estimates: run 52 from efed18a
3 changed files+195−171
README.mdmodified+25−25View file
@@ -21,33 +21,33 @@ Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends
2121
2222 https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json
2323
24-## Current state (43 runs, generated 2026-08-06T15:13:43Z)
24+## Current state (44 runs, generated 2026-08-07T00:56:50Z)
2525
2626 | cell | sigma | M | mean | se | pasts | predicted |
2727 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
28-| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9368 | 0.0063 | 344 | 0.9513 |
29-| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5500 | 0.0125 | 344 | 2.5680 |
30-| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3148 | 0.0065 | 344 | 1.3319 |
31-| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9770 | 0.0264 | 344 | 2.9938 |
32-| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7180 | 0.0072 | 344 | 1.7342 |
33-| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1310 | 0.0129 | 344 | 2.1476 |
34-| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4764 | 0.0130 | 344 | 0.6166 |
35-| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4575 | 0.0101 | 344 | 1.4888 |
36-| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7568 | 0.0150 | 344 | 0.8251 |
37-| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6534 | 0.0109 | 344 | 1.7179 |
38-| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 0.9989 | 0.0096 | 344 | 1.0415 |
39-| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2226 | 0.0098 | 344 | 1.2632 |
40-| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4895 | 0.0116 | 344 | 0.6100 |
41-| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.1970 | 0.0165 | 344 | 3.1777 |
42-| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9718 | 0.0060 | 344 | 0.9825 |
43-| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0803 | 0.0131 | 344 | 4.1125 |
44-| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5585 | 0.0060 | 344 | 1.5529 |
45-| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.2947 | 0.0076 | 344 | 2.3064 |
46-| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.1083 | 0.0048 | 344 | 2.1048 |
47-| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 6.0122 | 0.0236 | 344 | 6.0473 |
48-| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0644 | 0.0047 | 344 | 3.0620 |
49-| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 7.0905 | 0.0558 | 344 | 7.0472 |
50-| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0353 | 0.0073 | 344 | 4.0508 |
51-| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0575 | 0.0158 | 344 | 5.0480 |
28+| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9373 | 0.0062 | 352 | 0.9513 |
29+| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5508 | 0.0125 | 352 | 2.5680 |
30+| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3141 | 0.0064 | 352 | 1.3319 |
31+| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9731 | 0.0258 | 352 | 2.9938 |
32+| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7176 | 0.0071 | 352 | 1.7342 |
33+| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1321 | 0.0127 | 352 | 2.1476 |
34+| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4762 | 0.0128 | 352 | 0.6166 |
35+| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4587 | 0.0100 | 352 | 1.4888 |
36+| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7570 | 0.0149 | 352 | 0.8251 |
37+| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6553 | 0.0108 | 352 | 1.7179 |
38+| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 0.9964 | 0.0095 | 352 | 1.0415 |
