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timeseries-entropy / README.md
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Cached entropy estimates#

Machine-generated by .github/workflows/estimates.yml on main — do not edit by hand. Every dispatch runs the whole grid again with fresh, independent pasts, appends one record per cell to runs.jsonl, and rebuilds estimates.json from the full log, so the means tighten run after run.

The estimand is H(z_(M+1) | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample — an upper bound on the entropy rate of z that tightens as the conditioning window M grows.

Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends access-control-allow-origin: *):

https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json

Current state (34 runs, generated 2026-08-05T11:37:23Z)#

cell sigma M mean se pasts predicted
bp300-6000_s1 1 512 0.9424 0.0066 272 0.9513
bp300-6000_s16 16 512 2.5432 0.0138 272 2.5680
bp300-6000_s2 2 512 1.3224 0.0072 272 1.3319
bp300-6000_s32 32 512 2.9762 0.0309 272 2.9938
bp300-6000_s4 4 512 1.7127 0.0081 272 1.7342
bp300-6000_s8 8 512 2.1375 0.0157 272 2.1476
lp3000_s1 1 512 0.4761 0.0150 272 0.6166
lp3000_s16 16 512 1.4563 0.0112 272 1.4888
lp3000_s2 2 512 0.7529 0.0171 272 0.8251
lp3000_s32 32 512 1.6539 0.0128 272 1.7179
lp3000_s4 4 512 1.0022 0.0106 272 1.0415
lp3000_s8 8 512 1.2186 0.0118 272 1.2632
ma8_s1 1 512 0.4837 0.0127 272 0.6100
ma8_s16 16 512 3.1970 0.0189 272 3.1777
ma8_s2 2 512 0.9716 0.0070 272 0.9825
ma8_s32 32 512 4.0789 0.0149 272 4.1125
ma8_s4 4 512 1.5606 0.0071 272 1.5529
ma8_s8 8 512 2.2969 0.0088 272 2.3064
none_s1 1 512 2.1050 0.0031 272 2.1048
none_s16 16 512 6.0002 0.0242 272 6.0473
none_s2 2 512 3.0618 0.0051 272 3.0620
none_s32 32 512 7.0195 0.0494 272 7.0472
none_s4 4 512 4.0343 0.0083 272 4.0508
none_s8 8 512 5.0581 0.0156 272 5.0480
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