estimates: run 145 from efed18a
3 changed files+195−171
README.mdmodified+25−25View file
@@ -21,33 +21,33 @@ Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends
2121
2222 https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json
2323
24-## Current state (131 runs, generated 2026-08-15T07:26:11Z)
24+## Current state (132 runs, generated 2026-08-15T09:08:31Z)
2525
2626 | cell | sigma | M | mean | se | pasts | predicted |
2727 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
28-| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9327 | 0.0039 | 1048 | 0.9513 |
29-| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5518 | 0.0085 | 1048 | 2.5680 |
30-| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3109 | 0.0035 | 1048 | 1.3319 |
31-| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9836 | 0.0190 | 1048 | 2.9938 |
32-| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7240 | 0.0043 | 1048 | 1.7342 |
33-| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1298 | 0.0060 | 1048 | 2.1476 |
34-| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4789 | 0.0073 | 1048 | 0.6166 |
35-| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4415 | 0.0060 | 1048 | 1.4888 |
36-| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7624 | 0.0082 | 1048 | 0.8251 |
37-| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6679 | 0.0066 | 1048 | 1.7179 |
38-| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 0.9931 | 0.0058 | 1048 | 1.0415 |
39-| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2091 | 0.0067 | 1048 | 1.2632 |
40-| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4817 | 0.0065 | 1048 | 0.6100 |
41-| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.1758 | 0.0077 | 1048 | 3.1777 |
42-| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9757 | 0.0029 | 1048 | 0.9825 |
43-| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0885 | 0.0076 | 1048 | 4.1125 |
44-| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5562 | 0.0033 | 1048 | 1.5529 |
45-| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.3092 | 0.0051 | 1048 | 2.3064 |
46-| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.1054 | 0.0020 | 1048 | 2.1048 |
47-| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 6.0136 | 0.0152 | 1048 | 6.0473 |
48-| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0670 | 0.0037 | 1048 | 3.0620 |
49-| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 7.0484 | 0.0327 | 1048 | 7.0472 |
50-| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0386 | 0.0042 | 1048 | 4.0508 |
51-| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0508 | 0.0090 | 1048 | 5.0480 |
28+| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9326 | 0.0039 | 1056 | 0.9513 |
29+| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5518 | 0.0085 | 1056 | 2.5680 |
30+| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3110 | 0.0035 | 1056 | 1.3319 |
31+| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9835 | 0.0189 | 1056 | 2.9938 |
32+| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7239 | 0.0043 | 1056 | 1.7342 |
33+| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1294 | 0.0059 | 1056 | 2.1476 |
34+| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4790 | 0.0072 | 1056 | 0.6166 |
35+| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4415 | 0.0060 | 1056 | 1.4888 |
36+| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7611 | 0.0082 | 1056 | 0.8251 |
37+| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6683 | 0.0065 | 1056 | 1.7179 |
38+| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 0.9932 | 0.0058 | 1056 | 1.0415 |
