estimates: run 126 from efed18a
3 changed files+195−171
README.mdmodified+25−25View file
@@ -21,33 +21,33 @@ Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends
2121
2222 https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json
2323
24-## Current state (112 runs, generated 2026-08-13T15:55:42Z)
24+## Current state (113 runs, generated 2026-08-13T18:10:57Z)
2525
2626 | cell | sigma | M | mean | se | pasts | predicted |
2727 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
28-| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9315 | 0.0042 | 896 | 0.9513 |
29-| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5442 | 0.0076 | 896 | 2.5680 |
30-| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3093 | 0.0039 | 896 | 1.3319 |
31-| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9761 | 0.0200 | 896 | 2.9938 |
32-| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7237 | 0.0045 | 896 | 1.7342 |
33-| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1315 | 0.0066 | 896 | 2.1476 |
34-| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4763 | 0.0078 | 896 | 0.6166 |
35-| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4428 | 0.0063 | 896 | 1.4888 |
36-| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7633 | 0.0090 | 896 | 0.8251 |
37-| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6662 | 0.0069 | 896 | 1.7179 |
38-| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 0.9938 | 0.0063 | 896 | 1.0415 |
39-| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2115 | 0.0073 | 896 | 1.2632 |
40-| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4761 | 0.0069 | 896 | 0.6100 |
41-| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.1782 | 0.0085 | 896 | 3.1777 |
42-| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9749 | 0.0032 | 896 | 0.9825 |
43-| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0890 | 0.0080 | 896 | 4.1125 |
44-| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5574 | 0.0036 | 896 | 1.5529 |
45-| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.3064 | 0.0053 | 896 | 2.3064 |
46-| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.1057 | 0.0023 | 896 | 2.1048 |
47-| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 6.0146 | 0.0158 | 896 | 6.0473 |
48-| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0654 | 0.0030 | 896 | 3.0620 |
49-| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 7.0627 | 0.0364 | 896 | 7.0472 |
50-| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0370 | 0.0044 | 896 | 4.0508 |
51-| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0574 | 0.0101 | 896 | 5.0480 |
28+| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9317 | 0.0041 | 904 | 0.9513 |
29+| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5441 | 0.0076 | 904 | 2.5680 |
30+| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3102 | 0.0039 | 904 | 1.3319 |
31+| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9762 | 0.0199 | 904 | 2.9938 |
32+| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7250 | 0.0045 | 904 | 1.7342 |
33+| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1316 | 0.0065 | 904 | 2.1476 |
34+| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4761 | 0.0077 | 904 | 0.6166 |
35+| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4419 | 0.0063 | 904 | 1.4888 |
36+| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7623 | 0.0090 | 904 | 0.8251 |
37+| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6671 | 0.0068 | 904 | 1.7179 |
38+| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 0.9938 | 0.0063 | 904 | 1.0415 |
39+| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2131 | 0.0073 | 904 | 1.2632 |
40+| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4759 | 0.0069 | 904 | 0.6100 |
41+| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.1777 | 0.0085 | 904 | 3.1777 |
