estimates: run 177 from efed18a
3 changed files+207−183
README.mdmodified+25−25View file
@@ -21,33 +21,33 @@ Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends
2121
2222 https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json
2323
24-## Current state (163 runs, generated 2026-08-17T23:12:14Z)
24+## Current state (164 runs, generated 2026-08-18T02:10:33Z)
2525
2626 | cell | sigma | M | mean | se | pasts | predicted |
2727 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
28-| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9345 | 0.0034 | 1304 | 0.9513 |
29-| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5516 | 0.0072 | 1304 | 2.5680 |
30-| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3131 | 0.0032 | 1304 | 1.3319 |
31-| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9857 | 0.0177 | 1304 | 2.9938 |
32-| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7266 | 0.0041 | 1304 | 1.7342 |
33-| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1299 | 0.0052 | 1304 | 2.1476 |
34-| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4793 | 0.0065 | 1304 | 0.6166 |
35-| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4445 | 0.0059 | 1304 | 1.4888 |
36-| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7594 | 0.0074 | 1304 | 0.8251 |
37-| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6667 | 0.0058 | 1304 | 1.7179 |
38-| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 0.9917 | 0.0052 | 1304 | 1.0415 |
39-| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2089 | 0.0059 | 1304 | 1.2632 |
40-| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4816 | 0.0058 | 1304 | 0.6100 |
41-| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.1724 | 0.0065 | 1304 | 3.1777 |
42-| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9742 | 0.0026 | 1304 | 0.9825 |
43-| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0874 | 0.0067 | 1304 | 4.1125 |
44-| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5561 | 0.0029 | 1304 | 1.5529 |
45-| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.3118 | 0.0051 | 1304 | 2.3064 |
46-| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.1059 | 0.0018 | 1304 | 2.1048 |
47-| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 6.0238 | 0.0160 | 1304 | 6.0473 |
48-| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0640 | 0.0031 | 1304 | 3.0620 |
49-| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 7.0445 | 0.0286 | 1304 | 7.0472 |
50-| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0428 | 0.0040 | 1304 | 4.0508 |
51-| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0445 | 0.0077 | 1304 | 5.0480 |
28+| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9345 | 0.0034 | 1312 | 0.9513 |
29+| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5523 | 0.0072 | 1312 | 2.5680 |
30+| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3129 | 0.0031 | 1312 | 1.3319 |
31+| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9857 | 0.0177 | 1312 | 2.9938 |
32+| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7270 | 0.0041 | 1312 | 1.7342 |
33+| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1297 | 0.0052 | 1312 | 2.1476 |
34+| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4791 | 0.0065 | 1312 | 0.6166 |
35+| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4445 | 0.0058 | 1312 | 1.4888 |
36+| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7593 | 0.0074 | 1312 | 0.8251 |
37+| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6671 | 0.0058 | 1312 | 1.7179 |
38+| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 0.9914 | 0.0052 | 1312 | 1.0415 |
