estimates: run 21 from efed18a
3 changed files+207−183
README.mdmodified+25−25View file
@@ -21,33 +21,33 @@ Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends
2121
2222 https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json
2323
24-## Current state (13 runs, generated 2026-08-02T19:58:29Z)
24+## Current state (14 runs, generated 2026-08-02T22:01:51Z)
2525
2626 | cell | sigma | M | mean | se | pasts | predicted |
2727 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
28-| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9430 | 0.0121 | 104 | 0.9513 |
29-| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5324 | 0.0223 | 104 | 2.5680 |
30-| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3242 | 0.0132 | 104 | 1.3319 |
31-| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9586 | 0.0385 | 104 | 2.9938 |
32-| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7080 | 0.0133 | 104 | 1.7342 |
33-| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1573 | 0.0264 | 104 | 2.1476 |
34-| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4661 | 0.0231 | 104 | 0.6166 |
35-| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4591 | 0.0168 | 104 | 1.4888 |
36-| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7351 | 0.0281 | 104 | 0.8251 |
37-| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6324 | 0.0221 | 104 | 1.7179 |
38-| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.0172 | 0.0154 | 104 | 1.0415 |
39-| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2347 | 0.0188 | 104 | 1.2632 |
40-| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4799 | 0.0198 | 104 | 0.6100 |
41-| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.1912 | 0.0328 | 104 | 3.1777 |
42-| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9765 | 0.0084 | 104 | 0.9825 |
43-| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0749 | 0.0212 | 104 | 4.1125 |
44-| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5602 | 0.0116 | 104 | 1.5529 |
45-| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.2995 | 0.0144 | 104 | 2.3064 |
46-| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.1001 | 0.0046 | 104 | 2.1048 |
47-| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 5.9855 | 0.0355 | 104 | 6.0473 |
48-| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0568 | 0.0062 | 104 | 3.0620 |
49-| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 6.9834 | 0.0744 | 104 | 7.0472 |
50-| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0318 | 0.0123 | 104 | 4.0508 |
51-| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0569 | 0.0272 | 104 | 5.0480 |
28+| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9419 | 0.0116 | 112 | 0.9513 |
29+| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5476 | 0.0233 | 112 | 2.5680 |
30+| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3220 | 0.0125 | 112 | 1.3319 |
31+| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9601 | 0.0373 | 112 | 2.9938 |
32+| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7074 | 0.0125 | 112 | 1.7342 |
33+| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1553 | 0.0246 | 112 | 2.1476 |
34+| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4687 | 0.0226 | 112 | 0.6166 |
35+| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4622 | 0.0159 | 112 | 1.4888 |
36+| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7371 | 0.0268 | 112 | 0.8251 |
37+| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6359 | 0.0206 | 112 | 1.7179 |
38+| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.0173 | 0.0145 | 112 | 1.0415 |
39+| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2293 | 0.0187 | 112 | 1.2632 |
