estimates: run 58 from efed18a
3 changed files+195−171
README.mdmodified+25−25View file
@@ -21,33 +21,33 @@ Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends
2121
2222 https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json
2323
24-## Current state (49 runs, generated 2026-08-07T11:37:55Z)
24+## Current state (50 runs, generated 2026-08-07T14:12:57Z)
2525
2626 | cell | sigma | M | mean | se | pasts | predicted |
2727 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
28-| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9350 | 0.0061 | 392 | 0.9513 |
29-| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5475 | 0.0120 | 392 | 2.5680 |
30-| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3168 | 0.0059 | 392 | 1.3319 |
31-| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9700 | 0.0235 | 392 | 2.9938 |
32-| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7177 | 0.0067 | 392 | 1.7342 |
33-| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1336 | 0.0117 | 392 | 2.1476 |
34-| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4806 | 0.0123 | 392 | 0.6166 |
35-| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4543 | 0.0099 | 392 | 1.4888 |
36-| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7568 | 0.0140 | 392 | 0.8251 |
37-| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6530 | 0.0100 | 392 | 1.7179 |
38-| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 0.9930 | 0.0090 | 392 | 1.0415 |
39-| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2299 | 0.0113 | 392 | 1.2632 |
40-| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4883 | 0.0107 | 392 | 0.6100 |
41-| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.1939 | 0.0149 | 392 | 3.1777 |
42-| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9719 | 0.0054 | 392 | 0.9825 |
43-| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0843 | 0.0123 | 392 | 4.1125 |
44-| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5578 | 0.0055 | 392 | 1.5529 |
45-| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.2946 | 0.0069 | 392 | 2.3064 |
46-| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.1071 | 0.0043 | 392 | 2.1048 |
47-| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 6.0235 | 0.0232 | 392 | 6.0473 |
48-| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0656 | 0.0046 | 392 | 3.0620 |
49-| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 7.0960 | 0.0555 | 392 | 7.0472 |
50-| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0313 | 0.0066 | 392 | 4.0508 |
51-| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0648 | 0.0151 | 392 | 5.0480 |
28+| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9361 | 0.0060 | 400 | 0.9513 |
29+| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5465 | 0.0118 | 400 | 2.5680 |
30+| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3158 | 0.0058 | 400 | 1.3319 |
31+| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9697 | 0.0231 | 400 | 2.9938 |
32+| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7178 | 0.0066 | 400 | 1.7342 |
33+| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1334 | 0.0114 | 400 | 2.1476 |
34+| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4793 | 0.0122 | 400 | 0.6166 |
35+| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4540 | 0.0097 | 400 | 1.4888 |
36+| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7578 | 0.0139 | 400 | 0.8251 |
37+| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6542 | 0.0099 | 400 | 1.7179 |
38+| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 0.9932 | 0.0089 | 400 | 1.0415 |
39+| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2306 | 0.0111 | 400 | 1.2632 |
40+| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4886 | 0.0106 | 400 | 0.6100 |
