estimates: run 135 from efed18a
3 changed files+195−171
README.mdmodified+25−25View file
@@ -21,33 +21,33 @@ Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends
2121
2222 https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json
2323
24-## Current state (121 runs, generated 2026-08-14T11:50:41Z)
24+## Current state (122 runs, generated 2026-08-14T14:13:41Z)
2525
2626 | cell | sigma | M | mean | se | pasts | predicted |
2727 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
28-| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9317 | 0.0040 | 968 | 0.9513 |
29-| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5517 | 0.0088 | 968 | 2.5680 |
30-| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3099 | 0.0037 | 968 | 1.3319 |
31-| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9880 | 0.0203 | 968 | 2.9938 |
32-| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7250 | 0.0044 | 968 | 1.7342 |
33-| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1300 | 0.0063 | 968 | 2.1476 |
34-| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4765 | 0.0075 | 968 | 0.6166 |
35-| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4396 | 0.0061 | 968 | 1.4888 |
36-| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7626 | 0.0086 | 968 | 0.8251 |
37-| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6686 | 0.0067 | 968 | 1.7179 |
38-| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 0.9910 | 0.0061 | 968 | 1.0415 |
39-| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2128 | 0.0069 | 968 | 1.2632 |
40-| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4787 | 0.0067 | 968 | 0.6100 |
41-| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.1784 | 0.0082 | 968 | 3.1777 |
42-| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9754 | 0.0031 | 968 | 0.9825 |
43-| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0880 | 0.0075 | 968 | 4.1125 |
44-| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5579 | 0.0034 | 968 | 1.5529 |
45-| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.3092 | 0.0054 | 968 | 2.3064 |
46-| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.1059 | 0.0022 | 968 | 2.1048 |
47-| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 6.0226 | 0.0162 | 968 | 6.0473 |
48-| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0661 | 0.0029 | 968 | 3.0620 |
49-| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 7.0575 | 0.0346 | 968 | 7.0472 |
50-| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0370 | 0.0043 | 968 | 4.0508 |
51-| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0551 | 0.0095 | 968 | 5.0480 |
28+| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9317 | 0.0040 | 976 | 0.9513 |
29+| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5512 | 0.0088 | 976 | 2.5680 |
30+| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3100 | 0.0037 | 976 | 1.3319 |
31+| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9901 | 0.0202 | 976 | 2.9938 |
32+| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7245 | 0.0044 | 976 | 1.7342 |
33+| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1304 | 0.0063 | 976 | 2.1476 |
34+| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4770 | 0.0075 | 976 | 0.6166 |
35+| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4389 | 0.0061 | 976 | 1.4888 |
36+| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7622 | 0.0086 | 976 | 0.8251 |
37+| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6686 | 0.0066 | 976 | 1.7179 |
38+| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 0.9912 | 0.0061 | 976 | 1.0415 |
39+| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2122 | 0.0069 | 976 | 1.2632 |
40+| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4787 | 0.0067 | 976 | 0.6100 |
