estimates: run 152 from efed18a
3 changed files+195−171
README.mdmodified+25−25View file
@@ -21,33 +21,33 @@ Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends
2121
2222 https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json
2323
24-## Current state (138 runs, generated 2026-08-15T21:23:19Z)
24+## Current state (139 runs, generated 2026-08-15T23:11:15Z)
2525
2626 | cell | sigma | M | mean | se | pasts | predicted |
2727 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
28-| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9328 | 0.0038 | 1104 | 0.9513 |
29-| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5507 | 0.0082 | 1104 | 2.5680 |
30-| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3126 | 0.0034 | 1104 | 1.3319 |
31-| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9837 | 0.0184 | 1104 | 2.9938 |
32-| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7245 | 0.0042 | 1104 | 1.7342 |
33-| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1300 | 0.0057 | 1104 | 2.1476 |
34-| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4777 | 0.0070 | 1104 | 0.6166 |
35-| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4413 | 0.0059 | 1104 | 1.4888 |
36-| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7614 | 0.0080 | 1104 | 0.8251 |
37-| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6677 | 0.0064 | 1104 | 1.7179 |
38-| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 0.9933 | 0.0057 | 1104 | 1.0415 |
39-| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2089 | 0.0065 | 1104 | 1.2632 |
40-| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4813 | 0.0064 | 1104 | 0.6100 |
41-| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.1747 | 0.0074 | 1104 | 3.1777 |
42-| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9757 | 0.0029 | 1104 | 0.9825 |
43-| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0889 | 0.0074 | 1104 | 4.1125 |
44-| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5563 | 0.0032 | 1104 | 1.5529 |
45-| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.3081 | 0.0050 | 1104 | 2.3064 |
46-| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.1054 | 0.0020 | 1104 | 2.1048 |
47-| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 6.0089 | 0.0147 | 1104 | 6.0473 |
48-| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0671 | 0.0035 | 1104 | 3.0620 |
49-| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 7.0498 | 0.0316 | 1104 | 7.0472 |
50-| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0386 | 0.0041 | 1104 | 4.0508 |
51-| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0525 | 0.0087 | 1104 | 5.0480 |
28+| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9332 | 0.0037 | 1112 | 0.9513 |
29+| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5502 | 0.0081 | 1112 | 2.5680 |
30+| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3124 | 0.0034 | 1112 | 1.3319 |
31+| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9831 | 0.0183 | 1112 | 2.9938 |
32+| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7248 | 0.0042 | 1112 | 1.7342 |
33+| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1297 | 0.0057 | 1112 | 2.1476 |
34+| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4777 | 0.0070 | 1112 | 0.6166 |
35+| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4410 | 0.0058 | 1112 | 1.4888 |
36+| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7611 | 0.0080 | 1112 | 0.8251 |
37+| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6672 | 0.0064 | 1112 | 1.7179 |
38+| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 0.9930 | 0.0057 | 1112 | 1.0415 |
