estimates: run 117 from efed18a
3 changed files+207−183
README.mdmodified+25−25View file
@@ -21,33 +21,33 @@ Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends
2121
2222 https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json
2323
24-## Current state (103 runs, generated 2026-08-12T19:45:04Z)
24+## Current state (104 runs, generated 2026-08-12T21:39:13Z)
2525
2626 | cell | sigma | M | mean | se | pasts | predicted |
2727 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
28-| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9310 | 0.0043 | 824 | 0.9513 |
29-| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5439 | 0.0079 | 824 | 2.5680 |
30-| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3103 | 0.0041 | 824 | 1.3319 |
31-| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9680 | 0.0179 | 824 | 2.9938 |
32-| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7247 | 0.0047 | 824 | 1.7342 |
33-| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1335 | 0.0070 | 824 | 2.1476 |
34-| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4765 | 0.0082 | 824 | 0.6166 |
35-| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4452 | 0.0066 | 824 | 1.4888 |
36-| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7611 | 0.0094 | 824 | 0.8251 |
37-| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6656 | 0.0071 | 824 | 1.7179 |
38-| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 0.9905 | 0.0067 | 824 | 1.0415 |
39-| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2125 | 0.0077 | 824 | 1.2632 |
40-| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4714 | 0.0071 | 824 | 0.6100 |
41-| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.1821 | 0.0091 | 824 | 3.1777 |
42-| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9761 | 0.0033 | 824 | 0.9825 |
43-| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0849 | 0.0082 | 824 | 4.1125 |
44-| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5567 | 0.0037 | 824 | 1.5529 |
45-| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.3056 | 0.0055 | 824 | 2.3064 |
46-| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.1056 | 0.0024 | 824 | 2.1048 |
47-| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 6.0159 | 0.0164 | 824 | 6.0473 |
48-| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0655 | 0.0032 | 824 | 3.0620 |
49-| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 7.0709 | 0.0391 | 824 | 7.0472 |
50-| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0371 | 0.0047 | 824 | 4.0508 |
51-| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0631 | 0.0109 | 824 | 5.0480 |
28+| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9315 | 0.0043 | 832 | 0.9513 |
29+| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5442 | 0.0079 | 832 | 2.5680 |
30+| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3102 | 0.0040 | 832 | 1.3319 |
31+| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9688 | 0.0179 | 832 | 2.9938 |
32+| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7235 | 0.0047 | 832 | 1.7342 |
33+| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1335 | 0.0070 | 832 | 2.1476 |
34+| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4759 | 0.0081 | 832 | 0.6166 |
35+| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4451 | 0.0065 | 832 | 1.4888 |
36+| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7614 | 0.0094 | 832 | 0.8251 |
37+| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6655 | 0.0071 | 832 | 1.7179 |
38+| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 0.9912 | 0.0066 | 832 | 1.0415 |
39+| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2115 | 0.0076 | 832 | 1.2632 |
