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timeseries-entropy / README.md
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Cached entropy estimates#

Machine-generated by .github/workflows/estimates.yml on main — do not edit by hand. Every dispatch runs the whole grid again with fresh, independent pasts, appends one record per cell to runs.jsonl, and rebuilds estimates.json from the full log, so the means tighten run after run.

The estimand is H(z_(M+1) | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample — an upper bound on the entropy rate of z that tightens as the conditioning window M grows.

Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends access-control-allow-origin: *):

https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json

Current state (105 runs, generated 2026-08-12T23:44:19Z)#

cell sigma M mean se pasts predicted
bp300-6000_s1 1 512 0.9319 0.0043 840 0.9513
bp300-6000_s16 16 512 2.5433 0.0079 840 2.5680
bp300-6000_s2 2 512 1.3092 0.0040 840 1.3319
bp300-6000_s32 32 512 2.9696 0.0177 840 2.9938
bp300-6000_s4 4 512 1.7236 0.0046 840 1.7342
bp300-6000_s8 8 512 2.1331 0.0069 840 2.1476
lp3000_s1 1 512 0.4762 0.0080 840 0.6166
lp3000_s16 16 512 1.4450 0.0065 840 1.4888
lp3000_s2 2 512 0.7615 0.0093 840 0.8251
lp3000_s32 32 512 1.6650 0.0070 840 1.7179
lp3000_s4 4 512 0.9916 0.0066 840 1.0415
lp3000_s8 8 512 1.2110 0.0076 840 1.2632
ma8_s1 1 512 0.4730 0.0070 840 0.6100
ma8_s16 16 512 3.1798 0.0089 840 3.1777
ma8_s2 2 512 0.9754 0.0033 840 0.9825
ma8_s32 32 512 4.0841 0.0081 840 4.1125
ma8_s4 4 512 1.5585 0.0037 840 1.5529
ma8_s8 8 512 2.3058 0.0055 840 2.3064
none_s1 1 512 2.1057 0.0024 840 2.1048
none_s16 16 512 6.0155 0.0162 840 6.0473
none_s2 2 512 3.0658 0.0032 840 3.0620
none_s32 32 512 7.0665 0.0385 840 7.0472
none_s4 4 512 4.0368 0.0046 840 4.0508
none_s8 8 512 5.0617 0.0107 840 5.0480
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