41+| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.1920 | 0.0147 | 400 | 3.1777 |
42+| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9717 | 0.0053 | 400 | 0.9825 |
43+| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0853 | 0.0122 | 400 | 4.1125 |
44+| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5583 | 0.0054 | 400 | 1.5529 |
45+| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.2966 | 0.0074 | 400 | 2.3064 |
46+| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.1072 | 0.0042 | 400 | 2.1048 |
47+| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 6.0209 | 0.0229 | 400 | 6.0473 |
48+| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0652 | 0.0045 | 400 | 3.0620 |
49+| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 7.0934 | 0.0545 | 400 | 7.0472 |
50+| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0312 | 0.0065 | 400 | 4.0508 |
51+| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0702 | 0.0160 | 400 | 5.0480 |
5252
5353 [wf]: https://github.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/blob/main/.github/workflows/estimates.yml
estimates.jsonmodified+146−146View file
@@ -5,10 +5,10 @@
55 "M": 512,
66 "highres_szego": -4.78256796018064,
77 "id": "bp300-6000_s1",
8- "last_utc": "2026-08-07T11:22:46Z",
9- "mean": 0.9350368351982845,
10- "n_pasts": 392,
11- "n_runs": 49,
8+ "last_utc": "2026-08-07T14:00:52Z",
9+ "mean": 0.9361186459437597,
10+ "n_pasts": 400,
11+ "n_runs": 50,
1212 "params": {
1313 "filter": "bandpass",
1414 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -18,18 +18,18 @@
1818 "taps": 101
1919 },
2020 "predicted": 0.9512549259549268,
21- "sd": 0.1198335889068432,
22- "se": 0.006052510237853562
21+ "sd": 0.11934820533240864,
22+ "se": 0.005967410266620432
2323 },
2424 {
2525 "L": 101,
2626 "M": 512,
2727 "highres_szego": -0.7825679601806399,
2828 "id": "bp300-6000_s16",
29- "last_utc": "2026-08-07T11:34:52Z",
30- "mean": 2.547535322085431,
31- "n_pasts": 392,
32- "n_runs": 49,
29+ "last_utc": "2026-08-07T14:09:38Z",
30+ "mean": 2.5464500807484343,
31+ "n_pasts": 400,
32+ "n_runs": 50,
3333 "params": {
3434 "filter": "bandpass",
3535 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -39,18 +39,18 @@
3939 "taps": 101
4040 },
4141 "predicted": 2.56797969986038,
42- "sd": 0.23690940465198668,
43- "se": 0.011965731896877684
42+ "sd": 0.23618738365523664,
43+ "se": 0.011809369182761832
4444 },
4545 {
4646 "L": 101,
4747 "M": 512,
4848 "highres_szego": -3.7825679601806397,
4949 "id": "bp300-6000_s2",
50- "last_utc": "2026-08-07T11:23:38Z",
51- "mean": 1.3167695743635324,
52- "n_pasts": 392,
53- "n_runs": 49,
50+ "last_utc": "2026-08-07T14:01:48Z",
51+ "mean": 1.315770149067931,
52+ "n_pasts": 400,
53+ "n_runs": 50,
5454 "params": {
5555 "filter": "bandpass",
5656 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -60,18 +60,18 @@
6060 "taps": 101
6161 },
6262 "predicted": 1.3318639472861573,
63- "sd": 0.11673076463517024,
64- "se": 0.005895793946187121
63+ "sd": 0.11661380952671323,
64+ "se": 0.005830690476335661
6565 },
6666 {
6767 "L": 101,
6868 "M": 512,
6969 "highres_szego": 0.2174320398193601,
7070 "id": "bp300-6000_s32",
71- "last_utc": "2026-08-07T11:37:55Z",
72- "mean": 2.970005543578376,
73- "n_pasts": 392,
74- "n_runs": 49,
71+ "last_utc": "2026-08-07T14:12:57Z",
72+ "mean": 2.9697048361888405,
73+ "n_pasts": 400,
74+ "n_runs": 50,
7575 "params": {
7676 "filter": "bandpass",
7777 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -81,18 +81,18 @@
8181 "taps": 101
8282 },
8383 "predicted": 2.9937688408517453,
84- "sd": 0.46539711925688143,
85- "se": 0.023506104212230372
84+ "sd": 0.46282432213475455,
85+ "se": 0.02314121610673773
8686 },
8787 {
8888 "L": 101,
8989 "M": 512,
9090 "highres_szego": -2.7825679601806397,