41+| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.1777 | 0.0082 | 976 | 3.1777 |
42+| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9756 | 0.0030 | 976 | 0.9825 |
43+| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0900 | 0.0079 | 976 | 4.1125 |
44+| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5580 | 0.0034 | 976 | 1.5529 |
45+| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.3108 | 0.0054 | 976 | 2.3064 |
46+| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.1059 | 0.0022 | 976 | 2.1048 |
47+| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 6.0204 | 0.0161 | 976 | 6.0473 |
48+| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0657 | 0.0029 | 976 | 3.0620 |
49+| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 7.0549 | 0.0344 | 976 | 7.0472 |
50+| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0372 | 0.0043 | 976 | 4.0508 |
51+| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0543 | 0.0095 | 976 | 5.0480 |
5252
5353 [wf]: https://github.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/blob/main/.github/workflows/estimates.yml
estimates.jsonmodified+146−146View file
@@ -5,10 +5,10 @@
55 "M": 512,
66 "highres_szego": -4.78256796018064,
77 "id": "bp300-6000_s1",
8- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T11:24:31Z",
9- "mean": 0.931728778422202,
10- "n_pasts": 968,
11- "n_runs": 121,
8+ "last_utc": "2026-08-14T14:03:18Z",
9+ "mean": 0.9317463690749077,
10+ "n_pasts": 976,
11+ "n_runs": 122,
1212 "params": {
1313 "filter": "bandpass",
1414 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -18,18 +18,18 @@
1818 "taps": 101
1919 },
2020 "predicted": 0.9512549259549268,
21- "sd": 0.12524869922119236,
22- "se": 0.0040256456615499715
21+ "sd": 0.12501501048479863,
22+ "se": 0.004001632971812974
2323 },
2424 {
2525 "L": 101,
2626 "M": 512,
2727 "highres_szego": -0.7825679601806399,
2828 "id": "bp300-6000_s16",
29- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T11:32:21Z",
30- "mean": 2.5516557198749,
31- "n_pasts": 968,
32- "n_runs": 121,
29+ "last_utc": "2026-08-14T14:10:35Z",
30+ "mean": 2.5512125927714946,
31+ "n_pasts": 976,
32+ "n_runs": 122,
3333 "params": {
3434 "filter": "bandpass",
3535 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -39,18 +39,18 @@
3939 "taps": 101
4040 },
4141 "predicted": 2.56797969986038,
42- "sd": 0.2742900691647346,
43- "se": 0.00881601672356868
42+ "sd": 0.27342571359320184,
43+ "se": 0.008752143815474796
4444 },
4545 {
4646 "L": 101,
4747 "M": 512,
4848 "highres_szego": -3.7825679601806397,
4949 "id": "bp300-6000_s2",
50- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T11:25:24Z",
51- "mean": 1.3098776555169451,
52- "n_pasts": 968,
53- "n_runs": 121,
50+ "last_utc": "2026-08-14T14:04:48Z",
51+ "mean": 1.3099582755094343,
52+ "n_pasts": 976,
53+ "n_runs": 122,
5454 "params": {
5555 "filter": "bandpass",
5656 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -60,18 +60,18 @@
6060 "taps": 101
6161 },
6262 "predicted": 1.3318639472861573,
63- "sd": 0.1151189377963935,
64- "se": 0.003700062798128281
63+ "sd": 0.11478913348352382,
64+ "se": 0.0036743106253577774
6565 },
6666 {
6767 "L": 101,
6868 "M": 512,
6969 "highres_szego": 0.2174320398193601,
7070 "id": "bp300-6000_s32",
71- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T11:50:41Z",
72- "mean": 2.9880483264474202,
73- "n_pasts": 968,
74- "n_runs": 121,
71+ "last_utc": "2026-08-14T14:13:41Z",
72+ "mean": 2.9900747687730513,
73+ "n_pasts": 976,
74+ "n_runs": 122,
7575 "params": {
7676 "filter": "bandpass",
7777 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -81,18 +81,18 @@
8181 "taps": 101
8282 },
8383 "predicted": 2.9937688408517453,
84- "sd": 0.6305346632814365,
