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timeseries-entropy / README.md
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Cached entropy estimates#

Machine-generated by .github/workflows/estimates.yml on main — do not edit by hand. Every dispatch runs the whole grid again with fresh, independent pasts, appends one record per cell to runs.jsonl, and rebuilds estimates.json from the full log, so the means tighten run after run.

The estimand is H(z_(M+1) | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample — an upper bound on the entropy rate of z that tightens as the conditioning window M grows.

Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends access-control-allow-origin: *):

https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json

Current state (88 runs, generated 2026-08-11T11:39:57Z)#

cell sigma M mean se pasts predicted
bp300-6000_s1 1 512 0.9324 0.0047 704 0.9513
bp300-6000_s16 16 512 2.5424 0.0083 704 2.5680
bp300-6000_s2 2 512 1.3099 0.0044 704 1.3319
bp300-6000_s32 32 512 2.9790 0.0203 704 2.9938
bp300-6000_s4 4 512 1.7210 0.0049 704 1.7342
bp300-6000_s8 8 512 2.1346 0.0079 704 2.1476
lp3000_s1 1 512 0.4750 0.0088 704 0.6166
lp3000_s16 16 512 1.4468 0.0070 704 1.4888
lp3000_s2 2 512 0.7611 0.0102 704 0.8251
lp3000_s32 32 512 1.6624 0.0077 704 1.7179
lp3000_s4 4 512 0.9886 0.0073 704 1.0415
lp3000_s8 8 512 1.2179 0.0081 704 1.2632
ma8_s1 1 512 0.4757 0.0078 704 0.6100
ma8_s16 16 512 3.1855 0.0102 704 3.1777
ma8_s2 2 512 0.9745 0.0037 704 0.9825
ma8_s32 32 512 4.0881 0.0092 704 4.1125
ma8_s4 4 512 1.5557 0.0039 704 1.5529
ma8_s8 8 512 2.3022 0.0056 704 2.3064
none_s1 1 512 2.1061 0.0027 704 2.1048
none_s16 16 512 6.0205 0.0180 704 6.0473
none_s2 2 512 3.0649 0.0034 704 3.0620
none_s32 32 512 7.0764 0.0387 704 7.0472
none_s4 4 512 4.0388 0.0052 704 4.0508
none_s8 8 512 5.0643 0.0115 704 5.0480
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