39+| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2093 | 0.0064 | 1112 | 1.2632 |
40+| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4817 | 0.0063 | 1112 | 0.6100 |
41+| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.1753 | 0.0074 | 1112 | 3.1777 |
42+| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9756 | 0.0028 | 1112 | 0.9825 |
43+| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0895 | 0.0074 | 1112 | 4.1125 |
44+| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5563 | 0.0032 | 1112 | 1.5529 |
45+| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.3089 | 0.0050 | 1112 | 2.3064 |
46+| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.1054 | 0.0020 | 1112 | 2.1048 |
47+| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 6.0091 | 0.0146 | 1112 | 6.0473 |
48+| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0670 | 0.0035 | 1112 | 3.0620 |
49+| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 7.0473 | 0.0314 | 1112 | 7.0472 |
50+| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0387 | 0.0041 | 1112 | 4.0508 |
51+| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0521 | 0.0087 | 1112 | 5.0480 |
5252
5353 [wf]: https://github.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/blob/main/.github/workflows/estimates.yml
estimates.jsonmodified+146−146View file
@@ -5,10 +5,10 @@
55 "M": 512,
66 "highres_szego": -4.78256796018064,
77 "id": "bp300-6000_s1",
8- "last_utc": "2026-08-15T21:05:06Z",
9- "mean": 0.9327739649470842,
10- "n_pasts": 1104,
11- "n_runs": 138,
8+ "last_utc": "2026-08-15T22:55:19Z",
9+ "mean": 0.9332034234934324,
10+ "n_pasts": 1112,
11+ "n_runs": 139,
1212 "params": {
1313 "filter": "bandpass",
1414 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -18,18 +18,18 @@
1818 "taps": 101
1919 },
2020 "predicted": 0.9512549259549268,
21- "sd": 0.1246933519043592,
22- "se": 0.0037528288857825768
21+ "sd": 0.1244772784841889,
22+ "se": 0.0037328255228231888
2323 },
2424 {
2525 "L": 101,
2626 "M": 512,
2727 "highres_szego": -0.7825679601806399,
2828 "id": "bp300-6000_s16",
29- "last_utc": "2026-08-15T21:13:14Z",
30- "mean": 2.5507337781716553,
31- "n_pasts": 1104,
32- "n_runs": 138,
29+ "last_utc": "2026-08-15T23:06:20Z",
30+ "mean": 2.5502236650501335,
31+ "n_pasts": 1112,
32+ "n_runs": 139,
3333 "params": {
3434 "filter": "bandpass",
3535 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -39,18 +39,18 @@
3939 "taps": 101
4040 },
4141 "predicted": 2.56797969986038,
42- "sd": 0.27121612464856965,
43- "se": 0.008162646134108593
42+ "sd": 0.2708959934528496,
43+ "se": 0.008123631000815815
4444 },
4545 {
4646 "L": 101,
4747 "M": 512,
4848 "highres_szego": -3.7825679601806397,
4949 "id": "bp300-6000_s2",
50- "last_utc": "2026-08-15T21:06:23Z",
51- "mean": 1.3126385588365312,
52- "n_pasts": 1104,
53- "n_runs": 138,
50+ "last_utc": "2026-08-15T22:56:23Z",
51+ "mean": 1.312386892996185,
52+ "n_pasts": 1112,
53+ "n_runs": 139,
5454 "params": {
5555 "filter": "bandpass",
5656 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -60,18 +60,18 @@
6060 "taps": 101
6161 },
6262 "predicted": 1.3318639472861573,
63- "sd": 0.11227033958359471,
64- "se": 0.0033789401517500127
63+ "sd": 0.11227945053388594,
64+ "se": 0.003367036970483651
6565 },
6666 {
6767 "L": 101,
6868 "M": 512,
6969 "highres_szego": 0.2174320398193601,
7070 "id": "bp300-6000_s32",
71- "last_utc": "2026-08-15T21:23:18Z",
72- "mean": 2.9836519297499153,
73- "n_pasts": 1104,
74- "n_runs": 138,
71+ "last_utc": "2026-08-15T23:11:15Z",
72+ "mean": 2.983096075488051,
73+ "n_pasts": 1112,
