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timeseries-entropy / README.md
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Cached entropy estimates#

Machine-generated by .github/workflows/estimates.yml on main — do not edit by hand. Every dispatch runs the whole grid again with fresh, independent pasts, appends one record per cell to runs.jsonl, and rebuilds estimates.json from the full log, so the means tighten run after run.

The estimand is H(z_(M+1) | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample — an upper bound on the entropy rate of z that tightens as the conditioning window M grows.

Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends access-control-allow-origin: *):

https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json

Current state (55 runs, generated 2026-08-07T23:24:32Z)#

cell sigma M mean se pasts predicted
bp300-6000_s1 1 512 0.9376 0.0056 440 0.9513
bp300-6000_s16 16 512 2.5508 0.0111 440 2.5680
bp300-6000_s2 2 512 1.3143 0.0055 440 1.3319
bp300-6000_s32 32 512 2.9668 0.0217 440 2.9938
bp300-6000_s4 4 512 1.7194 0.0064 440 1.7342
bp300-6000_s8 8 512 2.1329 0.0107 440 2.1476
lp3000_s1 1 512 0.4729 0.0114 440 0.6166
lp3000_s16 16 512 1.4529 0.0091 440 1.4888
lp3000_s2 2 512 0.7534 0.0132 440 0.8251
lp3000_s32 32 512 1.6555 0.0093 440 1.7179
lp3000_s4 4 512 0.9933 0.0088 440 1.0415
lp3000_s8 8 512 1.2267 0.0104 440 1.2632
ma8_s1 1 512 0.4850 0.0101 440 0.6100
ma8_s16 16 512 3.1912 0.0136 440 3.1777
ma8_s2 2 512 0.9723 0.0050 440 0.9825
ma8_s32 32 512 4.0815 0.0112 440 4.1125
ma8_s4 4 512 1.5597 0.0051 440 1.5529
ma8_s8 8 512 2.2993 0.0072 440 2.3064
none_s1 1 512 2.1062 0.0039 440 2.1048
none_s16 16 512 6.0208 0.0219 440 6.0473
none_s2 2 512 3.0652 0.0042 440 3.0620
none_s32 32 512 7.0683 0.0504 440 7.0472
none_s4 4 512 4.0340 0.0068 440 4.0508
none_s8 8 512 5.0753 0.0160 440 5.0480
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