estimates: run 41 from efed18a
3 changed files+195−171
README.mdmodified+25−25View file
@@ -21,33 +21,33 @@ Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends
2121
2222 https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json
2323
24-## Current state (33 runs, generated 2026-08-05T07:56:44Z)
24+## Current state (34 runs, generated 2026-08-05T11:37:23Z)
2525
2626 | cell | sigma | M | mean | se | pasts | predicted |
2727 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
28-| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9387 | 0.0067 | 264 | 0.9513 |
29-| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5378 | 0.0134 | 264 | 2.5680 |
30-| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3221 | 0.0073 | 264 | 1.3319 |
31-| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9739 | 0.0316 | 264 | 2.9938 |
32-| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7130 | 0.0082 | 264 | 1.7342 |
33-| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1399 | 0.0161 | 264 | 2.1476 |
34-| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4736 | 0.0152 | 264 | 0.6166 |
35-| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4523 | 0.0105 | 264 | 1.4888 |
36-| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7514 | 0.0174 | 264 | 0.8251 |
37-| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6549 | 0.0130 | 264 | 1.7179 |
38-| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.0057 | 0.0107 | 264 | 1.0415 |
39-| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2193 | 0.0121 | 264 | 1.2632 |
40-| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4852 | 0.0130 | 264 | 0.6100 |
41-| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.1927 | 0.0189 | 264 | 3.1777 |
42-| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9734 | 0.0071 | 264 | 0.9825 |
43-| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0781 | 0.0152 | 264 | 4.1125 |
44-| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5607 | 0.0073 | 264 | 1.5529 |
45-| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.2969 | 0.0089 | 264 | 2.3064 |
46-| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.1058 | 0.0031 | 264 | 2.1048 |
47-| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 5.9968 | 0.0243 | 264 | 6.0473 |
48-| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0625 | 0.0052 | 264 | 3.0620 |
49-| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 7.0264 | 0.0505 | 264 | 7.0472 |
50-| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0351 | 0.0085 | 264 | 4.0508 |
51-| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0603 | 0.0159 | 264 | 5.0480 |
28+| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9424 | 0.0066 | 272 | 0.9513 |
29+| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5432 | 0.0138 | 272 | 2.5680 |
30+| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3224 | 0.0072 | 272 | 1.3319 |
31+| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9762 | 0.0309 | 272 | 2.9938 |
32+| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7127 | 0.0081 | 272 | 1.7342 |
33+| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1375 | 0.0157 | 272 | 2.1476 |
34+| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4761 | 0.0150 | 272 | 0.6166 |
35+| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4563 | 0.0112 | 272 | 1.4888 |
36+| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7529 | 0.0171 | 272 | 0.8251 |
37+| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6539 | 0.0128 | 272 | 1.7179 |
38+| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.0022 | 0.0106 | 272 | 1.0415 |
39+| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2186 | 0.0118 | 272 | 1.2632 |