74+ "n_runs": 139,
7575 "params": {
7676 "filter": "bandpass",
7777 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -81,18 +81,18 @@
8181 "taps": 101
8282 },
8383 "predicted": 2.9937688408517453,
84- "sd": 0.6105188057274743,
85- "se": 0.01837445681310175
84+ "sd": 0.6086059354625282,
85+ "se": 0.018250879171693764
8686 },
8787 {
8888 "L": 101,
8989 "M": 512,
9090 "highres_szego": -2.7825679601806397,
9191 "id": "bp300-6000_s4",
92- "last_utc": "2026-08-15T21:09:01Z",
93- "mean": 1.7244881087681394,
94- "n_pasts": 1104,
95- "n_runs": 138,
92+ "last_utc": "2026-08-15T22:57:53Z",
93+ "mean": 1.724811848996804,
94+ "n_pasts": 1112,
95+ "n_runs": 139,
9696 "params": {
9797 "filter": "bandpass",
9898 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -102,18 +102,18 @@
102102 "taps": 101
103103 },
104104 "predicted": 1.734166393696377,
105- "sd": 0.13955319221266163,
106- "se": 0.004200057523840899
105+ "sd": 0.1395441884111231,
106+ "se": 0.004184652126121572
107107 },
108108 {
109109 "L": 101,
110110 "M": 512,
111111 "highres_szego": -1.78256796018064,
112112 "id": "bp300-6000_s8",
113- "last_utc": "2026-08-15T21:11:10Z",
114- "mean": 2.1299673576517035,
115- "n_pasts": 1104,
116- "n_runs": 138,
113+ "last_utc": "2026-08-15T23:01:15Z",
114+ "mean": 2.129694364415419,
115+ "n_pasts": 1112,
116+ "n_runs": 139,
117117 "params": {
118118 "filter": "bandpass",
119119 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -123,18 +123,18 @@
123123 "taps": 101
124124 },
125125 "predicted": 2.1476021059762167,
126- "sd": 0.1909697743743414,
127- "se": 0.005747514800412989
126+ "sd": 0.19049239509171373,
127+ "se": 0.005712487314641832
128128 },
129129 {
130130 "L": 101,
131131 "M": 512,
132132 "highres_szego": -7.756237076152647,
133133 "id": "lp3000_s1",
134- "last_utc": "2026-08-15T20:46:30Z",
135- "mean": 0.4777063742811194,
136- "n_pasts": 1104,
137- "n_runs": 138,
134+ "last_utc": "2026-08-15T22:45:56Z",
135+ "mean": 0.47770262218088655,
136+ "n_pasts": 1112,
137+ "n_runs": 139,
138138 "params": {
139139 "filter": "lowpass",
140140 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -143,18 +143,18 @@
143143 "taps": 101
144144 },
145145 "predicted": 0.616561114498688,
146- "sd": 0.23311524625158905,
147- "se": 0.007015944446824177
146+ "sd": 0.23290269055832952,
147+ "se": 0.006984287560245406
148148 },
149149 {
150150 "L": 101,
151151 "M": 512,
152152 "highres_szego": -3.756237076152648,
153153 "id": "lp3000_s16",
154- "last_utc": "2026-08-15T20:53:52Z",
155- "mean": 1.4413087732570855,
156- "n_pasts": 1104,
157- "n_runs": 138,
154+ "last_utc": "2026-08-15T22:51:52Z",
155+ "mean": 1.4410377407354809,
156+ "n_pasts": 1112,
157+ "n_runs": 139,
158158 "params": {
159159 "filter": "lowpass",
160160 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -163,18 +163,18 @@
163163 "taps": 101
164164 },
165165 "predicted": 1.4888184418209351,
166- "sd": 0.19438856668831514,
167- "se": 0.005850408357723188
166+ "sd": 0.19465221170153676,
167+ "se": 0.005837231925067931
168168 },
169169 {
170170 "L": 101,
171171 "M": 512,
172172 "highres_szego": -6.756237076152647,
173173 "id": "lp3000_s2",
174- "last_utc": "2026-08-15T20:47:46Z",
175- "mean": 0.7613837898315782,
176- "n_pasts": 1104,
177- "n_runs": 138,
174+ "last_utc": "2026-08-15T22:46:47Z",
175+ "mean": 0.7611452660204392,
176+ "n_pasts": 1112,
177+ "n_runs": 139,
178178 "params": {
179179 "filter": "lowpass",
180180 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -183,18 +183,18 @@
183183 "taps": 101
184184 },
185185 "predicted": 0.8251241884518832,
186- "sd": 0.2666053395997479,
