/ concept-collection / timeseries-entropy
Sign in
concept-collection / timeseries-entropy
Go to fileHistoryFork
github-actions[bot] estimates: run 174 from efed18a 2dd8462 162 Commits
estimates.jsonestimates: run 174 from efed18a
README.mdestimates: run 174 from efed18a
runs.jsonlestimates: run 174 from efed18a

Cached entropy estimates#

Machine-generated by .github/workflows/estimates.yml on main — do not edit by hand. Every dispatch runs the whole grid again with fresh, independent pasts, appends one record per cell to runs.jsonl, and rebuilds estimates.json from the full log, so the means tighten run after run.

  • runs.jsonl — append-only, one JSON object per (cell, dispatch): the cell's parameters, the per-past values with their sum and sum of squares, the per-past resolved Gibbs thinning and probe autocorrelation times (thin='auto' matches thinning to each chain's measured mixing), the seed, and the code commit that produced them.
  • estimates.json — pooled mean and se per cell over every past ever drawn for it, alongside the analytic predicted rate for comparison.

The estimand is H(z_(M+1) | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample — an upper bound on the entropy rate of z that tightens as the conditioning window M grows.

Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends access-control-allow-origin: *):

https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json

Current state (161 runs, generated 2026-08-17T19:38:29Z)#

cell sigma M mean se pasts predicted
bp300-6000_s1 1 512 0.9344 0.0034 1288 0.9513
bp300-6000_s16 16 512 2.5514 0.0073 1288 2.5680
bp300-6000_s2 2 512 1.3132 0.0032 1288 1.3319
bp300-6000_s32 32 512 2.9846 0.0178 1288 2.9938
bp300-6000_s4 4 512 1.7276 0.0041 1288 1.7342
bp300-6000_s8 8 512 2.1299 0.0052 1288 2.1476
lp3000_s1 1 512 0.4800 0.0066 1288 0.6166
lp3000_s16 16 512 1.4456 0.0059 1288 1.4888
lp3000_s2 2 512 0.7587 0.0074 1288 0.8251
lp3000_s32 32 512 1.6668 0.0058 1288 1.7179
lp3000_s4 4 512 0.9911 0.0053 1288 1.0415
lp3000_s8 8 512 1.2089 0.0059 1288 1.2632
ma8_s1 1 512 0.4814 0.0058 1288 0.6100
ma8_s16 16 512 3.1734 0.0066 1288 3.1777
ma8_s2 2 512 0.9743 0.0026 1288 0.9825
ma8_s32 32 512 4.0883 0.0068 1288 4.1125
ma8_s4 4 512 1.5565 0.0030 1288 1.5529
ma8_s8 8 512 2.3110 0.0051 1288 2.3064
none_s1 1 512 2.1060 0.0019 1288 2.1048
none_s16 16 512 6.0242 0.0162 1288 6.0473
none_s2 2 512 3.0642 0.0031 1288 3.0620
none_s32 32 512 7.0467 0.0289 1288 7.0472
none_s4 4 512 4.0427 0.0040 1288 4.0508
none_s8 8 512 5.0447 0.0077 1288 5.0480
moveopenescclose