/ concept-collection / timeseries-entropy
Sign in
concept-collection / timeseries-entropy
Go to fileHistoryFork
github-actions[bot] estimates: run 133 from efed18a 4ba0375 121 Commits
estimates.jsonestimates: run 133 from efed18a
README.mdestimates: run 133 from efed18a
runs.jsonlestimates: run 133 from efed18a

Cached entropy estimates#

Machine-generated by .github/workflows/estimates.yml on main — do not edit by hand. Every dispatch runs the whole grid again with fresh, independent pasts, appends one record per cell to runs.jsonl, and rebuilds estimates.json from the full log, so the means tighten run after run.

  • runs.jsonl — append-only, one JSON object per (cell, dispatch): the cell's parameters, the per-past values with their sum and sum of squares, the per-past resolved Gibbs thinning and probe autocorrelation times (thin='auto' matches thinning to each chain's measured mixing), the seed, and the code commit that produced them.
  • estimates.json — pooled mean and se per cell over every past ever drawn for it, alongside the analytic predicted rate for comparison.

The estimand is H(z_(M+1) | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample — an upper bound on the entropy rate of z that tightens as the conditioning window M grows.

Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends access-control-allow-origin: *):

https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json

Current state (120 runs, generated 2026-08-14T09:51:33Z)#

cell sigma M mean se pasts predicted
bp300-6000_s1 1 512 0.9319 0.0040 960 0.9513
bp300-6000_s16 16 512 2.5504 0.0089 960 2.5680
bp300-6000_s2 2 512 1.3098 0.0037 960 1.3319
bp300-6000_s32 32 512 2.9863 0.0204 960 2.9938
bp300-6000_s4 4 512 1.7253 0.0044 960 1.7342
bp300-6000_s8 8 512 2.1294 0.0063 960 2.1476
lp3000_s1 1 512 0.4772 0.0075 960 0.6166
lp3000_s16 16 512 1.4399 0.0061 960 1.4888
lp3000_s2 2 512 0.7619 0.0087 960 0.8251
lp3000_s32 32 512 1.6685 0.0067 960 1.7179
lp3000_s4 4 512 0.9913 0.0061 960 1.0415
lp3000_s8 8 512 1.2129 0.0070 960 1.2632
ma8_s1 1 512 0.4780 0.0067 960 0.6100
ma8_s16 16 512 3.1791 0.0083 960 3.1777
ma8_s2 2 512 0.9755 0.0031 960 0.9825
ma8_s32 32 512 4.0881 0.0076 960 4.1125
ma8_s4 4 512 1.5574 0.0034 960 1.5529
ma8_s8 8 512 2.3091 0.0054 960 2.3064
none_s1 1 512 2.1059 0.0022 960 2.1048
none_s16 16 512 6.0236 0.0163 960 6.0473
none_s2 2 512 3.0661 0.0029 960 3.0620
none_s32 32 512 7.0604 0.0349 960 7.0472
none_s4 4 512 4.0369 0.0043 960 4.0508
none_s8 8 512 5.0561 0.0096 960 5.0480
moveopenescclose