estimates: run 106 from efed18a
3 changed files+207−183
README.mdmodified+25−25View file
@@ -21,33 +21,33 @@ Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends
2121
2222 https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json
2323
24-## Current state (92 runs, generated 2026-08-11T20:07:07Z)
24+## Current state (93 runs, generated 2026-08-11T21:28:06Z)
2525
2626 | cell | sigma | M | mean | se | pasts | predicted |
2727 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
28-| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9321 | 0.0045 | 736 | 0.9513 |
29-| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5409 | 0.0080 | 736 | 2.5680 |
30-| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3103 | 0.0043 | 736 | 1.3319 |
31-| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9744 | 0.0196 | 736 | 2.9938 |
32-| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7215 | 0.0048 | 736 | 1.7342 |
33-| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1340 | 0.0077 | 736 | 2.1476 |
34-| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4752 | 0.0086 | 736 | 0.6166 |
35-| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4450 | 0.0068 | 736 | 1.4888 |
36-| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7623 | 0.0099 | 736 | 0.8251 |
37-| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6642 | 0.0076 | 736 | 1.7179 |
38-| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 0.9881 | 0.0072 | 736 | 1.0415 |
39-| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2152 | 0.0081 | 736 | 1.2632 |
40-| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4730 | 0.0075 | 736 | 0.6100 |
41-| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.1843 | 0.0098 | 736 | 3.1777 |
42-| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9747 | 0.0036 | 736 | 0.9825 |
43-| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0871 | 0.0088 | 736 | 4.1125 |
44-| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5549 | 0.0038 | 736 | 1.5529 |
45-| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.3030 | 0.0054 | 736 | 2.3064 |
46-| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.1063 | 0.0027 | 736 | 2.1048 |
47-| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 6.0180 | 0.0175 | 736 | 6.0473 |
48-| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0660 | 0.0034 | 736 | 3.0620 |
49-| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 7.0743 | 0.0375 | 736 | 7.0472 |
50-| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0384 | 0.0051 | 736 | 4.0508 |
51-| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0619 | 0.0111 | 736 | 5.0480 |
28+| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9322 | 0.0045 | 744 | 0.9513 |
29+| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5402 | 0.0080 | 744 | 2.5680 |
30+| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3108 | 0.0043 | 744 | 1.3319 |
31+| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9740 | 0.0194 | 744 | 2.9938 |
32+| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7216 | 0.0048 | 744 | 1.7342 |
33+| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1332 | 0.0076 | 744 | 2.1476 |
34+| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4766 | 0.0086 | 744 | 0.6166 |
35+| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4449 | 0.0068 | 744 | 1.4888 |
36+| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7630 | 0.0099 | 744 | 0.8251 |
37+| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6644 | 0.0076 | 744 | 1.7179 |
38+| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 0.9873 | 0.0071 | 744 | 1.0415 |