40+| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4781 | 0.0188 | 112 | 0.6100 |
41+| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.1873 | 0.0306 | 112 | 3.1777 |
42+| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9762 | 0.0118 | 112 | 0.9825 |
43+| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0794 | 0.0206 | 112 | 4.1125 |
44+| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5572 | 0.0112 | 112 | 1.5529 |
45+| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.2965 | 0.0135 | 112 | 2.3064 |
46+| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.1034 | 0.0050 | 112 | 2.1048 |
47+| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 5.9851 | 0.0345 | 112 | 6.0473 |
48+| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0571 | 0.0060 | 112 | 3.0620 |
49+| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 6.9947 | 0.0707 | 112 | 7.0472 |
50+| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0344 | 0.0118 | 112 | 4.0508 |
51+| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0686 | 0.0263 | 112 | 5.0480 |
5252
5353 [wf]: https://github.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/blob/main/.github/workflows/estimates.yml
estimates.jsonmodified+158−158View file
@@ -3,12 +3,12 @@
33 {
44 "L": 101,
55 "M": 512,
6- "highres_szego": -4.782567960178533,
6+ "highres_szego": -4.78256796018064,
77 "id": "bp300-6000_s1",
8- "last_utc": "2026-08-02T19:47:39Z",
9- "mean": 0.9430093401892296,
10- "n_pasts": 104,
11- "n_runs": 13,
8+ "last_utc": "2026-08-02T21:36:31Z",
9+ "mean": 0.9418679504016844,
10+ "n_pasts": 112,
11+ "n_runs": 14,
1212 "params": {
1313 "filter": "bandpass",
1414 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -18,18 +18,18 @@
1818 "taps": 101
1919 },
2020 "predicted": 0.9512549259549268,
21- "sd": 0.12319825521375474,
22- "se": 0.012080582834144605
21+ "sd": 0.12255561988925853,
22+ "se": 0.011580417571440692
2323 },
2424 {
2525 "L": 101,
2626 "M": 512,
27- "highres_szego": -0.7825679601785338,
27+ "highres_szego": -0.7825679601806399,
2828 "id": "bp300-6000_s16",
29- "last_utc": "2026-08-02T19:55:03Z",
30- "mean": 2.5323861736777795,
31- "n_pasts": 104,
32- "n_runs": 13,
29+ "last_utc": "2026-08-02T21:56:03Z",
30+ "mean": 2.547608703418665,
31+ "n_pasts": 112,
32+ "n_runs": 14,
3333 "params": {
3434 "filter": "bandpass",
3535 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -39,18 +39,18 @@
3939 "taps": 101
4040 },
4141 "predicted": 2.56797969986038,
42- "sd": 0.22786760385438937,
43- "se": 0.022344256895560806
42+ "sd": 0.24654696166085785,
43+ "se": 0.023296498109043072
4444 },
4545 {
4646 "L": 101,
4747 "M": 512,
48- "highres_szego": -3.782567960178534,
48+ "highres_szego": -3.7825679601806397,
4949 "id": "bp300-6000_s2",
50- "last_utc": "2026-08-02T19:48:39Z",
51- "mean": 1.3241651298075772,
52- "n_pasts": 104,
53- "n_runs": 13,
50+ "last_utc": "2026-08-02T21:37:25Z",
51+ "mean": 1.3219972339399209,
52+ "n_pasts": 112,
53+ "n_runs": 14,
5454 "params": {
5555 "filter": "bandpass",
5656 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -60,18 +60,18 @@
6060 "taps": 101
6161 },
6262 "predicted": 1.3318639472861573,
63- "sd": 0.13496614182395275,
64- "se": 0.013234519054512816
63+ "sd": 0.1325856262653432,
64+ "se": 0.0125281640899947
6565 },
6666 {
6767 "L": 101,
6868 "M": 512,
69- "highres_szego": 0.21743203982146625,
69+ "highres_szego": 0.2174320398193601,
7070 "id": "bp300-6000_s32",
71- "last_utc": "2026-08-02T19:58:29Z",
72- "mean": 2.9585722511540413,
73- "n_pasts": 104,
74- "n_runs": 13,
71+ "last_utc": "2026-08-02T22:01:51Z",
72+ "mean": 2.9601358869079215,
73+ "n_pasts": 112,
74+ "n_runs": 14,
7575 "params": {
7676 "filter": "bandpass",