39+| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2093 | 0.0067 | 1056 | 1.2632 |
40+| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4816 | 0.0065 | 1056 | 0.6100 |
41+| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.1760 | 0.0076 | 1056 | 3.1777 |
42+| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9755 | 0.0029 | 1056 | 0.9825 |
43+| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0883 | 0.0075 | 1056 | 4.1125 |
44+| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5559 | 0.0033 | 1056 | 1.5529 |
45+| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.3092 | 0.0051 | 1056 | 2.3064 |
46+| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.1054 | 0.0020 | 1056 | 2.1048 |
47+| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 6.0136 | 0.0152 | 1056 | 6.0473 |
48+| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0667 | 0.0036 | 1056 | 3.0620 |
49+| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 7.0460 | 0.0325 | 1056 | 7.0472 |
50+| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0385 | 0.0042 | 1056 | 4.0508 |
51+| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0511 | 0.0090 | 1056 | 5.0480 |
5252
5353 [wf]: https://github.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/blob/main/.github/workflows/estimates.yml
estimates.jsonmodified+146−146View file
@@ -5,10 +5,10 @@
55 "M": 512,
66 "highres_szego": -4.782567960178533,
77 "id": "bp300-6000_s1",
8- "last_utc": "2026-08-15T07:12:20Z",
9- "mean": 0.9327105984246045,
10- "n_pasts": 1048,
11- "n_runs": 131,
8+ "last_utc": "2026-08-15T08:57:20Z",
9+ "mean": 0.9326137029906508,
10+ "n_pasts": 1056,
11+ "n_runs": 132,
1212 "params": {
1313 "filter": "bandpass",
1414 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -18,18 +18,18 @@
1818 "taps": 101
1919 },
2020 "predicted": 0.9512549259549268,
21- "sd": 0.12549567236214013,
22- "se": 0.0038765742654955433
21+ "sd": 0.12533165625468487,
22+ "se": 0.003856815108824593
2323 },
2424 {
2525 "L": 101,
2626 "M": 512,
2727 "highres_szego": -0.7825679601785338,
2828 "id": "bp300-6000_s16",
29- "last_utc": "2026-08-15T07:24:05Z",
30- "mean": 2.551816105006689,
31- "n_pasts": 1048,
32- "n_runs": 131,
29+ "last_utc": "2026-08-15T09:02:07Z",
30+ "mean": 2.5518391522193116,
31+ "n_pasts": 1056,
32+ "n_runs": 132,
3333 "params": {
3434 "filter": "bandpass",
3535 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -39,18 +39,18 @@
3939 "taps": 101
4040 },
4141 "predicted": 2.56797969986038,
42- "sd": 0.27576536766682674,
43- "se": 0.008518420655393403
42+ "sd": 0.2750297570621769,
43+ "se": 0.008463455715116756
4444 },
4545 {
4646 "L": 101,
4747 "M": 512,
4848 "highres_szego": -3.782567960178534,
4949 "id": "bp300-6000_s2",
50- "last_utc": "2026-08-15T07:13:04Z",
51- "mean": 1.310927644813925,
52- "n_pasts": 1048,
53- "n_runs": 131,
50+ "last_utc": "2026-08-15T08:57:59Z",
51+ "mean": 1.3110108986372249,
52+ "n_pasts": 1056,
53+ "n_runs": 132,
5454 "params": {
5555 "filter": "bandpass",
5656 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -60,18 +60,18 @@
6060 "taps": 101
6161 },
6262 "predicted": 1.3318639472861573,
63- "sd": 0.11336250510925958,
64- "se": 0.0035017794773872985
63+ "sd": 0.11308201446528371,
64+ "se": 0.0034798584408695606
6565 },
6666 {
6767 "L": 101,
6868 "M": 512,
6969 "highres_szego": 0.21743203982146625,
7070 "id": "bp300-6000_s32",
71- "last_utc": "2026-08-15T07:26:11Z",
72- "mean": 2.983570501566179,
73- "n_pasts": 1048,
74- "n_runs": 131,
71+ "last_utc": "2026-08-15T09:08:31Z",
72+ "mean": 2.9835105124888024,