9191 "id": "bp300-6000_s4",
92- "last_utc": "2026-08-07T11:25:22Z",
93- "mean": 1.7176798331102705,
94- "n_pasts": 392,
95- "n_runs": 49,
92+ "last_utc": "2026-08-07T14:03:18Z",
93+ "mean": 1.7178283783140988,
94+ "n_pasts": 400,
95+ "n_runs": 50,
9696 "params": {
9797 "filter": "bandpass",
9898 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -102,18 +102,18 @@
102102 "taps": 101
103103 },
104104 "predicted": 1.734166393696377,
105- "sd": 0.13353304538946986,
106- "se": 0.006744437279098942
105+ "sd": 0.13265578276034046,
106+ "se": 0.006632789138017024
107107 },
108108 {
109109 "L": 101,
110110 "M": 512,
111111 "highres_szego": -1.78256796018064,
112112 "id": "bp300-6000_s8",
113- "last_utc": "2026-08-07T11:32:25Z",
114- "mean": 2.133583578048954,
115- "n_pasts": 392,
116- "n_runs": 49,
113+ "last_utc": "2026-08-07T14:04:59Z",
114+ "mean": 2.133353607349559,
115+ "n_pasts": 400,
116+ "n_runs": 50,
117117 "params": {
118118 "filter": "bandpass",
119119 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -123,18 +123,18 @@
123123 "taps": 101
124124 },
125125 "predicted": 2.1476021059762167,
126- "sd": 0.23074763717085067,
127- "se": 0.011654515641877253
126+ "sd": 0.22884439228137052,
127+ "se": 0.011442219614068525
128128 },
129129 {
130130 "L": 101,
131131 "M": 512,
132132 "highres_szego": -7.756237076152647,
133133 "id": "lp3000_s1",
134- "last_utc": "2026-08-07T11:15:00Z",
135- "mean": 0.4806356369125662,
136- "n_pasts": 392,
137- "n_runs": 49,
134+ "last_utc": "2026-08-07T13:46:45Z",
135+ "mean": 0.4793324147020006,
136+ "n_pasts": 400,
137+ "n_runs": 50,
138138 "params": {
139139 "filter": "lowpass",
140140 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -143,18 +143,18 @@
143143 "taps": 101
144144 },
145145 "predicted": 0.616561114498688,
146- "sd": 0.24304470701319805,
147- "se": 0.012275611461466428
146+ "sd": 0.24348193773690424,
147+ "se": 0.012174096886845212
148148 },
149149 {
150150 "L": 101,
151151 "M": 512,
152152 "highres_szego": -3.756237076152648,
153153 "id": "lp3000_s16",
154- "last_utc": "2026-08-07T11:19:13Z",
155- "mean": 1.45426767201153,
156- "n_pasts": 392,
157- "n_runs": 49,
154+ "last_utc": "2026-08-07T13:54:17Z",
155+ "mean": 1.454020217133037,
156+ "n_pasts": 400,
157+ "n_runs": 50,
158158 "params": {
159159 "filter": "lowpass",
160160 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -163,18 +163,18 @@
163163 "taps": 101
164164 },
165165 "predicted": 1.4888184418209351,
166- "sd": 0.19539170151203394,
167- "se": 0.009868771223338357
166+ "sd": 0.1945210772037839,
167+ "se": 0.009726053860189194
168168 },
169169 {
170170 "L": 101,
171171 "M": 512,
172172 "highres_szego": -6.756237076152647,
173173 "id": "lp3000_s2",
174- "last_utc": "2026-08-07T11:15:55Z",
175- "mean": 0.7568232209791991,
176- "n_pasts": 392,
177- "n_runs": 49,
174+ "last_utc": "2026-08-07T13:49:13Z",
175+ "mean": 0.7578018893838228,
176+ "n_pasts": 400,
177+ "n_runs": 50,
178178 "params": {
179179 "filter": "lowpass",
180180 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -183,18 +183,18 @@
183183 "taps": 101
184184 },
185185 "predicted": 0.8251241884518832,
186- "sd": 0.2778677419784354,
187- "se": 0.014034440330424683
186+ "sd": 0.27726149133644906,
187+ "se": 0.013863074566822453
188188 },
189189 {
190190 "L": 101,
191191 "M": 512,
192192 "highres_szego": -2.756237076152648,
193193 "id": "lp3000_s32",
194- "last_utc": "2026-08-07T11:21:55Z",
195- "mean": 1.6530226548428733,
196- "n_pasts": 392,
197- "n_runs": 49,
194+ "last_utc": "2026-08-07T13:59:00Z",
195+ "mean": 1.6542203842176963,
196+ "n_pasts": 400,
197+ "n_runs": 50,
198198 "params": {
199199 "filter": "lowpass",
200200 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -203,18 +203,18 @@