39+| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2139 | 0.0082 | 744 | 1.2632 |
40+| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4719 | 0.0075 | 744 | 0.6100 |
41+| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.1829 | 0.0097 | 744 | 3.1777 |
42+| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9750 | 0.0036 | 744 | 0.9825 |
43+| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0867 | 0.0087 | 744 | 4.1125 |
44+| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5554 | 0.0038 | 744 | 1.5529 |
45+| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.3028 | 0.0054 | 744 | 2.3064 |
46+| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.1061 | 0.0026 | 744 | 2.1048 |
47+| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 6.0161 | 0.0173 | 744 | 6.0473 |
48+| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0661 | 0.0034 | 744 | 3.0620 |
49+| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 7.0707 | 0.0372 | 744 | 7.0472 |
50+| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0377 | 0.0050 | 744 | 4.0508 |
51+| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0632 | 0.0110 | 744 | 5.0480 |
5252
5353 [wf]: https://github.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/blob/main/.github/workflows/estimates.yml
estimates.jsonmodified+158−158View file
@@ -3,12 +3,12 @@
33 {
44 "L": 101,
55 "M": 512,
6- "highres_szego": -4.78256796018064,
6+ "highres_szego": -4.782567960178533,
77 "id": "bp300-6000_s1",
8- "last_utc": "2026-08-11T19:41:09Z",
9- "mean": 0.9321045852908846,
10- "n_pasts": 736,
11- "n_runs": 92,
8+ "last_utc": "2026-08-11T21:20:39Z",
9+ "mean": 0.9321711067006138,
10+ "n_pasts": 744,
11+ "n_runs": 93,
1212 "params": {
1313 "filter": "bandpass",
1414 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -18,18 +18,18 @@
1818 "taps": 101
1919 },
2020 "predicted": 0.9512549259549268,
21- "sd": 0.1234022840590775,
22- "se": 0.004548668538913166
21+ "sd": 0.12319193471103367,
22+ "se": 0.004516435454818
2323 },
2424 {
2525 "L": 101,
2626 "M": 512,
27- "highres_szego": -0.7825679601806399,
27+ "highres_szego": -0.7825679601785338,
2828 "id": "bp300-6000_s16",
29- "last_utc": "2026-08-11T19:50:29Z",
30- "mean": 2.540889069771321,
31- "n_pasts": 736,
32- "n_runs": 92,
29+ "last_utc": "2026-08-11T21:25:16Z",
30+ "mean": 2.5402393852530887,
31+ "n_pasts": 744,
32+ "n_runs": 93,
3333 "params": {
3434 "filter": "bandpass",
3535 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -39,18 +39,18 @@
3939 "taps": 101
4040 },
4141 "predicted": 2.56797969986038,
42- "sd": 0.21837431071698057,
43- "se": 0.008049383886522233
42+ "sd": 0.2176952659738696,
43+ "se": 0.007981095677218539
4444 },
4545 {
4646 "L": 101,
4747 "M": 512,
48- "highres_szego": -3.7825679601806397,
48+ "highres_szego": -3.782567960178534,
4949 "id": "bp300-6000_s2",
50- "last_utc": "2026-08-11T19:42:03Z",
51- "mean": 1.3103167283018928,
52- "n_pasts": 736,
53- "n_runs": 92,
50+ "last_utc": "2026-08-11T21:21:20Z",
51+ "mean": 1.3107812216833807,
52+ "n_pasts": 744,
53+ "n_runs": 93,
5454 "params": {
5555 "filter": "bandpass",
5656 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -60,18 +60,18 @@
6060 "taps": 101
6161 },
6262 "predicted": 1.3318639472861573,
63- "sd": 0.11722349102265155,
64- "se": 0.004320915205921442
63+ "sd": 0.11706406408013154,
64+ "se": 0.00429177681750653
6565 },
6666 {
6767 "L": 101,
6868 "M": 512,
69- "highres_szego": 0.2174320398193601,
69+ "highres_szego": 0.21743203982146625,
7070 "id": "bp300-6000_s32",