40+| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4837 | 0.0127 | 272 | 0.6100 |
41+| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.1970 | 0.0189 | 272 | 3.1777 |
42+| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9716 | 0.0070 | 272 | 0.9825 |
43+| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0789 | 0.0149 | 272 | 4.1125 |
44+| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5606 | 0.0071 | 272 | 1.5529 |
45+| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.2969 | 0.0088 | 272 | 2.3064 |
46+| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.1050 | 0.0031 | 272 | 2.1048 |
47+| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 6.0002 | 0.0242 | 272 | 6.0473 |
48+| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0618 | 0.0051 | 272 | 3.0620 |
49+| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 7.0195 | 0.0494 | 272 | 7.0472 |
50+| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0343 | 0.0083 | 272 | 4.0508 |
51+| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0581 | 0.0156 | 272 | 5.0480 |
5252
5353 [wf]: https://github.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/blob/main/.github/workflows/estimates.yml
estimates.jsonmodified+146−146View file
@@ -5,10 +5,10 @@
55 "M": 512,
66 "highres_szego": -4.78256796018064,
77 "id": "bp300-6000_s1",
8- "last_utc": "2026-08-05T07:46:20Z",
9- "mean": 0.9387288148171657,
10- "n_pasts": 264,
11- "n_runs": 33,
8+ "last_utc": "2026-08-05T11:13:24Z",
9+ "mean": 0.9424152373721145,
10+ "n_pasts": 272,
11+ "n_runs": 34,
1212 "params": {
1313 "filter": "bandpass",
1414 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -18,18 +18,18 @@
1818 "taps": 101
1919 },
2020 "predicted": 0.9512549259549268,
21- "sd": 0.10849525224564628,
22- "se": 0.006677421181547699
21+ "sd": 0.10926299066347202,
22+ "se": 0.006625041933476049
2323 },
2424 {
2525 "L": 101,
2626 "M": 512,
2727 "highres_szego": -0.7825679601806399,
2828 "id": "bp300-6000_s16",
29- "last_utc": "2026-08-05T07:53:56Z",
30- "mean": 2.537797640417219,
31- "n_pasts": 264,
32- "n_runs": 33,
29+ "last_utc": "2026-08-05T11:32:47Z",
30+ "mean": 2.5432491136173065,
31+ "n_pasts": 272,
32+ "n_runs": 34,
3333 "params": {
3434 "filter": "bandpass",
3535 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -39,18 +39,18 @@
3939 "taps": 101
4040 },
4141 "predicted": 2.56797969986038,
42- "sd": 0.21698984424646042,
43- "se": 0.013354801727834998
42+ "sd": 0.22770564122440376,
43+ "se": 0.013806682504664939
4444 },
4545 {
4646 "L": 101,
4747 "M": 512,
4848 "highres_szego": -3.7825679601806397,
4949 "id": "bp300-6000_s2",
50- "last_utc": "2026-08-05T07:47:27Z",
51- "mean": 1.3221486686754598,
52- "n_pasts": 264,
53- "n_runs": 33,
50+ "last_utc": "2026-08-05T11:14:19Z",
51+ "mean": 1.3224092779598808,
52+ "n_pasts": 272,
53+ "n_runs": 34,
5454 "params": {
5555 "filter": "bandpass",
5656 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -60,18 +60,18 @@
6060 "taps": 101
6161 },
6262 "predicted": 1.3318639472861573,
63- "sd": 0.11827743878569233,
64- "se": 0.007279473144673814
63+ "sd": 0.11799794663604848,
64+ "se": 0.0071546764350944704
6565 },
6666 {
6767 "L": 101,
6868 "M": 512,
6969 "highres_szego": 0.2174320398193601,
7070 "id": "bp300-6000_s32",
71- "last_utc": "2026-08-05T07:56:44Z",
72- "mean": 2.973856895980389,
73- "n_pasts": 264,
74- "n_runs": 33,
71+ "last_utc": "2026-08-05T11:37:22Z",
72+ "mean": 2.976205404919518,
73+ "n_pasts": 272,
74+ "n_runs": 34,
7575 "params": {
7676 "filter": "bandpass",
7777 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -81,18 +81,18 @@
8181 "taps": 101
8282 },
8383 "predicted": 2.9937688408517453,
84- "sd": 0.5133617699190124,