7777 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -81,18 +81,18 @@
8181 "taps": 101
8282 },
8383 "predicted": 2.9937688408517453,
84- "sd": 0.39279500524901684,
85- "se": 0.03851671916550995
84+ "sd": 0.3947256973493353,
85+ "se": 0.03729807254546031
8686 },
8787 {
8888 "L": 101,
8989 "M": 512,
90- "highres_szego": -2.782567960178534,
90+ "highres_szego": -2.7825679601806397,
9191 "id": "bp300-6000_s4",
92- "last_utc": "2026-08-02T19:49:35Z",
93- "mean": 1.7079623302855014,
94- "n_pasts": 104,
95- "n_runs": 13,
92+ "last_utc": "2026-08-02T21:38:37Z",
93+ "mean": 1.7073866881044435,
94+ "n_pasts": 112,
95+ "n_runs": 14,
9696 "params": {
9797 "filter": "bandpass",
9898 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -102,18 +102,18 @@
102102 "taps": 101
103103 },
104104 "predicted": 1.734166393696377,
105- "sd": 0.1359486555357078,
106- "se": 0.01333086245044765
105+ "sd": 0.13264889819776454,
106+ "se": 0.012534142725643176
107107 },
108108 {
109109 "L": 101,
110110 "M": 512,
111- "highres_szego": -1.7825679601785338,
111+ "highres_szego": -1.78256796018064,
112112 "id": "bp300-6000_s8",
113- "last_utc": "2026-08-02T19:53:07Z",
114- "mean": 2.15731489492949,
115- "n_pasts": 104,
116- "n_runs": 13,
113+ "last_utc": "2026-08-02T21:41:42Z",
114+ "mean": 2.1552955448633795,
115+ "n_pasts": 112,
116+ "n_runs": 14,
117117 "params": {
118118 "filter": "bandpass",
119119 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -123,18 +123,18 @@
123123 "taps": 101
124124 },
125125 "predicted": 2.1476021059762167,
126- "sd": 0.2694338637765786,
127- "se": 0.02642016401960528
126+ "sd": 0.2608334537538328,
127+ "se": 0.024646444722811012
128128 },
129129 {
130130 "L": 101,
131131 "M": 512,
132- "highres_szego": -7.756237076152649,
132+ "highres_szego": -7.756237076152647,
133133 "id": "lp3000_s1",
134- "last_utc": "2026-08-02T19:41:53Z",
135- "mean": 0.46608423760843615,
136- "n_pasts": 104,
137- "n_runs": 13,
134+ "last_utc": "2026-08-02T21:23:03Z",
135+ "mean": 0.46865850198632736,
136+ "n_pasts": 112,
137+ "n_runs": 14,
138138 "params": {
139139 "filter": "lowpass",
140140 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -143,18 +143,18 @@
143143 "taps": 101
144144 },
145145 "predicted": 0.616561114498688,
146- "sd": 0.2354987577048294,
147- "se": 0.02309255309545739
146+ "sd": 0.23917443631076174,
147+ "se": 0.02259985994436901
148148 },
149149 {
150150 "L": 101,
151151 "M": 512,
152- "highres_szego": -3.7562370761526487,
152+ "highres_szego": -3.756237076152648,
153153 "id": "lp3000_s16",
154- "last_utc": "2026-08-02T19:45:28Z",
155- "mean": 1.4591305139991393,
156- "n_pasts": 104,
157- "n_runs": 13,
154+ "last_utc": "2026-08-02T21:29:18Z",
155+ "mean": 1.4622433689294565,
156+ "n_pasts": 112,
157+ "n_runs": 14,
158158 "params": {
159159 "filter": "lowpass",
160160 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -163,18 +163,18 @@
163163 "taps": 101
164164 },
165165 "predicted": 1.4888184418209351,
166- "sd": 0.17173728655960344,
167- "se": 0.016840226449594112
166+ "sd": 0.16837940198725648,
167+ "se": 0.015910357984430558
168168 },
169169 {
170170 "L": 101,
171171 "M": 512,
172- "highres_szego": -6.756237076152649,
172+ "highres_szego": -6.756237076152647,
173173 "id": "lp3000_s2",
174- "last_utc": "2026-08-02T19:42:46Z",
175- "mean": 0.7351061225006323,
176- "n_pasts": 104,
177- "n_runs": 13,
174+ "last_utc": "2026-08-02T21:24:08Z",
175+ "mean": 0.7371468008394383,
176+ "n_pasts": 112,
177+ "n_runs": 14,
178178 "params": {
179179 "filter": "lowpass",
180180 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -183,18 +183,18 @@
183183 "taps": 101
184184 },
185185 "predicted": 0.8251241884518832,
186- "sd": 0.2868715633336877,