40+| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4716 | 0.0071 | 832 | 0.6100 |
41+| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.1812 | 0.0090 | 832 | 3.1777 |
42+| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9757 | 0.0033 | 832 | 0.9825 |
43+| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0845 | 0.0082 | 832 | 4.1125 |
44+| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5573 | 0.0037 | 832 | 1.5529 |
45+| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.3057 | 0.0055 | 832 | 2.3064 |
46+| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.1057 | 0.0024 | 832 | 2.1048 |
47+| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 6.0160 | 0.0163 | 832 | 6.0473 |
48+| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0659 | 0.0032 | 832 | 3.0620 |
49+| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 7.0682 | 0.0388 | 832 | 7.0472 |
50+| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0371 | 0.0047 | 832 | 4.0508 |
51+| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0627 | 0.0108 | 832 | 5.0480 |
5252
5353 [wf]: https://github.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/blob/main/.github/workflows/estimates.yml
estimates.jsonmodified+158−158View file
@@ -3,12 +3,12 @@
33 {
44 "L": 101,
55 "M": 512,
6- "highres_szego": -4.782567960178533,
6+ "highres_szego": -4.78256796018064,
77 "id": "bp300-6000_s1",
8- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T19:37:09Z",
9- "mean": 0.9310253856816676,
10- "n_pasts": 824,
11- "n_runs": 103,
8+ "last_utc": "2026-08-12T21:19:52Z",
9+ "mean": 0.9314916375764513,
10+ "n_pasts": 832,
11+ "n_runs": 104,
1212 "params": {
1313 "filter": "bandpass",
1414 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -18,18 +18,18 @@
1818 "taps": 101
1919 },
2020 "predicted": 0.9512549259549268,
21- "sd": 0.12415511003428574,
22- "se": 0.004325148202694768
21+ "sd": 0.1241126181457414,
22+ "se": 0.0043028308524668555
2323 },
2424 {
2525 "L": 101,
2626 "M": 512,
27- "highres_szego": -0.7825679601785338,
27+ "highres_szego": -0.7825679601806399,
2828 "id": "bp300-6000_s16",
29- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T19:41:51Z",
30- "mean": 2.543947133086222,
31- "n_pasts": 824,
32- "n_runs": 103,
29+ "last_utc": "2026-08-12T21:28:18Z",
30+ "mean": 2.544220078547558,
31+ "n_pasts": 832,
32+ "n_runs": 104,
3333 "params": {
3434 "filter": "bandpass",
3535 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -39,18 +39,18 @@
3939 "taps": 101
4040 },
4141 "predicted": 2.56797969986038,
42- "sd": 0.22713345172603425,
43- "se": 0.007912568723376973
42+ "sd": 0.2292663877513413,
43+ "se": 0.007948381892094906
4444 },
4545 {
4646 "L": 101,
4747 "M": 512,
48- "highres_szego": -3.782567960178534,
48+ "highres_szego": -3.7825679601806397,
4949 "id": "bp300-6000_s2",
50- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T19:38:34Z",
51- "mean": 1.310309201027105,
52- "n_pasts": 824,
53- "n_runs": 103,
50+ "last_utc": "2026-08-12T21:20:58Z",
51+ "mean": 1.3102172261441773,
52+ "n_pasts": 832,
53+ "n_runs": 104,
5454 "params": {
5555 "filter": "bandpass",
5656 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -60,18 +60,18 @@
6060 "taps": 101
6161 },
6262 "predicted": 1.3318639472861573,
63- "sd": 0.11650349459352477,
64- "se": 0.004058591548182684
63+ "sd": 0.11622652029879743,
64+ "se": 0.004029429601019908
6565 },
6666 {
6767 "L": 101,
6868 "M": 512,
69- "highres_szego": 0.21743203982146625,
69+ "highres_szego": 0.2174320398193601,
7070 "id": "bp300-6000_s32",
71- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T19:45:04Z",
72- "mean": 2.9679770316756557,
