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timeseries-entropy / README.md
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Cached entropy estimates#

Machine-generated by .github/workflows/estimates.yml on main — do not edit by hand. Every dispatch runs the whole grid again with fresh, independent pasts, appends one record per cell to runs.jsonl, and rebuilds estimates.json from the full log, so the means tighten run after run.

The estimand is H(z_(M+1) | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample — an upper bound on the entropy rate of z that tightens as the conditioning window M grows.

Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends access-control-allow-origin: *):

https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json

Current state (14 runs, generated 2026-08-02T22:01:51Z)#

cell sigma M mean se pasts predicted
bp300-6000_s1 1 512 0.9419 0.0116 112 0.9513
bp300-6000_s16 16 512 2.5476 0.0233 112 2.5680
bp300-6000_s2 2 512 1.3220 0.0125 112 1.3319
bp300-6000_s32 32 512 2.9601 0.0373 112 2.9938
bp300-6000_s4 4 512 1.7074 0.0125 112 1.7342
bp300-6000_s8 8 512 2.1553 0.0246 112 2.1476
lp3000_s1 1 512 0.4687 0.0226 112 0.6166
lp3000_s16 16 512 1.4622 0.0159 112 1.4888
lp3000_s2 2 512 0.7371 0.0268 112 0.8251
lp3000_s32 32 512 1.6359 0.0206 112 1.7179
lp3000_s4 4 512 1.0173 0.0145 112 1.0415
lp3000_s8 8 512 1.2293 0.0187 112 1.2632
ma8_s1 1 512 0.4781 0.0188 112 0.6100
ma8_s16 16 512 3.1873 0.0306 112 3.1777
ma8_s2 2 512 0.9762 0.0118 112 0.9825
ma8_s32 32 512 4.0794 0.0206 112 4.1125
ma8_s4 4 512 1.5572 0.0112 112 1.5529
ma8_s8 8 512 2.2965 0.0135 112 2.3064
none_s1 1 512 2.1034 0.0050 112 2.1048
none_s16 16 512 5.9851 0.0345 112 6.0473
none_s2 2 512 3.0571 0.0060 112 3.0620
none_s32 32 512 6.9947 0.0707 112 7.0472
none_s4 4 512 4.0344 0.0118 112 4.0508
none_s8 8 512 5.0686 0.0263 112 5.0480
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