": -2.7825679601806397,
9191 "id": "bp300-6000_s4",
92- "last_utc": "2026-08-18T17:07:43Z",
93- "mean": 1.7248274525049572,
94- "n_pasts": 1376,
95- "n_runs": 172,
92+ "last_utc": "2026-08-19T04:08:14Z",
93+ "mean": 1.7242749803422344,
94+ "n_pasts": 1384,
95+ "n_runs": 173,
9696 "params": {
9797 "filter": "bandpass",
9898 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -102,18 +102,18 @@
102102 "taps": 101
103103 },
104104 "predicted": 1.734166393696377,
105- "sd": 0.14873909166053637,
106- "se": 0.004009737184379014
105+ "sd": 0.14906912873818873,
106+ "se": 0.004007003004744424
107107 },
108108 {
109109 "L": 101,
110110 "M": 512,
111111 "highres_szego": -1.78256796018064,
112112 "id": "bp300-6000_s8",
113- "last_utc": "2026-08-18T17:13:32Z",
114- "mean": 2.1309292165406237,
115- "n_pasts": 1376,
116- "n_runs": 172,
113+ "last_utc": "2026-08-19T04:10:07Z",
114+ "mean": 2.1311158776605246,
115+ "n_pasts": 1384,
116+ "n_runs": 173,
117117 "params": {
118118 "filter": "bandpass",
119119 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -123,18 +123,18 @@
123123 "taps": 101
124124 },
125125 "predicted": 2.1476021059762167,
126- "sd": 0.19176088230580154,
127- "se": 0.005169526932743186
126+ "sd": 0.19137526914280106,
127+ "se": 0.0051441991039995
128128 },
129129 {
130130 "L": 101,
131131 "M": 512,
132132 "highres_szego": -7.756237076152647,
133133 "id": "lp3000_s1",
134- "last_utc": "2026-08-18T16:56:09Z",
135- "mean": 0.4801546597731729,
136- "n_pasts": 1376,
137- "n_runs": 172,
134+ "last_utc": "2026-08-19T03:58:51Z",
135+ "mean": 0.47972090998356054,
136+ "n_pasts": 1384,
137+ "n_runs": 173,
138138 "params": {
139139 "filter": "lowpass",
140140 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -143,18 +143,18 @@
143143 "taps": 101
144144 },
145145 "predicted": 0.616561114498688,
146- "sd": 0.23429462558653355,
147- "se": 0.006316159805914298
146+ "sd": 0.2344640176915875,
147+ "se": 0.006302431840496557
148148 },
149149 {
150150 "L": 101,
151151 "M": 512,
152152 "highres_szego": -3.756237076152648,
153153 "id": "lp3000_s16",
154- "last_utc": "2026-08-18T17:02:17Z",
155- "mean": 1.4440291972684531,
156- "n_pasts": 1376,
157- "n_runs": 172,
154+ "last_utc": "2026-08-19T04:03:03Z",
155+ "mean": 1.4440848949034675,
156+ "n_pasts": 1384,
157+ "n_runs": 173,
158158 "params": {
159159 "filter": "lowpass",
160160 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -163,18 +163,18 @@
163163 "taps": 101
164164 },
165165 "predicted": 1.4888184418209351,
166- "sd": 0.2088547438273161,
167- "se": 0.005630346555898302
166+ "sd": 0.2085851692873904,
167+ "se": 0.005606804085825323
168168 },
169169 {
170170 "L": 101,
171171 "M": 512,
172172 "highres_szego": -6.756237076152647,
173173 "id": "lp3000_s2",
174- "last_utc": "2026-08-18T16:57:07Z",
175- "mean": 0.7571928593728846,
176- "n_pasts": 1376,
177- "n_runs": 172,
174+ "last_utc": "2026-08-19T04:00:02Z",
175+ "mean": 0.7580492507734835,
176+ "n_pasts": 1384,
177+ "n_runs": 173,
178178 "params": {
179179 "filter": "lowpass",
180180 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -183,18 +183,18 @@
183183 "taps": 101
184184 },
185185 "predicted": 0.8251241884518832,
186- "sd": 0.2688959238470233,
187- "se": 0.007248948292881278
186+ "sd": 0.26837935117827943,
187+ "se": 0.007214081652489246
188188 },
189189 {
190190 "L": 101,
191191 "M": 512,
192192 "highres_szego": -2.756237076152648,
193193 "id": "lp3000_s32",