73- "n_pasts": 824,
74- "n_runs": 103,
71+ "last_utc": "2026-08-12T21:39:12Z",
72+ "mean": 2.9688055857324573,
73+ "n_pasts": 832,
74+ "n_runs": 104,
7575 "params": {
7676 "filter": "bandpass",
7777 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -81,18 +81,18 @@
8181 "taps": 101
8282 },
8383 "predicted": 2.9937688408517453,
84- "sd": 0.5147237201417244,
85- "se": 0.017931250453086935
84+ "sd": 0.5150025488371229,
85+ "se": 0.017854500931027827
8686 },
8787 {
8888 "L": 101,
8989 "M": 512,
90- "highres_szego": -2.782567960178534,
90+ "highres_szego": -2.7825679601806397,
9191 "id": "bp300-6000_s4",
92- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T19:39:10Z",
93- "mean": 1.724662647820907,
94- "n_pasts": 824,
95- "n_runs": 103,
92+ "last_utc": "2026-08-12T21:22:08Z",
93+ "mean": 1.723521803761917,
94+ "n_pasts": 832,
95+ "n_runs": 104,
9696 "params": {
9797 "filter": "bandpass",
9898 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -102,18 +102,18 @@
102102 "taps": 101
103103 },
104104 "predicted": 1.734166393696377,
105- "sd": 0.1338360911222621,
106- "se": 0.004662401159431064
105+ "sd": 0.13464834972150663,
106+ "se": 0.0046680916257451875
107107 },
108108 {
109109 "L": 101,
110110 "M": 512,
111- "highres_szego": -1.7825679601785338,
111+ "highres_szego": -1.78256796018064,
112112 "id": "bp300-6000_s8",
113- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T19:40:22Z",
114- "mean": 2.133470726965166,
115- "n_pasts": 824,
116- "n_runs": 103,
113+ "last_utc": "2026-08-12T21:24:14Z",
114+ "mean": 2.1334708108173,
115+ "n_pasts": 832,
116+ "n_runs": 104,
117117 "params": {
118118 "filter": "bandpass",
119119 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -123,18 +123,18 @@
123123 "taps": 101
124124 },
125125 "predicted": 2.1476021059762167,
126- "sd": 0.2021775752697419,
127- "se": 0.007043189571992884
126+ "sd": 0.20191512859796948,
127+ "se": 0.007000147590883503
128128 },
129129 {
130130 "L": 101,
131131 "M": 512,
132- "highres_szego": -7.756237076152649,
132+ "highres_szego": -7.756237076152647,
133133 "id": "lp3000_s1",
134- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T19:33:04Z",
135- "mean": 0.47645566423021274,
136- "n_pasts": 824,
137- "n_runs": 103,
134+ "last_utc": "2026-08-12T21:10:51Z",
135+ "mean": 0.4759343929943152,
136+ "n_pasts": 832,
137+ "n_runs": 104,
138138 "params": {
139139 "filter": "lowpass",
140140 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -143,18 +143,18 @@
143143 "taps": 101
144144 },
145145 "predicted": 0.616561114498688,
146- "sd": 0.23397281919183777,
147- "se": 0.008150829378891838
146+ "sd": 0.23302448993961938,
147+ "se": 0.008078670643424424
148148 },
149149 {
150150 "L": 101,
151151 "M": 512,
152- "highres_szego": -3.7562370761526487,
152+ "highres_szego": -3.756237076152648,
153153 "id": "lp3000_s16",
154- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T19:35:23Z",
155- "mean": 1.4451781976939397,
156- "n_pasts": 824,
157- "n_runs": 103,
154+ "last_utc": "2026-08-12T21:16:22Z",
155+ "mean": 1.4450874793047848,
156+ "n_pasts": 832,
157+ "n_runs": 104,
158158 "params": {
159159 "filter": "lowpass",
160160 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -163,18 +163,18 @@
163163 "taps": 101
164164 },
165165 "predicted": 1.4888184418209351,
166- "sd": 0.18843850227453332,
167- "se": 0.006564566284916673
166+ "sd": 0.18790903632118047,
167+ "se": 0.006514573707490782
168168 },
169169 {
170170 "L": 101,
171171 "M": 512,
172- "highres_szego": -6.756237076152649,
172+ "highres_szego": -6.756237076152647,
173173 "id": "lp3000_s2",
174- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T19:33:36Z",
