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timeseries-entropy / README.md
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Cached entropy estimates#

Machine-generated by .github/workflows/estimates.yml on main — do not edit by hand. Every dispatch runs the whole grid again with fresh, independent pasts, appends one record per cell to runs.jsonl, and rebuilds estimates.json from the full log, so the means tighten run after run.

The estimand is H(z_(M+1) | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample — an upper bound on the entropy rate of z that tightens as the conditioning window M grows.

Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends access-control-allow-origin: *):

https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json

Current state (89 runs, generated 2026-08-11T14:11:30Z)#

cell sigma M mean se pasts predicted
bp300-6000_s1 1 512 0.9322 0.0047 712 0.9513
bp300-6000_s16 16 512 2.5422 0.0082 712 2.5680
bp300-6000_s2 2 512 1.3102 0.0044 712 1.3319
bp300-6000_s32 32 512 2.9791 0.0201 712 2.9938
bp300-6000_s4 4 512 1.7212 0.0049 712 1.7342
bp300-6000_s8 8 512 2.1340 0.0079 712 2.1476
lp3000_s1 1 512 0.4758 0.0088 712 0.6166
lp3000_s16 16 512 1.4452 0.0069 712 1.4888
lp3000_s2 2 512 0.7617 0.0101 712 0.8251
lp3000_s32 32 512 1.6645 0.0077 712 1.7179
lp3000_s4 4 512 0.9886 0.0072 712 1.0415
lp3000_s8 8 512 1.2168 0.0081 712 1.2632
ma8_s1 1 512 0.4746 0.0077 712 0.6100
ma8_s16 16 512 3.1851 0.0101 712 3.1777
ma8_s2 2 512 0.9749 0.0037 712 0.9825
ma8_s32 32 512 4.0880 0.0091 712 4.1125
ma8_s4 4 512 1.5556 0.0039 712 1.5529
ma8_s8 8 512 2.3025 0.0055 712 2.3064
none_s1 1 512 2.1061 0.0027 712 2.1048
none_s16 16 512 6.0219 0.0179 712 6.0473
none_s2 2 512 3.0648 0.0034 712 3.0620
none_s32 32 512 7.0786 0.0385 712 7.0472
none_s4 4 512 4.0397 0.0052 712 4.0508
none_s8 8 512 5.0641 0.0114 712 5.0480
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