187- "se": 0.008023877811234214
186+ "sd": 0.2669507416402078,
187+ "se": 0.008005320761071424
188188 },
189189 {
190190 "L": 101,
191191 "M": 512,
192192 "highres_szego": -2.756237076152648,
193193 "id": "lp3000_s32",
194- "last_utc": "2026-08-15T21:04:03Z",
195- "mean": 1.6677498186935922,
196- "n_pasts": 1104,
197- "n_runs": 138,
194+ "last_utc": "2026-08-15T22:53:38Z",
195+ "mean": 1.6671914399585108,
196+ "n_pasts": 1112,
197+ "n_runs": 139,
198198 "params": {
199199 "filter": "lowpass",
200200 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -203,18 +203,18 @@
203203 "taps": 101
204204 },
205205 "predicted": 1.71791605587854,
206- "sd": 0.21295360159298088,
207- "se": 0.006409150248864505
206+ "sd": 0.21242718388609627,
207+ "se": 0.0063702679188330415
208208 },
209209 {
210210 "L": 101,
211211 "M": 512,
212212 "highres_szego": -5.756237076152647,
213213 "id": "lp3000_s4",
214- "last_utc": "2026-08-15T20:48:51Z",
215- "mean": 0.9932965751366701,
216- "n_pasts": 1104,
217- "n_runs": 138,
214+ "last_utc": "2026-08-15T22:48:28Z",
215+ "mean": 0.9930378585469771,
216+ "n_pasts": 1112,
217+ "n_runs": 139,
218218 "params": {
219219 "filter": "lowpass",
220220 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -223,18 +223,18 @@
223223 "taps": 101
224224 },
225225 "predicted": 1.04149876351225,
226- "sd": 0.18845886897261716,
227- "se": 0.005671945428211929
226+ "sd": 0.18932257989379045,
227+ "se": 0.005677406888069451
228228 },
229229 {
230230 "L": 101,
231231 "M": 512,
232232 "highres_szego": -4.756237076152647,
233233 "id": "lp3000_s8",
234- "last_utc": "2026-08-15T20:50:07Z",
235- "mean": 1.2089017309271286,
236- "n_pasts": 1104,
237- "n_runs": 138,
234+ "last_utc": "2026-08-15T22:49:37Z",
235+ "mean": 1.2092814844062683,
236+ "n_pasts": 1112,
237+ "n_runs": 139,
238238 "params": {
239239 "filter": "lowpass",
240240 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -243,222 +243,222 @@
243243 "taps": 101
244244 },
245245 "predicted": 1.2631675560846525,
246- "sd": 0.21492414370641064,
247- "se": 0.006468456597206174
246+ "sd": 0.21426763536184612,
247+ "se": 0.0064254593909302505
248248 },
249249 {
250250 "L": 8,
251251 "M": 512,
252252 "highres_szego": -0.9529044148193548,
253253 "id": "ma8_s1",
254- "last_utc": "2026-08-15T20:44:21Z",
255- "mean": 0.4812646634648438,
256- "n_pasts": 1104,
257- "n_runs": 138,
254+ "last_utc": "2026-08-15T22:43:47Z",
255+ "mean": 0.48166146007541855,
256+ "n_pasts": 1112,
257+ "n_runs": 139,
258258 "params": {
259259 "filter": "moving-average",
260260 "sigma": 1.0,
261261 "width": 8
262262 },
263263 "predicted": 0.6099987154839898,
264- "sd": 0.21121978647750728,
265- "se": 0.006356968545922183
264+ "sd": 0.21158955876403587,
265+ "se": 0.006345149210645811
266266 },
267267 {
268268 "L": 8,
269269 "M": 512,
270270 "highres_szego": 3.0470955851806454,
271271 "id": "ma8_s16",
272- "last_utc": "2026-08-15T20:45:06Z",
273- "mean": 3.1747047118880354,
274- "n_pasts": 1104,
275- "n_runs": 138,
272+ "last_utc": "2026-08-15T22:44:30Z",
273+ "mean": 3.1752877122773087,
274+ "n_pasts": 1112,
275+ "n_runs": 139,
276276 "params": {
277277 "filter": "moving-average",
278278 "sigma": 16.0,
279279 "width": 8
280280 },
281281 "predicted": 3.1776500292335506,
282- "sd": 0.24674864408308425,
283- "se": 0.0074262615039247335
282+ "sd": 0.24637057310469146,
283+ "se": 0.0073881625189498625
284284 },
285285 {
286286 "L": 8,
287287 "M": 512,
288288 "highres_szego": 0.04709558518064521,
289289 "id": "ma8_s2",
290- "last_utc": "2026-08-15T20:44:30Z",
291- "mean": 0.9756966304612142,
292- "n_pasts": 1104,