175- "mean": 0.7611023680445285,
176- "n_pasts": 824,
177- "n_runs": 103,
174+ "last_utc": "2026-08-12T21:11:56Z",
175+ "mean": 0.7613748690550912,
176+ "n_pasts": 832,
177+ "n_runs": 104,
178178 "params": {
179179 "filter": "lowpass",
180180 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -183,18 +183,18 @@
183183 "taps": 101
184184 },
185185 "predicted": 0.8251241884518832,
186- "sd": 0.27027970148209707,
187- "se": 0.009415639555773004
186+ "sd": 0.2705473316218713,
187+ "se": 0.009379541121179008
188188 },
189189 {
190190 "L": 101,
191191 "M": 512,
192- "highres_szego": -2.7562370761526487,
192+ "highres_szego": -2.756237076152648,
193193 "id": "lp3000_s32",
194- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T19:36:40Z",
195- "mean": 1.6656295775923253,
196- "n_pasts": 824,
197- "n_runs": 103,
194+ "last_utc": "2026-08-12T21:18:34Z",
195+ "mean": 1.6655471880406603,
196+ "n_pasts": 832,
197+ "n_runs": 104,
198198 "params": {
199199 "filter": "lowpass",
200200 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -203,18 +203,18 @@
203203 "taps": 101
204204 },
205205 "predicted": 1.71791605587854,
206- "sd": 0.2042590000576075,
207- "se": 0.007115699440316429
206+ "sd": 0.203988994858617,
207+ "se": 0.007072045967241381
208208 },
209209 {
210210 "L": 101,
211211 "M": 512,
212- "highres_szego": -5.756237076152649,
212+ "highres_szego": -5.756237076152647,
213213 "id": "lp3000_s4",
214- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T19:34:03Z",
215- "mean": 0.9904988991902581,
216- "n_pasts": 824,
217- "n_runs": 103,
214+ "last_utc": "2026-08-12T21:13:10Z",
215+ "mean": 0.9912402512855465,
216+ "n_pasts": 832,
217+ "n_runs": 104,
218218 "params": {
219219 "filter": "lowpass",
220220 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -223,18 +223,18 @@
223223 "taps": 101
224224 },
225225 "predicted": 1.04149876351225,
226- "sd": 0.19148332381510766,
227- "se": 0.006670637669413893
226+ "sd": 0.19124822969135433,
227+ "se": 0.006630339408595121
228228 },
229229 {
230230 "L": 101,
231231 "M": 512,
232- "highres_szego": -4.756237076152649,
232+ "highres_szego": -4.756237076152647,
233233 "id": "lp3000_s8",
234- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T19:34:39Z",
235- "mean": 1.2125358306297858,
236- "n_pasts": 824,
237- "n_runs": 103,
234+ "last_utc": "2026-08-12T21:14:09Z",
235+ "mean": 1.2115485601211406,
236+ "n_pasts": 832,
237+ "n_runs": 104,
238238 "params": {
239239 "filter": "lowpass",
240240 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -243,222 +243,222 @@
243243 "taps": 101
244244 },
245245 "predicted": 1.2631675560846525,
246- "sd": 0.22013218661399975,
247- "se": 0.007668668096108847
246+ "sd": 0.2205128170641258,
247+ "se": 0.00764490643097804
248248 },
249249 {
250250 "L": 8,
251251 "M": 512,
252252 "highres_szego": -0.9529044148193548,
253253 "id": "ma8_s1",
254- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T19:32:09Z",
255- "mean": 0.4713841141843687,
256- "n_pasts": 824,
257- "n_runs": 103,
254+ "last_utc": "2026-08-12T21:09:14Z",
255+ "mean": 0.47159786341498927,
256+ "n_pasts": 832,
257+ "n_runs": 104,
258258 "params": {
259259 "filter": "moving-average",
260260 "sigma": 1.0,
261261 "width": 8
262262 },
263263 "predicted": 0.6099987154839898,
264- "sd": 0.20328140785749102,
265- "se": 0.007081643402299673
264+ "sd": 0.2033947219699819,
265+ "se": 0.007051443261745304
266266 },
267267 {
268268 "L": 8,
269269 "M": 512,
270270 "highres_szego": 3.0470955851806454,
271271 "id": "ma8_s16",
272- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T19:32:34Z",
273- "mean": 3.1820820656489266,
274- "n_pasts": 824,
275- "n_runs": 103,