39+| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2235 | 0.0096 | 352 | 1.2632 |
40+| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4876 | 0.0114 | 352 | 0.6100 |
41+| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.1967 | 0.0162 | 352 | 3.1777 |
42+| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9722 | 0.0058 | 352 | 0.9825 |
43+| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0797 | 0.0128 | 352 | 4.1125 |
44+| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5590 | 0.0059 | 352 | 1.5529 |
45+| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.2955 | 0.0074 | 352 | 2.3064 |
46+| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.1079 | 0.0047 | 352 | 2.1048 |
47+| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 6.0127 | 0.0232 | 352 | 6.0473 |
48+| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0646 | 0.0047 | 352 | 3.0620 |
49+| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 7.0879 | 0.0549 | 352 | 7.0472 |
50+| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0351 | 0.0071 | 352 | 4.0508 |
51+| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0620 | 0.0160 | 352 | 5.0480 |
5252
5353 [wf]: https://github.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/blob/main/.github/workflows/estimates.yml
estimates.jsonmodified+146−146View file
@@ -5,10 +5,10 @@
55 "M": 512,
66 "highres_szego": -4.78256796018064,
77 "id": "bp300-6000_s1",
8- "last_utc": "2026-08-06T14:59:56Z",
9- "mean": 0.9368315600889938,
10- "n_pasts": 344,
11- "n_runs": 43,
8+ "last_utc": "2026-08-07T00:32:38Z",
9+ "mean": 0.9372889203698646,
10+ "n_pasts": 352,
11+ "n_runs": 44,
1212 "params": {
1313 "filter": "bandpass",
1414 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -18,18 +18,18 @@
1818 "taps": 101
1919 },
2020 "predicted": 0.9512549259549268,
21- "sd": 0.11651630528892379,
22- "se": 0.006282138161361556
21+ "sd": 0.11660322623993134,
22+ "se": 0.0062149728409321685
2323 },
2424 {
2525 "L": 101,
2626 "M": 512,
2727 "highres_szego": -0.7825679601806399,
2828 "id": "bp300-6000_s16",
29- "last_utc": "2026-08-06T15:10:29Z",
30- "mean": 2.55000190523937,
31- "n_pasts": 344,
32- "n_runs": 43,
29+ "last_utc": "2026-08-07T00:54:34Z",
30+ "mean": 2.550813835417387,
31+ "n_pasts": 352,
32+ "n_runs": 44,
3333 "params": {
3434 "filter": "bandpass",
3535 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -39,18 +39,18 @@
3939 "taps": 101
4040 },
4141 "predicted": 2.56797969986038,
42- "sd": 0.23240591077276673,
43- "se": 0.01253048693374915
42+ "sd": 0.23514695567292954,
43+ "se": 0.012533374849577388
4444 },
4545 {
4646 "L": 101,
4747 "M": 512,
4848 "highres_szego": -3.7825679601806397,
4949 "id": "bp300-6000_s2",
50- "last_utc": "2026-08-06T15:04:02Z",
51- "mean": 1.3148281863437927,
52- "n_pasts": 344,
53- "n_runs": 43,
50+ "last_utc": "2026-08-07T00:33:33Z",
51+ "mean": 1.314096628725754,
52+ "n_pasts": 352,
53+ "n_runs": 44,
5454 "params": {
5555 "filter": "bandpass",
5656 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -60,18 +60,18 @@
6060 "taps": 101
6161 },
6262 "predicted": 1.3318639472861573,
63- "sd": 0.12121955857296603,
64- "se": 0.006535720583709783
63+ "sd": 0.12052859966919201,
64+ "se": 0.006424195947702582
6565 },
6666 {
6767 "L": 101,
6868 "M": 512,
6969 "highres_szego": 0.2174320398193601,
7070 "id": "bp300-6000_s32",
71- "last_utc": "2026-08-06T15:13:43Z",
72- "mean": 2.97703984572163,
73- "n_pasts": 344,
74- "n_runs": 43,
71+ "last_utc": "2026-08-07T00:56:50Z",
72+ "mean": 2.9730691915807936,
73+ "n_pasts": 352,
74+ "n_runs": 44,
7575 "params": {
7676 "filter": "bandpass",