203203 "taps": 101
204204 },
205205 "predicted": 1.71791605587854,
206- "sd": 0.19792716662202156,
207- "se": 0.009996831549962223
206+ "sd": 0.1970217299144603,
207+ "se": 0.009851086495723013
208208 },
209209 {
210210 "L": 101,
211211 "M": 512,
212212 "highres_szego": -5.756237076152647,
213213 "id": "lp3000_s4",
214- "last_utc": "2026-08-07T11:16:59Z",
215- "mean": 0.9930300758593895,
216- "n_pasts": 392,
217- "n_runs": 49,
214+ "last_utc": "2026-08-07T13:50:06Z",
215+ "mean": 0.9931770948306167,
216+ "n_pasts": 400,
217+ "n_runs": 50,
218218 "params": {
219219 "filter": "lowpass",
220220 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -223,18 +223,18 @@
223223 "taps": 101
224224 },
225225 "predicted": 1.04149876351225,
226- "sd": 0.17846922013075603,
227- "se": 0.009014056841966591
226+ "sd": 0.17740000352033708,
227+ "se": 0.008870000176016853
228228 },
229229 {
230230 "L": 101,
231231 "M": 512,
232232 "highres_szego": -4.756237076152647,
233233 "id": "lp3000_s8",
234- "last_utc": "2026-08-07T11:17:56Z",
235- "mean": 1.2299481241908645,
236- "n_pasts": 392,
237- "n_runs": 49,
234+ "last_utc": "2026-08-07T13:52:22Z",
235+ "mean": 1.230561106109247,
236+ "n_pasts": 400,
237+ "n_runs": 50,
238238 "params": {
239239 "filter": "lowpass",
240240 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -243,222 +243,222 @@
243243 "taps": 101
244244 },
245245 "predicted": 1.2631675560846525,
246- "sd": 0.22283311512005952,
247- "se": 0.011254771912451191
246+ "sd": 0.22116466808543483,
247+ "se": 0.011058233404271742
248248 },
249249 {
250250 "L": 8,
251251 "M": 512,
252252 "highres_szego": -0.9529044148193548,
253253 "id": "ma8_s1",
254- "last_utc": "2026-08-07T11:13:08Z",
255- "mean": 0.48830252944243313,
256- "n_pasts": 392,
257- "n_runs": 49,
254+ "last_utc": "2026-08-07T13:44:50Z",
255+ "mean": 0.48859746356691874,
256+ "n_pasts": 400,
257+ "n_runs": 50,
258258 "params": {
259259 "filter": "moving-average",
260260 "sigma": 1.0,
261261 "width": 8
262262 },
263263 "predicted": 0.6099987154839898,
264- "sd": 0.2119103321830496,
265- "se": 0.01070308806358059
264+ "sd": 0.21232506917153401,
265+ "se": 0.010616253458576702
266266 },
267267 {
268268 "L": 8,
269269 "M": 512,
270270 "highres_szego": 3.0470955851806454,
271271 "id": "ma8_s16",
272- "last_utc": "2026-08-07T11:13:32Z",
273- "mean": 3.193931005693187,
274- "n_pasts": 392,
275- "n_runs": 49,
272+ "last_utc": "2026-08-07T13:45:37Z",
273+ "mean": 3.192031863375891,
274+ "n_pasts": 400,
275+ "n_runs": 50,
276276 "params": {
277277 "filter": "moving-average",
278278 "sigma": 16.0,
279279 "width": 8
280280 },
281281 "predicted": 3.1776500292335506,
282- "sd": 0.295592138769673,
283- "se": 0.014929657556390767
282+ "sd": 0.29323640257708805,
283+ "se": 0.014661820128854402
284284 },
285285 {
286286 "L": 8,
287287 "M": 512,
288288 "highres_szego": 0.04709558518064521,
289289 "id": "ma8_s2",
290- "last_utc": "2026-08-07T11:13:12Z",
291- "mean": 0.9718635900177852,
292- "n_pasts": 392,
293- "n_runs": 49,
290+ "last_utc": "2026-08-07T13:44:58Z",
291+ "mean": 0.9716900213341877,
292+ "n_pasts": 400,
293+ "n_runs": 50,
294294 "params": {
295295 "filter": "moving-average",
296296 "sigma": 2.0,
297297 "width": 8
298298 },
299299 "predicted": 0.9825176804091631,
300- "sd": 0.10701833593457515,
301- "se": 0.005405242217902719
300+ "sd": 0.10678973928454995,
301+ "se": 0.005339486964227497
302302 },
303303 {
304304 "L": 8,
305305 "M": 512,
306306 "highres_szego": 4.047095585180645,
307307 "id": "ma8_s32",
308- "last_utc": "2026-08-07T11:13:38Z",
309- "mean": 4.084259067048079,
310- "n_pasts": 392,
311- "n_runs": 49,
308+ "last_utc": "2026-08-07T13:45:44Z",
309+ "mean": 4.0853112046830775,
310+ "n_pasts": 400,
311+ "n_runs": 50,
312312 "params": {
