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timeseries-entropy / README.md
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Cached entropy estimates#

Machine-generated by .github/workflows/estimates.yml on main — do not edit by hand. Every dispatch runs the whole grid again with fresh, independent pasts, appends one record per cell to runs.jsonl, and rebuilds estimates.json from the full log, so the means tighten run after run.

The estimand is H(z_(M+1) | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample — an upper bound on the entropy rate of z that tightens as the conditioning window M grows.

Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends access-control-allow-origin: *):

https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json

Current state (150 runs, generated 2026-08-16T21:03:44Z)#

cell sigma M mean se pasts predicted
bp300-6000_s1 1 512 0.9338 0.0036 1200 0.9513
bp300-6000_s16 16 512 2.5521 0.0077 1200 2.5680
bp300-6000_s2 2 512 1.3127 0.0032 1200 1.3319
bp300-6000_s32 32 512 2.9867 0.0187 1200 2.9938
bp300-6000_s4 4 512 1.7257 0.0042 1200 1.7342
bp300-6000_s8 8 512 2.1299 0.0054 1200 2.1476
lp3000_s1 1 512 0.4797 0.0067 1200 0.6166
lp3000_s16 16 512 1.4418 0.0057 1200 1.4888
lp3000_s2 2 512 0.7577 0.0078 1200 0.8251
lp3000_s32 32 512 1.6665 0.0061 1200 1.7179
lp3000_s4 4 512 0.9924 0.0055 1200 1.0415
lp3000_s8 8 512 1.2094 0.0061 1200 1.2632
ma8_s1 1 512 0.4795 0.0060 1200 0.6100
ma8_s16 16 512 3.1746 0.0070 1200 3.1777
ma8_s2 2 512 0.9746 0.0027 1200 0.9825
ma8_s32 32 512 4.0878 0.0070 1200 4.1125
ma8_s4 4 512 1.5558 0.0030 1200 1.5529
ma8_s8 8 512 2.3096 0.0049 1200 2.3064
none_s1 1 512 2.1055 0.0019 1200 2.1048
none_s16 16 512 6.0207 0.0168 1200 6.0473
none_s2 2 512 3.0656 0.0033 1200 3.0620
none_s32 32 512 7.0436 0.0298 1200 7.0472
none_s4 4 512 4.0404 0.0041 1200 4.0508
none_s8 8 512 5.0477 0.0081 1200 5.0480
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