85- "se": 0.0315952328355602
84+ "sd": 0.5094598939713095,
85+ "se": 0.030890543453818867
8686 },
8787 {
8888 "L": 101,
8989 "M": 512,
9090 "highres_szego": -2.7825679601806397,
9191 "id": "bp300-6000_s4",
92- "last_utc": "2026-08-05T07:49:09Z",
93- "mean": 1.7129739516170552,
94- "n_pasts": 264,
95- "n_runs": 33,
92+ "last_utc": "2026-08-05T11:15:29Z",
93+ "mean": 1.7126547354803545,
94+ "n_pasts": 272,
95+ "n_runs": 34,
9696 "params": {
9797 "filter": "bandpass",
9898 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -102,18 +102,18 @@
102102 "taps": 101
103103 },
104104 "predicted": 1.734166393696377,
105- "sd": 0.13319139104036073,
106- "se": 0.008197363454384671
105+ "sd": 0.1337825405637104,
106+ "se": 0.008111758023642017
107107 },
108108 {
109109 "L": 101,
110110 "M": 512,
111111 "highres_szego": -1.78256796018064,
112112 "id": "bp300-6000_s8",
113- "last_utc": "2026-08-05T07:51:46Z",
114- "mean": 2.1398752501189136,
115- "n_pasts": 264,
116- "n_runs": 33,
113+ "last_utc": "2026-08-05T11:17:22Z",
114+ "mean": 2.1374999895021425,
115+ "n_pasts": 272,
116+ "n_runs": 34,
117117 "params": {
118118 "filter": "bandpass",
119119 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -123,18 +123,18 @@
123123 "taps": 101
124124 },
125125 "predicted": 2.1476021059762167,
126- "sd": 0.26144238343698123,
127- "se": 0.016090666391224213
126+ "sd": 0.25852186700890306,
127+ "se": 0.015675190650141013
128128 },
129129 {
130130 "L": 101,
131131 "M": 512,
132132 "highres_szego": -7.756237076152647,
133133 "id": "lp3000_s1",
134- "last_utc": "2026-08-05T07:09:10Z",
135- "mean": 0.47355466066809987,
136- "n_pasts": 264,
137- "n_runs": 33,
134+ "last_utc": "2026-08-05T10:57:42Z",
135+ "mean": 0.4760871507821972,
136+ "n_pasts": 272,
137+ "n_runs": 34,
138138 "params": {
139139 "filter": "lowpass",
140140 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -143,18 +143,18 @@
143143 "taps": 101
144144 },
145145 "predicted": 0.616561114498688,
146- "sd": 0.24676378436078863,
147- "se": 0.015187261068336011
146+ "sd": 0.24662740125190483,
147+ "se": 0.014953982728429308
148148 },
149149 {
150150 "L": 101,
151151 "M": 512,
152152 "highres_szego": -3.756237076152648,
153153 "id": "lp3000_s16",
154- "last_utc": "2026-08-05T07:17:06Z",
155- "mean": 1.4523231857529022,
156- "n_pasts": 264,
157- "n_runs": 33,
154+ "last_utc": "2026-08-05T11:09:27Z",
155+ "mean": 1.4562704909074589,
156+ "n_pasts": 272,
157+ "n_runs": 34,
158158 "params": {
159159 "filter": "lowpass",
160160 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -163,18 +163,18 @@
163163 "taps": 101
164164 },
165165 "predicted": 1.4888184418209351,
166- "sd": 0.17062244471958338,
167- "se": 0.010501085557536148
166+ "sd": 0.184956560966413,
167+ "se": 0.0112146387796399
168168 },
169169 {
170170 "L": 101,
171171 "M": 512,
172172 "highres_szego": -6.756237076152647,
173173 "id": "lp3000_s2",
174- "last_utc": "2026-08-05T07:10:28Z",
175- "mean": 0.7513887104203549,
176- "n_pasts": 264,
177- "n_runs": 33,
174+ "last_utc": "2026-08-05T10:58:58Z",
175+ "mean": 0.752913314474202,
176+ "n_pasts": 272,
177+ "n_runs": 34,
178178 "params": {
179179 "filter": "lowpass",
180180 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -183,18 +183,18 @@
183183 "taps": 101
184184 },
185185 "predicted": 0.8251241884518832,
186- "sd": 0.28230636461681324,
187- "se": 0.01737475566681934
186+ "sd": 0.28189319750736846,
187+ "se": 0.01709228571273502
188188 },
189189 {
190190 "L": 101,
191191 "M": 512,
192192 "highres_szego": -2.756237076152648,
193193 "id": "lp3000_s32",
194- "last_utc": "2026-08-05T07:41:39Z",
195- "mean": 1.6549287744585537,
196- "n_pasts": 264,
197- "n_runs": 33,