39+| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2090 | 0.0058 | 1312 | 1.2632 |
40+| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4810 | 0.0058 | 1312 | 0.6100 |
41+| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.1718 | 0.0065 | 1312 | 3.1777 |
42+| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9741 | 0.0026 | 1312 | 0.9825 |
43+| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0877 | 0.0067 | 1312 | 4.1125 |
44+| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5564 | 0.0029 | 1312 | 1.5529 |
45+| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.3117 | 0.0050 | 1312 | 2.3064 |
46+| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.1058 | 0.0018 | 1312 | 2.1048 |
47+| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 6.0257 | 0.0160 | 1312 | 6.0473 |
48+| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0637 | 0.0031 | 1312 | 3.0620 |
49+| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 7.0462 | 0.0286 | 1312 | 7.0472 |
50+| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0431 | 0.0040 | 1312 | 4.0508 |
51+| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0439 | 0.0076 | 1312 | 5.0480 |
5252
5353 [wf]: https://github.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/blob/main/.github/workflows/estimates.yml
estimates.jsonmodified+158−158View file
@@ -3,12 +3,12 @@
33 {
44 "L": 101,
55 "M": 512,
6- "highres_szego": -4.78256796018064,
6+ "highres_szego": -4.782567960178533,
77 "id": "bp300-6000_s1",
8- "last_utc": "2026-08-17T22:55:47Z",
9- "mean": 0.9344815506220696,
10- "n_pasts": 1304,
11- "n_runs": 163,
8+ "last_utc": "2026-08-18T02:03:41Z",
9+ "mean": 0.9345119753053095,
10+ "n_pasts": 1312,
11+ "n_runs": 164,
1212 "params": {
1313 "filter": "bandpass",
1414 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -18,18 +18,18 @@
1818 "taps": 101
1919 },
2020 "predicted": 0.9512549259549268,
21- "sd": 0.12191041123922729,
22- "se": 0.003375996600019267
21+ "sd": 0.12190221399626656,
22+ "se": 0.0033654618808775585
2323 },
2424 {
2525 "L": 101,
2626 "M": 512,
27- "highres_szego": -0.7825679601806399,
27+ "highres_szego": -0.7825679601785338,
2828 "id": "bp300-6000_s16",
29- "last_utc": "2026-08-17T23:05:53Z",
30- "mean": 2.5516072538606593,
31- "n_pasts": 1304,
32- "n_runs": 163,
29+ "last_utc": "2026-08-18T02:09:10Z",
30+ "mean": 2.5523311738425027,
31+ "n_pasts": 1312,
32+ "n_runs": 164,
3333 "params": {
3434 "filter": "bandpass",
3535 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -39,18 +39,18 @@
3939 "taps": 101
4040 },
4141 "predicted": 2.56797969986038,
42- "sd": 0.2606283703589582,
43- "se": 0.007217435190779545
42+ "sd": 0.26033629883082315,
43+ "se": 0.007187333693141272
4444 },
4545 {
4646 "L": 101,
4747 "M": 512,
48- "highres_szego": -3.7825679601806397,
48+ "highres_szego": -3.782567960178534,
4949 "id": "bp300-6000_s2",
50- "last_utc": "2026-08-17T22:57:26Z",
51- "mean": 1.3131137687698322,
52- "n_pasts": 1304,
53- "n_runs": 163,
50+ "last_utc": "2026-08-18T02:04:17Z",
51+ "mean": 1.312910812120578,
52+ "n_pasts": 1312,
53+ "n_runs": 164,
5454 "params": {
5555 "filter": "bandpass",
5656 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -60,18 +60,18 @@
6060 "taps": 101
6161 },
6262 "predicted": 1.3318639472861573,
63- "sd": 0.11415461699657645,
64- "se": 0.003161219742755963
63+ "sd": 0.11407747923162954,
64+ "se": 0.0031494375305801156
6565 },
6666 {
6767 "L": 101,
6868 "M": 512,
69- "highres_szego": 0.2174320398193601,
69+ "highres_szego": 0.21743203982146625,
7070 "id": "bp300-6000_s32",
