/ proof-of-concept / timeseries-entropy
Sign in
proof-of-concept / timeseries-entropy
Go to fileHistoryFork
github-actions[bot] estimates: run 34 from efed18a 4b9a50a 28 Commits
estimates.jsonestimates: run 34 from efed18a
README.mdestimates: run 34 from efed18a
runs.jsonlestimates: run 34 from efed18a

Cached entropy estimates#

Machine-generated by .github/workflows/estimates.yml on main — do not edit by hand. Every dispatch runs the whole grid again with fresh, independent pasts, appends one record per cell to runs.jsonl, and rebuilds estimates.json from the full log, so the means tighten run after run.

  • runs.jsonl — append-only, one JSON object per (cell, dispatch): the cell's parameters, the per-past values with their sum and sum of squares, the per-past resolved Gibbs thinning and probe autocorrelation times (thin='auto' matches thinning to each chain's measured mixing), the seed, and the code commit that produced them.
  • estimates.json — pooled mean and se per cell over every past ever drawn for it, alongside the analytic predicted rate for comparison.

The estimand is H(z_(M+1) | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample — an upper bound on the entropy rate of z that tightens as the conditioning window M grows.

Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends access-control-allow-origin: *):

https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json

Current state (27 runs, generated 2026-08-04T15:12:49Z)#

cell sigma M mean se pasts predicted
bp300-6000_s1 1 512 0.9393 0.0077 216 0.9513
bp300-6000_s16 16 512 2.5423 0.0145 216 2.5680
bp300-6000_s2 2 512 1.3182 0.0084 216 1.3319
bp300-6000_s32 32 512 2.9782 0.0380 216 2.9938
bp300-6000_s4 4 512 1.7184 0.0091 216 1.7342
bp300-6000_s8 8 512 2.1442 0.0150 216 2.1476
lp3000_s1 1 512 0.4726 0.0170 216 0.6166
lp3000_s16 16 512 1.4520 0.0113 216 1.4888
lp3000_s2 2 512 0.7407 0.0198 216 0.8251
lp3000_s32 32 512 1.6485 0.0133 216 1.7179
lp3000_s4 4 512 1.0124 0.0116 216 1.0415
lp3000_s8 8 512 1.2189 0.0131 216 1.2632
ma8_s1 1 512 0.4821 0.0141 216 0.6100
ma8_s16 16 512 3.2050 0.0226 216 3.1777
ma8_s2 2 512 0.9715 0.0082 216 0.9825
ma8_s32 32 512 4.0811 0.0169 216 4.1125
ma8_s4 4 512 1.5616 0.0086 216 1.5529
ma8_s8 8 512 2.2998 0.0103 216 2.3064
none_s1 1 512 2.1041 0.0035 216 2.1048
none_s16 16 512 6.0019 0.0268 216 6.0473
none_s2 2 512 3.0606 0.0054 216 3.0620
none_s32 32 512 6.9963 0.0537 216 7.0472
none_s4 4 512 4.0382 0.0096 216 4.0508
none_s8 8 512 5.0637 0.0179 216 5.0480
↑↓ move↵openescclose