194+ "last_utc": "2026-08-05T11:11:25Z",
195+ "mean": 1.653907675128217,
196+ "n_pasts": 272,
197+ "n_runs": 34,
198198 "params": {
199199 "filter": "lowpass",
200200 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -203,18 +203,18 @@
203203 "taps": 101
204204 },
205205 "predicted": 1.71791605587854,
206- "sd": 0.21131562440964846,
207- "se": 0.013005577637906156
206+ "sd": 0.2115523373054389,
207+ "se": 0.012827244589067942
208208 },
209209 {
210210 "L": 101,
211211 "M": 512,
212212 "highres_szego": -5.756237076152647,
213213 "id": "lp3000_s4",
214- "last_utc": "2026-08-05T07:11:56Z",
215- "mean": 1.0056689958601013,
216- "n_pasts": 264,
217- "n_runs": 33,
214+ "last_utc": "2026-08-05T11:01:07Z",
215+ "mean": 1.0022123262537803,
216+ "n_pasts": 272,
217+ "n_runs": 34,
218218 "params": {
219219 "filter": "lowpass",
220220 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -223,18 +223,18 @@
223223 "taps": 101
224224 },
225225 "predicted": 1.04149876351225,
226- "sd": 0.173043432419182,
227- "se": 0.010650087050329257
226+ "sd": 0.1751982074495713,
227+ "se": 0.010622951687256726
228228 },
229229 {
230230 "L": 101,
231231 "M": 512,
232232 "highres_szego": -4.756237076152647,
233233 "id": "lp3000_s8",
234- "last_utc": "2026-08-05T07:12:58Z",
235- "mean": 1.2192769147193976,
236- "n_pasts": 264,
237- "n_runs": 33,
234+ "last_utc": "2026-08-05T11:02:05Z",
235+ "mean": 1.2185663781806342,
236+ "n_pasts": 272,
237+ "n_runs": 34,
238238 "params": {
239239 "filter": "lowpass",
240240 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -243,222 +243,222 @@
243243 "taps": 101
244244 },
245245 "predicted": 1.2631675560846525,
246- "sd": 0.19651904453146546,
247- "se": 0.012094911098605984
246+ "sd": 0.1951477025533524,
247+ "se": 0.01183256750329543
248248 },
249249 {
250250 "L": 8,
251251 "M": 512,
252252 "highres_szego": -0.9529044148193548,
253253 "id": "ma8_s1",
254- "last_utc": "2026-08-05T07:07:23Z",
255- "mean": 0.48520527601460167,
256- "n_pasts": 264,
257- "n_runs": 33,
254+ "last_utc": "2026-08-05T10:56:10Z",
255+ "mean": 0.4837010033815027,
256+ "n_pasts": 272,
257+ "n_runs": 34,
258258 "params": {
259259 "filter": "moving-average",
260260 "sigma": 1.0,
261261 "width": 8
262262 },
263263 "predicted": 0.6099987154839898,
264- "sd": 0.21140747691435202,
265- "se": 0.013011230768783228
264+ "sd": 0.21027435738696296,
265+ "se": 0.01274975567449008
266266 },
267267 {
268268 "L": 8,
269269 "M": 512,
270270 "highres_szego": 3.0470955851806454,
271271 "id": "ma8_s16",
272- "last_utc": "2026-08-05T07:08:04Z",
273- "mean": 3.1926898398180383,
274- "n_pasts": 264,
275- "n_runs": 33,
272+ "last_utc": "2026-08-05T10:56:39Z",
273+ "mean": 3.196998795079057,
274+ "n_pasts": 272,
275+ "n_runs": 34,
276276 "params": {
277277 "filter": "moving-average",
278278 "sigma": 16.0,
279279 "width": 8
280280 },
281281 "predicted": 3.1776500292335506,
282- "sd": 0.3065578262001822,
283- "se": 0.018867329949181787
282+ "sd": 0.3112209750451121,
283+ "se": 0.018870543426745812
284284 },
285285 {
286286 "L": 8,
287287 "M": 512,
288288 "highres_szego": 0.04709558518064521,
289289 "id": "ma8_s2",
290- "last_utc": "2026-08-05T07:07:33Z",
291- "mean": 0.973397057960088,
292- "n_pasts": 264,
293- "n_runs": 33,
290+ "last_utc": "2026-08-05T10:56:15Z",
291+ "mean": 0.97159778820127,
292+ "n_pasts": 272,
293+ "n_runs": 34,
294294 "params": {
295295 "filter": "moving-average",
296296 "sigma": 2.0,
297297 "width": 8
298298 },
299299 "predicted": 0.9825176804091631,
300- "sd": 0.11490741869180598,
301- "se": 0.007072062745680422
300+ "sd": 0.11534878743012215,
301+ "se": 0.006994047564136946
302302 },
303303 {
304304 "L": 8,