71- "last_utc": "2026-08-17T23:12:14Z",
72- "mean": 2.9856938949651974,
73- "n_pasts": 1304,
74- "n_runs": 163,
71+ "last_utc": "2026-08-18T02:10:33Z",
72+ "mean": 2.9857271836397143,
73+ "n_pasts": 1312,
74+ "n_runs": 164,
7575 "params": {
7676 "filter": "bandpass",
7777 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -81,18 +81,18 @@
8181 "taps": 101
8282 },
8383 "predicted": 2.9937688408517453,
84- "sd": 0.6408786831614802,
85- "se": 0.017747493699552024
84+ "sd": 0.6396185572914288,
85+ "se": 0.017658513346871036
8686 },
8787 {
8888 "L": 101,
8989 "M": 512,
90- "highres_szego": -2.7825679601806397,
90+ "highres_szego": -2.782567960178534,
9191 "id": "bp300-6000_s4",
92- "last_utc": "2026-08-17T22:59:01Z",
93- "mean": 1.726638398801572,
94- "n_pasts": 1304,
95- "n_runs": 163,
92+ "last_utc": "2026-08-18T02:05:48Z",
93+ "mean": 1.727029975843558,
94+ "n_pasts": 1312,
95+ "n_runs": 164,
9696 "params": {
9797 "filter": "bandpass",
9898 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -102,18 +102,18 @@
102102 "taps": 101
103103 },
104104 "predicted": 1.734166393696377,
105- "sd": 0.1487077515969263,
106- "se": 0.004118080307370761
105+ "sd": 0.14878624048641537,
106+ "se": 0.004107672898963492
107107 },
108108 {
109109 "L": 101,
110110 "M": 512,
111- "highres_szego": -1.78256796018064,
111+ "highres_szego": -1.7825679601785338,
112112 "id": "bp300-6000_s8",
113- "last_utc": "2026-08-17T23:01:06Z",
114- "mean": 2.129892647252046,
115- "n_pasts": 1304,
116- "n_runs": 163,
113+ "last_utc": "2026-08-18T02:06:52Z",
114+ "mean": 2.1297328661455173,
115+ "n_pasts": 1312,
116+ "n_runs": 164,
117117 "params": {
118118 "filter": "bandpass",
119119 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -123,18 +123,18 @@
123123 "taps": 101
124124 },
125125 "predicted": 2.1476021059762167,
126- "sd": 0.18745045950227332,
127- "se": 0.005190960374253063
126+ "sd": 0.1870623800541822,
127+ "se": 0.005164396025144068
128128 },
129129 {
130130 "L": 101,
131131 "M": 512,
132- "highres_szego": -7.756237076152647,
132+ "highres_szego": -7.756237076152649,
133133 "id": "lp3000_s1",
134- "last_utc": "2026-08-17T22:47:11Z",
135- "mean": 0.4792806264847286,
136- "n_pasts": 1304,
137- "n_runs": 163,
134+ "last_utc": "2026-08-18T01:56:47Z",
135+ "mean": 0.47907323670958935,
136+ "n_pasts": 1312,
137+ "n_runs": 164,
138138 "params": {
139139 "filter": "lowpass",
140140 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -143,18 +143,18 @@
143143 "taps": 101
144144 },
145145 "predicted": 0.616561114498688,
146- "sd": 0.23547669364028118,
147- "se": 0.006520923923005927
146+ "sd": 0.23523041486727192,
147+ "se": 0.006494213423253027
148148 },
149149 {
150150 "L": 101,
151151 "M": 512,
152- "highres_szego": -3.756237076152648,
152+ "highres_szego": -3.7562370761526487,
153153 "id": "lp3000_s16",
154- "last_utc": "2026-08-17T22:52:24Z",
155- "mean": 1.4444920848798646,
156- "n_pasts": 1304,
157- "n_runs": 163,
154+ "last_utc": "2026-08-18T02:00:28Z",
155+ "mean": 1.4445242961895768,
156+ "n_pasts": 1312,
157+ "n_runs": 164,
158158 "params": {
159159 "filter": "lowpass",
160160 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -163,18 +163,18 @@
163163 "taps": 101
164164 },
165165 "predicted": 1.4888184418209351,
166- "sd": 0.21132133565439024,
167- "se": 0.005852003150746436
166+ "sd": 0.21077813036795648,
167+ "se": 0.005819137649934097
168168 },
169169 {
170170 "L": 101,
171171 "M": 512,
172- "highres_szego": -6.756237076152647,
172+ "highres_szego": -6.756237076152649,
173173 "id": "lp3000_s2",
174- "last_utc": "2026-08-17T22:48:08Z",