71- "last_utc": "2026-08-11T20:07:07Z",
72- "mean": 2.9743906121516654,
73- "n_pasts": 736,
74- "n_runs": 92,
71+ "last_utc": "2026-08-11T21:28:06Z",
72+ "mean": 2.9740217702210434,
73+ "n_pasts": 744,
74+ "n_runs": 93,
7575 "params": {
7676 "filter": "bandpass",
7777 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -81,18 +81,18 @@
8181 "taps": 101
8282 },
8383 "predicted": 2.9937688408517453,
84- "sd": 0.5315450620103457,
85- "se": 0.01959301093182037
84+ "sd": 0.5292801336308772,
85+ "se": 0.01940435115877112
8686 },
8787 {
8888 "L": 101,
8989 "M": 512,
90- "highres_szego": -2.7825679601806397,
90+ "highres_szego": -2.782567960178534,
9191 "id": "bp300-6000_s4",
92- "last_utc": "2026-08-11T19:43:43Z",
93- "mean": 1.721466917199823,
94- "n_pasts": 736,
95- "n_runs": 92,
92+ "last_utc": "2026-08-11T21:22:08Z",
93+ "mean": 1.7215697602693294,
94+ "n_pasts": 744,
95+ "n_runs": 93,
9696 "params": {
9797 "filter": "bandpass",
9898 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -102,18 +102,18 @@
102102 "taps": 101
103103 },
104104 "predicted": 1.734166393696377,
105- "sd": 0.13067396230643863,
106- "se": 0.004816706155243152
105+ "sd": 0.1302312069276298,
106+ "se": 0.004774507695421447
107107 },
108108 {
109109 "L": 101,
110110 "M": 512,
111- "highres_szego": -1.78256796018064,
111+ "highres_szego": -1.7825679601785338,
112112 "id": "bp300-6000_s8",
113- "last_utc": "2026-08-11T19:46:34Z",
114- "mean": 2.1340443079956968,
115- "n_pasts": 736,
116- "n_runs": 92,
113+ "last_utc": "2026-08-11T21:22:57Z",
114+ "mean": 2.1331599311197453,
115+ "n_pasts": 744,
116+ "n_runs": 93,
117117 "params": {
118118 "filter": "bandpass",
119119 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -123,18 +123,18 @@
123123 "taps": 101
124124 },
125125 "predicted": 2.1476021059762167,
126- "sd": 0.20808464912249158,
127- "se": 0.00767010192810639
126+ "sd": 0.20742590750604484,
127+ "se": 0.0076046027291118866
128128 },
129129 {
130130 "L": 101,
131131 "M": 512,
132- "highres_szego": -7.756237076152647,
132+ "highres_szego": -7.756237076152649,
133133 "id": "lp3000_s1",
134- "last_utc": "2026-08-11T19:32:23Z",
135- "mean": 0.4751878773713355,
136- "n_pasts": 736,
137- "n_runs": 92,
134+ "last_utc": "2026-08-11T21:11:14Z",
135+ "mean": 0.47655076375782607,
136+ "n_pasts": 744,
137+ "n_runs": 93,
138138 "params": {
139139 "filter": "lowpass",
140140 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -143,18 +143,18 @@
143143 "taps": 101
144144 },
145145 "predicted": 0.616561114498688,
146- "sd": 0.23302803717482953,
147- "se": 0.00858952740999824
146+ "sd": 0.23323675143604933,
147+ "se": 0.00855087417876228
148148 },
149149 {
150150 "L": 101,
151151 "M": 512,
152- "highres_szego": -3.756237076152648,
152+ "highres_szego": -3.7562370761526487,
153153 "id": "lp3000_s16",
154- "last_utc": "2026-08-11T19:37:06Z",
155- "mean": 1.4449845136750863,
156- "n_pasts": 736,
157- "n_runs": 92,
154+ "last_utc": "2026-08-11T21:18:02Z",
155+ "mean": 1.4448624026361563,
156+ "n_pasts": 744,
157+ "n_runs": 93,
158158 "params": {
159159 "filter": "lowpass",
160160 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -163,18 +163,18 @@
163163 "taps": 101
164164 },
165165 "predicted": 1.4888184418209351,
166- "sd": 0.18475197241066296,
167- "se": 0.006810048053925933
166+ "sd": 0.184580639786326,
167+ "se": 0.006767054578365081
168168 },
169169 {
170170 "L": 101,
171171 "M": 512,
172- "highres_szego": -6.756237076152647,
172+ "highres_szego": -6.756237076152649,
173173 "id": "lp3000_s2",