305305 "M": 512,
306306 "highres_szego": 4.047095585180645,
307307 "id": "ma8_s32",
308- "last_utc": "2026-08-05T07:08:16Z",
309- "mean": 4.078075773792437,
310- "n_pasts": 264,
311- "n_runs": 33,
308+ "last_utc": "2026-08-05T10:56:46Z",
309+ "mean": 4.078933865797825,
310+ "n_pasts": 272,
311+ "n_runs": 34,
312312 "params": {
313313 "filter": "moving-average",
314314 "sigma": 32.0,
315315 "width": 8
316316 },
317317 "predicted": 4.112486639362294,
318- "sd": 0.24664940965318824,
319- "se": 0.015180221791691581
318+ "sd": 0.24513774716013148,
319+ "se": 0.014863659181870261
320320 },
321321 {
322322 "L": 8,
323323 "M": 512,
324324 "highres_szego": 1.0470955851806452,
325325 "id": "ma8_s4",
326- "last_utc": "2026-08-05T07:07:38Z",
327- "mean": 1.5606728954074232,
328- "n_pasts": 264,
329- "n_runs": 33,
326+ "last_utc": "2026-08-05T10:56:20Z",
327+ "mean": 1.5606284212714183,
328+ "n_pasts": 272,
329+ "n_runs": 34,
330330 "params": {
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332332 "sigma": 4.0,
333333 "width": 8
334334 },
335335 "predicted": 1.5529090070448803,
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336+ "sd": 0.11733895026175818,
337+ "se": 0.007114718910710677
338338 },
339339 {
340340 "L": 8,
341341 "M": 512,
342342 "highres_szego": 2.0470955851806454,
343343 "id": "ma8_s8",
344- "last_utc": "2026-08-05T07:07:58Z",
345- "mean": 2.296862221342247,
346- "n_pasts": 264,
347- "n_runs": 33,
344+ "last_utc": "2026-08-05T10:56:31Z",
345+ "mean": 2.296890735720655,
346+ "n_pasts": 272,
347+ "n_runs": 34,
348348 "params": {
349349 "filter": "moving-average",
350350 "sigma": 8.0,
351351 "width": 8
352352 },
353353 "predicted": 2.3064317412363535,
354- "sd": 0.1453104999701865,
355- "se": 0.00894324304814127
354+ "sd": 0.14506935851685399,
355+ "se": 0.008796121885376262
356356 },
357357 {
358358 "L": 1,
359359 "M": 512,
360360 "highres_szego": 2.047095585180641,
361361 "id": "none_s1",
362- "last_utc": "2026-08-05T07:07:13Z",
363- "mean": 2.1057791481030463,
364- "n_pasts": 264,
365- "n_runs": 33,
362+ "last_utc": "2026-08-05T10:55:58Z",
363+ "mean": 2.1049710365011536,
364+ "n_pasts": 272,
365+ "n_runs": 34,
366366 "params": {
367367 "filter": "none",
368368 "sigma": 1.0
369369 },
370370 "predicted": 2.1048326603976193,
371- "sd": 0.05111096079335693,
372- "se": 0.0031456621847202617
371+ "sd": 0.051238098240912314,
372+ "se": 0.003106766045633175
373373 },
374374 {
375375 "L": 1,
376376 "M": 512,
377377 "highres_szego": 6.047095585180641,
378378 "id": "none_s16",
379- "last_utc": "2026-08-05T07:07:16Z",
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442442 {
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448- "mean": 5.060292618566026,
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450- "n_runs": 33,
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451451 "params": {
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454454 },
455455 "predicted": 5.048034228800837,
456- "sd": 0.25903192522377244,
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456+ "sd": 0.2567363210501561,
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458458 }
459459 ],
460460 "estimand": "H(z_{M+1} | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample, for x ~ iid N(0, sigma^2) -> y = h * x -> z = round(y)",
461- "generated": "2026-08-05T07:56:44Z",
461+ "generated": "2026-08-05T11:37:23Z",
462462 "settings": {
463463 "n0": 128,
464464 "pasts_per_run": 8,
@@ -466,5 +466,5 @@
466466 "reps": 8,
467467 "thin": "auto"
468468 },
469- "total_runs": 33
469+ "total_runs": 34
470470 }
runs.jsonlmodified+24−0View file
@@ -790,3 +790,27 @@
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