73+ "n_pasts": 1056,
74+ "n_runs": 132,
7575 "params": {
7676 "filter": "bandpass",
7777 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -81,18 +81,18 @@
8181 "taps": 101
8282 },
8383 "predicted": 2.9937688408517453,
84- "sd": 0.6152242529029267,
85- "se": 0.019004340639173382
84+ "sd": 0.6141571913708157,
85+ "se": 0.01889938109537827
8686 },
8787 {
8888 "L": 101,
8989 "M": 512,
9090 "highres_szego": -2.782567960178534,
9191 "id": "bp300-6000_s4",
92- "last_utc": "2026-08-15T07:14:17Z",
93- "mean": 1.7239994035488344,
94- "n_pasts": 1048,
95- "n_runs": 131,
92+ "last_utc": "2026-08-15T08:58:34Z",
93+ "mean": 1.7239450079469723,
94+ "n_pasts": 1056,
95+ "n_runs": 132,
9696 "params": {
9797 "filter": "bandpass",
9898 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -102,18 +102,18 @@
102102 "taps": 101
103103 },
104104 "predicted": 1.734166393696377,
105- "sd": 0.13978777495145328,
106- "se": 0.0043180587888636025
105+ "sd": 0.13957790305865794,
106+ "se": 0.004295213048814743
107107 },
108108 {
109109 "L": 101,
110110 "M": 512,
111111 "highres_szego": -1.7825679601785338,
112112 "id": "bp300-6000_s8",
113- "last_utc": "2026-08-15T07:16:55Z",
114- "mean": 2.1298489611596616,
115- "n_pasts": 1048,
116- "n_runs": 131,
113+ "last_utc": "2026-08-15T08:59:26Z",
114+ "mean": 2.12937775369081,
115+ "n_pasts": 1056,
116+ "n_runs": 132,
117117 "params": {
118118 "filter": "bandpass",
119119 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -123,18 +123,18 @@
123123 "taps": 101
124124 },
125125 "predicted": 2.1476021059762167,
126- "sd": 0.19308498971462057,
127- "se": 0.005964415251079062
126+ "sd": 0.1927466116546477,
127+ "se": 0.005931366952446254
128128 },
129129 {
130130 "L": 101,
131131 "M": 512,
132132 "highres_szego": -7.756237076152649,
133133 "id": "lp3000_s1",
134- "last_utc": "2026-08-15T07:04:44Z",
135- "mean": 0.478895267029455,
136- "n_pasts": 1048,
137- "n_runs": 131,
134+ "last_utc": "2026-08-15T08:51:18Z",
135+ "mean": 0.4790247732057921,
136+ "n_pasts": 1056,
137+ "n_runs": 132,
138138 "params": {
139139 "filter": "lowpass",
140140 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -143,18 +143,18 @@
143143 "taps": 101
144144 },
145145 "predicted": 0.616561114498688,
146- "sd": 0.2350582911544036,
147- "se": 0.00726097486255167
146+ "sd": 0.23459060296943646,
147+ "se": 0.007219026772312153
148148 },
149149 {
150150 "L": 101,
151151 "M": 512,
152152 "highres_szego": -3.7562370761526487,
153153 "id": "lp3000_s16",
154- "last_utc": "2026-08-15T07:09:11Z",
155- "mean": 1.4414703383272418,
156- "n_pasts": 1048,
157- "n_runs": 131,
154+ "last_utc": "2026-08-15T08:54:17Z",
155+ "mean": 1.441517379367658,
156+ "n_pasts": 1056,
157+ "n_runs": 132,
158158 "params": {
159159 "filter": "lowpass",
160160 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -163,18 +163,18 @@
163163 "taps": 101
164164 },
165165 "predicted": 1.4888184418209351,
166- "sd": 0.19577812126910715,
167- "se": 0.006047606362622653
166+ "sd": 0.1952040156584865,
167+ "se": 0.00600698833313903
168168 },
169169 {
170170 "L": 101,
171171 "M": 512,
172172 "highres_szego": -6.756237076152649,
173173 "id": "lp3000_s2",
174- "last_utc": "2026-08-15T07:05:52Z",
175- "mean": 0.7623762979353422,
176- "n_pasts": 1048,
177- "n_runs": 131,
174+ "last_utc": "2026-08-15T08:51:51Z",
175+ "mean": 0.7610708419717048,
176+ "n_pasts": 1056,
177+ "n_runs": 132,
178178 "params": {
179179 "filter": "lowpass",
180180 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -183,18 +183,18 @@
183183 "taps": 101
184184 },
185185 "predicted": 0.8251241884518832,