174- "last_utc": "2026-08-11T19:33:30Z",
175- "mean": 0.7623077542871582,
176- "n_pasts": 736,
177- "n_runs": 92,
174+ "last_utc": "2026-08-11T21:12:10Z",
175+ "mean": 0.7630368931527994,
176+ "n_pasts": 744,
177+ "n_runs": 93,
178178 "params": {
179179 "filter": "lowpass",
180180 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -183,18 +183,18 @@
183183 "taps": 101
184184 },
185185 "predicted": 0.8251241884518832,
186- "sd": 0.26981066502346385,
187- "se": 0.0099453530606283
186+ "sd": 0.2697081642880635,
187+ "se": 0.009887981047637424
188188 },
189189 {
190190 "L": 101,
191191 "M": 512,
192- "highres_szego": -2.756237076152648,
192+ "highres_szego": -2.7562370761526487,
193193 "id": "lp3000_s32",
194- "last_utc": "2026-08-11T19:40:06Z",
195- "mean": 1.6642080014567369,
196- "n_pasts": 736,
197- "n_runs": 92,
194+ "last_utc": "2026-08-11T21:19:49Z",
195+ "mean": 1.6644383004939343,
196+ "n_pasts": 744,
197+ "n_runs": 93,
198198 "params": {
199199 "filter": "lowpass",
200200 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -203,18 +203,18 @@
203203 "taps": 101
204204 },
205205 "predicted": 1.71791605587854,
206- "sd": 0.20688981377930826,
207- "se": 0.0076260597130359
206+ "sd": 0.2059946583706885,
207+ "se": 0.007552130589967683
208208 },
209209 {
210210 "L": 101,
211211 "M": 512,
212- "highres_szego": -5.756237076152647,
212+ "highres_szego": -5.756237076152649,
213213 "id": "lp3000_s4",
214- "last_utc": "2026-08-11T19:34:31Z",
215- "mean": 0.9881083115743716,
216- "n_pasts": 736,
217- "n_runs": 92,
214+ "last_utc": "2026-08-11T21:13:56Z",
215+ "mean": 0.9873156272598671,
216+ "n_pasts": 744,
217+ "n_runs": 93,
218218 "params": {
219219 "filter": "lowpass",
220220 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -223,18 +223,18 @@
223223 "taps": 101
224224 },
225225 "predicted": 1.04149876351225,
226- "sd": 0.19410063250433118,
227- "se": 0.00715464423683535
226+ "sd": 0.19466780525550922,
227+ "se": 0.0071368680070647665
228228 },
229229 {
230230 "L": 101,
231231 "M": 512,
232- "highres_szego": -4.756237076152647,
232+ "highres_szego": -4.756237076152649,
233233 "id": "lp3000_s8",
234- "last_utc": "2026-08-11T19:35:52Z",
235- "mean": 1.215150009162067,
236- "n_pasts": 736,
237- "n_runs": 92,
234+ "last_utc": "2026-08-11T21:15:37Z",
235+ "mean": 1.2139147803988568,
236+ "n_pasts": 744,
237+ "n_runs": 93,
238238 "params": {
239239 "filter": "lowpass",
240240 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -243,222 +243,222 @@
243243 "taps": 101
244244 },
245245 "predicted": 1.2631675560846525,
246- "sd": 0.21974893375550453,
247- "se": 0.008100053163966123
246+ "sd": 0.22231312476297094,
247+ "se": 0.008150394594467966
248248 },
249249 {
250250 "L": 8,
251251 "M": 512,
252252 "highres_szego": -0.9529044148193548,
253253 "id": "ma8_s1",
254- "last_utc": "2026-08-11T19:30:46Z",
255- "mean": 0.4729621243957125,
256- "n_pasts": 736,
257- "n_runs": 92,
254+ "last_utc": "2026-08-11T21:09:53Z",
255+ "mean": 0.47191254694529794,
256+ "n_pasts": 744,
257+ "n_runs": 93,
258258 "params": {
259259 "filter": "moving-average",
260260 "sigma": 1.0,
261261 "width": 8
262262 },
263263 "predicted": 0.6099987154839898,
264- "sd": 0.20448772310926533,
265- "se": 0.0075375174762227605
264+ "sd": 0.20367636112165838,
265+ "se": 0.007467137689134632
266266 },
267267 {
268268 "L": 8,
269269 "M": 512,
270270 "highres_szego": 3.0470955851806454,
271271 "id": "ma8_s16",
272- "last_utc": "2026-08-11T19:31:18Z",
273- "mean": 3.184283330977113,
274- "n_pasts": 736,
275- "n_runs": 92,
272+ "last_utc": "2026-08-11T21:10:12Z",
