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timeseries-entropy / README.md
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Cached entropy estimates#

Machine-generated by .github/workflows/estimates.yml on main — do not edit by hand. Every dispatch runs the whole grid again with fresh, independent pasts, appends one record per cell to runs.jsonl, and rebuilds estimates.json from the full log, so the means tighten run after run.

The estimand is H(z_(M+1) | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample — an upper bound on the entropy rate of z that tightens as the conditioning window M grows.

Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends access-control-allow-origin: *):

https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json

Current state (44 runs, generated 2026-08-07T00:56:50Z)#

cell sigma M mean se pasts predicted
bp300-6000_s1 1 512 0.9373 0.0062 352 0.9513
bp300-6000_s16 16 512 2.5508 0.0125 352 2.5680
bp300-6000_s2 2 512 1.3141 0.0064 352 1.3319
bp300-6000_s32 32 512 2.9731 0.0258 352 2.9938
bp300-6000_s4 4 512 1.7176 0.0071 352 1.7342
bp300-6000_s8 8 512 2.1321 0.0127 352 2.1476
lp3000_s1 1 512 0.4762 0.0128 352 0.6166
lp3000_s16 16 512 1.4587 0.0100 352 1.4888
lp3000_s2 2 512 0.7570 0.0149 352 0.8251
lp3000_s32 32 512 1.6553 0.0108 352 1.7179
lp3000_s4 4 512 0.9964 0.0095 352 1.0415
lp3000_s8 8 512 1.2235 0.0096 352 1.2632
ma8_s1 1 512 0.4876 0.0114 352 0.6100
ma8_s16 16 512 3.1967 0.0162 352 3.1777
ma8_s2 2 512 0.9722 0.0058 352 0.9825
ma8_s32 32 512 4.0797 0.0128 352 4.1125
ma8_s4 4 512 1.5590 0.0059 352 1.5529
ma8_s8 8 512 2.2955 0.0074 352 2.3064
none_s1 1 512 2.1079 0.0047 352 2.1048
none_s16 16 512 6.0127 0.0232 352 6.0473
none_s2 2 512 3.0646 0.0047 352 3.0620
none_s32 32 512 7.0879 0.0549 352 7.0472
none_s4 4 512 4.0351 0.0071 352 4.0508
none_s8 8 512 5.0620 0.0160 352 5.0480
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