175- "mean": 0.7593777072749334,
176- "n_pasts": 1304,
177- "n_runs": 163,
174+ "last_utc": "2026-08-18T01:57:37Z",
175+ "mean": 0.7592707542421984,
176+ "n_pasts": 1312,
177+ "n_runs": 164,
178178 "params": {
179179 "filter": "lowpass",
180180 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -183,18 +183,18 @@
183183 "taps": 101
184184 },
185185 "predicted": 0.8251241884518832,
186- "sd": 0.2673491755120496,
187- "se": 0.007403550676041135
186+ "sd": 0.2673789756623494,
187+ "se": 0.0073817670806806245
188188 },
189189 {
190190 "L": 101,
191191 "M": 512,
192- "highres_szego": -2.756237076152648,
192+ "highres_szego": -2.7562370761526487,
193193 "id": "lp3000_s32",
194- "last_utc": "2026-08-17T22:54:30Z",
195- "mean": 1.6667164379494375,
196- "n_pasts": 1304,
197- "n_runs": 163,
194+ "last_utc": "2026-08-18T02:03:02Z",
195+ "mean": 1.6671382134695836,
196+ "n_pasts": 1312,
197+ "n_runs": 164,
198198 "params": {
199199 "filter": "lowpass",
200200 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -203,18 +203,18 @@
203203 "taps": 101
204204 },
205205 "predicted": 1.71791605587854,
206- "sd": 0.20960965573700444,
207- "se": 0.005804602559421416
206+ "sd": 0.20964959018960352,
207+ "se": 0.005787981046401023
208208 },
209209 {
210210 "L": 101,
211211 "M": 512,
212- "highres_szego": -5.756237076152647,
212+ "highres_szego": -5.756237076152649,
213213 "id": "lp3000_s4",
214- "last_utc": "2026-08-17T22:49:08Z",
215- "mean": 0.9917101758610839,
216- "n_pasts": 1304,
217- "n_runs": 163,
214+ "last_utc": "2026-08-18T01:58:26Z",
215+ "mean": 0.9914020915609535,
216+ "n_pasts": 1312,
217+ "n_runs": 164,
218218 "params": {
219219 "filter": "lowpass",
220220 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -223,18 +223,18 @@
223223 "taps": 101
224224 },
225225 "predicted": 1.04149876351225,
226- "sd": 0.18917018892947216,
227- "se": 0.005238583876135798
226+ "sd": 0.18965643790338052,
227+ "se": 0.00523601246689742
228228 },
229229 {
230230 "L": 101,
231231 "M": 512,
232- "highres_szego": -4.756237076152647,
232+ "highres_szego": -4.756237076152649,
233233 "id": "lp3000_s8",
234- "last_utc": "2026-08-17T22:50:49Z",
235- "mean": 1.2089003827794667,
236- "n_pasts": 1304,
237- "n_runs": 163,
234+ "last_utc": "2026-08-18T01:59:25Z",
235+ "mean": 1.2090398952200296,
236+ "n_pasts": 1312,
237+ "n_runs": 164,
238238 "params": {
239239 "filter": "lowpass",
240240 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -243,222 +243,222 @@
243243 "taps": 101
244244 },
245245 "predicted": 1.2631675560846525,
246- "sd": 0.21156794151419434,
247- "se": 0.005858832268422118
246+ "sd": 0.21100296266759483,
247+ "se": 0.005825344793424093
248248 },
249249 {
250250 "L": 8,
251251 "M": 512,
252252 "highres_szego": -0.9529044148193548,
253253 "id": "ma8_s1",
254- "last_utc": "2026-08-17T22:45:47Z",
255- "mean": 0.4816301154541685,
256- "n_pasts": 1304,
257- "n_runs": 163,
254+ "last_utc": "2026-08-18T01:55:12Z",
255+ "mean": 0.48102846255171133,
256+ "n_pasts": 1312,
257+ "n_runs": 164,
258258 "params": {
259259 "filter": "moving-average",
260260 "sigma": 1.0,
261261 "width": 8
262262 },
263263 "predicted": 0.6099987154839898,
264- "sd": 0.20945192837589754,
265- "se": 0.005800234704129862
264+ "sd": 0.20896770372921855,
265+ "se": 0.005769155605793502
266266 },
267267 {
268268 "L": 8,
269269 "M": 512,
270270 "highres_szego": 3.0470955851806454,
271271 "id": "ma8_s16",
272- "last_utc": "2026-08-17T22:46:11Z",
273- "mean": 3.172401175721637,
274- "n_pasts": 1304,
275- "n_runs": 163,
272+ "last_utc": "2026-08-18T01:55:29Z",