187- "se": 0.02813007114102581
186+ "sd": 0.2836995171072784,
187+ "se": 0.02680708461910618
188188 },
189189 {
190190 "L": 101,
191191 "M": 512,
192- "highres_szego": -2.7562370761526487,
192+ "highres_szego": -2.756237076152648,
193193 "id": "lp3000_s32",
194- "last_utc": "2026-08-02T19:46:48Z",
195- "mean": 1.6323760418790874,
196- "n_pasts": 104,
197- "n_runs": 13,
194+ "last_utc": "2026-08-02T21:35:22Z",
195+ "mean": 1.635852734100434,
196+ "n_pasts": 112,
197+ "n_runs": 14,
198198 "params": {
199199 "filter": "lowpass",
200200 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -203,18 +203,18 @@
203203 "taps": 101
204204 },
205205 "predicted": 1.71791605587854,
206- "sd": 0.22542508290411098,
207- "se": 0.02210474801117948
206+ "sd": 0.2182460477824572,
207+ "se": 0.020622313109110765
208208 },
209209 {
210210 "L": 101,
211211 "M": 512,
212- "highres_szego": -5.756237076152649,
212+ "highres_szego": -5.756237076152647,
213213 "id": "lp3000_s4",
214- "last_utc": "2026-08-02T19:43:30Z",
215- "mean": 1.0171549353872094,
216- "n_pasts": 104,
217- "n_runs": 13,
214+ "last_utc": "2026-08-02T21:26:13Z",
215+ "mean": 1.0172759145649757,
216+ "n_pasts": 112,
217+ "n_runs": 14,
218218 "params": {
219219 "filter": "lowpass",
220220 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -223,18 +223,18 @@
223223 "taps": 101
224224 },
225225 "predicted": 1.04149876351225,
226- "sd": 0.15755223673090835,
227- "se": 0.015449267875020992
226+ "sd": 0.15341087531111577,
227+ "se": 0.014495965160212535
228228 },
229229 {
230230 "L": 101,
231231 "M": 512,
232- "highres_szego": -4.756237076152649,
232+ "highres_szego": -4.756237076152647,
233233 "id": "lp3000_s8",
234- "last_utc": "2026-08-02T19:44:29Z",
235- "mean": 1.2346829637801957,
236- "n_pasts": 104,
237- "n_runs": 13,
234+ "last_utc": "2026-08-02T21:27:15Z",
235+ "mean": 1.2292848713587519,
236+ "n_pasts": 112,
237+ "n_runs": 14,
238238 "params": {
239239 "filter": "lowpass",
240240 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -243,222 +243,222 @@
243243 "taps": 101
244244 },
245245 "predicted": 1.2631675560846525,
246- "sd": 0.19127919954149494,
247- "se": 0.018756468673201746
246+ "sd": 0.19812855866860876,
247+ "se": 0.01872138906631462
248248 },
249249 {
250250 "L": 8,
251251 "M": 512,
252252 "highres_szego": -0.9529044148193548,
253253 "id": "ma8_s1",
254- "last_utc": "2026-08-02T19:40:20Z",
255- "mean": 0.4799439378788525,
256- "n_pasts": 104,
257- "n_runs": 13,
254+ "last_utc": "2026-08-02T21:14:21Z",
255+ "mean": 0.4780641742659854,
256+ "n_pasts": 112,
257+ "n_runs": 14,
258258 "params": {
259259 "filter": "moving-average",
260260 "sigma": 1.0,
261261 "width": 8
262262 },
263263 "predicted": 0.6099987154839898,
264- "sd": 0.20167359955223566,
265- "se": 0.019775723451795128
264+ "sd": 0.19908542491934336,
265+ "se": 0.018811804428364422
266266 },
267267 {
268268 "L": 8,
269269 "M": 512,
270270 "highres_szego": 3.0470955851806454,
271271 "id": "ma8_s16",
272- "last_utc": "2026-08-02T19:41:05Z",
273- "mean": 3.191170274183966,
274- "n_pasts": 104,
275- "n_runs": 13,
272+ "last_utc": "2026-08-02T21:20:25Z",
273+ "mean": 3.1873182811794747,
274+ "n_pasts": 112,
275+ "n_runs": 14,
276276 "params": {
277277 "filter": "moving-average",
278278 "sigma": 16.0,
279279 "width": 8
280280 },
281281 "predicted": 3.1776500292335506,
282- "sd": 0.33455446263000965,
283- "se": 0.032805764102114755
282+ "sd": 0.32335694879095916,
283+ "se": 0.030554359685911643
284284 },
285285 {
286286 "L": 8,
287287 "M": 512,
288288 "highres_szego": 0.04709558518064521,
289289 "id": "ma8_s2",
290- "last_utc": "2026-08-02T19:40:28Z",
291- "mean": 0.976526849321346,
292- "n_pasts": 104,
293- "n_runs": 13,
