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timeseries-entropy / README.md
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Cached entropy estimates#

Machine-generated by .github/workflows/estimates.yml on main — do not edit by hand. Every dispatch runs the whole grid again with fresh, independent pasts, appends one record per cell to runs.jsonl, and rebuilds estimates.json from the full log, so the means tighten run after run.

The estimand is H(z_(M+1) | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample — an upper bound on the entropy rate of z that tightens as the conditioning window M grows.

Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends access-control-allow-origin: *):

https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json

Current state (53 runs, generated 2026-08-07T19:47:00Z)#

cell sigma M mean se pasts predicted
bp300-6000_s1 1 512 0.9374 0.0058 424 0.9513
bp300-6000_s16 16 512 2.5500 0.0114 424 2.5680
bp300-6000_s2 2 512 1.3143 0.0057 424 1.3319
bp300-6000_s32 32 512 2.9675 0.0221 424 2.9938
bp300-6000_s4 4 512 1.7189 0.0065 424 1.7342
bp300-6000_s8 8 512 2.1321 0.0109 424 2.1476
lp3000_s1 1 512 0.4743 0.0117 424 0.6166
lp3000_s16 16 512 1.4538 0.0094 424 1.4888
lp3000_s2 2 512 0.7518 0.0136 424 0.8251
lp3000_s32 32 512 1.6577 0.0095 424 1.7179
lp3000_s4 4 512 0.9917 0.0090 424 1.0415
lp3000_s8 8 512 1.2277 0.0107 424 1.2632
ma8_s1 1 512 0.4882 0.0103 424 0.6100
ma8_s16 16 512 3.1896 0.0140 424 3.1777
ma8_s2 2 512 0.9722 0.0051 424 0.9825
ma8_s32 32 512 4.0816 0.0116 424 4.1125
ma8_s4 4 512 1.5606 0.0052 424 1.5529
ma8_s8 8 512 2.2977 0.0073 424 2.3064
none_s1 1 512 2.1067 0.0040 424 2.1048
none_s16 16 512 6.0233 0.0224 424 6.0473
none_s2 2 512 3.0651 0.0043 424 3.0620
none_s32 32 512 7.0810 0.0520 424 7.0472
none_s4 4 512 4.0330 0.0068 424 4.0508
none_s8 8 512 5.0704 0.0161 424 5.0480
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