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github-actions[bot] estimates: run 116 from efed18a 1dae382 104 Commits
estimates.jsonestimates: run 116 from efed18a
README.mdestimates: run 116 from efed18a
runs.jsonlestimates: run 116 from efed18a

Cached entropy estimates#

Machine-generated by .github/workflows/estimates.yml on main — do not edit by hand. Every dispatch runs the whole grid again with fresh, independent pasts, appends one record per cell to runs.jsonl, and rebuilds estimates.json from the full log, so the means tighten run after run.

  • runs.jsonl — append-only, one JSON object per (cell, dispatch): the cell's parameters, the per-past values with their sum and sum of squares, the per-past resolved Gibbs thinning and probe autocorrelation times (thin='auto' matches thinning to each chain's measured mixing), the seed, and the code commit that produced them.
  • estimates.json — pooled mean and se per cell over every past ever drawn for it, alongside the analytic predicted rate for comparison.

The estimand is H(z_(M+1) | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample — an upper bound on the entropy rate of z that tightens as the conditioning window M grows.

Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends access-control-allow-origin: *):

https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json

Current state (103 runs, generated 2026-08-12T19:45:04Z)#

cell sigma M mean se pasts predicted
bp300-6000_s1 1 512 0.9310 0.0043 824 0.9513
bp300-6000_s16 16 512 2.5439 0.0079 824 2.5680
bp300-6000_s2 2 512 1.3103 0.0041 824 1.3319
bp300-6000_s32 32 512 2.9680 0.0179 824 2.9938
bp300-6000_s4 4 512 1.7247 0.0047 824 1.7342
bp300-6000_s8 8 512 2.1335 0.0070 824 2.1476
lp3000_s1 1 512 0.4765 0.0082 824 0.6166
lp3000_s16 16 512 1.4452 0.0066 824 1.4888
lp3000_s2 2 512 0.7611 0.0094 824 0.8251
lp3000_s32 32 512 1.6656 0.0071 824 1.7179
lp3000_s4 4 512 0.9905 0.0067 824 1.0415
lp3000_s8 8 512 1.2125 0.0077 824 1.2632
ma8_s1 1 512 0.4714 0.0071 824 0.6100
ma8_s16 16 512 3.1821 0.0091 824 3.1777
ma8_s2 2 512 0.9761 0.0033 824 0.9825
ma8_s32 32 512 4.0849 0.0082 824 4.1125
ma8_s4 4 512 1.5567 0.0037 824 1.5529
ma8_s8 8 512 2.3056 0.0055 824 2.3064
none_s1 1 512 2.1056 0.0024 824 2.1048
none_s16 16 512 6.0159 0.0164 824 6.0473
none_s2 2 512 3.0655 0.0032 824 3.0620
none_s32 32 512 7.0709 0.0391 824 7.0472
none_s4 4 512 4.0371 0.0047 824 4.0508
none_s8 8 512 5.0631 0.0109 824 5.0480
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