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github-actions[bot] estimates: run 132 from efed18a 3d55249 120 Commits
estimates.jsonestimates: run 132 from efed18a
README.mdestimates: run 132 from efed18a
runs.jsonlestimates: run 132 from efed18a

Cached entropy estimates#

Machine-generated by .github/workflows/estimates.yml on main — do not edit by hand. Every dispatch runs the whole grid again with fresh, independent pasts, appends one record per cell to runs.jsonl, and rebuilds estimates.json from the full log, so the means tighten run after run.

  • runs.jsonl — append-only, one JSON object per (cell, dispatch): the cell's parameters, the per-past values with their sum and sum of squares, the per-past resolved Gibbs thinning and probe autocorrelation times (thin='auto' matches thinning to each chain's measured mixing), the seed, and the code commit that produced them.
  • estimates.json — pooled mean and se per cell over every past ever drawn for it, alongside the analytic predicted rate for comparison.

The estimand is H(z_(M+1) | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample — an upper bound on the entropy rate of z that tightens as the conditioning window M grows.

Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends access-control-allow-origin: *):

https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json

Current state (119 runs, generated 2026-08-14T08:37:14Z)#

cell sigma M mean se pasts predicted
bp300-6000_s1 1 512 0.9316 0.0040 952 0.9513
bp300-6000_s16 16 512 2.5508 0.0089 952 2.5680
bp300-6000_s2 2 512 1.3094 0.0037 952 1.3319
bp300-6000_s32 32 512 2.9836 0.0202 952 2.9938
bp300-6000_s4 4 512 1.7256 0.0044 952 1.7342
bp300-6000_s8 8 512 2.1298 0.0064 952 2.1476
lp3000_s1 1 512 0.4774 0.0076 952 0.6166
lp3000_s16 16 512 1.4395 0.0062 952 1.4888
lp3000_s2 2 512 0.7624 0.0087 952 0.8251
lp3000_s32 32 512 1.6670 0.0067 952 1.7179
lp3000_s4 4 512 0.9908 0.0062 952 1.0415
lp3000_s8 8 512 1.2126 0.0070 952 1.2632
ma8_s1 1 512 0.4788 0.0068 952 0.6100
ma8_s16 16 512 3.1785 0.0082 952 3.1777
ma8_s2 2 512 0.9753 0.0031 952 0.9825
ma8_s32 32 512 4.0881 0.0076 952 4.1125
ma8_s4 4 512 1.5570 0.0035 952 1.5529
ma8_s8 8 512 2.3089 0.0055 952 2.3064
none_s1 1 512 2.1059 0.0022 952 2.1048
none_s16 16 512 6.0238 0.0164 952 6.0473
none_s2 2 512 3.0659 0.0029 952 3.0620
none_s32 32 512 7.0646 0.0351 952 7.0472
none_s4 4 512 4.0364 0.0043 952 4.0508
none_s8 8 512 5.0563 0.0097 952 5.0480
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