85- "se": 0.020266151644521824
84+ "sd": 0.6320093261600799,
85+ "se": 0.02023012555250716
8686 },
8787 {
8888 "L": 101,
8989 "M": 512,
9090 "highres_szego": -2.7825679601806397,
9191 "id": "bp300-6000_s4",
92- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T11:26:20Z",
93- "mean": 1.7249502641165186,
94- "n_pasts": 968,
95- "n_runs": 121,
92+ "last_utc": "2026-08-14T14:06:39Z",
93+ "mean": 1.7244753532815247,
94+ "n_pasts": 976,
95+ "n_runs": 122,
9696 "params": {
9797 "filter": "bandpass",
9898 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -102,18 +102,18 @@
102102 "taps": 101
103103 },
104104 "predicted": 1.734166393696377,
105- "sd": 0.13719357841565685,
106- "se": 0.004409568619679969
105+ "sd": 0.13804196723184423,
106+ "se": 0.0044186156960411
107107 },
108108 {
109109 "L": 101,
110110 "M": 512,
111111 "highres_szego": -1.78256796018064,
112112 "id": "bp300-6000_s8",
113- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T11:29:42Z",
114- "mean": 2.1300300891206945,
115- "n_pasts": 968,
116- "n_runs": 121,
113+ "last_utc": "2026-08-14T14:08:35Z",
114+ "mean": 2.130365029427091,
115+ "n_pasts": 976,
116+ "n_runs": 122,
117117 "params": {
118118 "filter": "bandpass",
119119 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -123,18 +123,18 @@
123123 "taps": 101
124124 },
125125 "predicted": 2.1476021059762167,
126- "sd": 0.19564930564938401,
127- "se": 0.0062884068526872245
126+ "sd": 0.1955346521861327,
127+ "se": 0.006258911696169112
128128 },
129129 {
130130 "L": 101,
131131 "M": 512,
132132 "highres_szego": -7.756237076152647,
133133 "id": "lp3000_s1",
134- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T11:15:14Z",
135- "mean": 0.47651690590117357,
136- "n_pasts": 968,
137- "n_runs": 121,
134+ "last_utc": "2026-08-14T13:52:13Z",
135+ "mean": 0.47695965912993515,
136+ "n_pasts": 976,
137+ "n_runs": 122,
138138 "params": {
139139 "filter": "lowpass",
140140 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -143,18 +143,18 @@
143143 "taps": 101
144144 },
145145 "predicted": 0.616561114498688,
146- "sd": 0.23301308863928932,
147- "se": 0.00748932432191198
146+ "sd": 0.23360089385275984,
147+ "se": 0.007477382399610748
148148 },
149149 {
150150 "L": 101,
151151 "M": 512,
152152 "highres_szego": -3.756237076152648,
153153 "id": "lp3000_s16",
154- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T11:19:34Z",
155- "mean": 1.4396161989695297,
156- "n_pasts": 968,
157- "n_runs": 121,
154+ "last_utc": "2026-08-14T13:59:58Z",
155+ "mean": 1.4389081922160816,
156+ "n_pasts": 976,
157+ "n_runs": 122,
158158 "params": {
159159 "filter": "lowpass",
160160 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -163,18 +163,18 @@
163163 "taps": 101
164164 },
165165 "predicted": 1.4888184418209351,
166- "sd": 0.18967673277747563,
167- "se": 0.006096441090011896
166+ "sd": 0.19066290948736433,
167+ "se": 0.0061029710124225695
168168 },
169169 {
170170 "L": 101,
171171 "M": 512,
172172 "highres_szego": -6.756237076152647,
173173 "id": "lp3000_s2",
174- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T11:16:14Z",
175- "mean": 0.7626450298623226,
176- "n_pasts": 968,
177- "n_runs": 121,
174+ "last_utc": "2026-08-14T13:55:21Z",
175+ "mean": 0.7621909054897938,
176+ "n_pasts": 976,
177+ "n_runs": 122,
178178 "params": {
179179 "filter": "lowpass",
180180 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -183,18 +183,18 @@
183183 "taps": 101
184184 },
185185 "predicted": 0.8251241884518832,
186- "sd": 0.26803585642499184,
187- "se": 0.008614998712693434
186+ "sd": 0.26860939628990377,
187+ "se": 0.008597977255404522
188188 },
189189 {
190190 "L": 101,
191191 "M": 512,
192192 "highres_szego": -2.756237076152648,
193193 "id": "lp3000_s32",
194- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T11:23:38Z",
195- "mean": 1.6685624480292585,
196- "n_pasts": 968,
197- "n_runs": 121,
194+ "last_utc": "2026-08-14T14:02:20Z",
195+ "mean": 1.66862868417938,
196+ "n_pasts": 976,
197+ "n_runs": 122,
198198 "params": {
199199 "filter": "lowpass",
200200 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -203,18 +203,18 @@
203203 "taps": 101
204204 },
205205 "predicted": 1.71791605587854,
206- "sd": 0.20764152352761336,
207- "se": 0.006673851333740067
206+ "sd": 0.2074518558049227,
207+ "se": 0.006640372088387835
208208 },
209209 {
210210 "L": 101,
211211 "M": 512,
212212 "highres_szego": -5.756237076152647,
213213 "id": "lp3000_s4",
214- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T11:17:33Z",
215- "mean": 0.9909796098337369,
216- "n_pasts": 968,
217- "n_runs": 121,
214+ "last_utc": "2026-08-14T13:57:10Z",
215+ "mean": 0.9911531250582141,
216+ "n_pasts": 976,
217+ "n_runs": 122,
218218 "params": {
219219 "filter": "lowpass",
220220 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -223,18 +223,18 @@
223223 "taps": 101
224224 },
225225 "predicted": 1.04149876351225,
226- "sd": 0.19067406268647907,
227- "se": 0.006128496487363555
226+ "sd": 0.19028227336956172,
227+ "se": 0.006090787147194266
228228 },
229229 {
230230 "L": 101,
231231 "M": 512,
232232 "highres_szego": -4.756237076152647,
233233 "id": "lp3000_s8",
234- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T11:18:29Z",
235- "mean": 1.2127561261314543,
236- "n_pasts": 968,
237- "n_runs": 121,
234+ "last_utc": "2026-08-14T13:57:55Z",
235+ "mean": 1.2122252237492963,
236+ "n_pasts": 976,
237+ "n_runs": 122,
238238 "params": {
239239 "filter": "lowpass",
240240 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -243,222 +243,222 @@
243243 "taps": 101
244244 },
245245 "predicted": 1.2631675560846525,
246- "sd": 0.21611382903780005,
247- "se": 0.006946161546400846
246+ "sd": 0.2165340784670709,
247+ "se": 0.006931086951517158
248248 },
249249 {
250250 "L": 8,
251251 "M": 512,
252252 "highres_szego": -0.9529044148193548,
253253 "id": "ma8_s1",
254- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T11:12:51Z",
255- "mean": 0.47869150118811327,
256- "n_pasts": 968,
257- "n_runs": 121,
254+ "last_utc": "2026-08-14T13:50:02Z",
255+ "mean": 0.47866561418172887,
256+ "n_pasts": 976,
257+ "n_runs": 122,
258258 "params": {
259259 "filter": "moving-average",
260260 "sigma": 1.0,
261261 "width": 8
262262 },
263263 "predicted": 0.6099987154839898,
264- "sd": 0.20959643966449618,
265- "se": 0.006736684718151013
264+ "sd": 0.20948713579458425,
265+ "se": 0.006705519813304365
266266 },
267267 {
268268 "L": 8,
269269 "M": 512,
270270 "highres_szego": 3.0470955851806454,
271271 "id": "ma8_s16",
272- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T11:13:47Z",
273- "mean": 3.1783563879529835,
274- "n_pasts": 968,
275- "n_runs": 121,
272+ "last_utc": "2026-08-14T13:51:02Z",
273+ "mean": 3.177745595006239,
274+ "n_pasts": 976,
275+ "n_runs": 122,
276276 "params": {
277277 "filter": "moving-average",
278278 "sigma": 16.0,
279279 "width": 8
280280 },
281281 "predicted": 3.1776500292335506,
282- "sd": 0.25560914828039183,
283- "se": 0.008215589185562856
282+ "sd": 0.25474902829467394,
283+ "se": 0.008154317687196771
284284 },
285285 {
286286 "L": 8,
287287 "M": 512,
288288 "highres_szego": 0.04709558518064521,
289289 "id": "ma8_s2",
290- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T11:13:00Z",
291- "mean": 0.9753875443096767,
292- "n_pasts": 968,
293- "n_runs": 121,
290+ "last_utc": "2026-08-14T13:50:13Z",
291+ "mean": 0.9755701580453772,
292+ "n_pasts": 976,
293+ "n_runs": 122,
294294 "params": {
295295 "filter": "moving-average",
296296 "sigma": 2.0,
