github-actions[bot] estimates: run 53 from efed18a
| estimates.json | |
| README.md | |
| runs.jsonl |
Cached entropy estimates#
Machine-generated by .github/workflows/estimates.yml on main — do not
edit by hand. Every dispatch runs the whole grid again with fresh, independent
pasts, appends one record per cell to runs.jsonl, and rebuilds
estimates.json from the full log, so the means tighten run after run.
runs.jsonl— append-only, one JSON object per (cell, dispatch): the cell's parameters, the per-past values with their sum and sum of squares, the per-past resolved Gibbs thinning and probe autocorrelation times (thin='auto'matches thinning to each chain's measured mixing), the seed, and the code commit that produced them.estimates.json— pooledmeanandseper cell over every past ever drawn for it, alongside the analyticpredictedrate for comparison.
The estimand is H(z_(M+1) | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample — an upper bound on the entropy rate of z that tightens as the conditioning window M grows.
Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends
access-control-allow-origin: *):
https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json
Current state (45 runs, generated 2026-08-07T03:51:39Z)#
| cell | sigma | M | mean | se | pasts | predicted |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9376 | 0.0061 | 360 | 0.9513 |
| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5477 | 0.0125 | 360 | 2.5680 |
| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3143 | 0.0063 | 360 | 1.3319 |
| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9725 | 0.0253 | 360 | 2.9938 |
| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7195 | 0.0070 | 360 | 1.7342 |
| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1331 | 0.0124 | 360 | 2.1476 |
| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4750 | 0.0126 | 360 | 0.6166 |
| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4575 | 0.0102 | 360 | 1.4888 |
| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7572 | 0.0147 | 360 | 0.8251 |
| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6555 | 0.0106 | 360 | 1.7179 |
| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 0.9950 | 0.0094 | 360 | 1.0415 |
| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2206 | 0.0096 | 360 | 1.2632 |
| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4869 | 0.0112 | 360 | 0.6100 |
| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.1958 | 0.0159 | 360 | 3.1777 |
| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9721 | 0.0057 | 360 | 0.9825 |
| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0797 | 0.0126 | 360 | 4.1125 |
| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5583 | 0.0058 | 360 | 1.5529 |
| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.2958 | 0.0073 | 360 | 2.3064 |
| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.1079 | 0.0046 | 360 | 2.1048 |
| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 6.0160 | 0.0229 | 360 | 6.0473 |
| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0643 | 0.0046 | 360 | 3.0620 |
| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 7.1001 | 0.0562 | 360 | 7.0472 |
| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0328 | 0.0070 | 360 | 4.0508 |
| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0628 | 0.0157 | 360 | 5.0480 |