313313 "filter": "moving-average",
314314 "sigma": 32.0,
315315 "width": 8
316316 },
317317 "predicted": 4.112486639362294,
318- "sd": 0.24406904207085828,
319- "se": 0.012327348194714902
318+ "sd": 0.24416865061649978,
319+ "se": 0.012208432530824988
320320 },
321321 {
322322 "L": 8,
323323 "M": 512,
324324 "highres_szego": 1.0470955851806452,
325325 "id": "ma8_s4",
326- "last_utc": "2026-08-07T11:13:18Z",
327- "mean": 1.5578073513310853,
328- "n_pasts": 392,
329- "n_runs": 49,
326+ "last_utc": "2026-08-07T13:45:03Z",
327+ "mean": 1.5583047660162928,
328+ "n_pasts": 400,
329+ "n_runs": 50,
330330 "params": {
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332332 "sigma": 4.0,
333333 "width": 8
334334 },
335335 "predicted": 1.5529090070448803,
336- "sd": 0.10823516334942035,
337- "se": 0.005466701283372058
336+ "sd": 0.10772246224035781,
337+ "se": 0.00538612311201789
338338 },
339339 {
340340 "L": 8,
341341 "M": 512,
342342 "highres_szego": 2.0470955851806454,
343343 "id": "ma8_s8",
344- "last_utc": "2026-08-07T11:13:24Z",
345- "mean": 2.2945546760061015,
346- "n_pasts": 392,
347- "n_runs": 49,
344+ "last_utc": "2026-08-07T13:45:33Z",
345+ "mean": 2.296616590695839,
346+ "n_pasts": 400,
347+ "n_runs": 50,
348348 "params": {
349349 "filter": "moving-average",
350350 "sigma": 8.0,
351351 "width": 8
352352 },
353353 "predicted": 2.3064317412363535,
354- "sd": 0.13682657275539345,
355- "se": 0.006910785531560945
354+ "sd": 0.14877210034969168,
355+ "se": 0.007438605017484583
356356 },
357357 {
358358 "L": 1,
359359 "M": 512,
360360 "highres_szego": 2.047095585180641,
361361 "id": "none_s1",
362- "last_utc": "2026-08-07T11:12:58Z",
363- "mean": 2.1071038091303302,
364- "n_pasts": 392,
365- "n_runs": 49,
362+ "last_utc": "2026-08-07T13:44:37Z",
363+ "mean": 2.1072496135685777,
364+ "n_pasts": 400,
365+ "n_runs": 50,
366366 "params": {
367367 "filter": "none",
368368 "sigma": 1.0
369369 },
370370 "predicted": 2.1048326603976193,
371- "sd": 0.08455824404447301,
372- "se": 0.004270836269219562
371+ "sd": 0.08400813320059192,
372+ "se": 0.004200406660029596
373373 },
374374 {
375375 "L": 1,
376376 "M": 512,
377377 "highres_szego": 6.047095585180641,
378378 "id": "none_s16",
379- "last_utc": "2026-08-07T11:13:02Z",
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428428 "highres_szego": 4.047095585180641,
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434434 "params": {
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440+ "se": 0.006507714799374704
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442442 {
443443 "L": 1,
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446446 "id": "none_s8",
447- "last_utc": "2026-08-07T11:13:01Z",
448- "mean": 5.0647603302901425,
449- "n_pasts": 392,
450- "n_runs": 49,
447+ "last_utc": "2026-08-07T13:44:43Z",
448+ "mean": 5.0701665594049805,
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450+ "n_runs": 50,
451451 "params": {
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453453 "sigma": 8.0
454454 },
455455 "predicted": 5.048034228800837,
456- "sd": 0.29814672818536486,
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456+ "sd": 0.32060159078926415,
457+ "se": 0.01603007953946321
458458 }
459459 ],
460460 "estimand": "H(z_{M+1} | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample, for x ~ iid N(0, sigma^2) -> y = h * x -> z = round(y)",
461- "generated": "2026-08-07T11:37:55Z",
461+ "generated": "2026-08-07T14:12:57Z",
462462 "settings": {
463463 "n0": 128,
464464 "pasts_per_run": 8,
@@ -466,5 +466,5 @@
466466 "reps": 8,
467467 "thin": "auto"
468468 },
469- "total_runs": 49
469+ "total_runs": 50
470470 }
runs.jsonlmodified+24−0View file
@@ -1174,3 +1174,27 @@
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