7777 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -81,18 +81,18 @@
8181 "taps": 101
8282 },
8383 "predicted": 2.9937688408517453,
84- "sd": 0.4889156286072178,
85- "se": 0.026360564047609322
84+ "sd": 0.4845869815403257,
85+ "se": 0.0258285729002501
8686 },
8787 {
8888 "L": 101,
8989 "M": 512,
9090 "highres_szego": -2.7825679601806397,
9191 "id": "bp300-6000_s4",
92- "last_utc": "2026-08-06T15:04:54Z",
93- "mean": 1.717951680691848,
94- "n_pasts": 344,
95- "n_runs": 43,
92+ "last_utc": "2026-08-07T00:34:46Z",
93+ "mean": 1.7175790186811641,
94+ "n_pasts": 352,
95+ "n_runs": 44,
9696 "params": {
9797 "filter": "bandpass",
9898 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -102,18 +102,18 @@
102102 "taps": 101
103103 },
104104 "predicted": 1.734166393696377,
105- "sd": 0.13359028503842074,
106- "se": 0.007202705454365358
105+ "sd": 0.13252925717361522,
106+ "se": 0.0070638331418729225
107107 },
108108 {
109109 "L": 101,
110110 "M": 512,
111111 "highres_szego": -1.78256796018064,
112112 "id": "bp300-6000_s8",
113- "last_utc": "2026-08-06T15:07:33Z",
114- "mean": 2.1309953428048187,
115- "n_pasts": 344,
116- "n_runs": 43,
113+ "last_utc": "2026-08-07T00:38:01Z",
114+ "mean": 2.132131154023291,
115+ "n_pasts": 352,
116+ "n_runs": 44,
117117 "params": {
118118 "filter": "bandpass",
119119 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -123,18 +123,18 @@
123123 "taps": 101
124124 },
125125 "predicted": 2.1476021059762167,
126- "sd": 0.2398196344706848,
127- "se": 0.012930208126804428
126+ "sd": 0.23793417930517485,
127+ "se": 0.012681934368336884
128128 },
129129 {
130130 "L": 101,
131131 "M": 512,
132132 "highres_szego": -7.756237076152647,
133133 "id": "lp3000_s1",
134- "last_utc": "2026-08-06T14:43:53Z",
135- "mean": 0.4763905584794858,
136- "n_pasts": 344,
137- "n_runs": 43,
134+ "last_utc": "2026-08-07T00:21:56Z",
135+ "mean": 0.4761716258741742,
136+ "n_pasts": 352,
137+ "n_runs": 44,
138138 "params": {
139139 "filter": "lowpass",
140140 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -143,18 +143,18 @@
143143 "taps": 101
144144 },
145145 "predicted": 0.616561114498688,
146- "sd": 0.24082710569230892,
147- "se": 0.01298452733467962
146+ "sd": 0.24010998703254863,
147+ "se": 0.012797905309868926
148148 },
149149 {
150150 "L": 101,
151151 "M": 512,
152152 "highres_szego": -3.756237076152648,
153153 "id": "lp3000_s16",
154- "last_utc": "2026-08-06T14:48:11Z",
155- "mean": 1.4575084115064911,
156- "n_pasts": 344,
157- "n_runs": 43,
154+ "last_utc": "2026-08-07T00:27:26Z",
155+ "mean": 1.4586560835266353,
156+ "n_pasts": 352,
157+ "n_runs": 44,
158158 "params": {
159159 "filter": "lowpass",
160160 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -163,18 +163,18 @@
163163 "taps": 101
164164 },
165165 "predicted": 1.4888184418209351,
166- "sd": 0.18800995436385406,
167- "se": 0.01013681738445314
166+ "sd": 0.1878019102748074,
167+ "se": 0.010009875450885252
168168 },
169169 {
170170 "L": 101,
171171 "M": 512,
172172 "highres_szego": -6.756237076152647,
173173 "id": "lp3000_s2",
174- "last_utc": "2026-08-06T14:44:51Z",
175- "mean": 0.7568478018410091,
176- "n_pasts": 344,
177- "n_runs": 43,
174+ "last_utc": "2026-08-07T00:23:01Z",
175+ "mean": 0.7569722965032576,
176+ "n_pasts": 352,
177+ "n_runs": 44,
178178 "params": {
179179 "filter": "lowpass",
180180 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -183,18 +183,18 @@
183183 "taps": 101
184184 },
185185 "predicted": 0.8251241884518832,
186- "sd": 0.2786768540403687,
187- "se": 0.015025248999391392
186+ "sd": 0.2787964196495343,
187+ "se": 0.014859899096665023
188188 },
189189 {
190190 "L": 101,