273+ "mean": 3.17184442476041,
274+ "n_pasts": 1312,
275+ "n_runs": 164,
276276 "params": {
277277 "filter": "moving-average",
278278 "sigma": 16.0,
279279 "width": 8
280280 },
281281 "predicted": 3.1776500292335506,
282- "sd": 0.23545828769948987,
283- "se": 0.006520414217617356
282+ "sd": 0.23491794198448118,
283+ "se": 0.00648558670892713
284284 },
285285 {
286286 "L": 8,
287287 "M": 512,
288288 "highres_szego": 0.04709558518064521,
289289 "id": "ma8_s2",
290- "last_utc": "2026-08-17T22:45:53Z",
291- "mean": 0.9742358564681606,
292- "n_pasts": 1304,
293- "n_runs": 163,
290+ "last_utc": "2026-08-18T01:55:17Z",
291+ "mean": 0.974130485374106,
292+ "n_pasts": 1312,
293+ "n_runs": 164,
294294 "params": {
295295 "filter": "moving-average",
296296 "sigma": 2.0,
297297 "width": 8
298298 },
299299 "predicted": 0.9825176804091631,
300- "sd": 0.09487783443089155,
301- "se": 0.0026273986216594366
300+ "sd": 0.09470642247601796,
301+ "se": 0.0026146436907789525
302302 },
303303 {
304304 "L": 8,
305305 "M": 512,
306306 "highres_szego": 4.047095585180645,
307307 "id": "ma8_s32",
308- "last_utc": "2026-08-17T22:46:16Z",
309- "mean": 4.087377412661627,
310- "n_pasts": 1304,
311- "n_runs": 163,
308+ "last_utc": "2026-08-18T01:55:34Z",
309+ "mean": 4.087707986486565,
310+ "n_pasts": 1312,
311+ "n_runs": 164,
312312 "params": {
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314314 "sigma": 32.0,
315315 "width": 8
316316 },
317317 "predicted": 4.112486639362294,
318- "sd": 0.24149984070885488,
319- "se": 0.00668771955447188
318+ "sd": 0.24129075273741457,
319+ "se": 0.006661526513135287
320320 },
321321 {
322322 "L": 8,
323323 "M": 512,
324324 "highres_szego": 1.0470955851806452,
325325 "id": "ma8_s4",
326- "last_utc": "2026-08-17T22:45:58Z",
327- "mean": 1.556113115941605,
328- "n_pasts": 1304,
329- "n_runs": 163,
326+ "last_utc": "2026-08-18T01:55:22Z",
327+ "mean": 1.556439708998852,
328+ "n_pasts": 1312,
329+ "n_runs": 164,
330330 "params": {
331331 "filter": "moving-average",
332332 "sigma": 4.0,
333333 "width": 8
334334 },
335335 "predicted": 1.5529090070448803,
336- "sd": 0.10651789493187558,
337- "se": 0.002949740284491069
336+ "sd": 0.10653695738626445,
337+ "se": 0.0029412596968840196
338338 },
339339 {
340340 "L": 8,
341341 "M": 512,
342342 "highres_szego": 2.0470955851806454,
343343 "id": "ma8_s8",
344- "last_utc": "2026-08-17T22:46:06Z",
345- "mean": 2.3118164725185966,
346- "n_pasts": 1304,
347- "n_runs": 163,
344+ "last_utc": "2026-08-18T01:55:25Z",
345+ "mean": 2.3117317552353196,
346+ "n_pasts": 1312,
347+ "n_runs": 164,
348348 "params": {
349349 "filter": "moving-average",
350350 "sigma": 8.0,
351351 "width": 8
352352 },
353353 "predicted": 2.3064317412363535,
354- "sd": 0.1830297477640764,
355- "se": 0.005068540085074218
354+ "sd": 0.1825445313438261,
355+ "se": 0.005039667793229094
356356 },
357357 {
358358 "L": 1,
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360360 "highres_szego": 2.047095585180641,
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458458 }
459459 ],
460460 "estimand": "H(z_{M+1} | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample, for x ~ iid N(0, sigma^2) -> y = h * x -> z = round(y)",
461- "generated": "2026-08-17T23:12:14Z",
461+ "generated": "2026-08-18T02:10:33Z",
462462 "settings": {
463463 "n0": 128,
464464 "pasts_per_run": 8,
@@ -466,5 +466,5 @@
466466 "reps": 8,
467467 "thin": "auto"
468468 },
469- "total_runs": 163
469+ "total_runs": 164
470470 }
runs.jsonlmodified+24−0View file
@@ -3910,3 +3910,27 @@
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