42+| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9750 | 0.0031 | 904 | 0.9825 |
43+| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0879 | 0.0079 | 904 | 4.1125 |
44+| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5572 | 0.0036 | 904 | 1.5529 |
45+| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.3072 | 0.0054 | 904 | 2.3064 |
46+| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.1057 | 0.0023 | 904 | 2.1048 |
47+| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 6.0149 | 0.0157 | 904 | 6.0473 |
48+| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0659 | 0.0030 | 904 | 3.0620 |
49+| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 7.0635 | 0.0362 | 904 | 7.0472 |
50+| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0375 | 0.0044 | 904 | 4.0508 |
51+| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0577 | 0.0101 | 904 | 5.0480 |
5252
5353 [wf]: https://github.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/blob/main/.github/workflows/estimates.yml
estimates.jsonmodified+146−146View file
@@ -5,10 +5,10 @@
55 "M": 512,
66 "highres_szego": -4.78256796018064,
77 "id": "bp300-6000_s1",
8- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T15:44:29Z",
9- "mean": 0.9314856790732174,
10- "n_pasts": 896,
11- "n_runs": 112,
8+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T17:55:47Z",
9+ "mean": 0.9317421453802215,
10+ "n_pasts": 904,
11+ "n_runs": 113,
1212 "params": {
1313 "filter": "bandpass",
1414 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -18,18 +18,18 @@
1818 "taps": 101
1919 },
2020 "predicted": 0.9512549259549268,
21- "sd": 0.12440513460446517,
22- "se": 0.00415608384683396
21+ "sd": 0.12436761767701177,
22+ "se": 0.00413640543453692
2323 },
2424 {
2525 "L": 101,
2626 "M": 512,
2727 "highres_szego": -0.7825679601806399,
2828 "id": "bp300-6000_s16",
29- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T15:53:20Z",
30- "mean": 2.5441625384722393,
31- "n_pasts": 896,
32- "n_runs": 112,
29+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T18:08:12Z",
30+ "mean": 2.5441036575300306,
31+ "n_pasts": 904,
32+ "n_runs": 113,
3333 "params": {
3434 "filter": "bandpass",
3535 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -39,18 +39,18 @@
3939 "taps": 101
4040 },
4141 "predicted": 2.56797969986038,
42- "sd": 0.2282192655186835,
43- "se": 0.007624270541358085
42+ "sd": 0.22735773107512772,
43+ "se": 0.007561805653023892
4444 },
4545 {
4646 "L": 101,
4747 "M": 512,
4848 "highres_szego": -3.7825679601806397,
4949 "id": "bp300-6000_s2",
50- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T15:45:44Z",
51- "mean": 1.3093381343299384,
52- "n_pasts": 896,
53- "n_runs": 112,
50+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T17:59:15Z",
51+ "mean": 1.3102262839165086,
52+ "n_pasts": 904,
53+ "n_runs": 113,
5454 "params": {
5555 "filter": "bandpass",
5656 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -60,18 +60,18 @@
6060 "taps": 101
6161 },
6262 "predicted": 1.3318639472861573,
63- "sd": 0.11541813358665298,
64- "se": 0.0038558492151978723
63+ "sd": 0.11599252083566058,
64+ "se": 0.003857853857073187
6565 },
6666 {
6767 "L": 101,
6868 "M": 512,
6969 "highres_szego": 0.2174320398193601,
7070 "id": "bp300-6000_s32",
71- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T15:55:42Z",
72- "mean": 2.976112839806805,
73- "n_pasts": 896,
74- "n_runs": 112,
71+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T18:10:57Z",
72+ "mean": 2.976197076392321,
73+ "n_pasts": 904,
74+ "n_runs": 113,
7575 "params": {
7676 "filter": "bandpass",
7777 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -81,18 +81,18 @@
8181 "taps": 101
8282 },
8383 "predicted": 2.9937688408517453,
84- "sd": 0.5994810746151121,
85- "se": 0.0200272570630787
84+ "sd": 0.5972720929251256,
