/ concept-collection / timeseries-entropy
Sign in
concept-collection / timeseries-entropy
Go to fileHistoryFork
github-actions[bot] estimates: run 44 from efed18a a2fe0c1 38 Commits
estimates.jsonestimates: run 44 from efed18a
README.mdestimates: run 44 from efed18a
runs.jsonlestimates: run 44 from efed18a

Cached entropy estimates#

Machine-generated by .github/workflows/estimates.yml on main — do not edit by hand. Every dispatch runs the whole grid again with fresh, independent pasts, appends one record per cell to runs.jsonl, and rebuilds estimates.json from the full log, so the means tighten run after run.

  • runs.jsonl — append-only, one JSON object per (cell, dispatch): the cell's parameters, the per-past values with their sum and sum of squares, the per-past resolved Gibbs thinning and probe autocorrelation times (thin='auto' matches thinning to each chain's measured mixing), the seed, and the code commit that produced them.
  • estimates.json — pooled mean and se per cell over every past ever drawn for it, alongside the analytic predicted rate for comparison.

The estimand is H(z_(M+1) | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample — an upper bound on the entropy rate of z that tightens as the conditioning window M grows.

Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends access-control-allow-origin: *):

https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json

Current state (37 runs, generated 2026-08-05T20:46:58Z)#

cell sigma M mean se pasts predicted
bp300-6000_s1 1 512 0.9410 0.0065 296 0.9513
bp300-6000_s16 16 512 2.5538 0.0141 296 2.5680
bp300-6000_s2 2 512 1.3185 0.0070 296 1.3319
bp300-6000_s32 32 512 2.9802 0.0290 296 2.9938
bp300-6000_s4 4 512 1.7134 0.0079 296 1.7342
bp300-6000_s8 8 512 2.1347 0.0147 296 2.1476
lp3000_s1 1 512 0.4847 0.0143 296 0.6166
lp3000_s16 16 512 1.4528 0.0108 296 1.4888
lp3000_s2 2 512 0.7519 0.0164 296 0.8251
lp3000_s32 32 512 1.6510 0.0120 296 1.7179
lp3000_s4 4 512 0.9991 0.0102 296 1.0415
lp3000_s8 8 512 1.2185 0.0111 296 1.2632
ma8_s1 1 512 0.4862 0.0124 296 0.6100
ma8_s16 16 512 3.1994 0.0183 296 3.1777
ma8_s2 2 512 0.9713 0.0066 296 0.9825
ma8_s32 32 512 4.0845 0.0148 296 4.1125
ma8_s4 4 512 1.5607 0.0067 296 1.5529
ma8_s8 8 512 2.2931 0.0083 296 2.3064
none_s1 1 512 2.1042 0.0029 296 2.1048
none_s16 16 512 6.0064 0.0228 296 6.0473
none_s2 2 512 3.0609 0.0048 296 3.0620
none_s32 32 512 7.0261 0.0475 296 7.0472
none_s4 4 512 4.0322 0.0078 296 4.0508
none_s8 8 512 5.0678 0.0180 296 5.0480
moveopenescclose