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timeseries-entropy / README.md
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Cached entropy estimates#

Machine-generated by .github/workflows/estimates.yml on main — do not edit by hand. Every dispatch runs the whole grid again with fresh, independent pasts, appends one record per cell to runs.jsonl, and rebuilds estimates.json from the full log, so the means tighten run after run.

The estimand is H(z_(M+1) | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample — an upper bound on the entropy rate of z that tightens as the conditioning window M grows.

Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends access-control-allow-origin: *):

https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json

Current state (122 runs, generated 2026-08-14T14:13:41Z)#

cell sigma M mean se pasts predicted
bp300-6000_s1 1 512 0.9317 0.0040 976 0.9513
bp300-6000_s16 16 512 2.5512 0.0088 976 2.5680
bp300-6000_s2 2 512 1.3100 0.0037 976 1.3319
bp300-6000_s32 32 512 2.9901 0.0202 976 2.9938
bp300-6000_s4 4 512 1.7245 0.0044 976 1.7342
bp300-6000_s8 8 512 2.1304 0.0063 976 2.1476
lp3000_s1 1 512 0.4770 0.0075 976 0.6166
lp3000_s16 16 512 1.4389 0.0061 976 1.4888
lp3000_s2 2 512 0.7622 0.0086 976 0.8251
lp3000_s32 32 512 1.6686 0.0066 976 1.7179
lp3000_s4 4 512 0.9912 0.0061 976 1.0415
lp3000_s8 8 512 1.2122 0.0069 976 1.2632
ma8_s1 1 512 0.4787 0.0067 976 0.6100
ma8_s16 16 512 3.1777 0.0082 976 3.1777
ma8_s2 2 512 0.9756 0.0030 976 0.9825
ma8_s32 32 512 4.0900 0.0079 976 4.1125
ma8_s4 4 512 1.5580 0.0034 976 1.5529
ma8_s8 8 512 2.3108 0.0054 976 2.3064
none_s1 1 512 2.1059 0.0022 976 2.1048
none_s16 16 512 6.0204 0.0161 976 6.0473
none_s2 2 512 3.0657 0.0029 976 3.0620
none_s32 32 512 7.0549 0.0344 976 7.0472
none_s4 4 512 4.0372 0.0043 976 4.0508
none_s8 8 512 5.0543 0.0095 976 5.0480
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