191191 "M": 512,
192192 "highres_szego": -2.756237076152648,
193193 "id": "lp3000_s32",
194- "last_utc": "2026-08-06T14:58:51Z",
195- "mean": 1.6533660370561694,
196- "n_pasts": 344,
197- "n_runs": 43,
194+ "last_utc": "2026-08-07T00:31:21Z",
195+ "mean": 1.655281215127475,
196+ "n_pasts": 352,
197+ "n_runs": 44,
198198 "params": {
199199 "filter": "lowpass",
200200 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -203,18 +203,18 @@
203203 "taps": 101
204204 },
205205 "predicted": 1.71791605587854,
206- "sd": 0.20141724112792064,
207- "se": 0.010859689840904668
206+ "sd": 0.2017775257839995,
207+ "se": 0.010754778260402838
208208 },
209209 {
210210 "L": 101,
211211 "M": 512,
212212 "highres_szego": -5.756237076152647,
213213 "id": "lp3000_s4",
214- "last_utc": "2026-08-06T14:45:41Z",
215- "mean": 0.9988967773726953,
216- "n_pasts": 344,
217- "n_runs": 43,
214+ "last_utc": "2026-08-07T00:24:06Z",
215+ "mean": 0.996373453514694,
216+ "n_pasts": 352,
217+ "n_runs": 44,
218218 "params": {
219219 "filter": "lowpass",
220220 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -223,18 +223,18 @@
223223 "taps": 101
224224 },
225225 "predicted": 1.04149876351225,
226- "sd": 0.17787328354470724,
227- "se": 0.009590284721713655
226+ "sd": 0.17831937438912748,
227+ "se": 0.009504454589961568
228228 },
229229 {
230230 "L": 101,
231231 "M": 512,
232232 "highres_szego": -4.756237076152647,
233233 "id": "lp3000_s8",
234- "last_utc": "2026-08-06T14:47:05Z",
235- "mean": 1.2225504362658117,
236- "n_pasts": 344,
237- "n_runs": 43,
234+ "last_utc": "2026-08-07T00:25:48Z",
235+ "mean": 1.2234962751894356,
236+ "n_pasts": 352,
237+ "n_runs": 44,
238238 "params": {
239239 "filter": "lowpass",
240240 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -243,222 +243,222 @@
243243 "taps": 101
244244 },
245245 "predicted": 1.2631675560846525,
246- "sd": 0.18208762454449157,
247- "se": 0.009817506760329503
246+ "sd": 0.18055516392471327,
247+ "se": 0.009623622572613386
248248 },
249249 {
250250 "L": 8,
251251 "M": 512,
252252 "highres_szego": -0.9529044148193548,
253253 "id": "ma8_s1",
254- "last_utc": "2026-08-06T14:41:30Z",
255- "mean": 0.4895246381666291,
256- "n_pasts": 344,
257- "n_runs": 43,
254+ "last_utc": "2026-08-07T00:20:26Z",
255+ "mean": 0.4875578744593792,
256+ "n_pasts": 352,
257+ "n_runs": 44,
258258 "params": {
259259 "filter": "moving-average",
260260 "sigma": 1.0,
261261 "width": 8
262262 },
263263 "predicted": 0.6099987154839898,
264- "sd": 0.2152399482334058,
265- "se": 0.011604960261086338
264+ "sd": 0.21341543338894417,
265+ "se": 0.011375080819966488
266266 },
267267 {
268268 "L": 8,
269269 "M": 512,
270270 "highres_szego": 3.0470955851806454,
271271 "id": "ma8_s16",
272- "last_utc": "2026-08-06T14:42:28Z",
273- "mean": 3.1970041160199405,
274- "n_pasts": 344,
275- "n_runs": 43,
272+ "last_utc": "2026-08-07T00:20:54Z",
273+ "mean": 3.1966709971731486,
274+ "n_pasts": 352,
275+ "n_runs": 44,
276276 "params": {
277277 "filter": "moving-average",
278278 "sigma": 16.0,
279279 "width": 8
280280 },
281281 "predicted": 3.1776500292335506,
282- "sd": 0.305699084006569,
283- "se": 0.01648218999708961
282+ "sd": 0.3047042661297331,
283+ "se": 0.016240791953867413
284284 },
285285 {
286286 "L": 8,
287287 "M": 512,
288288 "highres_szego": 0.04709558518064521,
289289 "id": "ma8_s2",
290- "last_utc": "2026-08-06T14:41:49Z",
291- "mean": 0.9717605604402626,
292- "n_pasts": 344,
293- "n_runs": 43,
290+ "last_utc": "2026-08-07T00:20:32Z",
291+ "mean": 0.9722253135282213,
292+ "n_pasts": 352,
293+ "n_runs": 44,
294294 "params": {
295295 "filter": "moving-average",