293- "n_runs": 138,
290+ "last_utc": "2026-08-15T22:43:54Z",
291+ "mean": 0.9755912930867019,
292+ "n_pasts": 1112,
293+ "n_runs": 139,
294294 "params": {
295295 "filter": "moving-average",
296296 "sigma": 2.0,
297297 "width": 8
298298 },
299299 "predicted": 0.9825176804091631,
300- "sd": 0.09486802611066697,
301- "se": 0.002855192063473918
300+ "sd": 0.09469709314955896,
301+ "se": 0.0028397771107338166
302302 },
303303 {
304304 "L": 8,
305305 "M": 512,
306306 "highres_szego": 4.047095585180645,
307307 "id": "ma8_s32",
308- "last_utc": "2026-08-15T20:45:20Z",
309- "mean": 4.088872598865284,
310- "n_pasts": 1104,
311- "n_runs": 138,
308+ "last_utc": "2026-08-15T22:44:38Z",
309+ "mean": 4.089492465658555,
310+ "n_pasts": 1112,
311+ "n_runs": 139,
312312 "params": {
313313 "filter": "moving-average",
314314 "sigma": 32.0,
315315 "width": 8
316316 },
317317 "predicted": 4.112486639362294,
318- "sd": 0.24632333047713778,
319- "se": 0.007413461068604521
318+ "sd": 0.24622689547748797,
319+ "se": 0.007383853913231494
320320 },
321321 {
322322 "L": 8,
323323 "M": 512,
324324 "highres_szego": 1.0470955851806452,
325325 "id": "ma8_s4",
326- "last_utc": "2026-08-15T20:44:47Z",
327- "mean": 1.556274359256071,
328- "n_pasts": 1104,
329- "n_runs": 138,
326+ "last_utc": "2026-08-15T22:44:05Z",
327+ "mean": 1.5562540258201587,
328+ "n_pasts": 1112,
329+ "n_runs": 139,
330330 "params": {
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332332 "sigma": 4.0,
333333 "width": 8
334334 },
335335 "predicted": 1.5529090070448803,
336- "sd": 0.10502151700704186,
337- "se": 0.003160776229313588
336+ "sd": 0.10517995514405475,
337+ "se": 0.00315413725165108
338338 },
339339 {
340340 "L": 8,
341341 "M": 512,
342342 "highres_szego": 2.0470955851806454,
343343 "id": "ma8_s8",
344- "last_utc": "2026-08-15T20:44:56Z",
345- "mean": 2.308050957744737,
346- "n_pasts": 1104,
347- "n_runs": 138,
344+ "last_utc": "2026-08-15T22:44:23Z",
345+ "mean": 2.308864990759076,
346+ "n_pasts": 1112,
347+ "n_runs": 139,
348348 "params": {
349349 "filter": "moving-average",
350350 "sigma": 8.0,
351351 "width": 8
352352 },
353353 "predicted": 2.3064317412363535,
354- "sd": 0.1646392321449537,
355- "se": 0.004955058603289062
354+ "sd": 0.1667628470652832,
355+ "se": 0.005000885457686309
356356 },
357357 {
358358 "L": 1,
359359 "M": 512,
360360 "highres_szego": 2.047095585180641,
361361 "id": "none_s1",
362- "last_utc": "2026-08-15T20:44:08Z",
363- "mean": 2.1053992922800657,
364- "n_pasts": 1104,
365- "n_runs": 138,
362+ "last_utc": "2026-08-15T22:43:36Z",
363+ "mean": 2.105410284988327,
364+ "n_pasts": 1112,
365+ "n_runs": 139,
366366 "params": {
367367 "filter": "none",
368368 "sigma": 1.0
369369 },
370370 "predicted": 2.1048326603976193,
371- "sd": 0.06538766059588744,
372- "se": 0.0019679373255296613
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456- "sd": 0.2892402943620881,
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456+ "sd": 0.2890002594687923,
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458458 }
459459 ],
460460 "estimand": "H(z_{M+1} | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample, for x ~ iid N(0, sigma^2) -> y = h * x -> z = round(y)",
461- "generated": "2026-08-15T21:23:19Z",
461+ "generated": "2026-08-15T23:11:15Z",
462462 "settings": {
463463 "n0": 128,
464464 "pasts_per_run": 8,
@@ -466,5 +466,5 @@
466466 "reps": 8,
467467 "thin": "auto"
468468 },
469- "total_runs": 138
469+ "total_runs": 139
470470 }
runs.jsonlmodified+24−0View file
@@ -3310,3 +3310,27 @@
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