85+ "se": 0.019864974317421458
8686 },
8787 {
8888 "L": 101,
8989 "M": 512,
9090 "highres_szego": -2.7825679601806397,
9191 "id": "bp300-6000_s4",
92- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T15:47:17Z",
93- "mean": 1.7236551074887105,
94- "n_pasts": 896,
95- "n_runs": 112,
92+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T18:04:01Z",
93+ "mean": 1.7249760657481141,
94+ "n_pasts": 904,
95+ "n_runs": 113,
9696 "params": {
9797 "filter": "bandpass",
9898 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -102,18 +102,18 @@
102102 "taps": 101
103103 },
104104 "predicted": 1.734166393696377,
105- "sd": 0.1350068082971061,
106- "se": 0.0045102609065146475
105+ "sd": 0.1357902376600913,
106+ "se": 0.004516316123968688
107107 },
108108 {
109109 "L": 101,
110110 "M": 512,
111111 "highres_szego": -1.78256796018064,
112112 "id": "bp300-6000_s8",
113- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T15:49:44Z",
114- "mean": 2.1314738229540353,
115- "n_pasts": 896,
116- "n_runs": 112,
113+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T18:05:54Z",
114+ "mean": 2.13162361557169,
115+ "n_pasts": 904,
116+ "n_runs": 113,
117117 "params": {
118118 "filter": "bandpass",
119119 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -123,18 +123,18 @@
123123 "taps": 101
124124 },
125125 "predicted": 2.1476021059762167,
126- "sd": 0.19745780590781245,
127- "se": 0.00659660230402805
126+ "sd": 0.19676974009467196,
127+ "se": 0.006544464206058873
128128 },
129129 {
130130 "L": 101,
131131 "M": 512,
132132 "highres_szego": -7.756237076152647,
133133 "id": "lp3000_s1",
134- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T15:28:27Z",
135- "mean": 0.4762557968391387,
136- "n_pasts": 896,
137- "n_runs": 112,
134+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T17:26:36Z",
135+ "mean": 0.47611550387935714,
136+ "n_pasts": 904,
137+ "n_runs": 113,
138138 "params": {
139139 "filter": "lowpass",
140140 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -143,18 +143,18 @@
143143 "taps": 101
144144 },
145145 "predicted": 0.616561114498688,
146- "sd": 0.23234472296982786,
147- "se": 0.007762092401589298
146+ "sd": 0.23253881450412334,
147+ "se": 0.007734125924592847
148148 },
149149 {
150150 "L": 101,
151151 "M": 512,
152152 "highres_szego": -3.756237076152648,
153153 "id": "lp3000_s16",
154- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T15:36:08Z",
155- "mean": 1.44277798432927,
156- "n_pasts": 896,
157- "n_runs": 112,
154+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T17:40:22Z",
155+ "mean": 1.4418952394349533,
156+ "n_pasts": 904,
157+ "n_runs": 113,
158158 "params": {
159159 "filter": "lowpass",
160160 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -163,18 +163,18 @@
163163 "taps": 101
164164 },
165165 "predicted": 1.4888184418209351,
166- "sd": 0.18899136351405058,
167- "se": 0.00631375831543595
166+ "sd": 0.1884246931259221,
167+ "se": 0.006266912072491043
168168 },
169169 {
170170 "L": 101,
171171 "M": 512,
172172 "highres_szego": -6.756237076152647,
173173 "id": "lp3000_s2",
174- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T15:29:56Z",
175- "mean": 0.7632540911331619,
176- "n_pasts": 896,
177- "n_runs": 112,
174+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T17:27:29Z",
175+ "mean": 0.7623329932159378,
176+ "n_pasts": 904,
177+ "n_runs": 113,
178178 "params": {
179179 "filter": "lowpass",
180180 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -183,18 +183,18 @@
183183 "taps": 101
184184 },
185185 "predicted": 0.8251241884518832,
186- "sd": 0.27013074127220804,
187- "se": 0.009024434673891765
186+ "sd": 0.2701380893576736,
187+ "se": 0.008984659204427635
188188 },
189189 {
190190 "L": 101,
191191 "M": 512,
192192 "highres_szego": -2.756237076152648,
193193 "id": "lp3000_s32",
194- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T15:41:54Z",
195- "mean": 1.6661705009918515,
196- "n_pasts": 896,
197- "n_runs": 112,
194+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T17:54:12Z",
195+ "mean": 1.6671216343684372,
196+ "n_pasts": 904,
197+ "n_runs": 113,
198198 "params": {
199199 "filter": "lowpass",
200200 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -203,18 +203,18 @@
203203 "taps": 101
204204 },
205205 "predicted": 1.71791605587854,
206- "sd": 0.20522623666977471,
207- "se": 0.00685612736067214
206+ "sd": 0.20514013144020396,
207+ "se": 0.006822859281059647
208208 },
209209 {
210210 "L": 101,
211211 "M": 512,
212212 "highres_szego": -5.756237076152647,
213213 "id": "lp3000_s4",
214- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T15:31:17Z",
215- "mean": 0.9937879121201422,
216- "n_pasts": 896,
217- "n_runs": 112,
214+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T17:28:48Z",
215+ "mean": 0.9938234610640413,
216+ "n_pasts": 904,
217+ "n_runs": 113,
218218 "params": {
219219 "filter": "lowpass",
220220 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -223,18 +223,18 @@
223223 "taps": 101
224224 },
225225 "predicted": 1.04149876351225,
226- "sd": 0.18837391355890584,
227- "se": 0.0062931307602071065
226+ "sd": 0.1882123393460321,
227+ "se": 0.00625984929083141
228228 },
229229 {
230230 "L": 101,
231231 "M": 512,
232232 "highres_szego": -4.756237076152647,
233233 "id": "lp3000_s8",
234- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T15:33:07Z",
235- "mean": 1.2115114625300316,
236- "n_pasts": 896,
237- "n_runs": 112,
234+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T17:39:06Z",
235+ "mean": 1.2130570241392171,
236+ "n_pasts": 904,
237+ "n_runs": 113,
238238 "params": {
239239 "filter": "lowpass",
240240 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -243,222 +243,222 @@
243243 "taps": 101
244244 },
245245 "predicted": 1.2631675560846525,
246- "sd": 0.21743735227932287,
247- "se": 0.007264072101040144
246+ "sd": 0.2193008811271689,
247+ "se": 0.007293838809785522
248248 },
249249 {
250250 "L": 8,
251251 "M": 512,
252252 "highres_szego": -0.9529044148193548,
253253 "id": "ma8_s1",
254- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T15:27:03Z",
255- "mean": 0.47611243994929914,
256- "n_pasts": 896,
257- "n_runs": 112,
254+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T17:24:21Z",
255+ "mean": 0.47594329190058227,
256+ "n_pasts": 904,
257+ "n_runs": 113,
258258 "params": {
259259 "filter": "moving-average",
260260 "sigma": 1.0,
261261 "width": 8
262262 },
263263 "predicted": 0.6099987154839898,
264- "sd": 0.20716515742712072,
265- "se": 0.006920902156869398
264+ "sd": 0.20695700644076054,
265+ "se": 0.00688328764470085
266266 },
267267 {
268268 "L": 8,
269269 "M": 512,
270270 "highres_szego": 3.0470955851806454,
271271 "id": "ma8_s16",
272- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T15:27:25Z",
273- "mean": 3.178201574497005,
274- "n_pasts": 896,
275- "n_runs": 112,
272+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T17:24:59Z",
273+ "mean": 3.177713107491128,
274+ "n_pasts": 904,
275+ "n_runs": 113,
276276 "params": {
277277 "filter": "moving-average",
278278 "sigma": 16.0,
279279 "width": 8
280280 },
281281 "predicted": 3.1776500292335506,
282- "sd": 0.25526341412379044,
283- "se": 0.008527752134191215
282+ "sd": 0.25449311078642795,
283+ "se": 0.008464314957315183
284284 },
285285 {
286286 "L": 8,
287287 "M": 512,
288288 "highres_szego": 0.04709558518064521,
289289 "id": "ma8_s2",
290- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T15:27:07Z",
291- "mean": 0.9749320356464587,
292- "n_pasts": 896,
293- "n_runs": 112,
290+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T17:24:25Z",
291+ "mean": 0.9750479568541001,
292+ "n_pasts": 904,
293+ "n_runs": 113,
294294 "params": {