296296 "sigma": 2.0,
297297 "width": 8
298298 },
299299 "predicted": 0.9825176804091631,
300- "sd": 0.11044255966104682,
301- "se": 0.005954663743968439
300+ "sd": 0.1095493708389466,
301+ "se": 0.005839001084792459
302302 },
303303 {
304304 "L": 8,
305305 "M": 512,
306306 "highres_szego": 4.047095585180645,
307307 "id": "ma8_s32",
308- "last_utc": "2026-08-06T14:42:33Z",
309- "mean": 4.080345717365956,
310- "n_pasts": 344,
311- "n_runs": 43,
308+ "last_utc": "2026-08-07T00:20:59Z",
309+ "mean": 4.079683268355222,
310+ "n_pasts": 352,
311+ "n_runs": 44,
312312 "params": {
313313 "filter": "moving-average",
314314 "sigma": 32.0,
315315 "width": 8
316316 },
317317 "predicted": 4.112486639362294,
318- "sd": 0.24246641318388615,
319- "se": 0.013072912871154594
318+ "sd": 0.24053456237041926,
319+ "se": 0.012820535251414161
320320 },
321321 {
322322 "L": 8,
323323 "M": 512,
324324 "highres_szego": 1.0470955851806452,
325325 "id": "ma8_s4",
326- "last_utc": "2026-08-06T14:41:56Z",
327- "mean": 1.5584865448700533,
328- "n_pasts": 344,
329- "n_runs": 43,
326+ "last_utc": "2026-08-07T00:20:39Z",
327+ "mean": 1.558993728707353,
328+ "n_pasts": 352,
329+ "n_runs": 44,
330330 "params": {
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332332 "sigma": 4.0,
333333 "width": 8
334334 },
335335 "predicted": 1.5529090070448803,
336- "sd": 0.1119448718614031,
337- "se": 0.006035662989359328
336+ "sd": 0.11131293084219757,
337+ "se": 0.005932999148799761
338338 },
339339 {
340340 "L": 8,
341341 "M": 512,
342342 "highres_szego": 2.0470955851806454,
343343 "id": "ma8_s8",
344- "last_utc": "2026-08-06T14:42:06Z",
345- "mean": 2.294665710222747,
346- "n_pasts": 344,
347- "n_runs": 43,
344+ "last_utc": "2026-08-07T00:20:46Z",
345+ "mean": 2.2955152576856284,
346+ "n_pasts": 352,
347+ "n_runs": 44,
348348 "params": {
349349 "filter": "moving-average",
350350 "sigma": 8.0,
351351 "width": 8
352352 },
353353 "predicted": 2.3064317412363535,
354- "sd": 0.14054162727685104,
355- "se": 0.0075774967098934266
354+ "sd": 0.1395233931283031,
355+ "se": 0.00743662184082992
356356 },
357357 {
358358 "L": 1,
359359 "M": 512,
360360 "highres_szego": 2.047095585180641,
361361 "id": "none_s1",
362- "last_utc": "2026-08-06T14:41:21Z",
363- "mean": 2.108310428643609,
364- "n_pasts": 344,
365- "n_runs": 43,
362+ "last_utc": "2026-08-07T00:20:15Z",
363+ "mean": 2.107918236449461,
364+ "n_pasts": 352,
365+ "n_runs": 44,
366366 "params": {
367367 "filter": "none",
368368 "sigma": 1.0
369369 },
370370 "predicted": 2.1048326603976193,
371- "sd": 0.0882244440451791,
372- "se": 0.00475674323286162
371+ "sd": 0.08741966890044275,
372+ "se": 0.004659484008286168
373373 },
374374 {
375375 "L": 1,
376376 "M": 512,
377377 "highres_szego": 6.047095585180641,
378378 "id": "none_s16",
379- "last_utc": "2026-08-06T14:41:25Z",
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455455 "predicted": 5.048034228800837,
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456+ "sd": 0.2994292371962171,
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458458 }
459459 ],
460460 "estimand": "H(z_{M+1} | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample, for x ~ iid N(0, sigma^2) -> y = h * x -> z = round(y)",
461- "generated": "2026-08-06T15:13:43Z",
461+ "generated": "2026-08-07T00:56:50Z",
462462 "settings": {
463463 "n0": 128,
464464 "pasts_per_run": 8,
@@ -466,5 +466,5 @@
466466 "reps": 8,
467467 "thin": "auto"
468468 },
469- "total_runs": 43
469+ "total_runs": 44
470470 }
runs.jsonlmodified+24−0View file
@@ -1030,3 +1030,27 @@
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