273+ "mean": 3.1828802098875566,
274+ "n_pasts": 744,
275+ "n_runs": 93,
276276 "params": {
277277 "filter": "moving-average",
278278 "sigma": 16.0,
279279 "width": 8
280280 },
281281 "predicted": 3.1776500292335506,
282- "sd": 0.2653577414015957,
283- "se": 0.00978121611827415
282+ "sd": 0.2643988712728649,
283+ "se": 0.009693332921766948
284284 },
285285 {
286286 "L": 8,
287287 "M": 512,
288288 "highres_szego": 0.04709558518064521,
289289 "id": "ma8_s2",
290- "last_utc": "2026-08-11T19:30:52Z",
291- "mean": 0.9747214954647709,
292- "n_pasts": 736,
293- "n_runs": 92,
290+ "last_utc": "2026-08-11T21:10:00Z",
291+ "mean": 0.9750124194476942,
292+ "n_pasts": 744,
293+ "n_runs": 93,
294294 "params": {
295295 "filter": "moving-average",
296296 "sigma": 2.0,
297297 "width": 8
298298 },
299299 "predicted": 0.9825176804091631,
300- "sd": 0.09828320519294513,
301- "se": 0.0036227670077052434
300+ "sd": 0.09812998411977604,
301+ "se": 0.003597619767064092
302302 },
303303 {
304304 "L": 8,
305305 "M": 512,
306306 "highres_szego": 4.047095585180645,
307307 "id": "ma8_s32",
308- "last_utc": "2026-08-11T19:31:23Z",
309- "mean": 4.087059882360256,
310- "n_pasts": 736,
311- "n_runs": 92,
308+ "last_utc": "2026-08-11T21:10:16Z",
309+ "mean": 4.086710796210802,
310+ "n_pasts": 744,
311+ "n_runs": 93,
312312 "params": {
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314314 "sigma": 32.0,
315315 "width": 8
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317317 "predicted": 4.112486639362294,
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319- "se": 0.008824439006044606
318+ "sd": 0.23841382617182652,
319+ "se": 0.008740674947325193
320320 },
321321 {
322322 "L": 8,
323323 "M": 512,
324324 "highres_szego": 1.0470955851806452,
325325 "id": "ma8_s4",
326- "last_utc": "2026-08-11T19:31:03Z",
327- "mean": 1.5549195269289193,
328- "n_pasts": 736,
329- "n_runs": 92,
326+ "last_utc": "2026-08-11T21:10:04Z",
327+ "mean": 1.5553916620050474,
328+ "n_pasts": 744,
329+ "n_runs": 93,
330330 "params": {
331331 "filter": "moving-average",
332332 "sigma": 4.0,
333333 "width": 8
334334 },
335335 "predicted": 1.5529090070448803,
336- "sd": 0.10348747953870888,
337- "se": 0.0038145991051817822
336+ "sd": 0.10418269724316162,
337+ "se": 0.003819522996463187
338338 },
339339 {
340340 "L": 8,
341341 "M": 512,
342342 "highres_szego": 2.0470955851806454,
343343 "id": "ma8_s8",
344- "last_utc": "2026-08-11T19:31:11Z",
345- "mean": 2.3030169569818923,
346- "n_pasts": 736,
347- "n_runs": 92,
344+ "last_utc": "2026-08-11T21:10:09Z",
345+ "mean": 2.302793304823896,
346+ "n_pasts": 744,
347+ "n_runs": 93,
348348 "params": {
349349 "filter": "moving-average",
350350 "sigma": 8.0,
351351 "width": 8
352352 },
353353 "predicted": 2.3064317412363535,
354- "sd": 0.14649641621540863,
355- "se": 0.00539992954412046
354+ "sd": 0.1467914929279323,
355+ "se": 0.005381637236889665
356356 },
357357 {
358358 "L": 1,
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458458 }
459459 ],
460460 "estimand": "H(z_{M+1} | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample, for x ~ iid N(0, sigma^2) -> y = h * x -> z = round(y)",
461- "generated": "2026-08-11T20:07:07Z",
461+ "generated": "2026-08-11T21:28:06Z",
462462 "settings": {
463463 "n0": 128,
464464 "pasts_per_run": 8,
@@ -466,5 +466,5 @@
466466 "reps": 8,
467467 "thin": "auto"
468468 },
469- "total_runs": 92
469+ "total_runs": 93
470470 }
runs.jsonlmodified+24−0View file
@@ -2206,3 +2206,27 @@
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