290+ "last_utc": "2026-08-02T21:20:05Z",
291+ "mean": 0.9762415281231505,
292+ "n_pasts": 112,
293+ "n_runs": 14,
294294 "params": {
295295 "filter": "moving-average",
296296 "sigma": 2.0,
297297 "width": 8
298298 },
299299 "predicted": 0.9825176804091631,
300- "sd": 0.08612603600474525,
301- "se": 0.008445352658011362
300+ "sd": 0.12458196512094807,
301+ "se": 0.011771889198348266
302302 },
303303 {
304304 "L": 8,
305305 "M": 512,
306306 "highres_szego": 4.047095585180645,
307307 "id": "ma8_s32",
308- "last_utc": "2026-08-02T19:41:09Z",
309- "mean": 4.074915437744041,
310- "n_pasts": 104,
311- "n_runs": 13,
308+ "last_utc": "2026-08-02T21:20:32Z",
309+ "mean": 4.079424249828164,
310+ "n_pasts": 112,
311+ "n_runs": 14,
312312 "params": {
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314314 "sigma": 32.0,
315315 "width": 8
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317317 "predicted": 4.112486639362294,
318- "sd": 0.2166954699930046,
319- "se": 0.021248739038490196
318+ "sd": 0.21817916002037105,
319+ "se": 0.020615992809673852
320320 },
321321 {
322322 "L": 8,
323323 "M": 512,
324324 "highres_szego": 1.0470955851806452,
325325 "id": "ma8_s4",
326- "last_utc": "2026-08-02T19:40:33Z",
327- "mean": 1.5602005138769788,
328- "n_pasts": 104,
329- "n_runs": 13,
326+ "last_utc": "2026-08-02T21:20:11Z",
327+ "mean": 1.557190815314432,
328+ "n_pasts": 112,
329+ "n_runs": 14,
330330 "params": {
331331 "filter": "moving-average",
332332 "sigma": 4.0,
333333 "width": 8
334334 },
335335 "predicted": 1.5529090070448803,
336- "sd": 0.11819877133821576,
337- "se": 0.011590343106466417
336+ "sd": 0.11814108892516252,
337+ "se": 0.011163283604083826
338338 },
339339 {
340340 "L": 8,
341341 "M": 512,
342342 "highres_szego": 2.0470955851806454,
343343 "id": "ma8_s8",
344- "last_utc": "2026-08-02T19:40:55Z",
345- "mean": 2.2995412156994144,
346- "n_pasts": 104,
347- "n_runs": 13,
344+ "last_utc": "2026-08-02T21:20:18Z",
345+ "mean": 2.2965428618838244,
346+ "n_pasts": 112,
347+ "n_runs": 14,
348348 "params": {
349349 "filter": "moving-average",
350350 "sigma": 8.0,
351351 "width": 8
352352 },
353353 "predicted": 2.3064317412363535,
354- "sd": 0.14652405284566877,
355- "se": 0.014367865474437797
354+ "sd": 0.14309330359457395,
355+ "se": 0.013521046271068126
356356 },
357357 {
358358 "L": 1,
359359 "M": 512,
360360 "highres_szego": 2.047095585180641,
361361 "id": "none_s1",
362- "last_utc": "2026-08-02T19:40:12Z",
363- "mean": 2.100089743257276,
364- "n_pasts": 104,
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442442 {
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447- "last_utc": "2026-08-02T19:40:14Z",
448- "mean": 5.056890176358329,
449- "n_pasts": 104,
450- "n_runs": 13,
447+ "last_utc": "2026-08-02T21:14:14Z",
448+ "mean": 5.068592819800554,
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450+ "n_runs": 14,
451451 "params": {
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454454 },
455455 "predicted": 5.048034228800837,
456- "sd": 0.2771340681395879,
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456+ "sd": 0.27803115885760726,
457+ "se": 0.026271475109440064
458458 }
459459 ],
460460 "estimand": "H(z_{M+1} | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample, for x ~ iid N(0, sigma^2) -> y = h * x -> z = round(y)",
461- "generated": "2026-08-02T19:58:29Z",
461+ "generated": "2026-08-02T22:01:51Z",
462462 "settings": {
463463 "n0": 128,
464464 "pasts_per_run": 8,
@@ -466,5 +466,5 @@
466466 "reps": 8,
467467 "thin": "auto"
468468 },
469- "total_runs": 13
469+ "total_runs": 14
470470 }
runs.jsonlmodified+24−0View file
@@ -310,3 +310,27 @@
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