186- "sd": 0.26690994344351,
187- "se": 0.008244875687602847
186+ "sd": 0.26757240031056584,
187+ "se": 0.008233971424786607
188188 },
189189 {
190190 "L": 101,
191191 "M": 512,
192192 "highres_szego": -2.7562370761526487,
193193 "id": "lp3000_s32",
194- "last_utc": "2026-08-15T07:11:13Z",
195- "mean": 1.6678834902201305,
196- "n_pasts": 1048,
197- "n_runs": 131,
194+ "last_utc": "2026-08-15T08:56:43Z",
195+ "mean": 1.668273282771954,
196+ "n_pasts": 1056,
197+ "n_runs": 132,
198198 "params": {
199199 "filter": "lowpass",
200200 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -203,18 +203,18 @@
203203 "taps": 101
204204 },
205205 "predicted": 1.71791605587854,
206- "sd": 0.2130282652185035,
207- "se": 0.0065804650887574785
206+ "sd": 0.2126294640499293,
207+ "se": 0.0065432194390105565
208208 },
209209 {
210210 "L": 101,
211211 "M": 512,
212212 "highres_szego": -5.756237076152649,
213213 "id": "lp3000_s4",
214- "last_utc": "2026-08-15T07:06:45Z",
215- "mean": 0.9930654345151706,
216- "n_pasts": 1048,
217- "n_runs": 131,
214+ "last_utc": "2026-08-15T08:52:16Z",
215+ "mean": 0.9931523869766683,
216+ "n_pasts": 1056,
217+ "n_runs": 132,
218218 "params": {
219219 "filter": "lowpass",
220220 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -223,18 +223,18 @@
223223 "taps": 101
224224 },
225225 "predicted": 1.04149876351225,
226- "sd": 0.18688142895883525,
227- "se": 0.0057727866193688065
226+ "sd": 0.1868941068287989,
227+ "se": 0.005751268566201887
228228 },
229229 {
230230 "L": 101,
231231 "M": 512,
232232 "highres_szego": -4.756237076152649,
233233 "id": "lp3000_s8",
234- "last_utc": "2026-08-15T07:07:23Z",
235- "mean": 1.2091355715039251,
236- "n_pasts": 1048,
237- "n_runs": 131,
234+ "last_utc": "2026-08-15T08:52:53Z",
235+ "mean": 1.2093024462285982,
236+ "n_pasts": 1056,
237+ "n_runs": 132,
238238 "params": {
239239 "filter": "lowpass",
240240 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -243,222 +243,222 @@
243243 "taps": 101
244244 },
245245 "predicted": 1.2631675560846525,
246- "sd": 0.2174270385341906,
247- "se": 0.006716343650259855
246+ "sd": 0.21670696309471313,
247+ "se": 0.006668695798232868
248248 },
249249 {
250250 "L": 8,
251251 "M": 512,
252252 "highres_szego": -0.9529044148193548,
253253 "id": "ma8_s1",
254- "last_utc": "2026-08-15T07:03:15Z",
255- "mean": 0.4817461359419843,
256- "n_pasts": 1048,
257- "n_runs": 131,
254+ "last_utc": "2026-08-15T08:50:16Z",
255+ "mean": 0.4815938100128753,
256+ "n_pasts": 1056,
257+ "n_runs": 132,
258258 "params": {
259259 "filter": "moving-average",
260260 "sigma": 1.0,
261261 "width": 8
262262 },
263263 "predicted": 0.6099987154839898,
264- "sd": 0.21161127778238528,
265- "se": 0.006536694200678286
264+ "sd": 0.2115701309555013,
265+ "se": 0.006510620716501334
266266 },
267267 {
268268 "L": 8,
269269 "M": 512,
270270 "highres_szego": 3.0470955851806454,
271271 "id": "ma8_s16",
272- "last_utc": "2026-08-15T07:03:54Z",
273- "mean": 3.1758051168164965,
274- "n_pasts": 1048,
275- "n_runs": 131,
272+ "last_utc": "2026-08-15T08:50:39Z",
273+ "mean": 3.17604467970331,
274+ "n_pasts": 1056,
275+ "n_runs": 132,
276276 "params": {
277277 "filter": "moving-average",
278278 "sigma": 16.0,
279279 "width": 8
280280 },
281281 "predicted": 3.1776500292335506,
282- "sd": 0.24868085780107393,
283- "se": 0.007681777351581655
282+ "sd": 0.24799501904876986,
283+ "se": 0.007631519162540276
284284 },
285285 {
286286 "L": 8,
287287 "M": 512,
288288 "highres_szego": 0.04709558518064521,
289289 "id": "ma8_s2",
290- "last_utc": "2026-08-15T07:03:18Z",
291- "mean": 0.9756770369872999,