295295 "filter": "moving-average",
296296 "sigma": 2.0,
297297 "width": 8
298298 },
299299 "predicted": 0.9825176804091631,
300- "sd": 0.09477732732583186,
301- "se": 0.0031662882757802725
300+ "sd": 0.09466009127789887,
301+ "se": 0.0031483478039479778
302302 },
303303 {
304304 "L": 8,
305305 "M": 512,
306306 "highres_szego": 4.047095585180645,
307307 "id": "ma8_s32",
308- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T15:27:31Z",
309- "mean": 4.088984971118099,
310- "n_pasts": 896,
311- "n_runs": 112,
308+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T17:25:03Z",
309+ "mean": 4.087940232907045,
310+ "n_pasts": 904,
311+ "n_runs": 113,
312312 "params": {
313313 "filter": "moving-average",
314314 "sigma": 32.0,
315315 "width": 8
316316 },
317317 "predicted": 4.112486639362294,
318- "sd": 0.23819012528719735,
319- "se": 0.00795737358694154
318+ "sd": 0.23752008658360033,
319+ "se": 0.007899800569531103
320320 },
321321 {
322322 "L": 8,
323323 "M": 512,
324324 "highres_szego": 1.0470955851806452,
325325 "id": "ma8_s4",
326- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T15:27:12Z",
327- "mean": 1.5574203742185655,
328- "n_pasts": 896,
329- "n_runs": 112,
326+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T17:24:33Z",
327+ "mean": 1.5571804322516585,
328+ "n_pasts": 904,
329+ "n_runs": 113,
330330 "params": {
331331 "filter": "moving-average",
332332 "sigma": 4.0,
333333 "width": 8
334334 },
335335 "predicted": 1.5529090070448803,
336- "sd": 0.10685921566711568,
337- "se": 0.0035699158361226163
336+ "sd": 0.10726461035477267,
337+ "se": 0.0035675678725088163
338338 },
339339 {
340340 "L": 8,
341341 "M": 512,
342342 "highres_szego": 2.0470955851806454,
343343 "id": "ma8_s8",
344- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T15:27:18Z",
345- "mean": 2.306407920413133,
346- "n_pasts": 896,
347- "n_runs": 112,
344+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T17:24:54Z",
345+ "mean": 2.3071789839525407,
346+ "n_pasts": 904,
347+ "n_runs": 113,
348348 "params": {
349349 "filter": "moving-average",
350350 "sigma": 8.0,
351351 "width": 8
352352 },
353353 "predicted": 2.3064317412363535,
354- "sd": 0.15951996766813728,
355- "se": 0.005329188083602019
354+ "sd": 0.1611716890837816,
355+ "se": 0.005360490641149244
356356 },
357357 {
358358 "L": 1,
359359 "M": 512,
360360 "highres_szego": 2.047095585180641,
361361 "id": "none_s1",
362- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T15:26:52Z",
363- "mean": 2.105669663762679,
364- "n_pasts": 896,
365- "n_runs": 112,
362+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T17:24:08Z",
363+ "mean": 2.105690250373689,
364+ "n_pasts": 904,
365+ "n_runs": 113,
366366 "params": {
367367 "filter": "none",
368368 "sigma": 1.0
369369 },
370370 "predicted": 2.1048326603976193,
371- "sd": 0.06867823920863846,
372- "se": 0.002294378937907409
371+ "sd": 0.06859960494446324,
372+ "se": 0.002281588921613742
373373 },
374374 {
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448- "mean": 5.057410612582018,
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454454 },
455455 "predicted": 5.048034228800837,
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456+ "sd": 0.30340556563611326,
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458458 }
459459 ],
460460 "estimand": "H(z_{M+1} | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample, for x ~ iid N(0, sigma^2) -> y = h * x -> z = round(y)",
461- "generated": "2026-08-13T15:55:42Z",
461+ "generated": "2026-08-13T18:10:57Z",
462462 "settings": {
463463 "n0": 128,
464464 "pasts_per_run": 8,
@@ -466,5 +466,5 @@
466466 "reps": 8,
467467 "thin": "auto"
468468 },
469- "total_runs": 112
469+ "total_runs": 113
470470 }
runs.jsonlmodified+24−0View file
@@ -2686,3 +2686,27 @@
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