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timeseries-entropy / README.md
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Cached entropy estimates#

Machine-generated by .github/workflows/estimates.yml on main — do not edit by hand. Every dispatch runs the whole grid again with fresh, independent pasts, appends one record per cell to runs.jsonl, and rebuilds estimates.json from the full log, so the means tighten run after run.

The estimand is H(z_(M+1) | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample — an upper bound on the entropy rate of z that tightens as the conditioning window M grows.

Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends access-control-allow-origin: *):

https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json

Current state (173 runs, generated 2026-08-19T05:56:57Z)#

cell sigma M mean se pasts predicted
bp300-6000_s1 1 512 0.9337 0.0033 1384 0.9513
bp300-6000_s16 16 512 2.5513 0.0069 1384 2.5680
bp300-6000_s2 2 512 1.3140 0.0030 1384 1.3319
bp300-6000_s32 32 512 2.9879 0.0173 1384 2.9938
bp300-6000_s4 4 512 1.7243 0.0040 1384 1.7342
bp300-6000_s8 8 512 2.1311 0.0051 1384 2.1476
lp3000_s1 1 512 0.4797 0.0063 1384 0.6166
lp3000_s16 16 512 1.4441 0.0056 1384 1.4888
lp3000_s2 2 512 0.7580 0.0072 1384 0.8251
lp3000_s32 32 512 1.6681 0.0056 1384 1.7179
lp3000_s4 4 512 0.9904 0.0051 1384 1.0415
lp3000_s8 8 512 1.2092 0.0056 1384 1.2632
ma8_s1 1 512 0.4816 0.0056 1384 0.6100
ma8_s16 16 512 3.1731 0.0064 1384 3.1777
ma8_s2 2 512 0.9740 0.0025 1384 0.9825
ma8_s32 32 512 4.0888 0.0065 1384 4.1125
ma8_s4 4 512 1.5568 0.0029 1384 1.5529
ma8_s8 8 512 2.3109 0.0049 1384 2.3064
none_s1 1 512 2.1058 0.0018 1384 2.1048
none_s16 16 512 6.0273 0.0155 1384 6.0473
none_s2 2 512 3.0639 0.0030 1384 3.0620
none_s32 32 512 7.0397 0.0273 1384 7.0472
none_s4 4 512 4.0439 0.0039 1384 4.0508
none_s8 8 512 5.0424 0.0074 1384 5.0480
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