194- "last_utc": "2026-08-18T17:03:50Z",
195- "mean": 1.6681867591742656,
196- "n_pasts": 1376,
197- "n_runs": 172,
194+ "last_utc": "2026-08-19T04:05:22Z",
195+ "mean": 1.6680607978803648,
196+ "n_pasts": 1384,
197+ "n_runs": 173,
198198 "params": {
199199 "filter": "lowpass",
200200 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -203,18 +203,18 @@
203203 "taps": 101
204204 },
205205 "predicted": 1.71791605587854,
206- "sd": 0.2081266578358365,
207- "se": 0.005610718673000347
206+ "sd": 0.20772095304775698,
207+ "se": 0.0055835738093873225
208208 },
209209 {
210210 "L": 101,
211211 "M": 512,
212212 "highres_szego": -5.756237076152647,
213213 "id": "lp3000_s4",
214- "last_utc": "2026-08-18T16:58:42Z",
215- "mean": 0.9910083318650769,
216- "n_pasts": 1376,
217- "n_runs": 172,
214+ "last_utc": "2026-08-19T04:00:51Z",
215+ "mean": 0.990420509391289,
216+ "n_pasts": 1384,
217+ "n_runs": 173,
218218 "params": {
219219 "filter": "lowpass",
220220 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -223,18 +223,18 @@
223223 "taps": 101
224224 },
225225 "predicted": 1.04149876351225,
226- "sd": 0.19089299137919744,
227- "se": 0.00514613016137973
226+ "sd": 0.1911489510255513,
227+ "se": 0.005138115635319405
228228 },
229229 {
230230 "L": 101,
231231 "M": 512,
232232 "highres_szego": -4.756237076152647,
233233 "id": "lp3000_s8",
234- "last_utc": "2026-08-18T17:00:01Z",
235- "mean": 1.2090692022192806,
236- "n_pasts": 1376,
237- "n_runs": 172,
234+ "last_utc": "2026-08-19T04:01:44Z",
235+ "mean": 1.2092480796315261,
236+ "n_pasts": 1384,
237+ "n_runs": 173,
238238 "params": {
239239 "filter": "lowpass",
240240 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -243,222 +243,222 @@
243243 "taps": 101
244244 },
245245 "predicted": 1.2631675560846525,
246- "sd": 0.20909559897541352,
247- "se": 0.005636839575538219
246+ "sd": 0.20884484323535882,
247+ "se": 0.005613784164789834
248248 },
249249 {
250250 "L": 8,
251251 "M": 512,
252252 "highres_szego": -0.9529044148193548,
253253 "id": "ma8_s1",
254- "last_utc": "2026-08-18T16:53:46Z",
255- "mean": 0.48112278509660017,
256- "n_pasts": 1376,
257- "n_runs": 172,
254+ "last_utc": "2026-08-19T03:57:36Z",
255+ "mean": 0.4816015138122382,
256+ "n_pasts": 1384,
257+ "n_runs": 173,
258258 "params": {
259259 "filter": "moving-average",
260260 "sigma": 1.0,
261261 "width": 8
262262 },
263263 "predicted": 0.6099987154839898,
264- "sd": 0.20954554573006792,
265- "se": 0.005648969327125287
264+ "sd": 0.21001305966612352,
265+ "se": 0.005645186016990145
266266 },
267267 {
268268 "L": 8,
269269 "M": 512,
270270 "highres_szego": 3.0470955851806454,
271271 "id": "ma8_s16",
272- "last_utc": "2026-08-18T16:55:03Z",
273- "mean": 3.1733097533053187,
274- "n_pasts": 1376,
275- "n_runs": 172,
272+ "last_utc": "2026-08-19T03:57:59Z",
273+ "mean": 3.173114871524599,
274+ "n_pasts": 1384,
275+ "n_runs": 173,
276276 "params": {
277277 "filter": "moving-average",
278278 "sigma": 16.0,
279279 "width": 8
280280 },
281281 "predicted": 3.1776500292335506,
282- "sd": 0.23926553355717034,
283- "se": 0.006450166503867509
282+ "sd": 0.23873016223722732,
283+ "se": 0.006417106516318107
284284 },
285285 {
286286 "L": 8,
287287 "M": 512,
288288 "highres_szego": 0.04709558518064521,
289289 "id": "ma8_s2",
290- "last_utc": "2026-08-18T16:53:50Z",
291- "mean": 0.9740495268423206,
292- "n_pasts": 1376,
293- "n_runs": 172,
290+ "last_utc": "2026-08-19T03:57:41Z",
