/ concept-collection / timeseries-entropy
Sign in
concept-collection / timeseries-entropy
Go to fileHistoryFork
github-actions[bot] estimates: run 86 from efed18a f931fcb 79 Commits
estimates.jsonestimates: run 86 from efed18a
README.mdestimates: run 86 from efed18a
runs.jsonlestimates: run 86 from efed18a

Cached entropy estimates#

Machine-generated by .github/workflows/estimates.yml on main — do not edit by hand. Every dispatch runs the whole grid again with fresh, independent pasts, appends one record per cell to runs.jsonl, and rebuilds estimates.json from the full log, so the means tighten run after run.

  • runs.jsonl — append-only, one JSON object per (cell, dispatch): the cell's parameters, the per-past values with their sum and sum of squares, the per-past resolved Gibbs thinning and probe autocorrelation times (thin='auto' matches thinning to each chain's measured mixing), the seed, and the code commit that produced them.
  • estimates.json — pooled mean and se per cell over every past ever drawn for it, alongside the analytic predicted rate for comparison.

The estimand is H(z_(M+1) | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample — an upper bound on the entropy rate of z that tightens as the conditioning window M grows.

Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends access-control-allow-origin: *):

https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json

Current state (78 runs, generated 2026-08-10T03:03:07Z)#

cell sigma M mean se pasts predicted
bp300-6000_s1 1 512 0.9324 0.0050 624 0.9513
bp300-6000_s16 16 512 2.5447 0.0088 624 2.5680
bp300-6000_s2 2 512 1.3110 0.0047 624 1.3319
bp300-6000_s32 32 512 2.9621 0.0169 624 2.9938
bp300-6000_s4 4 512 1.7218 0.0052 624 1.7342
bp300-6000_s8 8 512 2.1369 0.0087 624 2.1476
lp3000_s1 1 512 0.4742 0.0094 624 0.6166
lp3000_s16 16 512 1.4468 0.0074 624 1.4888
lp3000_s2 2 512 0.7594 0.0109 624 0.8251
lp3000_s32 32 512 1.6565 0.0083 624 1.7179
lp3000_s4 4 512 0.9895 0.0076 624 1.0415
lp3000_s8 8 512 1.2229 0.0085 624 1.2632
ma8_s1 1 512 0.4795 0.0084 624 0.6100
ma8_s16 16 512 3.1883 0.0111 624 3.1777
ma8_s2 2 512 0.9729 0.0040 624 0.9825
ma8_s32 32 512 4.0823 0.0094 624 4.1125
ma8_s4 4 512 1.5568 0.0043 624 1.5529
ma8_s8 8 512 2.3014 0.0060 624 2.3064
none_s1 1 512 2.1074 0.0030 624 2.1048
none_s16 16 512 6.0311 0.0195 624 6.0473
none_s2 2 512 3.0658 0.0037 624 3.0620
none_s32 32 512 7.0819 0.0424 624 7.0472
none_s4 4 512 4.0372 0.0055 624 4.0508
none_s8 8 512 5.0703 0.0126 624 5.0480
moveopenescclose