297297 "width": 8
298298 },
299299 "predicted": 0.9825176804091631,
300- "sd": 0.09503170249877652,
301- "se": 0.0030544346029357933
300+ "sd": 0.09508230107621943,
301+ "se": 0.003043510291659843
302302 },
303303 {
304304 "L": 8,
305305 "M": 512,
306306 "highres_szego": 4.047095585180645,
307307 "id": "ma8_s32",
308- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T11:13:54Z",
309- "mean": 4.087999094487246,
310- "n_pasts": 968,
311- "n_runs": 121,
308+ "last_utc": "2026-08-14T13:51:14Z",
309+ "mean": 4.089998832081518,
310+ "n_pasts": 976,
311+ "n_runs": 122,
312312 "params": {
313313 "filter": "moving-average",
314314 "sigma": 32.0,
315315 "width": 8
316316 },
317317 "predicted": 4.112486639362294,
318- "sd": 0.23473559785096765,
319- "se": 0.007544687864831709
318+ "sd": 0.2467042473540954,
319+ "se": 0.007896810524352945
320320 },
321321 {
322322 "L": 8,
323323 "M": 512,
324324 "highres_szego": 1.0470955851806452,
325325 "id": "ma8_s4",
326- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T11:13:17Z",
327- "mean": 1.5578779223565515,
328- "n_pasts": 968,
329- "n_runs": 121,
326+ "last_utc": "2026-08-14T13:50:20Z",
327+ "mean": 1.5580190278576342,
328+ "n_pasts": 976,
329+ "n_runs": 122,
330330 "params": {
331331 "filter": "moving-average",
332332 "sigma": 4.0,
333333 "width": 8
334334 },
335335 "predicted": 1.5529090070448803,
336- "sd": 0.10717394143145358,
337- "se": 0.0034447009433032135
336+ "sd": 0.10724130836769122,
337+ "se": 0.0034327106308301883
338338 },
339339 {
340340 "L": 8,
341341 "M": 512,
342342 "highres_szego": 2.0470955851806454,
343343 "id": "ma8_s8",
344- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T11:13:40Z",
345- "mean": 2.309161294352402,
346- "n_pasts": 968,
347- "n_runs": 121,
344+ "last_utc": "2026-08-14T13:50:57Z",
345+ "mean": 2.3107865837082087,
346+ "n_pasts": 976,
347+ "n_runs": 122,
348348 "params": {
349349 "filter": "moving-average",
350350 "sigma": 8.0,
351351 "width": 8
352352 },
353353 "predicted": 2.3064317412363535,
354- "sd": 0.1679121814786012,
355- "se": 0.005396901916697506
354+ "sd": 0.16919887453446655,
355+ "se": 0.005415923995887656
356356 },
357357 {
358358 "L": 1,
359359 "M": 512,
360360 "highres_szego": 2.047095585180641,
361361 "id": "none_s1",
362- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T11:12:41Z",
363- "mean": 2.10585719371538,
364- "n_pasts": 968,
365- "n_runs": 121,
362+ "last_utc": "2026-08-14T13:49:53Z",
363+ "mean": 2.1059182173700806,
364+ "n_pasts": 976,
365+ "n_runs": 122,
366366 "params": {
367367 "filter": "none",
368368 "sigma": 1.0
369369 },
370370 "predicted": 2.1048326603976193,
371- "sd": 0.06743343114067467,
372- "se": 0.002167392565374871
371+ "sd": 0.06735790147847188,
372+ "se": 0.002156073886032735
373373 },
374374 {
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450- "n_runs": 121,
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451451 "params": {
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455455 "predicted": 5.048034228800837,
456- "sd": 0.2970056029182399,
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456+ "sd": 0.29605368763220125,
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458458 }
459459 ],
460460 "estimand": "H(z_{M+1} | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample, for x ~ iid N(0, sigma^2) -> y = h * x -> z = round(y)",
461- "generated": "2026-08-14T11:50:41Z",
461+ "generated": "2026-08-14T14:13:41Z",
462462 "settings": {
463463 "n0": 128,
464464 "pasts_per_run": 8,
@@ -466,5 +466,5 @@
466466 "reps": 8,
467467 "thin": "auto"
468468 },
469- "total_runs": 121
469+ "total_runs": 122
470470 }
runs.jsonlmodified+24−0View file
@@ -2902,3 +2902,27 @@
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