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timeseries-entropy / README.md
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Cached entropy estimates#

Machine-generated by .github/workflows/estimates.yml on main — do not edit by hand. Every dispatch runs the whole grid again with fresh, independent pasts, appends one record per cell to runs.jsonl, and rebuilds estimates.json from the full log, so the means tighten run after run.

The estimand is H(z_(M+1) | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample — an upper bound on the entropy rate of z that tightens as the conditioning window M grows.

Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends access-control-allow-origin: *):

https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json

Current state (52 runs, generated 2026-08-07T17:43:58Z)#

cell sigma M mean se pasts predicted
bp300-6000_s1 1 512 0.9371 0.0059 416 0.9513
bp300-6000_s16 16 512 2.5492 0.0115 416 2.5680
bp300-6000_s2 2 512 1.3161 0.0057 416 1.3319
bp300-6000_s32 32 512 2.9696 0.0225 416 2.9938
bp300-6000_s4 4 512 1.7187 0.0066 416 1.7342
bp300-6000_s8 8 512 2.1327 0.0111 416 2.1476
lp3000_s1 1 512 0.4753 0.0119 416 0.6166
lp3000_s16 16 512 1.4551 0.0095 416 1.4888
lp3000_s2 2 512 0.7554 0.0136 416 0.8251
lp3000_s32 32 512 1.6578 0.0097 416 1.7179
lp3000_s4 4 512 0.9957 0.0086 416 1.0415
lp3000_s8 8 512 1.2278 0.0109 416 1.2632
ma8_s1 1 512 0.4873 0.0104 416 0.6100
ma8_s16 16 512 3.1910 0.0142 416 3.1777
ma8_s2 2 512 0.9719 0.0052 416 0.9825
ma8_s32 32 512 4.0832 0.0118 416 4.1125
ma8_s4 4 512 1.5612 0.0053 416 1.5529
ma8_s8 8 512 2.2979 0.0074 416 2.3064
none_s1 1 512 2.1069 0.0041 416 2.1048
none_s16 16 512 6.0273 0.0227 416 6.0473
none_s2 2 512 3.0646 0.0044 416 3.0620
none_s32 32 512 7.0849 0.0528 416 7.0472
none_s4 4 512 4.0332 0.0069 416 4.0508
none_s8 8 512 5.0647 0.0155 416 5.0480
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