272+ "last_utc": "2026-08-12T21:09:39Z",
273+ "mean": 3.1811691845275667,
274+ "n_pasts": 832,
275+ "n_runs": 104,
276276 "params": {
277277 "filter": "moving-average",
278278 "sigma": 16.0,
279279 "width": 8
280280 },
281281 "predicted": 3.1776500292335506,
282- "sd": 0.26096563397300193,
283- "se": 0.009091168639226632
282+ "sd": 0.2600037735532999,
283+ "se": 0.009014009013082218
284284 },
285285 {
286286 "L": 8,
287287 "M": 512,
288288 "highres_szego": 0.04709558518064521,
289289 "id": "ma8_s2",
290- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T19:32:12Z",
291- "mean": 0.9760956989017587,
292- "n_pasts": 824,
293- "n_runs": 103,
290+ "last_utc": "2026-08-12T21:09:20Z",
291+ "mean": 0.9757403631080075,
292+ "n_pasts": 832,
293+ "n_runs": 104,
294294 "params": {
295295 "filter": "moving-average",
296296 "sigma": 2.0,
297297 "width": 8
298298 },
299299 "predicted": 0.9825176804091631,
300- "sd": 0.095070974637306,
301- "se": 0.003311954336534607
300+ "sd": 0.09479678960703738,
301+ "se": 0.0032864873622840875
302302 },
303303 {
304304 "L": 8,
305305 "M": 512,
306306 "highres_szego": 4.047095585180645,
307307 "id": "ma8_s32",
308- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T19:32:37Z",
309- "mean": 4.084891119277374,
310- "n_pasts": 824,
311- "n_runs": 103,
308+ "last_utc": "2026-08-12T21:09:45Z",
309+ "mean": 4.084533380553729,
310+ "n_pasts": 832,
311+ "n_runs": 104,
312312 "params": {
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314314 "sigma": 32.0,
315315 "width": 8
316316 },
317317 "predicted": 4.112486639362294,
318- "sd": 0.2360282019458119,
319- "se": 0.00822243202997681
318+ "sd": 0.23548176051257863,
319+ "se": 0.008163861172736861
320320 },
321321 {
322322 "L": 8,
323323 "M": 512,
324324 "highres_szego": 1.0470955851806452,
325325 "id": "ma8_s4",
326- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T19:32:21Z",
327- "mean": 1.556711176199739,
328- "n_pasts": 824,
329- "n_runs": 103,
326+ "last_utc": "2026-08-12T21:09:27Z",
327+ "mean": 1.5572735762363574,
328+ "n_pasts": 832,
329+ "n_runs": 104,
330330 "params": {
331331 "filter": "moving-average",
332332 "sigma": 4.0,
333333 "width": 8
334334 },
335335 "predicted": 1.5529090070448803,
336- "sd": 0.10588938785313479,
337- "se": 0.0036888316190204404
336+ "sd": 0.10572319774920608,
337+ "se": 0.0036652924085652074
338338 },
339339 {
340340 "L": 8,
341341 "M": 512,
342342 "highres_szego": 2.0470955851806454,
343343 "id": "ma8_s8",
344- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T19:32:30Z",
345- "mean": 2.3056152176684415,
346- "n_pasts": 824,
347- "n_runs": 103,
344+ "last_utc": "2026-08-12T21:09:34Z",
345+ "mean": 2.305667962187875,
346+ "n_pasts": 832,
347+ "n_runs": 104,
348348 "params": {
349349 "filter": "moving-average",
350350 "sigma": 8.0,
351351 "width": 8
352352 },
353353 "predicted": 2.3064317412363535,
354- "sd": 0.1592969590600008,
355- "se": 0.005549372522668139
354+ "sd": 0.15918589262164365,
355+ "se": 0.005518777867094624
356356 },
357357 {
358358 "L": 1,
359359 "M": 512,
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458458 }
459459 ],
460460 "estimand": "H(z_{M+1} | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample, for x ~ iid N(0, sigma^2) -> y = h * x -> z = round(y)",
461- "generated": "2026-08-12T19:45:04Z",
461+ "generated": "2026-08-12T21:39:13Z",
462462 "settings": {
463463 "n0": 128,
464464 "pasts_per_run": 8,
@@ -466,5 +466,5 @@
466466 "reps": 8,
467467 "thin": "auto"
468468 },
469- "total_runs": 103
469+ "total_runs": 104
470470 }
runs.jsonlmodified+24−0View file
@@ -2470,3 +2470,27 @@
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