292- "n_pasts": 1048,
293- "n_runs": 131,
290+ "last_utc": "2026-08-15T08:50:29Z",
291+ "mean": 0.9754856938216905,
292+ "n_pasts": 1056,
293+ "n_runs": 132,
294294 "params": {
295295 "filter": "moving-average",
296296 "sigma": 2.0,
297297 "width": 8
298298 },
299299 "predicted": 0.9825176804091631,
300- "sd": 0.09528656203266682,
301- "se": 0.002943411731023309
300+ "sd": 0.09577717812559398,
301+ "se": 0.002947338914318124
302302 },
303303 {
304304 "L": 8,
305305 "M": 512,
306306 "highres_szego": 4.047095585180645,
307307 "id": "ma8_s32",
308- "last_utc": "2026-08-15T07:03:57Z",
309- "mean": 4.088544294044957,
310- "n_pasts": 1048,
311- "n_runs": 131,
308+ "last_utc": "2026-08-15T08:50:42Z",
309+ "mean": 4.088307430706598,
310+ "n_pasts": 1056,
311+ "n_runs": 132,
312312 "params": {
313313 "filter": "moving-average",
314314 "sigma": 32.0,
315315 "width": 8
316316 },
317317 "predicted": 4.112486639362294,
318- "sd": 0.24567261900351425,
319- "se": 0.0075888525447928325
318+ "sd": 0.2452184065814043,
319+ "se": 0.007546074820420319
320320 },
321321 {
322322 "L": 8,
323323 "M": 512,
324324 "highres_szego": 1.0470955851806452,
325325 "id": "ma8_s4",
326- "last_utc": "2026-08-15T07:03:21Z",
327- "mean": 1.5562384233679478,
328- "n_pasts": 1048,
329- "n_runs": 131,
326+ "last_utc": "2026-08-15T08:50:34Z",
327+ "mean": 1.5559183841186344,
328+ "n_pasts": 1056,
329+ "n_runs": 132,
330330 "params": {
331331 "filter": "moving-average",
332332 "sigma": 4.0,
333333 "width": 8
334334 },
335335 "predicted": 1.5529090070448803,
336- "sd": 0.10590292918062169,
337- "se": 0.0032713524074161468
336+ "sd": 0.10569191564233797,
337+ "se": 0.00325244387021931
338338 },
339339 {
340340 "L": 8,
341341 "M": 512,
342342 "highres_szego": 2.0470955851806454,
343343 "id": "ma8_s8",
344- "last_utc": "2026-08-15T07:03:48Z",
345- "mean": 2.3092419702878204,
346- "n_pasts": 1048,
347- "n_runs": 131,
344+ "last_utc": "2026-08-15T08:50:36Z",
345+ "mean": 2.309210283161513,
346+ "n_pasts": 1056,
347+ "n_runs": 132,
348348 "params": {
349349 "filter": "moving-average",
350350 "sigma": 8.0,
351351 "width": 8
352352 },
353353 "predicted": 2.3064317412363535,
354- "sd": 0.16671882186248108,
355- "se": 0.005149961606172539
354+ "sd": 0.1663122259034837,
355+ "se": 0.005117904963637853
356356 },
357357 {
358358 "L": 1,
359359 "M": 512,
360360 "highres_szego": 2.047095585180641,
361361 "id": "none_s1",
362- "last_utc": "2026-08-15T07:03:08Z",
363- "mean": 2.1054320764869683,
364- "n_pasts": 1048,
365- "n_runs": 131,
362+ "last_utc": "2026-08-15T08:50:11Z",
363+ "mean": 2.1053791520759972,
364+ "n_pasts": 1056,
365+ "n_runs": 132,
366366 "params": {
367367 "filter": "none",
368368 "sigma": 1.0
369369 },
370370 "predicted": 2.1048326603976193,
371- "sd": 0.06583759112597609,
372- "se": 0.00203372998173739
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372+ "se": 0.002021248483040356
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455455 "predicted": 5.048034228800837,
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458458 }
459459 ],
460460 "estimand": "H(z_{M+1} | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample, for x ~ iid N(0, sigma^2) -> y = h * x -> z = round(y)",
461- "generated": "2026-08-15T07:26:11Z",
461+ "generated": "2026-08-15T09:08:31Z",
462462 "settings": {
463463 "n0": 128,
464464 "pasts_per_run": 8,
@@ -466,5 +466,5 @@
466466 "reps": 8,
467467 "thin": "auto"
468468 },
469- "total_runs": 131
469+ "total_runs": 132
470470 }
runs.jsonlmodified+24−0View file
@@ -3142,3 +3142,27 @@
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