291+ "mean": 0.9740298858385973,
292+ "n_pasts": 1384,
293+ "n_runs": 173,
294294 "params": {
295295 "filter": "moving-average",
296296 "sigma": 2.0,
297297 "width": 8
298298 },
299299 "predicted": 0.9825176804091631,
300- "sd": 0.09427451239750777,
301- "se": 0.0025414705285562995
300+ "sd": 0.09415702639690676,
301+ "se": 0.0025309565493794386
302302 },
303303 {
304304 "L": 8,
305305 "M": 512,
306306 "highres_szego": 4.047095585180645,
307307 "id": "ma8_s32",
308- "last_utc": "2026-08-18T16:55:09Z",
309- "mean": 4.088958176959876,
310- "n_pasts": 1376,
311- "n_runs": 172,
308+ "last_utc": "2026-08-19T03:58:05Z",
309+ "mean": 4.088803910179382,
310+ "n_pasts": 1384,
311+ "n_runs": 173,
312312 "params": {
313313 "filter": "moving-average",
314314 "sigma": 32.0,
315315 "width": 8
316316 },
317317 "predicted": 4.112486639362294,
318- "sd": 0.24278481936285556,
319- "se": 0.006545040090898142
318+ "sd": 0.24236405702906144,
319+ "se": 0.006514786213469743
320320 },
321321 {
322322 "L": 8,
323323 "M": 512,
324324 "highres_szego": 1.0470955851806452,
325325 "id": "ma8_s4",
326- "last_utc": "2026-08-18T16:54:49Z",
327- "mean": 1.5569214945889842,
328- "n_pasts": 1376,
329- "n_runs": 172,
326+ "last_utc": "2026-08-19T03:57:45Z",
327+ "mean": 1.5568127694258103,
328+ "n_pasts": 1384,
329+ "n_runs": 173,
330330 "params": {
331331 "filter": "moving-average",
332332 "sigma": 4.0,
333333 "width": 8
334334 },
335335 "predicted": 1.5529090070448803,
336- "sd": 0.1069890029053213,
337- "se": 0.0028842302213878813
336+ "sd": 0.10678347841601822,
337+ "se": 0.0028703576823175666
338338 },
339339 {
340340 "L": 8,
341341 "M": 512,
342342 "highres_szego": 2.0470955851806454,
343343 "id": "ma8_s8",
344- "last_utc": "2026-08-18T16:54:56Z",
345- "mean": 2.3109790978077993,
346- "n_pasts": 1376,
347- "n_runs": 172,
344+ "last_utc": "2026-08-19T03:57:55Z",
345+ "mean": 2.310854716338192,
346+ "n_pasts": 1384,
347+ "n_runs": 173,
348348 "params": {
349349 "filter": "moving-average",
350350 "sigma": 8.0,
351351 "width": 8
352352 },
353353 "predicted": 2.3064317412363535,
354- "sd": 0.18098357312856309,
355- "se": 0.004878990148680064
354+ "sd": 0.18059226858450214,
355+ "se": 0.004854350253315263
356356 },
357357 {
358358 "L": 1,
359359 "M": 512,
360360 "highres_szego": 2.047095585180641,
361361 "id": "none_s1",
362- "last_utc": "2026-08-18T16:53:33Z",
363- "mean": 2.105835866055866,
364- "n_pasts": 1376,
365- "n_runs": 172,
362+ "last_utc": "2026-08-19T03:57:24Z",
363+ "mean": 2.105807063311622,
364+ "n_pasts": 1384,
365+ "n_runs": 173,
366366 "params": {
367367 "filter": "none",
368368 "sigma": 1.0
369369 },
370370 "predicted": 2.1048326603976193,
371- "sd": 0.06601386791701559,
372- "se": 0.0017796146118443205
371+ "sd": 0.06595107037935936,
372+ "se": 0.0017727757545315543
373373 },
374374 {
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458458 }
459459 ],
460460 "estimand": "H(z_{M+1} | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample, for x ~ iid N(0, sigma^2) -> y = h * x -> z = round(y)",
461- "generated": "2026-08-18T17:28:58Z",
461+ "generated": "2026-08-19T05:56:57Z",
462462 "settings": {
463463 "n0": 128,
464464 "pasts_per_run": 8,
@@ -466,5 +466,5 @@
466466 "reps": 8,
467467 "thin": "auto"
468468 },
469- "total_runs": 172
469+ "total_runs": 173
470470 }
runs.jsonlmodified+24−0View file
@@ -4126,3 +4126,27 @@
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