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github-actions[bot] estimates: run 53 from efed18a ea97453 46 Commits
estimates.jsonestimates: run 53 from efed18a
README.mdestimates: run 53 from efed18a
runs.jsonlestimates: run 53 from efed18a

Cached entropy estimates#

Machine-generated by .github/workflows/estimates.yml on main — do not edit by hand. Every dispatch runs the whole grid again with fresh, independent pasts, appends one record per cell to runs.jsonl, and rebuilds estimates.json from the full log, so the means tighten run after run.

  • runs.jsonl — append-only, one JSON object per (cell, dispatch): the cell's parameters, the per-past values with their sum and sum of squares, the per-past resolved Gibbs thinning and probe autocorrelation times (thin='auto' matches thinning to each chain's measured mixing), the seed, and the code commit that produced them.
  • estimates.json — pooled mean and se per cell over every past ever drawn for it, alongside the analytic predicted rate for comparison.

The estimand is H(z_(M+1) | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample — an upper bound on the entropy rate of z that tightens as the conditioning window M grows.

Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends access-control-allow-origin: *):

https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json

Current state (45 runs, generated 2026-08-07T03:51:39Z)#

cell sigma M mean se pasts predicted
bp300-6000_s1 1 512 0.9376 0.0061 360 0.9513
bp300-6000_s16 16 512 2.5477 0.0125 360 2.5680
bp300-6000_s2 2 512 1.3143 0.0063 360 1.3319
bp300-6000_s32 32 512 2.9725 0.0253 360 2.9938
bp300-6000_s4 4 512 1.7195 0.0070 360 1.7342
bp300-6000_s8 8 512 2.1331 0.0124 360 2.1476
lp3000_s1 1 512 0.4750 0.0126 360 0.6166
lp3000_s16 16 512 1.4575 0.0102 360 1.4888
lp3000_s2 2 512 0.7572 0.0147 360 0.8251
lp3000_s32 32 512 1.6555 0.0106 360 1.7179
lp3000_s4 4 512 0.9950 0.0094 360 1.0415
lp3000_s8 8 512 1.2206 0.0096 360 1.2632
ma8_s1 1 512 0.4869 0.0112 360 0.6100
ma8_s16 16 512 3.1958 0.0159 360 3.1777
ma8_s2 2 512 0.9721 0.0057 360 0.9825
ma8_s32 32 512 4.0797 0.0126 360 4.1125
ma8_s4 4 512 1.5583 0.0058 360 1.5529
ma8_s8 8 512 2.2958 0.0073 360 2.3064
none_s1 1 512 2.1079 0.0046 360 2.1048
none_s16 16 512 6.0160 0.0229 360 6.0473
none_s2 2 512 3.0643 0.0046 360 3.0620
none_s32 32 512 7.1001 0.0562 360 7.0472
none_s4 4 512 4.0328 0.0070 360 4.0508
none_s8 8 512 5.0628 0.0157 360 5.0480
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